Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Blacksburg, VA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
203 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Not expecting any changes to the Flood Watch that has been
issued for southeastern WV and part of the western VA mountains.

Still expecting scattered showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening, some of which may produce damaging wind
gusts and localized flash flooding. Another round of showers and
possibly a few storms on Tuesday morning.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and continue into
the early overnight hours. Some storms could be severe, with
damaging winds the main threat.

2) Localized flooding in the mountains.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and
continue into the early overnight hours. Some storms could be
severe, with damaging winds the main threat. Localized flooding
in the mountains.

A shortwave will advance eastward into the southeast and Mid-
Atlantic by the afternoon/evening and be the main forcing
mechanism for widely scattered storms. Strong surface heating
is already ongoing across much of the forecast area, especially
along and south of a stationary front draped roughly from
Lewisburg, WV to Lynchburg, VA. South of this stationary front,
boundary layer moisture continues to increase, with upper 60s
and lower 70 dew points now showing in recent observations. This
should set the stage for CAPE values exceeding 1500 - 2000 J/kg
by the afternoon. Although lapse rates remain poor,
strengthening mid- level flow and increasing instability will
likely offset this and will eventually see widely scattered
storms begin to develop within the next couple of hours.

Main focus for storm development will initially be across
southeast West Virginia and far southwest Virginia. Eventually
will begin to see storms along the Blue Ridge mid mid-afternoon
forming into multicell clusters and propagating east into the
Piedmont. A secondary line of storms may develop this evening
that is more closely associated with the mid-level shortwave.
All storms today will especially be capable of strong damaging
winds, with a secondary hail threat. Some local enhancement of
storms could also occur along the stationary front as well.

Storm coverage intensity and coverage should begin to decrease
after 10PM tonight with some rain and possibly a few storms
lingering through early Tuesday.

KEY MESSAGE 2: Localized flooding in the mountains.

Repeated rounds of storms over southeast West Virginia and far
southwest Virginia may result in areas of localized flash
flooding through this evening. Although storm motions today
remain in the 20-30kt range, high PWAT values now beginning to
approach 2" and the potential for training storms gives enough
confidence for a Flood Watch over the aforementioned areas.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Currently the area is VFR all around, but as thunderstorms and
showers become more prevalent later into the afternoon and evening,
expect cloud cigs to generally drop as the storms mix and lower the
moisture in the atmosphere. Additionally, some of these storms and
showers will have high rain rates in excess of 1" per hour, which
can reduce vsby at the surface when a site is located in a rain
shaft. In the vicinity of thunderstorms, erratic and strong wind
gusts are possible with little notice, so aviation near storms can
be dangerous.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Stratus will likely hang on in the mountains through early
Tuesday afternoon before terminals improve to VFR there too.
This calm weather lasts through Wednesday.

Beginning Thursday, scattered diurnal storms will likely
develop during the heat of the afternoon, potentially impacting
scheduled afternoon and evening flights with turbulent
conditions and brief delays. Outside of the stormy weather, the
only other major threat to flight categories will come from
early-morning mountain valley and river fog bringing additional
windows of restricted visibility.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT this evening for VAZ007.
NC...None.
WV...Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT this evening for WVZ042>044-507-
     508.

&&

DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...SH/VFJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
242 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

WVZ043-044-507-508-231845-
Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
242 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 375 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

Flood Watch through this evening. Heavy rain may cause excessive
runoff. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is also in effect through this
evening for the potential for damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.

VAZ007-WVZ042-231845-
Tazewell-Mercer-
242 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia and
southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

lease listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

Flood Watch through this evening for heavy rain which may cause
flash flooding.

There is also a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms this through
this evening. Damaging winds are the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ009>017-022-032-033-043-044-058-059-231845-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-
Floyd-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Halifax-Charlotte-
242 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is an Marginal Risk of heavy rainfall leading to localized
flash flooding through this evening.

There is also a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms through this
evening. Damaging winds are the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ018>020-023-024-034-035-045>047-231845-
Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-
Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
242 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 375 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia, southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
448 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

WVZ042>044-507-508-222130-
Western Greenbrier WV-Mercer WV-Summers WV-Eastern Greenbrier WV-
Monroe WV-
448 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
SOUTHWESTERN GREENBRIER...SUMMERS...NORTHERN MERCER AND NORTHWESTERN
MONROE COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

At 448 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hix, or near Sandstone, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lewisburg...
Hinton...
Ronceverte...
Alderson...
Union...
Sandstone...
and Pipestem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
southwestern and west central Virginia...and southeastern West
Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3789 8034 3753 8043 3748 8127 3750 8126
      3751 8121 3758 8119 3760 8108 3764 8107
      3769 8098 3772 8097 3770 8091 3767 8090
      3768 8088 3773 8090 3774 8092 3777 8089
      3779 8092 3785 8085 3787 8075 3792 8078
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 267DEG 28KT 3771 8082

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

EB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
450 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

VAZ035-045>047-222130-
Buckingham VA-Amherst VA-Campbell VA-Appomattox VA-
450 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
APPOMATTOX...NORTHEASTERN CAMPBELL...SOUTHWESTERN BUCKINGHAM AND
SOUTHEASTERN AMHERST COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

At 449 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Stonewall, or near Concord, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Appomattox...
Bent Creek...
Concord...
Madison Heights...
Appomattox National Historic Park...
Sheppards...
and Andersonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central, south central and west central Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 7848 3733 7852 3737 7858 3740 7859
      3734 7860 3729 7865 3726 7894 3746 7913
      3761 7893 3754 7890 3754 7883 3757 7881
      3759 7883 3760 7881 3763 7882 3764 7880
      3763 7872 3767 7872 3767 7869 3735 7845
TIME...MOT...LOC 2049Z 260DEG 25KT 3741 7891

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

EB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
500 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

VAZ007-WVZ042-222145-
Tazewell VA-Mercer WV-
500 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
NORTHERN TAZEWELL AND SOUTHWESTERN MERCER COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM
EDT...

At 500 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Amonate, or 9 miles north of Cedar Bluff, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Bluefield...
Pocahontas...
Bramwell...
Jewell Ridge...
Amonate...
Gratton...
and Tiptop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
southeastern West Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 8182 3720 8176 3724 8174 3724 8172
      3720 8168 3721 8156 3724 8151 3726 8150
      3725 8148 3727 8145 3727 8142 3731 8140
      3733 8137 3735 8122 3725 8119 3722 8128
      3717 8126 3715 8133 3713 8127 3711 8129
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 269DEG 24KT 3722 8171

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

EB