Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Raleigh, NC

197 
WGUS72 KRAH 080058
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
858 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

NCC183-080300-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260708T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wake NC-
858 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR CENTRAL WAKE COUNTY...

At 858 PM EDT, local law enforcement reported water flowing across 
roadways and vehicles stranded in flood waters. Between 1 and 3.5 
inches of rain have fallen. Flooding impacts will continue, but no 
additional rainfall is expected. Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Raleigh, Cary, Wake Forest, Rolesville, Purnell, William B Umstead 
  State Park and Falls Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7846 3576 7854 3576 7861 3577 7879
      3603 7857 3597 7843

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

AS

962 
WGUS72 KRAH 080251
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1051 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

NCC183-080301-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260708T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wake NC-
1051 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR 
CENTRAL WAKE COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7846 3576 7854 3576 7861 3577 7879
      3603 7857 3597 7843

$$

AK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* Updated aviation discussion.

* Heat advisory has expired.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 243 PM Tuesday...

1) Level 1 risk (marginal risk) for severe thunderstorms today along
with a level 1 risk for flash flooding (marginal ERO) today and
Wednesday - highest risk for flooding north and east of Raleigh.

2) Level 3 heat risk south and east of the Triad through Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 243 PM Tuesday...

1) Level 1 risk (marginal risk) for severe thunderstorms today along
with a level 1 risk for flash flooding (marginal ERO) today and
Wednesday - highest risk for flooding north and east of Raleigh.

A moist and unstable air mass will remain in place across central
North Carolina through Wednesday as weak mid-level flow and a
backdoor cold front sagging south from Virginia provide a favorable
environment for scattered to numerous thunderstorms. Most
deterministic and convection-allowing guidance suggests the greatest
convective coverage will occur each afternoon and evening, with
outflow boundaries being the focus this afternoon and evening and
the backdoor front and any residual outflow boundaries serving as
primary foci for storm development on Wednesday. While widespread
organized severe weather is not expected, moderate instability will
support a threat for isolated damaging wind gusts with stronger
multicells. The severe weather risk should remain highest where
storms can interact with the southward-moving boundary, especially
across northern half of the forecast area.

The flash flood threat may ultimately become the greater concern.
Deep tropical moisture, slow storm motions, and the potential for
repeated development along the frontal zone could produce localized
heavy rainfall totals. The WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook continues
to highlight the greatest concern across the northern and
northeastern portions of central North Carolina both today and
Wednesday, where the proximity of the backdoor front may favor more
persistent or training convection. Localized flash flooding will be
possible, particularly in urban areas and other flood-prone
locations where multiple rounds of heavy rainfall occur.

2) Level 3 heat risk south and east of the Triad through
Saturday.

Each day through the end of the work week is expected to trend a
degree or two hotter as afternoon temperatures climb into the lower
and middle 90s. Combined with continued high humidity, heat indices
will likely reach or exceed 100 degrees across much of central North
Carolina during this time. The experimental HeatRisk forecast shows
major (Level 3 of 4) continuing or perhaps expanding a bit each day
south and east of the Triad through Saturday. This level of heat can
be dangerous for anyone without adequate cooling or hydration,
especially those spending extended periods outdoors. A weak front
approaching late in the weekend should bring at least modest relief
beginning Sunday, with temperatures easing back closer to seasonal
normals.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 800 PM Tuesday...

Convection continues to be a threat into the late evening hours
across portions of the terminals. However, the main threat based on
satellite and radar trends is at RDU and secondarily at RWI. A
strong storm will impact RDU in the beginning part of the TAF
period. While storms are not currently near RWI, the expected
environment and upstream convection would favor the development of
storms in the 01-04z time period. At GSO, INT, and FAY, these
terminals have seen some subsidence in the wake of earlier
convection. Thus, while we cannot rule out some stray storm until
04z, confidence was too low to include any mention at this time
given a lack of appreciable signals. Storms may develop upstream of
FAY late tonight but again confidence is too low at this time. A
backdoor front will build in from the NE early Wed, favoring a
gradual ENE flow at the northern sites on Wednesday. The flow should
result in MVFR to perhaps brief IFR stratus at RDU and RWI Wed
morning, along with patchy low visibilities. Some brief restrictions
may also reach GSO/INT. Storms are expected to develop again Wed
afternoon and evening in the vicinity of and along the backdoor
front. For now, opted for PROB30 groups at all terminals in the
favored late afternoon and early evening time frame.

Outlook: A persistent summertime pattern will support generally VFR
conditions outside of daily afternoon and evening convection through
the end of the week. Brief MVFR/IFR restrictions will be possible in
thunderstorms each day, with localized late night or early morning
fog or stratus following heavier rainfall. Outside of convection, no
widespread or prolonged aviation impacts are expected.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...np
AVIATION...AK/np

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

NCZ042-077-078-088-089-081200-
Johnston-Harnett-Wayne-Cumberland-Sampson-
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

In addition to the heat, scattered showers and storms are expected
later today. The strongest storms will be capable of producing
damaging winds and heavy rain, which could lead to isolated flooding
of low lying and poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another round of scattered showers and storms are possible
Wednesday, with damaging winds as the primary threat along with
locally heavy rainfall.

Following a brief retreat into the lower 90s, temperatures will once
again climb into the upper 90s late this week with dangerously hot
heat indices expected Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-043-073>076-083>086-081200-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Heat indices will approach 100 degrees across much of central NC
today. In addition to the heat, scattered showers and storms are
expected later today. The strongest storms will be capable of
producing damaging winds and heavy rain, which could lead to
isolated flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another round of scattered showers and storms are possible
Wednesday, with damaging winds as the primary threat along with
locally heavy rainfall.

Following a brief retreat into the lower 90s, temperatures will once
again climb into the upper 90s late this week with dangerously hot
heat indices expected Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
718 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Durham             35.96N 78.89W
07/07/2026                   Durham             NC   Utility Company

            Trees on powerlines on Capps St.

&&

CA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
719 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WNW Bahama            36.18N 78.91W
07/07/2026                   Durham             NC   Utility Company

            trees down on power equipment on Old Roxboro
            Rd.

&&

CA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
721 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N Sanford             35.49N 79.18W
07/07/2026                   Lee                NC   Utility Company

            trees down on powerlines on Poplar st.

&&

CA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
726 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0647 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NE Sanford            35.48N 79.17W
07/07/2026                   Lee                NC   Utility Company

            tree on power equipment.

&&

CA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
727 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 PM     Flash Flood      3 NNE Durham            36.02N 78.90W
07/07/2026                   Durham             NC   Broadcast Media

            Entrance/exit ramps near intersection of
            Duke street and I-85 impassable due to
            flooding.

&&

AS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
754 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     Flash Flood      1 SSW Research Triangle 35.86N 78.85W
07/07/2026                   Wake               NC   Public

            Several reports of flooding via Waze on
            roadways centralized around that NC-540W and
            Chapel Hill Road intersection.

&&

AS