Flash Flood Warning 33, NWS Raleigh, NC

400 
WGUS72 KRAH 212029
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
429 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

NCC051-163-212330-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-260821T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cumberland NC-Sampson NC-
429 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND AND SAMPSON COUNTIES...

At 429 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain in Significant road flooding is occurring between Roseboro and
Clinton. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen. Additional
rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area.
Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Clinton, Roseboro, Stedman, Garland, Salemburg, Turkey, Autryville,
  Bushy Lake Natural Area, Hobbton, Cedar Creek and Vander.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 7886 3497 7890 3513 7864 3522 7821
      3520 7816 3509 7817 3490 7815 3477 7819
      3478 7843 3486 7850

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

22

174 
WGUS72 KRAH 212227
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
627 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

NCC051-163-212237-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-260821T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cumberland NC-Sampson NC-
627 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND AND
SAMPSON COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining
road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 800 AM EDT Saturday for a
portion of central North Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 7886 3497 7890 3513 7864 3522 7821
      3520 7816 3509 7817 3490 7815 3477 7819
      3478 7843 3486 7850

$$

22

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
245 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

*  Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued for southern counties this
   afternoon.

*  Flood watch expanded to Anson county.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 245 PM Friday...

1) There is a risk of excessive rainfall across the
entire forecast area, primarily during the afternoon and early
evening.

2) There is a risk of severe thunderstorms across the
entire forecast area this afternoon and evening, with the greatest
threat along and south of US-64.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 245 PM Friday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... There is a risk of excessive rainfall across the
entire forecast area, primarily during the afternoon and early
evening.

The Weather Prediction Center has the entire forecast area
under a slight (level 2 of 4) risk for excessive rainfall. Locally,
a flood watch was issued overnight for much of the area, excluding
the Triad and areas northeast of the Triangle, going through
Saturday morning. A boundary is set up across southern counties,
having pushed slightly farther south than anticipated. From Sanford
and Erwin to the northeast, low clouds and northerly flow have kept
temperatures primarily in the 70s, while out in the Triad and
southern counties, more sun has allowed for temperatures to climb in
the 80s and lower 90s. While convective-allowing models have
performed poorly over the last day or two, there are still
indications that thunderstorms currently developing along the North
Carolina/South Carolina border will expand in coverage and push to
the north during the afternoon. With slow storm movement, deep
moisture, and "skinny CAPE", these storms will have the potential to
bring multiple inches of rain in a short period of time. In
particular, the 12Z HREF shows approximately a 50% potential for 3
inches of rain in 3 hours just to the south of the Triangle during
the late afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will likely peak in
coverage before sunset, continue into the evening, then rapidly drop
off after midnight.

KEY MESSAGE 2... There is a risk of severe thunderstorms across the
entire forecast area this afternoon and evening, with the greatest
threat along and south of US-64.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed the Triad and counties
along the VA/NC border in a marginal (level 1 of 5) risk, with the
rest of the forecast area in a slight (level 2 of 5) risk. The
primary threat is damaging winds, although large hail cannot be
ruled out. As of 2pm, there is minimal MLCAPE and large amounts of
CIN along and to the north of US-64, while the greatest instability
is to the south of the boundary that was discussed in Key Message 1.
That is the primary reason that the Severe Thunderstorm Watch that
was issued around 1:30pm only included the southern half of the
forecast area and did not extend any farther to the north. Across
Cumberland and Sampson counties, the MLCAPE is as high as 3000 J/kg.
There is at least 30 kt of effective bulk shear across the forecast
area, which should help to eventually organize storms. The greatest
threat for severe thunderstorms should be over the next several
hours, and the Severe Thunderstorm Watch is valid through 9pm.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 145 PM Friday...

TAF period: Confidence is lower than normal in the details of these
TAFs due to the uncertainty with thunderstorms and where they will
develop today; however, confidence is high that all terminals will
experience at least some rain this afternoon and have low ceilings
overnight.

Thunderstorms are beginning to develop along the North
Carolina/South Carolina border and will increase in coverage as they
move northeast. Have gone with prevailing showers at all sites,
continuing a TEMPO group during the most likely 4 hour window for
thunderstorms. Visibility reductions with the storms may be slightly
greater than normal considering heavy rain rates are expected today.
There is a bit of uncertainty as to how long the prevailing rain
will last into this evening, but IFR ceilings are likely to quickly
expand from INT/GSO south and east after dark, with all sites
expected to eventually develop LIFR ceilings. The ceilings should
lift to MVFR by late Saturday morning, with scattered showers
developing by that time at RDU/FAY/RWI.

Outlook: Precipitation will primarily be at RDU/FAY/RWI Saturday
afternoon, although it cannot be ruled out at INT/GSO. Widespread
restrictions are not currently forecast for any sites Saturday
night, although if precipitation is heavy enough, there could be
local restrictions. Dry VFR conditions are expected Sunday through
Tuesday night before a chance of thunderstorms returns to all
terminals Wednesday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Saturday morning for NCZ023>025-039>043-
073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

DISCUSSION...Green
AVIATION...Green

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1144 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

NCZ023>025-039>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-221545-
Alamance-Orange-Durham-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-
Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-
Cumberland-Sampson-
1144 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Flood Watch.

There is also a marginal to slight risk of severe thunderstorms
through this evening. The main threat will be damaging wind.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ007>011-021-022-026>028-038-221545-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Franklin-Nash-
Edgecombe-Davidson-
1144 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms into this evening.
The main threat is from damaging wind.

Locally heavy rain is also possible, with localized minor flooding
of urban and poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
256 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Rockfish          34.97N 79.07W
08/21/2026                   Hoke               NC   911 Call Center

            Tree down on home on Briar Hill Road.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
300 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ENE Rockfish          34.99N 79.04W
08/21/2026                   Cumberland         NC   911 Call Center

            Tree down on Stoney Point Road blocking one
            lane of traffic.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
303 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     6 SW Cedar Creek        34.89N 78.84W
08/21/2026                   Cumberland         NC   911 Call Center

            Tree down on Butler Nursery Road.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
313 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Rockfish          34.97N 79.06W
08/21/2026                   Hoke               NC   911 Call Center

            Tree on powerlines on Myra Road.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
320 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 W Silver City         34.99N 79.25W
08/21/2026                   Hoke               NC   911 Call Center

            Tree down on Mockingbird Hill Road.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
325 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

NCZ078-089-212030-
Sampson NC-Wayne NC-
325 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN WAYNE AND SAMPSON
COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

At 325 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Clinton, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsboro, Clinton, Mount Olive, Walnut Creek, Harrells, Roseboro,
Garland, Newton Grove, Salemburg, and Turkey.

This includes Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 342 and 359.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This thunderstorm is producing an excessive amount of deadly cloud to
ground lightning. Seek shelter indoors and stay away from windows. If
you cannot seek shelter indoors, an enclosed vehicle can provide safe
shelter. Deadly lightning strikes can occur well ahead of an
approaching storm, prior to the arrival of rain and wind.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central North Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3461 7831 3467 7832 3490 7854 3519 7850
      3545 7783 3538 7780 3534 7782 3518 7784
      3515 7789 3517 7793 3516 7797 3519 7802
      3518 7807 3519 7816 3490 7815 3474 7820
      3471 7813 3472 7811 3471 7811 3455 7825
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 277DEG 8KT 3494 7841

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

CA