Flash Flood Warning 41, NWS Springfield, MO

091 
WGUS73 KSGF 081408
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
908 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

MOC011-039-057-085-097-167-217-081418-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260608T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barton MO-Cedar MO-Dade MO-Hickory MO-Jasper MO-Polk MO-Vernon MO-
908 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL HICKORY, BARTON, SOUTHERN 
CEDAR, NORTHERN DADE, NORTHWESTERN JASPER, POLK AND SOUTHEASTERN 
VERNON COUNTIES HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING...

&&

LAT...LON 3760 9462 3787 9318 3758 9318 3728 9462

$$

GH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
101 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 8 AM this morning
  for extreme southwest Missouri and extreme southeast Kansas.
  Flash flooding remains the main threat, but a few instances of
  60 mph wind gusts and spin-up tornadoes are possible.

- Flood Watch in effect until 1 PM Monday for the entire area.
  Quick 2-3 inch per hour downpours will promote a flash
  flooding risk for areas that see repeated storms. Total
  rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches expected, with spotty amounts
  up to 5-7 inches possible.

- Above normal temperatures and humidity next week will lead to
  Heat Index values in the mid-90s to lower 100s. First heat of
  the season and warm nighttime temperatures may heighten heat-
  related impacts.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 235 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Today will be a bit soggy for some folks with a Flood Watch in
effect from 1 PM today through 1 PM Monday for all the counties
in our CWA. Rain will continue to move in from the south due to
the incoming surface low pressure system. So far, the forecast
is on track for flash flooding concerns today and tomorrow. The
atmosphere is very tropical-like right now and is primed for a
heavy rainfall event. Our PWATs from the 12z sounding came in at
1.74" which matches our max for this time of year. What is a
bit different is how this flash flooding event may occur. As
mentioned in the previous discussion, this will not be a
widespread flash flooding event where everyone sees a ton of
rain at once. This will be like a tropical disturbance in that
the heaviest rain may fall in bands and may be localized to
certain areas. The latest HREF LPMM has wider footprint of 2-3"
of rain falling and a swatch of localized higher-end rainfall
totals near 7-10" over SE KS and far SW MO. Though, the 7-10"
outlier will be highly localized, so we'll stick to messaging
the upper end 5-7" amount. The storms that will be coming
through aren't necessarily slow moving, but may train over the
same areas multiple times through the rest of today and into
tomorrow. These storms are likely to be efficient rainfall
producers and contain 2-3"/hr rain rates. The CAMs are also
showing the potential for a backbuilding MCS tonight somewhere
near SE KS and SW MO. The MCS potential really gets going once
the LLJ kicks in overnight. This is likely the reason for the
higher rainfall totals over in that area.

There is a Slight risk (2/5) for severe weather today with
mostly a tornado/wind risk. This is why a small/short-fused
tornado watch has been issued until 7 PM tonight for counties
along Highway 65 where the environment for tornadoes is
maximized. This set up is messy, and these spin-ups will be very
quick and brief. Shear and instability are becoming more
favorable as the evening goes on and as the surface low moves
northeast. Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the
night with the tornado threat winding down as diurnal heating
decreases.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 235 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

High pressure starts to build in by Tuesday bringing us a period of
dry and hot weather. This is when our first heatwave of the year
will make its appearance. We will see heat indices reaching the
lower 100s across the area for Tuesday through Thursday. Highs
will be in the lower 90s with dewpoints in the 70s making it
feel hot and humid. The heat risk for this heatwave is between
Major and Extreme levels. This means that the heat will likely
affect anyone without effective cooling and or adequate
hydration. This is especially true with little to no overnight
relief. Though, by the end of the week we will have a cold front
move through and give us a break in the heat and bring us
another round of showers and thunderstorms.

There is the potential to see some severe storms with this frontal
passage as the CIPS/CSU severe probabilities highlight areas near
central MO. Though, the better severe set up may be to our north
over the Great Lakes region. Stay up to date with the latest
forecast as we get closer to the event. Either way, we'll see highs
about 10 degrees cooler in the 80s to end the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Current radar imagery depicts bands of showers and thunderstorms
developing over the KS/MO/OK/AR corner region. Guidance suggests
these should congeal to a more widespread system that have a
75-95% chance of impacting the TAF sites directly. These storms
would have heavy downpours, restricting visibility to below a
mile at times. Secondary threats include wind gusts up to 50 kts
if the storms can become a line.

Any chance of rain/storms should exit the sites by 17-19Z,
leaving mainly chaotic cloud layers with 10-15 kt southerly
winds, sometimes gusting up to 20 kts.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through this afternoon for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch through this afternoon for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Price

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
736 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
736 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Slight tornado risk.
  Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

- The Tornado Watch for areas along and near Highway 65 has been
  extended until 9 PM.

- A Flood Watch is in effect until 1 PM Monday for the entire
  area. Quick 2 to 3 inch per hour downpours will promote a flash
  flooding risk for areas that see repeated storms. Total rainfall
  amounts of 1 to 3 inches expected, with spotty amounts up to 5
  to 7 inches possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

- Above normal temperatures and humidity the rest of the week will
  lead to Heat Index values in the mid-90s to lower 100s. First
  summer heat of the season and warm nighttime temperatures may
  heighten heat related impacts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed in southwest Missouri this
evening.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Nelson

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
923 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0922 PM     Rain             1 W Fordland            37.16N 92.96W
06/07/2026  M3.60 Inch       Webster            MO   Emergency Mngr

&&

REN

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
941 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     Flash Flood      Conway                  37.50N 92.83W
06/07/2026                   Laclede            MO   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Water over the road and surrounding a few
            houses.

&&

REN

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
955 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 PM     Flash Flood      3 WNW Aurora Springs    38.33N 92.64W
06/07/2026                   Miller             MO   911 Call Center

            Intersection of highway Y and Z flooded and
            impassable.

&&

REN