Alert archive / Tennessee / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026

Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Nashville, TN

July 3, 2026Davidson County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this flash flood warning at Jul 3, 2026, 5:06 PM CDT for Davidson County, Tennessee. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2026, 5:06 PM CDT (22:06 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2026, 8:15 PM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Davidson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 3, 5:15 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	3 Wsw Nashville, TN	Multiple public reports of flooded roads in west Nashville.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 9 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2643 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -99 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1100 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 69 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

055 
WGUS54 KOHX 032206
FFWOHX
TNC037-040115-
/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0010.260703T2206Z-260704T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Nashville TN
506 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Davidson County in middle Tennessee...

* Until 815 PM CDT.

* At 506 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
  expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Nashville, Madison, Hendersonville, La Vergne, Forest Hills, Oak 
  Hill, Belle Meade, Lakewood, Antioch, Hermitage, Old Hickory, 
  Berry Hill and Percy Priest Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 8664 3625 8663 3624 8661 3614 8656
      3614 8655 3603 8657 3603 8658 3602 8669
      3607 8689 3625 8689 3627 8666 3626 8664

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Barnwell

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 3, 12:28 PM CDT, 4 hours 38 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Updated at 1225 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026
Dangerous heat and humidity will continue through Independence Day.
Scattered storms could produce damaging wind gusts, torrential downpours, and small hail during the afternoon and early evening today and again Saturday.
The forecast for next week is not as hot, but very warm and humid with medium chances for showers and storms each day.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 12:28 PM CDT, 4 hours 38 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1228 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1225 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

- Dangerous heat and humidity will continue through Independence
  Day.

- Scattered storms could produce damaging wind gusts, torrential
  downpours, and small hail during the afternoon and early evening
  today and again Saturday.

- The forecast for next week is not as hot, but very warm and
  humid with medium chances for showers and storms each day.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1050 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Overall, atmospheric conditions are very similar to yesterday,
with perhaps a smidge less instability today. CAMs did a pretty
good job yesterday with storms forming along I-65 then drifting
westward. Today, they show generally greater coverage of showers
and storms area-wide with the main focus along and just east of
I-65. Once again, damaging wind gusts, hail, and local flash
flooding will be a concern. CAPE will reach 4,000+ with 1,200
DCAPE, above average PW, and mainly cold-pool driven storm
motion/development. Storms will die off pretty quickly around
sunset. The dangerous heat continues with peak heat index values
reaching 105-100 again this afternoon. Tonight will be muggy and
uncomfortable with local patchy fog.

As we get to Saturday (Independence Day), the upper high will
weaken and move eastward. This means temperatures will be a few
degrees cooler. Although temps will back off, the heat and
humidity combination will keep conditions potentially dangerous
with so many people doing outdoors stuff. A Heat Advisory will
remain in place til fireworks time. Those outdoor activities will
be potentially impacted by scattered storms. Severe parameters do
not look as threatening for Saturday, but a few strong storms
with gusty winds and downpours will be possible in the heat of the
afternoon and early evening. Models suggest the showers and storms
may linger a little longer after sunset which isn't great news
for fireworks. We will just have to wait and monitor radar trends
at the time.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1050 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Heat will back off for next week as the big upper high is
replaced with a general weak troughing pattern with some
disturbances glancing the area. Temps and humidity will be closer
to normal with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s. Expect daily
medium shower and storm chances with the highest chances each
afternoon and evening. There doesn't appear to be any organized
severe threat, but like we've seen the past couple of days, the
strongest storms may produce isolated damaging wind gusts, small
hail, and very heavy rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

TAFs focus on storm chances for this afternoon across Middle
Tennessee. Surface gusts are possible due to risk of microbursts.
Most activity should focus 20-23z for BNA, MQY, and CKV. Perhaps
a little earlier near CSV as tcu is already surrounding the
airport. Patchy fog will be possible at CSV and SRB overnight. Sct
afternoon TS is expected again tomorrow afternoon with light and
variable winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      76  95  75  94 /  30  40  50  70
Clarksville    75  95  74  93 /  30  50  50  60
Crossville     70  90  70  88 /  20  30  40  70
Columbia       73  95  72  93 /  30  30  30  70
Cookeville     72  91  71  90 /  20  30  40  60
Jamestown      70  91  70  89 /  20  30  40  70
Lawrenceburg   72  92  72  91 /  20  30  30  70
Murfreesboro   74  97  73  95 /  20  20  50  70
Waverly        73  94  73  92 /  30  50  40  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for TNZ005>010-
023>032-056>064-075-093>095.

Heat Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM CDT Saturday for
TNZ005>010-023>032-056>064-075-093>095.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Saturday for TNZ011-033-034-065-066-
077>080.

&&

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....Sizemore

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:13 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
413 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0348 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Nolensville       35.94N 86.64W
07/03/2026                   Williamson         TN   Public

            Trees down on York road. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

JB

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:31 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
431 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     Flash Flood      1 SW Nolensville        35.94N 86.66W
07/03/2026                   Williamson         TN   Public

            Water over a bridge near Summerlyn on
            Nolensville Road.

&&

JB

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:34 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
434 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

TNZ005-006-023>025-032215-
Stewart TN-Dickson TN-Humphreys TN-Montgomery TN-Houston TN-
434 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN DICKSON...WESTERN
MONTGOMERY...STEWART...HOUSTON AND NORTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTIES
THROUGH 515 PM CDT...

At 434 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Erin. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Dover, Erin, Tennessee Ridge, Big Rock, Cumberland City, Slayden,
Houston County Airport, and Indian Mound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3663 8785 3664 8763 3629 8743 3614 8763
      3625 8795 3666 8786 3666 8785
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 128DEG 4KT 3628 8769

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

40/Sizemore

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:44 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
444 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NE Lebanon            36.25N 86.26W
07/03/2026                   Wilson             TN   Emergency Mngr

            Trees down on Africa Road.

&&

JB

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:48 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
448 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Watertown           36.10N 86.18W
07/03/2026                   Wilson             TN   Public

            Trees down on Sparta Pike.

&&

JB

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:52 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
452 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     Flash Flood      2 SW Brentwood          35.97N 86.81W
07/03/2026                   Williamson         TN   Public

            Flooded roads on Galleria Blvd right off
            I65.

&&

JB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 3, 12:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Grundy	31 min
Jul 3, 12:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Grundy, Van Buren	44 min
Jul 3, 12:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Lawrence	51 min
Jul 3, 1:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Van Buren	44 min
Jul 3, 1:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Robertson	43 min
Jul 3, 1:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Grundy, Warren	50 min
Jul 3, 1:44 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Lawrence, Wayne	3 hr
Jul 3, 1:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Lawrence, Wayne	40 min
Jul 3, 1:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Cumberland, Putnam, Van Buren, White	50 min
Jul 3, 1:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Hickman, Maury	49 min
Jul 3, 2:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman	44 min
Jul 3, 2:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Coffee	43 min
Jul 3, 2:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Montgomery	45 min
Jul 3, 2:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Wayne	44 min
Jul 3, 2:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Maury	50 min
Jul 3, 2:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Davidson	48 min
Jul 3, 2:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Hickman	45 min
Jul 3, 2:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Putnam, White	44 min
Jul 3, 2:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Bedford, Giles, Marshall	39 min
Jul 3, 2:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Dickson, Hickman, Humphreys	36 min
Jul 3, 3:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Giles, Marshall, Maury	43 min
Jul 3, 3:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Rutherford, Wilson	40 min
Jul 3, 3:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	DeKalb, Jackson, Putnam, Smith, White	53 min
Jul 3, 3:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Lewis, Perry	43 min
Jul 3, 3:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Rutherford, Williamson	39 min
Jul 3, 3:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Rutherford, Wilson	51 min
Jul 3, 3:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Cheatham, Dickson, Williamson	46 min
Jul 3, 3:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Dickson, Williamson	34 min
Jul 3, 3:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Rutherford, Williamson	48 min
Jul 3, 3:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery, Stewart	43 min
Jul 3, 3:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Giles	40 min
Jul 3, 4:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Wilson	44 min
Jul 3, 4:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	DeKalb, Rutherford, Smith, Sumner, Wilson	41 min
Jul 3, 4:17 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Giles	3 hr
Jul 3, 4:18 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson, Rutherford, Williamson	3 hr
Jul 3, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Rutherford, Williamson, Wilson	39 min
Jul 3, 4:23 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OHX	Davidson, Rutherford, Williamson	3 hr
Jul 3, 4:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Houston, Stewart	41 min
Jul 3, 4:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Macon, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson	50 min
Jul 3, 4:49 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Wilson	3 hr
Jul 3, 4:58 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson, Sumner, Williamson, Wilson	3 hr
Jul 3, 5:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Robertson, Sumner	40 min
Jul 3, 6:15 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Putnam, White	3 hr
Jul 3, 6:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Cumberland, Fentress	44 min
Jul 3, 6:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Fentress	44 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2026 Every flash flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.