Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
704 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 703 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

- Abnormally hot conditions continue with another Heat Advisory in
  effect for all locations Thursday as afternoon heat indices
  rise into the 108 to 112 range. Additional heat advisories will
  likely be needed through the rest of the week.

- Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will continue to be capable of
  producing brief heavy rainfall and locally strong to damaging
  wind gusts.

- There is a Moderate risk of rip currents for area beaches in
  Florida through Thursday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 703 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms are persisting a
bit longer than anticipated this evening, especially around Mobile
Bay and over interior southern Alabama and southeast Mississippi.
These storms have had a tendency to backbuild, leading to localized
flooding. Stratiform rain is also persisting across the western
Florida Panhandle, where significant rain fall earlier today. Any
lingering storms should diminish shortly after sunset. JGC/98

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

We issued the next Heat Advisory for our entire forecast area for
Thursday as high temperatures again will be in the middle to upper
90s, and when combined with surface dewpoints ranging from 73 to
77 degrees, maximum apparent temperatures (heat indices) should
range from 105-110 degrees. The same is expected for Friday, so
expected more Heat Advisories to come.

For the past couple of days we have seen convection develop inland
each afternoon and move southward, with many producing damaging
thunderstorm wind gusts. We expect the same for this afternoon,
and Thursday and Friday afternoons as we remain along the eastern
periphery of an upper ridge to our west with an upper trough
digging southward over the eastern CONUS. As daytime heating leads
to decreasing stability each afternoon, the environment will be
supportive of a few strong to marginal severe storms capable of
gusty surface winds, small hail, and frequent lightning as SBCAPE
values escalate to around 3,000 to 4,000j/kg. As a result, the
Storm Prediction Center has a Marginal Risk of severe weather
outlooked for our area today and Thursday. Friday is a wait and
see situation.

With the base of the upper trough reaching it's southernmost
extent (into the northeastern Gulf) by the weekend, this will
place our region in a deep northerly flow pattern, advecting in a
drier air mass with PWATs dipping below 1.5 inches. There is also
the potential for a surface boundary to enter our forecast area
over the weekend. While this won't have much affect on the ambient
temperatures, it should be enough to lower surface dewpoints and
heat indices to where advisories will not be needed. In addition,
there is a much lower chance of storms, so it is shaping up to be
a nice weekend.

The rip current risk gradually tapers as we head through the rest
of the week, with a moderate risk for the Florida Panhandle
becoming a low risk by Friday. A low risk will remain for the
Alabama coastline through the end of the week. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 703 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Scattered strong storms producing wind gusts of 30-50 knots and IFR
or lower conditions will gradually diminish through around 02Z.
Conditions will then become VFR through much of the period. Another
round of showers and storms is possible during the afternoon hours
on Thursday, although confidence is a bit lower than today. Winds
will be generally northwesterly on Thursday, shifting to
southwesterly in the afternoon at around 5-10 knots with some gusts
over 15 knots near the coast. JGC/98

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

A light to occasionally moderate mostly westerly flow pattern
persists into next week. Winds are expected to shift northwesterly
late each night and then southwesterly in the afternoon. Isolated
to potentially scattered showers and storms can be expected each
morning with locally higher seas and winds near storms. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      76  95  75  95 /  10  30  10  40
Pensacola   79  94  78  93 /  10  30  20  40
Destin      80  93  79  92 /  10  40  10  30
Evergreen   73  98  72  97 /  20  40  30  60
Waynesboro  74  99  73  98 /  20  30  20  50
Camden      74  97  73  95 /  10  30  30  50
Crestview   74  96  73  96 /  10  40  20  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Thursday for ALZ051>060-
     261>266.

FL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Thursday for FLZ201>206.

MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Thursday for MSZ067-075-076-
     078-079.

GM...None.
&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
608 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

ALZ053-055-200000-
Clarke AL-Monroe AL-
608 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MONROE AND EAST
CENTRAL CLARKE COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CDT...

At 607 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Whatley to 9 miles northwest of Uriah.
This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Grove Hill, Uriah, and Whatley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 8757 3130 8746 3129 8770 3130 8771
      3130 8775 3175 8788
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 005DEG 1KT 3169 8769 3139 8763

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
633 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

ALZ263-265-200015-
Mobile Coastal AL-Mobile Central AL-
633 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY
THROUGH 715 PM CDT...

At 633 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tillmans Corner. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tillmans Corner, Theodore, and I10 And I65.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3064 8818 3062 8803 3042 8807 3048 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 009DEG 4KT 3057 8812

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
642 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

ALZ264-266-200030-
Baldwin Coastal AL-Baldwin Central AL-
642 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN BALDWIN COUNTY
THROUGH 730 PM CDT...

At 642 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Point Clear. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fairhope, Point Clear, and Magnolia Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3054 8789 3048 8771 3030 8779 3045 8796
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 339DEG 3KT 3048 8787

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
706 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

MSZ075-076-200045-
Perry MS-Greene MS-
706 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL PERRY AND WEST CENTRAL
GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CDT...

At 706 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northeast of New Augusta, or 7 miles southwest of Richton,
moving southeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Richton, Beaumont, and New Augusta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3129 8911 3140 8890 3123 8872 3108 8904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 331DEG 6KT 3126 8899

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
715 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0553 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Brookley Field ASOS     30.62N 88.07W
08/19/2026  M60 MPH          Mobile             AL   ASOS

            ASOS station KBFM Mobile Brookley measured
            wind gust of 60 mph.

&&

JGC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
729 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

ALZ054-055-200115-
Wilcox AL-Monroe AL-
729 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL MONROE AND
SOUTHEASTERN WILCOX COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM CDT...

At 729 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles southeast of Camden, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Camden, Beatrice, and Vredenburgh.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3206 8726 3198 8703 3167 8716 3185 8750
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 037DEG 7KT 3193 8721

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM