Severe Thunderstorm Warning 42, NWS Blacksburg, VA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
212 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

Severe weather chances will continue each day for the remainder of
the week.

Cloud cover expected to mute temperatures. Trimmed highs 2 to 5
degrees lower than model blends (NBM)...more in line with
MET/MAV Model Output Statistics (MOS).

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1: Strong to severe storms will be possible across most
of the area through Friday, with isolated flash flooding possible in
the western mountains.

2: Above normal temperatures expected Thursday through Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key Message 1: Strong to severe storms will be possible across most
of the area through Friday, with isolated flash flooding possible in
the western mountains.

Subsequent upper-level shortwave troughs will traverse east across
the Mid-Atlantic over the next few days. Winds become more westerly,
allowing a leeside trough to form across the Piedmont. This
combination will allow for some strong to severe storms to form each
afternoon with the aid of diurnal heating. A Bermuda high in the
Western Atlantic will also continue to feed a southerly flow of
warm, moist air into the area, especially by tomorrow, further
enhancing storm development.

For the rest of today, showers and storms have moved into the
Piedmont and will continue to push south and east. Isolated severe
weather remains possible, in the form of damaging wind gusts and
small hail. Excessive rainfall also remains possible, generally
anywhere south of I-64, which could cause isolated flash flooding in
flood-prone areas. High rain rates of 2-4"+ per hour, and any storms
that move over the same areas repeatedly would be the most likely
cause of flooding in vulnerable locations. Showers/storms move out
by this evening, with mostly quieter weather into the overnight
hours.

On Thursday, moisture continues to increase, with precipitable water
amounts nearing 2.00". This will allow storms to produce efficient
rainfall and high rain rates, with isolated flash flooding possible,
mainly confined to West Virginia. Severe weather will also be a
threat again tomorrow, as warmer temperatures and clearer skies will
increase instability. There is some uncertainty with storm coverage
for tomorrow, as CAM models have a wide range of possibilities.
However, virtually all models have struggled to effectively capture
storm complexes over the past couple of days. Any storms that do
form will be capable of damaging wind gusts and large hail. The
entire area is in a Marginal Risk, with a Slight Risk for locations
north of US-460.

Friday will see yet another round of showers/storms in the
afternoon, with the same areas in a Marginal and Slight Risk for
severe weather as was the case on Thursday. Damaging winds and
possibly large hail will again be the threats. Isolated flash
flooding is also possible in the far western mountains. The one
difference for Friday will be that the trough pushes east and a cold
front moves into the area, which will be the main forcing for
showers/storms to develop, leading to more widespread coverage.

Key Message 2: Above normal temperatures Thursday through
Sunday.

Winds look to turn westerly/southwesterly Thursday and Friday
ahead of an approaching cold front, that looks to push into the
region late in the day on Friday. Temperatures will be quite
warm with some downsloping winds leading to adiabatic warming
both Thursday and Friday east of the Blue Ridge in the Piedmont.
Daytime highs each day look to climb into the mid 90s, with
some localized areas possibly reaching the mid to upper 90s
across the Piedmont. These high temperatures combined with
dewpoint temperatures in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees across
the region will lead to Heat Index values in the 100-105 range
across much of the Piedmont on Thursday and Friday. These Heat
Index values are just below heat headlines for the Piedmont of
Virginia and North Carolina; nevertheless, folks should still
consider taking frequent breaks indoors or the shade, as well as
drinking plenty of fluids if working outdoors during the peak
of the daytime heat.

While a frontal passage is expected Friday, temperatures do not
look to decrease on Saturday or Sunday; however, dewpoint
temperatures will decrease significantly enough that Heat index
values will be tied closer to actual temperatures for the area.
The lower dewpoints will scour the mugginess across the area,
which will inadvertently provide some relief from the heat.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to make there way
through south central Virginia this afternoon. These showers and
thunderstorms will bring brief periods of MVFR to IFR
CIGs/VSBYs, and gusty/erratic winds as they move into the
vicinity of Terminals. Much of these showers have already passed
most terminals across the area, with LYH and DAN the only two
that are currently or will be impacted in the next 1-2 hours.
Winds will generally remain out of the west/southwest at around
5-10 knots, with gusts up to 15-20 knots at times this
afternoon. VFR conditions look to prevail outside of these
shower and thunderstorm activity for all terminals except BCB
and LWB during the early morning hours on Thursday. With rain
today, the wet surface ground layer will likely create some
patchy fog in river valleys especially. This river valley fog
may lead to some brief VSBY restrictions towards the early
morning hours.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK

A summertime weather pattern is expected for Thursday into the
upcoming weekend. Temperatures are expected to warm above normal
leading to stronger thunderstorms when they occur. This may lead
to some brief periods of MVFR/IFR CIGs and VSBYs, as well as
strong and erratic gusty winds within the vicinity of
thunderstorms.

Expecting mainly VFR conditions through the upcoming weekend
with the exception of scattered afternoon and evening
thunderstorms and potential for late night fog and stratus.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...EB/JCB
AVIATION...EB/PM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
407 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-033>035-043>047-058-059-112015-
Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Roanoke-Botetourt-
Rockbridge-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-
Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
407 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia
and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe storms are possible Thursday and Friday. Damaging
wind gusts will be the main threat.

Dangerous heat and humidity is expected Thursday and Friday for the
Piedmont of Virginia and North Carolina, along with urban areas
including Roanoke. Heat index values may reach the low triple
digits.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ007-011-014-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-112015-
Tazewell-Giles-Montgomery-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
407 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A few storms Thursday and Friday could be strong to severe. Damaging
wind gusts will be the main threat. Locally heavy downpours could
cause isolated flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ009-010-012-013-015>017-032-112015-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Smyth-Bland-Wythe-Pulaski-Grayson-Carroll-
Floyd-Patrick-
407 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong to severe storms are possible Thursday and Friday. Damaging
wind gusts will be the main threat.

Dangerous heat and humidity is expected Thursday and Friday for the
Piedmont of Virginia and North Carolina, along with urban areas
including Roanoke. Heat index values may reach the low triple
digits.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
355 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0319 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 E Keeling             36.71N 79.22W
06/10/2026                   Pittsylvania       VA   911 Call Center

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 5
            E Keeling. Tree down on power lines down
            along Kentuck Road.

&&

WHP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
504 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NNE Chatham           36.84N 79.39W
06/10/2026                   Pittsylvania       VA   911 Call Center

            Large tree limb hanging in power lines on
            Hodnetts Mill Road. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

VFJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
645 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

NCZ003-004-VAZ032-102330-
Stokes NC-Surry NC-Patrick VA-
645 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
NORTHEASTERN SURRY...NORTHWESTERN STOKES AND SOUTHWESTERN PATRICK
COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

At 644 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Flat Rock, moving east at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Airy...
Flat Rock...
Pilot Mountain...
Francisco...
Ararat...
Toast...
and Woodville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3645 8073 3656 8066 3656 8061 3659 8061
      3660 8062 3660 8033 3632 8042
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 281DEG 5KT 3651 8059

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JCB