Alert archive / New York / Storm Warnings in 2026

Storm Warning 1, NWS New York, NY

February 21, 2026

NWS New York, NY issued this storm warning at Feb 21, 2026, 1:10 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 22, 2026, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 22 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2026, 1:10 PM EST (18:10 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 22, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 23, 2026, 5:07 PM EST
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted.

553 
WHUS71 KOKX 211810
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
110 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

ANZ335-338-220900-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0006.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0008.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
110 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  3 to 6 feet expected.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound west of Port Jefferson and New 
  Haven, and New York Harbor.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ345-220900-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0006.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SR.W.0001.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
110 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt.

* WHERE...The Long Island south shore bays.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous waves will capsize 
  or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-220900-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SR.A.0001.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SR.W.0001.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
110 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 35 to 45 kt with gusts 55 to 60 kt and seas 
  12 to 17 feet expected.

* WHERE...Sandy Hook NJ to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ331-332-340-220900-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SR.A.0001.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SR.W.0001.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
110 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 55 kt and seas 
  6 to 9 feet expected.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound east of Port Jefferson and New 
  Haven, and Peconic and Gardiners Bays.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

For more details, see the Coastal Waters Forecast from 
National Weather Service New York NY, or visit
https://www.weather.gov/okx/marine
4 follow-up statements
235 
WHUS71 KOKX 221804
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
104 PM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

ANZ335-231000-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.W.0008.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SR.W.0001.260223T0000Z-260223T1800Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
104 PM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt and 
  seas 4 to 7 feet expected.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound west of Port Jefferson and New Haven.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ338-231000-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0008.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
New York Harbor-
104 PM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and waves
  4 to 7 feet expected near the entrance to the lower harbor.

* WHERE...New York Harbor, including Raritan Bay and Sandy Hook 
  Bay.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-231000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0001.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
104 PM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 40 to 50 kt with gusts up to 60 kt and seas
  14 to 19 feet expected. Isolated gusts up to 65 knot are
  possible from Moriches Inlet to Montauk Point late tonight into
  early Monday morning.

* WHERE...Sandy Hook NJ to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or 
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ331-332-340-345-231000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0001.260223T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
104 PM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 55 kt and
  seas 6 to 9 feet expected on the LI Sound and Peconic and
  Gardiners Bays. Isolated gusts up to 60 kt are possible late 
  tonight into early Monday morning.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound east of Port Jefferson and New 
  Haven, Peconic and Gardiners Bays, and South Shore Bays from 
  Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or 
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

For more details, see the Coastal Waters Forecast from 
National Weather Service New York NY, or visit
https://www.weather.gov/okx/marine
228 
WHUS71 KOKX 230701
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
201 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

ANZ338-232015-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
New York Harbor-
201 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and waves
  4 to 7 feet near the entrance to the harbor.

* WHERE...New York Harbor, including Raritan Bay and Sandy Hook 
  Bay.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-232015-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
201 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 50 kt with isolated gusts up to 65 kt 
  and seas 14 to 19 feet.

* WHERE...Sandy Hook NJ to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or 
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ331-332-340-345-232015-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
201 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 60 kt and seas 6
  to 9 feet across eastern Long Island Sound.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound east of Port Jefferson and New 
  Haven, Peconic and Gardiners Bays, and South Shore Bays from 
  Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or 
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ335-231800-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260223T1800Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
201 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt and seas 
  4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound west of Port Jefferson and New Haven.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or 
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

For more details, see the Coastal Waters Forecast from 
National Weather Service New York NY, or visit
https://www.weather.gov/okx/marine
999 
WHUS71 KOKX 231759
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
1259 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

ANZ335-232300-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260223T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
1259 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 
  3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound west of Port Jefferson and New Haven.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ338-232300-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
New York Harbor-
1259 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...New York Harbor, including Raritan Bay and Sandy Hook 
  Bay.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-232300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
1259 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 55 kt and 
  seas 11 to 16 feet.

* WHERE...Sandy Hook NJ to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or 
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ331-332-340-345-232300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
1259 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 50 kt and seas 
  3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound east of Port Jefferson and New 
  Haven, Peconic and Gardiners Bays, and South Shore Bays from 
  Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Storm force winds and hazardous seas will capsize or 
  damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

For more details, see the Coastal Waters Forecast from 
National Weather Service New York NY, or visit
https://www.weather.gov/okx/marine
536 
WHUS71 KOKX 232207
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
507 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

ANZ331-332-340-345-240600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260224T0600Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
507 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and 
  seas 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound east of Port Jefferson and New 
  Haven, Peconic and Gardiners Bays, and South Shore Bays from 
  Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-240600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260223T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260224T0600Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
507 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and 
  seas 9 to 14 feet.

* WHERE...Sandy Hook NJ to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-240600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260224T0600Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
507 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  seas 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...Long Island Sound west of Port Jefferson and New 
  Haven, and New York Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more details, see the Coastal Waters Forecast from 
National Weather Service New York NY, or visit
https://www.weather.gov/okx/marine

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Feb 21, 12:48 PM EST, 22 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) An intense coastal storm will bring heavy snowfall and strong winds from Sunday into Monday. Blizzard conditions are expected along the coast with near-blizzard conditions across interior southern Connecticut, the Lower Hudson Valley, and northeast New Jersey Sunday night into the first half of Monday. 2) Potential for widespread moderate to locally major coastal flooding and dune erosion/overwashes Sunday night. Additional coastal flooding is possible on Monday. 3) Low pressure and a cold front will bring another chance for precipitation during mid next week. Temperatures rising into the 40s by the end of the week will allow for snow melt.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 12:48 PM EST, 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1248 PM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Blizzard warnings have been issued for Long Island, New York
City, and the Connecticut coast.

Winter storm warnings have been issued for interior southern
Connecticut, the Lower Hudson Valley, and northeast New Jersey.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) An intense coastal storm will bring heavy snowfall and
strong winds from Sunday into Monday. Blizzard conditions are
expected along the coast with near-blizzard conditions across
interior southern Connecticut, the Lower Hudson Valley, and
northeast New Jersey Sunday night into the first half of
Monday.

2) Potential for widespread moderate to locally major coastal
flooding and dune erosion/overwashes Sunday night. Additional
coastal flooding is possible on Monday.

3) Low pressure and a cold front will bring another chance for
precipitation during mid next week. Temperatures rising into the
40s by the end of the week will allow for snow melt.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
Confidence has increased to the point where winter storm and
blizzard warnings have been issued across the forecast area.

A major winter storm is forecast to impact the area Sunday into
Monday. Model guidance has congealed in taking a deepening low
off the Mid Atlantic coast Sunday northeast to near the 40N...70W
benchmark Monday. This track is often favorable for all snow
across the region. The low undergoes explosive deepening in 12h,
tracking from near the North Carolina coast Sunday afternoon to
east of the Delmarva Sunday night. Most of the guidance shows
pressure falls on the order of 25 to 30 mb in 12 hour. The low
deepens to around 970 mb as it approaches the benchmark Monday
morning.

This storm, expected to be early 1000 miles across in diameter,
will produce heavy precipitation and gale to storm force winds
over the adjacent coastal waters. Model soundings show boundary
layer winds along the coast 40-60kt with decent mixing. Coastal
locations can expect to see gusts up 40 to 50 mph, possibly even
stronger across far eastern LI and southeast CT. Even inland
area will see near blizzard conditions with winds just a bit
weaker. The highest winds will occur Sunday night into the
first half of Monday.

Liquid equivalent amounts of around an inch across far NW
portions of Orange county will be near an inch, with upward of
an 1.5" at the coast. There is even some guidance suggestive of
amount around 2 inches at the coast. However, while there is
good overall agreement in the guidance, there still have been
small adjustments east and west and a consenus forecast (blend
of WPC and NBM) was used. Snow ratios are expected to start of
around 10:1 and then possibly get up to 12-13:1. Temperatures
initially on Sunday may get into the lower and mid 30s, expect
most locations to fall to around freezing if not lower as the
heavy snow develops in the afternoon. So ratios right off the
bat along he coast may even be lower for a short time.

Snowfall amounts of 14 to 18 inches are forecast along the coast
with 10 to 14 inches across the interior. NBM deterministic
forecasts point to amounts of 14 to 24 inches across the area,
highest along the coast. But due to some wobbling of the low
track a bit, we do want to see more continuity. NBM 90th
percentile has amounts of 2 to 3 ft. The 00Z LREF (EPS, GEPS,
and GEFS) mean has about a foot at the coast and 7 to 8 inches
across far western sections of Orange County in the Lower Hudson
Valley. The EPS is contributing lower amounts with a more
eastern solution. Should it come a bit more west, than the
higher totals are not out of the realm possibility.

Snow is forecast to develop from SW to NE on Sunday, in the
morning from NYC and points north and west, and the in the
afternoon for the remainder of the area. The heaviest snow and
wind will be Sunday night into Monday morning. Snow will end
from west to east during the afternoon hours.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...

Strengthening E-NE winds Sunday into Sunday night could produce
a surge of 2.5-3.5 ft, producing widespread moderate to
locally major coastal flooding along the back bays of western
Suffolk and srn Nassau, Peconic Bay, and western Long Island
Sound, and widespread minor to locally moderate flooding in NY
Harbor and Jamaica Bay, the lower Hudson River, and ern Long
Island Sound. The main high tide cycle of concern is Sunday
night. Areas of dune erosion are likely, with localized
overwashes possible along the ocean beachfront Sunday night into
Monday morning.

Additional coastal flooding will likely linger into the
Monday afternoon high tide cycle, with a strong northerly flow
limiting impacts somewhat to minor/locally moderate categories.

.KEY MESSAGE 3...

There are two features, a weak wave of low pressure midweek and a
passing cold front towards late week that will give these next
potential precipitation events. With the absence of offshore
cyclogenesis in the forecast mid to late week, there will not be as
much potential for the precipitation to grow with subsequent
forecasts. Aloft, the flow in mid levels and is not too amplified
and mostly zonal outside of a quick shortwave giving brief
amplification early Friday.

High temperatures forecast Tuesday will be getting to low to mid
30s, then upper 30s to near 40 Wednesday, more in the 40s Thursday
and then back to upper 30s to near 40 next Friday. This will allow
for snowmelt each day and with mostly sub-freezing temperatures at
night into early morning, subsequent refreeze of snow melt.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Weak high pressure noses in from the north tonight. A strong
nor'easter then impacts the area Sunday into Monday.

Ceilings lower to MVFR tonight into early Sunday. Cigs then
lower to IFR through the day on Sunday. Any snow or rain/snow
Sunday morning will be light. Snowfall rates don't pick up until
Sunday afternoon. Started LIFR conditions at 21z for NYC
terminals.

Winds veer NE tonight at 5-10 kt ahead of a nor'easter. Winds
increase to 15 kt by 18Z, then around 20 kt by 21z.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled amendments expected today.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Sunday Night: IFR/LIFR with vsby 1/4 at times in +SN. NE Sunday
night with G35-40 kt with up to 45 kt at KISP and KGON. Isolated
50 kt gusts possible mainly at KISP and KGON. Likely LLWS with
50-55kt at 2kft.

Monday: MVFR or lower in snow. N winds G30-40 kt.

Tuesday: VFR.

Wednesday and Thursday: MVFR or lower in snow or rain/snow mix
possible.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Storm watch has been expanded to include eastern LI Sound.
Peconic and Gardiners Bays, and the westernmost ocean zones
from Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet.

Marginal SCA conditions for seas to start today will come to an
end later this morning as weak high pressure builds across the
water.

A major coastal storm will then take shape along the Mid
Atlantic coast Sunday, rapidly deepening some 25 to 30 mb by
early Monday morning. The low drop to around 970mb as it reaches
the 40N...70W benchmark Monday morning. Gales and storm force
gusts are becoming increasing likely with seas building as high
as 20 feet on the ocean and 5 to 10 ft on LI Sound (highest
eastern sound). Conditions ramp down to SCA on all waters for
Mon night.

SCA potential remains Tuesday through Thursday on the ocean. Non-
ocean waters will have SCA potential for wind gusts Tuesday and
mainly below SCA wind gusts Tuesday night through Thursday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
With the potential major snowstorm Sunday into Monday, there is
the potential for some snowfall records to be broken. Here are
the records for Sunday and Monday for the climate sites:

                      Sun 2/22      Mon 2/23

Central Park, NY:     6.0/2008      4.8/1972
LaGuardia, NY:        6.4/2008      4.1/1972
John F Kennedy, NY:   6.9/2008      6.1/1987
Newark, NJ:           6.8/2008      4.1/1987
Islip, NY:            5.5/2008      6.7/1987
Bridgeport, CT:       7.0/2008      2.6/1987

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Storm Warning from 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday for
     CTZ005>008.
     Blizzard Warning from 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday for
     CTZ009>012.
     Coastal Flood Watch late Sunday night for CTZ009-010.
NY...Winter Storm Warning from 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday for
     NYZ067>070.
     Blizzard Warning from 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday for
     NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179.
     Coastal Flood Watch late Sunday night for NYZ071-073-078-176-
     177.
     Coastal Flood Watch from Sunday evening through late Sunday
     night for NYZ079-081.
     Coastal Flood Watch from Sunday evening through late Sunday
     night for NYZ080-179.
NJ...Winter Storm Warning from 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday for
     NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Storm Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
     ANZ331-332-340-350-353-355.
     Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
     ANZ335-338-345.

&&

DISCUSSION...DW
AVIATION...JT
MARINE...DW
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 21, 3:03 AM EST, 10 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
303 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>070-220815-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-
Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-
303 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-176-177-220815-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Westchester-Bronx-
Northwest Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-
303 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ011-012-NYZ072-074-075-178-220815-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-New York (Manhattan)-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Southern Queens-
303 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ335-338-345-220815-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
303 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-340-350-353-355-220815-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
303 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ079-081-220815-
Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
303 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ080-179-220815-
Southwest Suffolk-Southern Nassau-
303 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Blizzard Warning.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 2:44 AM ESTBlizzard WarningOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 5 more62 hr
Feb 21, 2:44 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningOKXOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester23 hr
Feb 21, 1:10 PM ESTGale WarningOKX58 hr
Feb 21, 2:44 PM ESTCoastal Flood WarningOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 2 more39 hr
Feb 21, 2:44 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region38 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in New York, 2026Every storm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.