Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS Pueblo, CO

277 
WGUS75 KPUB 162202
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
402 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COC041-162345-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-260816T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
402 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY...

At 402 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain have ended across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of
rain have fallen. Flooding impacts will continue, but no additional
rainfall is expected. Flash flooding is expected to continue until
the water has a chance to recede.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Fountain, Fort Carson, Stratmoor and Security-Widefield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3880 10489 3874 10493 3867 10486 3861 10475
      3861 10465 3868 10465 3874 10472 3878 10480

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

004 
WGUS75 KPUB 162312
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
512 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COC041-162322-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-260816T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
512 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO
COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining
road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3880 10489 3874 10493 3867 10486 3861 10475
      3861 10465 3868 10465 3874 10472 3878 10480

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
208 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and storms continue this evening, some strong to severe.
Strong winds, hail, and heavy rain/flash flooding on the table.

- Afternoon storms are expected again on Monday, mostly over the
eastern mountains and Raton Mesa.

- A bit drier through the rest of the week, though some scattered
storms will still be possible each afternoon starting Weds.

- Warmer temps return this week and into the weekend. Eastern
  plains may hit triple digits this weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 206 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

Strong to severe storms have already formed over the Pikes Peak
Region and near the Raton Mesa as of 2pm. Flash flooding is also
ongoing over the Aspen Acres burn scar. Activity is expected to
continue pushing east through the remainder of the evening.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is now in effect through 9pm this
evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 1240 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

Rest of Today and Tonight...

With the monsoon plume funneling right into our area, thunderstorm
activity is expected to move across our area through the rest of the
afternoon and into this evening. Strong to severe storms are still
anticipated, with current analysis showing 1000 J/kg of CAPE along I-
25, increasing to 2000+ further east. Additionally, the eastern half
of our CWA shows 30 knots or so of effective bulk shear. Dewpoints
remain in the 50s over most of these areas as well, close to 60 in
places.

Storms will continue to initiate over our eastern mountains, pushing
over the plains within the next few hours and intensifying. Main
storm hazards remain on track from previous forecasts, with outflow
winds 60-70 mph, hail up to 1.5 inches, heavy rain and flash
flooding. Flood Watch for Aspen Acres remains in effect thru 8pm.

Storms will move off to the east later tonight, with mild
temperatures and lingering low-level moisture setting things up for
tomorrow.

Monday...

The upper ridge will build back in over our area on Monday, kicking
the monsoon plume to our west and giving us a slightly drier day.
However, some lingering low-level moisture should coincide with a
weak passing shortwave aloft, allowing for some afternoon
thunderstorm formation, though noticeably less than today. The
majority of convection will form over our southeast mountains,
spreading close to the Raton Mesa and far southern plains later in
the day, while a few isolated to scattered storms will be possible
over the San Juans and the Pikes Peak Region. Storms along the
terrain will be on the weaker side, with outflow to 50 mph and hail
up to half an inch or so. If storms manage to persist long enough to
move onto the eastern plains, they will encounter moist,
southeasterly surface winds and better forcing thanks to the passing
shortwave. Some stronger to severe storms (60 mph winds, 1 inch
hail) will be possible late afternoon into early evening.
Additionally, any storm will be capable of producing heavy rainfall,
so flash flooding will still be a concern over burn scars, though
again coverage and confidence are both lower for Monday than today.
Finally, highs will be a few degrees warmer across the region, with
mid-80s to low-90s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1240 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

Long-range forecast remains on track, with the upper high expected
to build back in over the Four Corners Region. This will amplify the
upper ridge, leading to drier conditions across the area through
most of the week. After much drier conditions on Tuesday, lingering
low to mid-level moisture will allow for more scattered thunderstorm
activity each day. Storms will first form over the mountains, with a
passing front on Wednesday bringing precipitation back to the plains
as well. Meanwhile, high temps will increase across the board, with
high-80s over the valleys and high-90s over the eastern plains, with
a low but non-zero chance for some more triple digits heading into
this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1119 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

VFR conditions are mostly expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through
24 hours.

Scattered showers and storms will move past KCOS and KPUB between 20-
03Z, with expected outflow winds over 40 knots. Chances for direct
impact at KPUB remains low, so left as PROB30. Confidence in precip
at KCOS has increased, so added a TEMPO group there, followed by a
PROB30 this evening for when coverage becomes more sparse.

Currently, no precip or storm-related impacts at KALS this period,
with winds mainly retaining a southerly component. Mid-level clouds
will linger across the area as well.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ079-080-
086.

&&

UPDATE...GARBEROGLIO
SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1121 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-171730-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1121 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop by early afternoon
across the higher terrain, and spread east into the Plains during
the afternoon and evening. Storms will be capable of producing heavy
rainfall and lightning, and as they move into the lower elevations,
a few could become strong to severe with hail to 1.5 inches in
diameter and wind gusts 60 to 70 mph. A Flash Flood Watch is in
effect for the Aspen Acres burn scar for this afternoon and evening.
Showers and thunderstorms could redevelop during the evening hours
along the Highway 50 corridor, but should remain sub severe.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Another round of widespread showers and thunderstorms is forecast
for Monday. Heavy rainfall, hail to half inch in diameter and wind
gusts to 50 mph may accompany stronger storms. Flash flooding could
be possible on areas burn scars if a storm moves over one.

Drier air and high pressure will return to the area beginning
Tuesday and prevail into next weekend. Shower and thunderstorm
activity will diminish to more isolated to scattered in nature, and
temperatures will warm. A cold front may lead to slightly more
thunderstorm coverage on Wednesday, but overall, conditions will be
drier.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

GARBEROGLIO/88

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
204 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COZ084-162030-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
204 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 230 PM MDT...

At 204 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Peyton, or 21 miles northeast of Colorado Springs. This thunderstorm
was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Peyton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3902 10431 3899 10457 3908 10464 3913 10460
      3913 10441
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 237DEG 4KT 3906 10455

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
205 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COZ079-086-162030-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
205 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTY
THROUGH 230 PM MDT...

At 205 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northeast of Greenhorn Mountain, or 19 miles southwest of
Pueblo, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Colorado City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3798 10492 3808 10491 3813 10456 3789 10456
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 269DEG 21KT 3802 10480

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
229 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COZ079-086-087-162100-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft CO-
229 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN HUERFANO AND
SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM MDT...

At 229 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 17 miles south of Pueblo
Reservoir to 20 miles northeast of Farisita to 6 miles east of
Greenhorn Mountain. Movement was southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Colorado City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3799 10457 3780 10464 3774 10485 3789 10493
      3795 10486 3806 10477
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 321DEG 10KT 3802 10477 3794 10478 3788 10488

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
231 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COZ074-088-094-162100-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft CO-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
231 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 300 PM MDT...

At 231 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles west of Trinchera, or 17 miles northeast of Raton, moving north
at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of south central Las
Animas County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10425 3718 10428 3714 10397 3699 10412
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 195DEG 6KT 3705 10419

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
233 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COZ095-162100-
Western Kiowa County CO-
233 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTY
THROUGH 300 PM MDT...

At 233 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northwest of Arlington, or 31 miles north of La Junta, moving
north at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central Kiowa
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3849 10324 3836 10336 3840 10349 3853 10347
      3853 10340
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 202DEG 6KT 3843 10341

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
235 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

COZ084-162100-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
235 PM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 300 PM MDT...

At 235 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Calhan, or 27 miles east of Colorado Springs, moving north at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Calhan.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
east central Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3887 10427 3894 10442 3909 10440 3907 10409
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 198DEG 16KT 3895 10432

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Simcoe