Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1220 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1218 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

- Scattered afternoon/early evening showers and storms each day.
  Low coverage west of I-65 with medium coverage east of I-65.

- No severe weather is expected, but any storm has the potential
  to produce gusty winds around 40 mph and heavy downpours
  causing local flash flooding.

- Heat Index values in the upper 90 to low 100s each afternoon,
  potentially a touch warmer Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

Our copy-paste weather button is getting worn out. Once again we
will see scattered showers and a few storms bubble up through the
afternoon. Most of us will not see any rain at all while a few of
us will get more than we want. Other than the possibility of
localized flooding in a spot or two, the storms will be gusty but
below severe levels. As usual, most of the storms will die off
with sunset and lead to patchy fog in the late night hours. The
afternoon will bring typical August heat and humidity and the
night will be muggy.

For Saturday, things will change slightly. A shortwave trough
coming from the west will help initiate scattered showers and
storms distributed across the entire area. This is a change from
recent days when storms were focused mostly over our southern and
eastern counties. Main impacts will be gusty winds 40 to 50 mph,
lightning, and local heavy downpours. Most outdoor events should
be ok to proceed as scheduled, but plans should be in place for
sheltering from passing storms.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

A strong Bermuda high will be centered off to our east with
another strong high centered over the southwest states. These high
pressure systems will bridge over our area bringing slightly
hotter temperatures and lower rain chances for Sunday through at
least Tuesday. Rain chances will be in the 10 to 30 percent range
while temperatures warm into the low to mid 90s for areas west of
the Plateau. Heat risk will climb solidly into the "Major" level,
which is level 3 out of 4. It is uncertain if heat headlines will
be posted, but Monday and Tuesday look like the days with
greatest chances for heat index values topping 105 in parts of
the Mid State.

Later in the week, the "bridge" between the high pressure centers
will flatten out, allowing temps to back off slightly as daily
shower and storm chances increase. This means generally typical
August heat and humidity with 30 to 50 percent rain chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

Convective cells are already starting to fire up along the
Cumberland Plateau, so we've included TEMPO TS/CBs for KCSV,
PROB30 at KSRB, where probabilities are a little less. Remainder
of the TAFs are VFR thru 18Z tomorrow. Storm chances are a little
greater tomorrow afternoon, so we've included PROB30 TS/CBs for
BNA after 18Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      74  92  74  93 /  20  30  20  20
Clarksville    73  92  72  94 /  20  20  20  10
Crossville     67  85  68  87 /  20  50  20  40
Columbia       72  92  73  93 /  20  40  20  30
Cookeville     70  86  70  88 /  20  40  20  30
Jamestown      69  86  69  87 /  20  40  20  30
Lawrenceburg   71  90  72  91 /  20  40  20  30
Murfreesboro   72  92  73  93 /  20  40  20  20
Waverly        72  91  72  93 /  30  30  20  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....Rose

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
327 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

TNZ030>032-064-072115-
Putnam TN-De Kalb TN-Jackson TN-Smith TN-
327 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN SMITH...NORTHEASTERN DE
KALB...SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON AND SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES THROUGH
415 PM CDT...

At 327 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Carthage to 8 miles west of Baxter to
Smithville. Movement was east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Smithville, Carthage, Baxter, Center Hill Lake, Granville, and Edgar
Evins State Park.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 264 and 280.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3640 8571 3618 8561 3590 8568 3591 8590
      3613 8586 3634 8597
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 249DEG 7KT 3629 8587 3613 8578 3595 8585

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Cahill

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
401 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

TNZ064-065-078-072145-
De Kalb TN-Warren TN-White TN-
401 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN DE KALB...
NORTHEASTERN WARREN AND SOUTHWESTERN WHITE COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM
CDT...

At 401 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Smithville, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Smithville and Rock Island State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3576 8562 3581 8590 3583 8590 3583 8588
      3584 8588 3585 8590 3585 8589 3586 8589
      3586 8590 3593 8589 3597 8561
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 267DEG 12KT 3587 8582

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Cahill

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
447 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

TNZ063-077-078-080-072230-
Cannon TN-Coffee TN-Van Buren TN-Warren TN-
447 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT VAN BUREN...WARREN...NORTHEASTERN
COFFEE AND SOUTHWESTERN CANNON COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM CDT...

At 447 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles north of Manchester to near Spencer.
These storms were nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
McMinnville, Manchester, Spencer, Morrison, Centertown, Viola, Fall
Creek Falls State Park, and Summitville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 8616 3581 8540 3566 8532 3562 8537
      3550 8610
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 289DEG 2KT 3561 8607 3569 8551

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Cahill

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
451 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

TNZ059-062-072230-
Rutherford TN-Williamson TN-
451 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL RUTHERFORD AND
SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM CDT...

At 451 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Thompson's Station to near Murfreesboro.
Movement was west at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Murfreesboro, Franklin, Smyrna, Nolensville, Walterhill, and Triune.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 65 between mile markers 58 and 65.
 Interstate 24 between mile markers 68 and 80.
 Interstate 840 between mile markers 31 and 61.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3574 8684 3584 8633 3601 8637 3590 8686
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 073DEG 6KT 3583 8682 3590 8648

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Cahill