Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Nashville, TN

July 11, 2026Cheatham County, Davidson County, Dickson County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2026, 5:27 PM CDT for Cheatham County, Davidson County, Dickson County, Tennessee. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 11, 2026, 5:27 PM CDT (22:27 UTC)
Expired: Jul 11, 2026, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Cheatham County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Dickson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 248 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1054 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 1:09 PM CDT, 4 hours 18 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Updated at 103 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026
A Flood Watch remains in effect for all of Middle Tennessee until 6 PM Sunday.
There's a "Slight Risk" (level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms across Middle Tennessee this afternoon and evening. Damaging winds are the main concern.
Drier conditions expected next week, but with isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 1:09 PM CDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
109 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 103 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

- A Flood Watch remains in effect for all of Middle Tennessee
  until 6 PM Sunday.

- There's a "Slight Risk" (level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms
  across Middle Tennessee this afternoon and evening. Damaging
  winds are the main concern.

- Drier conditions expected next week, but with isolated afternoon
  showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1015 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

The active, moist pattern persists across Middle TN today with a
continued Flood Watch in effect until 6 PM Sunday. A slow-moving
boundary and embedded disturbances will support to numerous
showers and thunderstorms, particularly this afternoon and
evening. There is a low to medium severe weather threat with these
storms. Damaging wind gusts remain the primary concern, with a
few stronger storms possibly producing small hail and frequent
lightning. Instability will build with daytime heating in this
humid airmass (PWATs of 2+ inches), and shear profiles support
organized clusters or bowing segments. While not a widespread
major severe event, localized strong winds and heavy downpours
will heighten flash flooding risks, especially in areas that have
already seen significant rainfall recently. The isolated to
scattered nature of storms early this afternoon will give way to
better storm coverage through the late afternoon and evening.

Highs today look to top out in the upper 80s to low 90s, with heat
indices near or above 100 (mainly along and W of I-65). Overnight
and into Sunday, lingering storms are likely, maintaining the
flood threat with additional localized heavy rain.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1015 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

The upper level pattern begins to shift early next week as a broad
ridge builds westward, helping to cut off or weaken the influence
of the low over the TN Valley. A surface boundary will drift
slowly south, keeping scattered showers and thunderstorms chances
alive, especially Monday into Tuesday. Heavy rain and localized
flooding could still occur where storms train or repeat, but
overall coverage should gradually decrease compared to the
weekend.

By mid to late week, drier conditions take hold under the
expanding ridge, with only isolated diurnal thunderstorms
possible. Overall, precipitation chances drop notably, providing
relief from the ongoing flood risk. Temperatures stay seasonally
warm and humid, with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and
overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. With plenty of
moisture throughout the region, humidty will keep things feeling
sticky.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

18Z tafs are starting VFR and will be much of the afternoon, but
numerous showers and storms are expected to move into and develop
across the area late this afternoon and evening. Some strong TSRA
will occur with very heavy rainfall and gusty winds over 30KT.
Main timing for this activity will be 23Z-06Z. After the storms, a
mix of MVFR/VFR will occur with VCSH. Winds will be WSW with gusts
to 16KT today, with light W to NW winds overnight into Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      71  84  70  84 /  80  90  50  80
Clarksville    70  83  69  84 /  80  80  40  60
Crossville     66  79  65  79 /  80  80  50  90
Columbia       70  84  68  83 /  70  80  50  80
Cookeville     68  81  67  81 /  90  90  40  90
Jamestown      66  80  65  80 /  90  90  60  90
Lawrenceburg   69  83  68  82 /  70  80  60  80
Murfreesboro   70  85  69  84 /  80  90  60  90
Waverly        69  83  68  83 /  80  80  40  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for TNZ005>011-023>034-
056>066-075-077>080-093>095.

&&

SHORT TERM...Cravens
LONG TERM....Cravens
AVIATION.....13

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 11, 4:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 11, 4:27 PM CDT, 1 hour before

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Special weather statement, Jul 11, 4:56 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

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<body>
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    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
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Local storm report, Jul 11, 5:04 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
504 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SW Mount Pleasant     35.54N 87.21W
07/11/2026                   Maury              TN   Public

            Few trees down across southern Maury County,
            resulting in about 500 customers without
            power. Time estimated from radar.

&&

Special weather statement, Jul 11, 5:13 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
513 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

TNZ008-009-028>030-112300-
Wilson TN-Trousdale TN-Sumner TN-Macon TN-Smith TN-
513 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN SMITH...SOUTHEASTERN
SUMNER...NORTHEASTERN WILSON...SOUTHERN MACON AND TROUSDALE COUNTIES
THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 513 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hartsville, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lafayette, Carthage, Hartsville, South Carthage, Bethpage, Dixon
Springs, Pleasant Shade, and Dickerson Chapel Recreation Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 8583 3633 8584 3629 8585 3628 8584
      3624 8584 3629 8636 3648 8635
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 271DEG 20KT 3639 8626

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

10

Local storm report, Jul 11, 5:24 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
524 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     7 NNW Bethpage          36.57N 86.37W
07/11/2026                   Sumner             TN   Public

            Powerline down on SR 52 going towards
            Westmoreland. Time estimated from radar.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 11, 3:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Clay	50 min
Jul 11, 4:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Fentress	35 min
Jul 11, 5:49 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Cannon, DeKalb, Rutherford	3 hr
Jul 11, 3:04 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Perry	18 min
Jul 11, 3:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman, Lewis, Perry	45 min
Jul 11, 3:22 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Perry	2 hr
Jul 11, 3:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Maury	38 min
Jul 11, 4:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Humphreys	48 min
Jul 11, 4:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	White	48 min
Jul 11, 4:34 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Humphreys	116 min
Jul 11, 4:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Dickson	49 min
Jul 11, 5:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Smith, Trousdale	47 min
Jul 11, 5:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Bedford	49 min
Jul 11, 5:54 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson	3 hr
Jul 11, 5:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Bedford, Coffee	48 min
Jul 11, 6:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Sumner, Wilson	23 min
Jul 11, 6:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Cannon, Grundy, Warren	51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2026 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.