Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2026
River Flood Warning 30, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jun 17, 2026, 1:34 PM CDT for George County, Greene County, Jackson County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jun 18, 2026, 6:21 PM CDT. It was in force for 20 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 17, 2026, 1:34 PM CDT (18:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 18, 2026, 6:21 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jul 8, 2026, 1:34 PM CDT
- In force
- 20 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Jackson County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Pascagoula River at Merrill (MRRM6).
- Action stage
- 12.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 22 ft
- Moderate stage
- 25 ft
- Major stage
- 32 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02479000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
331
WGUS44 KMOB 171834
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
134 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Greene and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-180645-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0030.260619T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0000Z.260620T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
134 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...From Thursday evening until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates.
Streets of Merrill flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 23.6 feet
early Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$25 follow-up statements
939
WGUS84 KMOB 180108
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
808 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Jackson and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-181315-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.260619T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0000Z.260620T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...From Thursday evening until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates.
Streets of Merrill flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 17.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 23.5 feet
early Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$
10569
WGUS84 KMOB 181445
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
945 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Greene and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-190245-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.260620T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260620T0200Z.260621T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...From Friday evening until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates.
Streets of Merrill flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 23.0 feet
Saturday evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$543
WGUS84 KMOB 181935
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
235 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Greene and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-190745-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.260618T2321Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260618T2321Z.260620T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
235 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...From this evening until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 20.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
evening and continue rising to a crest of 24.5 feet tomorrow
evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$807
WGUS84 KMOB 190154
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
854 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Jackson and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-191400-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
early Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$
10923
WGUS84 KMOB 191538
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1038 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, George and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-200345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260624T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1038 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 10:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 24.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 24.0 feet.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$812
WGUS84 KMOB 200144
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
844 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, Jackson and George
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-201345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260624T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
844 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 24.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 24.0 to 24.5 feet.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$
10365
WGUS84 KMOB 201256 RRA
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
756 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Greene and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-210100-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260624T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 24.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 24.2 feet.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$492
WGUS84 KMOB 201530
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1030 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, George and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-210330-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260624T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 10:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 24.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
Wednesday morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$315
WGUS84 KMOB 210253
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
953 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, George and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-211500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260624T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 24.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
Wednesday morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$335
WGUS84 KMOB 211507 RRA
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1007 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, Greene and George
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-220315-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260624T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 24.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
Wednesday morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$468
WGUS84 KMOB 220236
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
936 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, George and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-221445-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260624T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
936 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded and
the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 24.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
Wednesday morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$821
WGUS84 KMOB 221436
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
936 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Jackson and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-230245-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
936 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 24.1 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Monday was 24.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.2 feet
this afternoon.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$090
WGUS84 KMOB 230209
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
909 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, George and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-231415-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 24.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.2 feet
just after midnight tonight.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$
SS413
WGUS84 KMOB 231356
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
856 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Jackson and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-240200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.2 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 24.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.3 feet
this afternoon.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$304
WGUS84 KMOB 240123 RRA
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
823 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, George and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-241330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260628T2100Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260628T1500Z.NO/
823 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until Sunday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
Sunday morning and continue falling to 21.8 feet Sunday evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$667
WGUS84 KMOB 241508
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1008 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Greene and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-250315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T0600Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T0000Z.NO/
1008 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until late Sunday night.
* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates.
Streets of Merrill flood. At 24.0 feet, streets of Merrill will
become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by
vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 24.2 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday was 24.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.2 feet
this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday
evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$090
WGUS84 KMOB 250048 RRA
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
748 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, Greene and George
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-251300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T0600Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T0000Z.NO/
748 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until late Sunday night.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 24.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday
evening and continue falling to 21.3 feet Monday evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$733
WGUS84 KMOB 251508
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1008 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, Greene and George
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-260315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T1000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T0400Z.NO/
1008 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until late Sunday night.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 23.9 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Thursday was 24.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
Sunday evening and continue falling to 18.8 feet Tuesday morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$276
WGUS84 KMOB 260032
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
732 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, Jackson and George
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-261245-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T1000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T0400Z.NO/
732 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until late Sunday night.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, streets of Merrill will become flooded. At
24 feet the bridge becomes inaccessible by vehicles.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 23.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 23.8 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
late Sunday evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$749
WGUS84 KMOB 261424
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
924 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, George and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-270230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T1330Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T0730Z.NO/
924 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until Monday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates.
Streets of Merrill flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 AM CDT Friday was 23.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Monday morning and continue falling to 14.8 feet Wednesday
morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$089
WGUS84 KMOB 270043 RRA
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
743 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Jackson and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-271245-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T1330Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T0730Z.NO/
743 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until Monday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates.
Streets of Merrill flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 23.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Monday morning and continue falling to 13.0 feet Wednesday
evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$305
WGUS84 KMOB 271622
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1122 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, George and Greene
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-280430-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T2100Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T1500Z.NO/
1122 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until Monday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates.
Streets of Merrill flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 10:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 23.2 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:15 AM CDT Saturday was 23.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
Monday morning and continue falling to 15.2 feet Thursday
morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$
MM624
WGUS84 KMOB 280116
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
816 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, Greene and George
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-281330-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T2100Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T1500Z.NO/
816 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until Monday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates.
Streets of Merrill flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 23.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
Monday morning and continue falling to 13.9 feet Thursday
evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$664
WGUS84 KMOB 281419
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
919 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Greene and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-290230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T0600Z.NO/
919 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until Monday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west
Merrill.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 22.6 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 AM CDT Sunday was 23.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
after midnight tonight and continue falling to 11.5 feet Friday
morning.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$073
WGUS84 KMOB 290113
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
813 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, George and Jackson
Counties.
For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-059-291200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260629T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260619T0020Z.260620T0915Z.260629T0600Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.
* WHEN...Until Monday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west
Merrill.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 22.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
after midnight tonight and continue falling to 10.4 feet Friday
evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
3074 8868 3082 8879
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 17, 6:27 AM CDT, 7 hours 7 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
- A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
- Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through Thursday night.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 6:27 AM CDT, 7 hours 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
627 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
- A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for
Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday
as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
- Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous
conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through
Thursday night.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
Isolated light rain showers continue to stream east over the
forecast area. Also, more surface based convection streams north
over area waters. So far, nothing has gotten rowdy, but continue
to monitor. The current package is on track, with no updates
needed at this time.
/16
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
There is no shortage of impactful hazards to write about in this
atypical mid-June pattern! We remain focused on the increasing
flash flood threat through Friday afternoon as multiple rounds of
numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of high
rain rates douse the area, and increasing marine/surf/minor
coastal flooding hazards starting tonight to tack on to the
ongoing high risk of rip currents which has been extended through
Saturday afternoon. There is the potential of strong to marginal
severe storms on Thursday and possibly Friday in an environment
capable of producing damaging winds and a 'mini-spinny' (brief
tornado) or two. On top of that, apparent temperatures (heat
indices) could reach as high as 105 degrees in spots Friday
through the weekend, and likely higher through early next week.
Heavy Rainfall...
The Tuesday afternoon shift extended the Flash Flood Watch to now
include all of our warning area through Friday afternoon. There is
increasing confidence in periods of heavy rain as mid/upper level
impulses and shortwaves traverse the region in a very soupy
environment with PWATs fluctuating between 2.2 and 2.5 inches. The
entire area remains under a Slight Risk of rainfall exceeding
flash flood guidance today, with a Moderate Risk across nearly our
entire area on Thursday, followed by a Slight Risk returning on
Friday, and mere Marginal Risk on Saturday. For now we will keep
with the same messaging as the Tuesday shift with widespread
precipitation totals of 4-7 inches possible through Friday
afternoon, with higher precipitation totals up to 10+ inches where
banding and prolonged training of thunderstorms with high
precipitation rates occur (up to 3-4 inches/hour). Nearly all of
our zones should be impacted with a flooding threat, but the exact
locations hit the hardest is still hard to pinpoint at this time.
The scary part is that some of the latest high resolution models
are now showing the potential of up to 15 inches of rain somewhere
across the central portions of our warning area. We will monitor
the trends as the latest runs come in.
Severe Weather Potential...
We will need to monitor for the potential for strong to severe
storms on Thursday as upper-level diffluence spreads across the
Deep South in response to the upper trough to our west. A strong
series of shortwaves also move across the area with an 850 mb jet
resulting in increasing bulk shear values up to 40 knots. In
addition, MLCAPE values potentially reach as high as 2500J/kg, and
and we expect around 200 m2/s2 of sfc-1km SRH to be present. This
will set the stage for any storms within an eastward moving QLCS
or any discrete activity ahead of this line to pose the potential
for damaging wind gusts and a brief tornado or two. Currently the
anticipated timing would be from mid-morning Thursday through the
afternoon hours. High MLCAPE values will occur on Friday, so the
potential for strong to severe storms should remain on that day.
High Surf and Coastal Flooding...
The stronger onshore winds starting tonight will lead to dangerous
beach conditions. In addition to the High Risk of rip currents in
place, a High Surf Advisory is now in effect for large breaking
waves of 4 to 6 feet expected in the surf zone from midnight
tonight until 6pm Friday. As far as coastal flooding, most
guidance suggests our coastal sites should remain just below
coastal flood advisory criteria, however as the previous shift
mentioned, the timing of the tidal cycle combined with the
stronger winds and high surf may promote overwash into some of our
trouble spots such as Fort Pickens and Dauphin Island, possibly
resulting in some localized minor inundation. P-ETSS guidance
shows that water levels could approach 1.7 ft MHHW in parts of
Mobile Bay around noon Wednesday and 2 ft MHHW around noon
Thursday. We will hold off for now on a Coastal Flood Advisory
until our confidence increases. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
A mixed bag of conditions currently across the area will continue
through the forecast, with general MVFR/VFR outside of the heavier
rain or with no rain, low end MVFR/IFR in the heavier convection.
Impacts to operations are expected. General southerly winds 5 to
10 knots are expected, variable near the stronger storms.
/16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Light to moderate southwesterly winds gradually trend to a moderate
to strong southerly flow by Wednesday night. The onshore flow
transitions to a light to moderate southwesterly flow on Friday. A
Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most of the marine area from
Wednesday evening through Thursday night. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 86 76 85 77 / 70 90 100 80
Pensacola 87 79 86 80 / 90 60 90 70
Destin 87 79 86 80 / 80 60 90 70
Evergreen 85 74 82 74 / 70 70 100 90
Waynesboro 85 73 83 74 / 70 80 100 80
Camden 84 73 80 72 / 70 60 100 90
Crestview 86 75 83 76 / 80 60 90 80
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for ALZ051>060-261>266.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CDT Friday for
ALZ265-266.
FL...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for FLZ201>206.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
206.
High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CDT Friday for
FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM CDT Friday
for GMZ630>632-634-650-655-670-675.
&&In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 17, 1:13 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
113 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
ALZ055-171915-
Monroe AL-
113 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT MONROE COUNTY THROUGH 215 PM
CDT...
At 113 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Frisco City, moving northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Monroeville, Frisco City, Peterman, Excel, and Beatrice.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3182 8718 3174 8704 3165 8709 3164 8714
3161 8714 3156 8716 3152 8717 3147 8720
3140 8730 3134 8735 3147 8755 3170 8755
3170 8752 3174 8752 3182 8744
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 210DEG 16KT 3148 8740
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 1:24 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry | 11 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2026Every river flood warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.