Alert archive / New Jersey / Winter Storm Warnings in 2026
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this winter storm warning at Feb 21, 2026, 2:44 AM EST for 4 counties in Connecticut; 4 counties in New York; 5 counties in New Jersey. It took effect at Feb 22, 2026, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for . No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 21, 2026, 2:44 AM EST (07:44 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 22, 2026, 6:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 22, 2026, 2:00 AM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 455 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 84 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 565 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 640 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
184 WWUS41 KOKX 210744 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 244 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 CTZ009>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-211900- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 244 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 13 and 18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Strong winds could cause tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strongest winds and blizzard conditions are expected to Sunday night into Monday. However, snow will move in during the morning and afternoon hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle. && $$ CTZ005>008-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ069-070-211900- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen- Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester- 244 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 11 and 15 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strongest winds are expected Sunday night into Monday. However, snow will move in during the morning and afternoon hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ NYZ067-068-211900- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ Orange-Putnam- 244 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Orange and Putnam Counties. * WHEN...From 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strongest winds are expected Sunday night into Monday. However, snow will move in during the morning and afternoon hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/nyc DW
2 follow-up statements
307 WWUS41 KOKX 211802 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 102 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 CTZ005>008-NYZ069-070-220800- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.W.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Rockland-Northern Westchester- 102 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 11 and 15 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle. && $$ NJZ002-004-006-103>108-220800- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.W.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- 102 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 12 and 18 inches, highest towards the NYC metro. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Northeast New Jersey. * WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strongest winds are expected Sunday evening through Monday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle. && $$ CTZ009>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-220800- /O.EXT.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 102 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 15 and 20 inches, highest amounts across Long Island. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph with isolated gusts up to 60 mph. Gusts on the east end of Long Island could reach 65 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strongest winds are expected Sunday evening through Monday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle. && $$ NYZ067-068-220800- /O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0002.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Orange-Putnam- 102 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 14 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Orange and Putnam Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strongest winds are expected Sunday evening through Monday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/nyc DS
966 WWUS41 KOKX 220700 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 200 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 NYZ067-068-221900- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.W.0002.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.EXA.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Orange-Putnam- 200 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 11 and 15 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Orange and Putnam Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heaviest snow and strongest winds are expected Sunday night into Monday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary. && $$ CTZ005>008-NYZ069-070-221900- /O.CON.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Rockland-Northern Westchester- 200 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 14 and 18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heaviest snow and strongest winds are expected Sunday night into Monday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle. && $$ CTZ009>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-221900- /O.CON.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 200 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 16 and 20 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Strong winds could cause tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heaviest snow and strongest winds are expected Sunday night into Monday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle. && $$ NJZ002-004-006-103>108-221900- /O.CON.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- 200 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 14 and 18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...A portion of northeast New Jersey. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heaviest snow and strongest winds are expected Sunday night into Monday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/nyc DW
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 21, 12:37 AM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) Weak low pressure passing to the south will bring light precipitation tonight, then an approaching weakening low will bring another round of light precipitation Saturday night. 2) An intense coastal storm will likely bring a heavy wet snowfall and strong winds from Sunday into Monday. Near blizzard to blizzard conditions may be possible along the coast from Sunday night into Monday morning. 3) Potential for widespread moderate to locally major coastal flooding and dune erosion/overwashes Sunday night. Additional coastal flooding is possible on Monday. 4) Low pressure and a cold front will bring another chance for precipitation during mid next week. Temperatures rising into the 40s by the end of the week will allow for snow melt.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 12:37 AM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1237 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Winter storm watches have been issued for the entire area for
Sunday into Monday.
Coastal flood watches have also been issued for much of the Long
Island shoreline and along western Long Island Sound for Sunday
night.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Weak low pressure passing to the south will bring light
precipitation tonight, then an approaching weakening low will
bring another round of light precipitation Saturday night.
2) An intense coastal storm will likely bring a heavy wet
snowfall and strong winds from Sunday into Monday. Near
blizzard to blizzard conditions may be possible along the coast
from Sunday night into Monday morning.
3) Potential for widespread moderate to locally major coastal
flooding and dune erosion/overwashes Sunday night. Additional
coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
4) Low pressure and a cold front will bring another chance for
precipitation during mid next week. Temperatures rising into the
40s by the end of the week will allow for snow melt.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
Surface trough extending from the low passing to the SE tonight
is still producing light rain across S CT and Long Island.
Temperatures will fall to the upper 20s to mid 30s, warmest
across the NYC metro area, so not expected all snow, but rather
a rain/snow mix there and for parts of Long Island.
The next chance for precipitation comes Saturday night as a
broad area of low pressure ejects out of the Great Lakes region
toward the area thanks to an approaching upper level shortwave
trough. The shortwave and low will transfer energy into the
developing offshore Mid Atlantic storm for Sunday. With
continued weak lift and the system weakening as a whole, again
do not expect much in the way of precipitation. Again,
temperatures remain above freezing in NYC and around freezing
for Long Island, so precipitation will start off as rain or
rain/snow mix with snow farther inland. The rain/snow line moves
south through the night as an ENE flow strengthens. A dusting
to a coating of accumulation is possible through daybreak Sunday.
.KEY MESSAGE 2...
Confidence has increased enough to warrant winter storm watch
issuance for the entire CWA. Latest 12Z guidance coming into
better agreement on potent northern stream shortwave energy
diving SW from wrn Canada and the northern Plains into the
plains and mid Mississippi valley by Sunday morning, phasing
with southern stream coming out of the SW states and Mexico to
carve out a deep closed low aloft over the Mid Atlantic and
induce rapid cyclogenesis off the Mid Atlantic coast, with the
surface low bombing out from from 1008 mb off the N Carolina
coast Sunday morning to 970-975 mb near 38-39N/71W by Monday
morning, then passing just outside the 40N/70W benchmark Monday
afternoon, GFS still more intense and closer to the coast than
the ECMWF, with its heaviest snow bands directly over the area
as opposed to just offshore. NAM and SREF have both trended
toward a heavier snowfall scenario as well, which has been a
good signal in past heavy snowfall events.
Snow should start Sunday morning, and may mix with rain at times
especially in the NYC metro area, NE NJ and western Long Island.
Then as precip intensity picks up later in the day Sunday
p-type should become all snow throughout. Heaviest snow looks to
fall from late day Sunday into Monday morning, then snow tapers
off Monday afternoon.
Greatest likelihood of seeing 6+ inches will be along the coast,
especially eastern Long Island where up to a foot of
accumulation is possible. Winds will also be strong Sunday night
into Monday morning especially along the coast as the sfc low
deepens, with blowing and drifting snow and some downed tree
limbs as winds gust to at least 40-45 mph, and possible blizzard
conditions in Suffolk, and near blizzard conditions elsewhere
along the coast including NYC. NAM/GFS both signal potential for
wind gusts to 60 mph late Sunday night into Monday morning,
though these winds can sometimes be overdone in heavy snow
events. If trends for heavy snow and strong winds continue to
increase and expand northward, the potential for blizzard
conditions could encompass all coastal areas.
.KEY MESSAGE 3...
Strengthening E-NE winds Sunday into Sunday night could produce
a surge of 2.5-3.5 ft, producing widespread moderate to
locally major coastal flooding along the back bays of western
Suffolk and srn Nassau, Peconic Bay, and western Long Island
Sound, and widespread minor to locally moderate flooding in NY
Harbor and Jamaica Bay, the lower Hudson River, and ern Long
Island Sound. The main high tide cycle of concern is Sunday
night. Areas of dune erosion are likely, with localized
overwashes possible along the ocean beachfront Sunday night into
Monday morning.
Additional coastal flooding will likely linger into the
Monday afternoon high tide cycle, with a strong northerly flow
limiting impacts somewhat to minor/locally moderate categories.
.KEY MESSAGE 4...
There are two features, a weak wave of low pressure midweek and a
passing cold front towards late week that will give these next
potential precipitation events. With the absence of offshore
cyclogenesis in the forecast mid to late week, there will not be as
much potential for the precipitation to grow with subsequent
forecasts. Aloft, the flow in mid levels and is not too amplified
and mostly zonal outside of a quick shortwave giving brief
amplification early Friday.
High temperatures forecast Tuesday will be getting to low to mid
30s, then upper 30s to near 40 Wednesday, more in the 40s Thursday
and then back to upper 30s to near 40 next Friday. This will allow
for snowmelt each day and with mostly sub-freezing temperatures at
night into early morning, subsequent refreeze of snow melt.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Low pressure passes east of the terminals overnight as weak
high pressure then builds in for Saturday.
A coastal storm system impacts the area Sunday.
IFR conditions continue at most terminals. VFR conditions
should slowly return around midnight and remain through
Saturday.
Winds back around to the WNW tonight and remain WNW into
Saturday.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Amendments likely for changing flight categories, mainly to
cigs.
.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
Saturday: Mainly VFR.
Sunday: VFR to start. MVFR/IFR conditions are becoming
increasingly likely in developing snow Sunday. E/NE winds
G20-25 kt, becoming NE-N Sunday night with G30-35 kt. Highest
winds and gusts are expected at the coastal terminals. Winds
could be stronger depending on a coastal low track. Potential
for LLWS Sunday night with 50kt at 2kft.
Monday: MVFR or lower in snow. N winds G30-35 kt. Winds could
be stronger depending on coastal low track.
Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: MVFR or lower in snow or rain/snow mix possible.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
&&
.MARINE...
Seas were 1-2 ft above forecast at 44065, so have extended the
SCA for the ocean W of Fire Island Inlet through tonight.
East of there, SCA remains in effect through 11 AM Sat, with
seas 5-7 ft and E winds gusting up to 25 kt early this evening.
Storm watch issued for the ocean E of Fire Island Inlet for
Sunday night into Mon as N-NE winds with the intense coastal
storm could gust to 50-55 kt. Gale watch in effect for the
remaining waters for gusts to 45 kt. Seas could peak as high as
12-19 ft on the ocean, 6- 10 ft on the Sound E of Orient, and
5-7 ft on the open central Sound waters, from late Sunday night
into Mon morning. Conditions ramp down to SCA on all waters for
Mon night.
SCA potential remains Tuesday through Thursday on the ocean. Non-
ocean waters will have SCA potential for wind gusts Tuesday and
mainly below SCA wind gusts Tuesday night through Thursday.
&&
.CLIMATE...
With the potential major snowstorm Sunday into Monday, there is
the potential for some snowfall records to be broken. Here are
the records for Sunday and Monday for the climate sites:
Sun 2/22 Mon 2/23
Central Park, NY: 6.0/2008 4.8/1972
LaGuardia, NY: 6.4/2008 4.1/1972
John F Kennedy, NY: 6.9/2008 6.1/1987
Newark, NJ: 6.8/2008 4.1/1987
Islip, NY: 5.5/2008 6.7/1987
Bridgeport, CT: 7.0/2008 2.6/1987
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday
afternoon for CTZ005>012.
Coastal Flood Watch late Sunday night for CTZ009-010.
NY...Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday
afternoon for NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
Coastal Flood Watch late Sunday night for NYZ071-073-078-176-
177.
Coastal Flood Watch from Sunday evening through late Sunday
night for NYZ079-081.
Coastal Flood Watch from Sunday evening through late Sunday
night for NYZ080-179.
NJ...Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday
afternoon for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-355.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for ANZ350-
353.
Storm Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
ANZ350-353.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for
ANZ355.
&&
DISCUSSION...Goodman/JP/NV
AVIATION...DBR
MARINE...Goodman/JPHazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 2:09 PM EST, 12 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service New York NY 209 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-212300- Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex- Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk- Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 209 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-355-212300- Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the Mouth of the Connecticut River- Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River- Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY- New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays- South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay- Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm- 209 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria. ANZ350-353-212300- Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm- Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm- 209 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026 ...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in effect are highlighted. Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS warning criteria.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2:44 AM EST | Blizzard Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 62 hr |
| Feb 21, 2:44 PM EST | Coastal Flood Warning | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | 39 hr |
| Feb 21, 2:44 PM EST | Coastal Flood Advisory | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 38 hr |
| Feb 21, 1:10 PM EST | Gale Warning | OKX | 58 hr | |
| Feb 21, 1:10 PM EST | Storm Warning | OKX | 52 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New Jersey, 2026Winter Storm Warnings in Connecticut, 2026Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2026Every winter storm warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.