Severe Thunderstorm Warning 60, NWS Pueblo, CO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
106 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe thunderstorms likely on the plains next several days over
the plains.

- RED FLAG Warnings in effect over parts of the region today and
tomorrow over the interior mountains.

- Moisture should increase over the mountains Thursday and Friday.

- Hot and Dry (Critical fire wx conditions) will once again
  develop Sunday into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 101 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

For today, severe thunderstorms are once again likely over the
plains this afternoon into this evening. All areas at the lower
elevations could see severe storms today, with the best chance over
the far eastern plains where the better moisture and shear are
located. The primary threat will be very large damaging hail. In the
short term, best chance of strong/severe storms will be from El
Paso county east-southeast towards Lamar. Additional storms
will be possible later this afternoon and into this evening.

For tomorrow, the severe threat will be a bit more farther north and
east, with the best chances of strong to severe storms from roughly
Pueblo to Kim. Areas south of this line are expected to dry
out, decreasing the threat of storms over this region. North of
this line severe storms will be possible in the afternoon. Some
of the guidance shows storms may for later in the day.

In the interior mountains for today and tomorrow it will be
hot, dry and breezy. Red Flag conditions are likely both days.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 101 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Tomorrow night...

Guidance shows that storms, some strong to severe, will linger well
into the night time hours Tuesday evening into the early morning
hours of Wednesday. POPs from the initial NBM were categorical for
most of the plains between 06 - 12 UTC Wed, and these values
looked well overdone. However, I believe it we will see showers
and storms and kept relatively high pops ongoing through the
above mentioned  time period above.

Wednesday, strong to severe storms will be possible, but believe
storms will likely form much later in the day as I suspect the
boundary layer over the region will be rather stable in the morning.
Once again, all types of severe weather will be possible on
wednesday.

For the mtns on Wednesday, Red Flag conditions will once again
be possible over the interior mtns.

Thursday, severe weather threat will be much further north this day
as the better flow will push poleward. However believe we will still
see a threat of stronger storms this day over the region.
Additionally, a moisture plume should move into the mtns and this
should put an end to the red flag conditions, and we may see some
wetting rains over the higher terrain. Unfortunately. we will likely
see some lightning which may produce new fire starts.

Friday into Saturday...we should see a good chance of afternoon
and evening storms both days over the entire region this day.

Sunday into next week. an strong trough will develop over the
Pacific northwest and this will bring rather strong and dry mid
level flow over the region, Temps will warm up significantly
and 100s should return to the plains. Critical fire weather
conditions will likely ramp up once again. \/Hodanish

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1118 AM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf
sites, KPUB, However, some thunder could occur at KCOS late this
afternoon and early evening, however current thinking is this
will only bring gusty winds and maybe some rumbles of thunder to
KCOS.

At KPUB, dry, but an outflow boundary will likely push through
around 00 UTC bringing gusty eas winds for an hour or two.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 101 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Red Flag conditions will occur today and tomorrow over the
interior mountains and valleys. For tomorrow, critical
conditions will push into Fremont county. Critical fire weather
conditions will once again be possible Wednesday.

Some moisture may move into the mtns Thursday and Friday. It
dries out and once again become hot and windy Sunday into early
next week.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ220-223-
224.

Red Flag Warning from noon to 9 PM MDT Tuesday for COZ220-
222>224.

&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...HODANISH
FIRE WEATHER...HODANISH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1138 AM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-231745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1138 AM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected this
afternoon into this evening. Storms will move off of the Palmer and
surrounding areas, moving southeast and intensifying over time. Some
strong to severe storms are expected. Given the supportive
environment, damaging hail up to the size of 2 inches and winds
to 65 mph will be the main threats, though a tornado or two can't
be ruled out.

Meanwhile, critical fire weather conditions are expected throughout
the afternoon over the interior mountains and the San Luis Valley,
with dry surface conditions and breezy west winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

More strong to severe storms are expected to return each afternoon
over the eastern plains through Thursday. The area will continue
seeing plenty of low-level moisture, wind shear, and supportive lift
from some passing disturbances aloft. For Tuesday, the
thunderstorm activity may form later in the day across the region,
and may last into the early morning hours of Wednesday. All severe
weather hazards are possible the next few days, including large
to very large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes.

Meanwhile, critical fire weather conditions will continue over
the interior mountains and San Luis Valley each afternoon, with
low RH and breezy west winds coupled with warm temperatures. This
will continue each day through Wednesday. Some increase in
moisture should return to all of the mountains Thursday, and last
into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
207 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

COZ084-085-222030-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
207 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 230 PM MDT...

At 206 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Falcon, or 10 miles northeast of Colorado Springs, moving east at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Northeastern Colorado Springs, Black Forest, Falcon, Cimarron Hills,
and Schriever Space Force Base.

Conditions are favorable for this storm to intensify and become
severe.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3893 10479 3902 10473 3900 10440 3880 10455
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 289DEG 18KT 3894 10469

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
247 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

COZ081-085-222115-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
247 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 315 PM MDT...

At 247 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Stratmoor, or near Colorado Springs, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Southeastern Colorado Springs, Fountain, Stratmoor, Fort Carson,
Security, Security-Widefield, and Schriever Space Force Base.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3871 10487 3882 10481 3881 10452 3862 10459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 281DEG 15KT 3876 10480

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

KT

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
309 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0307 PM     Hail             2 N Fountain            38.72N 104.70W
06/22/2026  M1.00 Inch       El Paso            CO   NWS Employee

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
316 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     Hail             2 ENE Fountain          38.69N 104.67W
06/22/2026  M1.00 Inch       El Paso            CO   Trained Spotter

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
323 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     Hail             2 N Fountain            38.72N 104.70W
06/22/2026  M1.50 Inch       El Paso            CO   NWS Employee

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
345 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

COZ094-222215-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-
345 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 415 PM MDT...

At 345 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17
miles south of Higbee, or 31 miles south of North La Junta, moving
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Las
Animas County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 10364 3762 10362 3760 10310 3724 10311
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 283DEG 31KT 3752 10349

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

KTS