Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026
Flash Flood Warning 83, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood warning at Jul 4, 2026, 11:32 PM CDT for Lawrence County, Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 4, 2026, 11:32 PM CDT (04:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 5, 2026, 5:45 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Lawrence County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 12:02 AM CDT | FLASH FLOOD | Mount Vernon, MO | Water over road at Hickory Street and Division Street. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 30 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 16 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 742 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -109 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1734 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 21 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
649
WGUS53 KSGF 050432
FFWSGF
MOC109-051045-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0083.260705T0432Z-260705T1045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1132 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Lawrence County in southwestern Missouri...
* Until 545 AM CDT Sunday.
* At 1132 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of
rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2.5 inches in
1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Monett, Aurora, Mount Vernon, Marionville, Pierce City, Verona,
Stotts City, Freistatt, La Russell, Hoberg and Chesapeake.
This includes the following low water crossings...
Center Creek at County Road 2220, Turnback Creek at County Road
2100, Spring River at County Road 2110 and North Fork Clear Creek
at Nellie Avenue.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 3693 9406 3718 9406 3718 9361 3692 9361
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR
$$
PC1 follow-up statement
724 WGUS73 KSGF 051043 FFSSGF Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service Springfield MO 543 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026 MOC109-051053- /O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0083.000000T0000Z-260705T1045Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Lawrence MO- 543 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 545 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR LAWRENCE COUNTY... The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures. && LAT...LON 3693 9406 3718 9406 3718 9361 3692 9361 $$ SM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 4, 6:29 PM CDT, 5 hours 3 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Heat Advisory remains in effect through 8 PM as heat index values warm to around 100 to 105 degrees. Those with outdoor plans to celebrate the holiday should make efforts to have cooling and hydration options readily available.
- Thunderstorm chances increase this afternoon and evening. Highest chances for severe storms are west of Highway 65. Damaging winds are the most likely hazard along with lightning and localized flash flooding. Those outdoors will need to be weather aware this afternoon and evening.
- Additional storm chances (20-50%) will be possible across the area at times from Sunday into the middle of next week.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 6:29 PM CDT, 5 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
629 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Heat Advisory remains in effect through 8 PM as heat index
values warm to around 100 to 105 degrees. Those with outdoor
plans to celebrate the holiday should make efforts to have
cooling and hydration options readily available.
- Thunderstorm chances increase this afternoon and evening.
Highest chances for severe storms are west of Highway 65.
Damaging winds are the most likely hazard along with lightning
and localized flash flooding. Those outdoors will need to be
weather aware this afternoon and evening.
- Additional storm chances (20-50%) will be possible across the
area at times from Sunday into the middle of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
Current Conditions and Synoptic Overview: Water vapor and upper
air analysis shows a broad zonal type flow over the area with
embedded shortwaves moving through. A surface front/trough was
draped across Kansas into Missouri where an ongoing MCS was
tracking through the Highway 54 corridor. Along and south of
Highway 54, the airmass was strongly unstable with ML CAPES
around 2500j/kg however wind shear was weak, around 20kts. It
was very humid with temps approaching 90 and dews in the middle
70s. Satellite imagery also showed a outflow boundary just south
of the MCS that was moving through southeast Kansas, towards the
area. There was an expansive cumulus field developing across the
area given the moisture and instability.
Thunderstorm Potential through Tonight: Short term guidance has
struggled with the current MCS over the Highway 54 corridor of
west central Missouri. The RRFS is doing a little better and
with the activity however it was a tad north.Given the
favorable instability environment we expect this cluster of
storms to continue moving east along Highway 54 this afternoon
and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for this region
until 7pm for damaging wind potential.
Other storms, more isolated/pulse in nature may also form either
along or ahead of the outflow boundary across the rest of the
area. Decreasing inhibition, high PW and high thetaE Diffs
suggest the potential for localized damaging downburst winds
with any storms this afternoon across the area however locations
east of Springfield might have a little better pulse environment.
There are numerous outdoor events and activities therefore stay
weather aware this afternoon. Hot conditions will continues and
the Heat Advisory remains in effect.
This Evening/Tonight: The ongoing complex moving through north
of Springfield as well as additional afternoon pop ups cast
greater uncertainty on severe potential for this evening and
tonight. Earlier day guidance showed severe storms developing
this evening northwest of the area and moving in as additional
energy moves in and interacts with the instability and remaining
boundaries. One scenario we are starting to see play out is that
once this cluster of storms moves through, there may be some
subsidence which would cause a lull/break in storm potential
this evening. However this may only be temporary as other storms
refire in southern Kansas. It is these storms in Kansas that
will likely move east/southeast back into the area tonight.
Damaging winds are the most likely hazard with these storms,
especially along and west of I-49. There is a localized flash
flood risk tonight if storms move over the same areas. The 12z
HREF LPMM does show localized pockets of 2-3 inches.
Additional updates are likely as storm expectations become more
clear this afternoon and evening.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
The overall pattern becomes a little more northwesterly going
forward into next week. This will allow for additional energy to
move in and keep precip chances going. For Sunday, currently
have 20-50 pops going given scattered storm expectations.
The area looks to stay on the northeast periphery of a
developing mid level ridge across the southwest US. This could
allow for additional off and on rain chances through the week
however higher chances exist later in the week. Temps look to be
a little cooler than previous days with highs in the 80s.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 618 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
Showers and thunderstorms will move through the area throughout
the period, becoming prevailing around 06Z. Thunderstorms may
result in temporary CIG/VIS reductions, but in general,
conditions will largely remain VFR. Winds will continue to be
light and variable before becoming light out of the northwest
around 15Z.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MOZ055>058-
066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.
&&
SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...NelsonHazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 7:51 PM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 751 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-060100- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 751 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Marginal hail risk. Enhanced thunderstorm wind damage risk. Limited lightning risk. Limited excessive heat risk. Elevated excessive rainfall risk DISCUSSION... The heat advisory has been allowed to expire, though temperatures tonight may still feel a bit uncomfortable. Severe storms have formed in northern Oklahoma and are expected to impact southwestern Missouri and southeast Kansas tonight. The most likely threats with these storms are lightning and damaging winds. These storms will also be capable of causing heavy rainfall and flooding concerns, especially where repeated rounds of heavy rainfall bring 2 or more inches of rain within 1-3 hours. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Additional storm chances (20-50%) will be possible across the area at times from Sunday into the middle of next week. Advisory- level heat may return again late next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed in southwest Missouri and southeast Kansas tonight. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf Nelson
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 4, 6:40 PM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
640 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0305 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 ESE Rolla 37.94N 91.74W
07/04/2026 Phelps MO Fire Dept/Rescue
Transmission pole damage.
&&
TEOLocal storm report, Jul 4, 6:42 PM CDT, 4 hours 50 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
642 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 S Rolla 37.93N 91.78W
07/04/2026 Phelps MO 911 Call Center
Rolla had multiple calls of wires down trees
down on power lines, and trees and limbs
down on houses. One large tree down fell on
top of a house on South Cedar Street. Our
Command Post sustained significant damage at
the carnival. We had one structure fire from
a lightning strike.
&&
TEOLocal storm report, Jul 4, 10:54 PM CDT, 38 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1054 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0942 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 4 NW Neosho 36.91N 94.43W
07/04/2026 Newton MO Public
Mping of 3 inch limbs broken.
&&
TEOLocal storm report, Jul 4, 11:15 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report...Corrected
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1115 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0942 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 5 NW Neosho 36.91N 94.43W
07/04/2026 Newton MO Public
Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 4
NW Neosho. Mping of 3 inch limbs broken.
&&
TEOThe office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 62 min |
| Jul 4, 9:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Newton | 42 min |
| Jul 4, 9:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Dade | 45 min |
| Jul 4, 10:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Lawrence, Newton | 40 min |
| Jul 4, 10:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, McDonald, Newton | 49 min |
| Jul 4, 10:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper | 15 min |
| Jul 4, 10:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Lawrence | 53 min |
| Jul 4, 10:24 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGF | Newton | 6 hr |
| Jul 4, 10:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dade, Jasper, Lawrence | 46 min |
| Jul 4, 10:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Lawrence, Newton | 31 min |
| Jul 4, 10:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence | 28 min |
| Jul 4, 11:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Christian, Dade, Greene, Lawrence, Stone | 39 min |
| Jul 4, 11:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Christian, Dade, Greene, Lawrence, Stone and 1 more | 40 min |
| Jul 4, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Dallas, Douglas, Greene, Polk, Webster | 46 min |
| Jul 5, 12:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark, Taney | 34 min |
| Jul 5, 1:56 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGF | Christian | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 4:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Maries | 36 min |
| Jul 5, 5:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Phelps | 24 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.