Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2026
River Flood Warning 24, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jun 17, 2026, 1:24 AM CDT for George County, Greene County, Perry County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jun 17, 2026, 5:46 AM CDT. It was in force for 11 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 17, 2026, 1:24 AM CDT (06:24 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 17, 2026, 5:46 AM CDT
- Expired
- Jun 27, 2026, 8:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 11 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Perry County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Leaf River near McLain (MCLM6).
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 18 ft
- Moderate stage
- 24 ft
- Major stage
- 28 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02475000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
386
WGUS44 KMOB 170624
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
124 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Flood Warning
for the following river in Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Perry and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-171830-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0024.260617T1046Z-260619T0900Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.260617T1046Z.260618T0000Z.260619T0313Z.NO/
124 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS MORNING TO LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...From early this morning to late Thursday night.
* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, considerable flooding of agricultural and
lowlands near the river. At 24.0 feet, come county roads in the
area will become flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 12:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early
this morning to a crest of 21.5 feet this evening. It will then
fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$27 follow-up statements
347
WGUS84 KMOB 171134
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
634 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Perry and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-172345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260619T0913Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.260617T1128Z.260618T0000Z.260619T0313Z.NO/
634 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until late Thursday night.
* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, considerable flooding of agricultural and
lowlands near the river. At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the
area will become flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 6:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 17.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.5 feet
this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$642
WGUS84 KMOB 171832
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
132 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Greene and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-180645-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.260617T1128Z.260620T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
132 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 19.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.0 feet
this evening. It will then rise to 23.5 feet Friday evening.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$146
WGUS84 KMOB 180106
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
806 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Perry and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-181315-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.260617T1128Z.260620T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
806 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 19.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 23.5 feet by Friday
evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$
10066
WGUS44 KMOB 181424
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
924 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, George and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-190230-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260620T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Residences in West McClain begin to flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 AM CDT Thursday was 20.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.5 feet
tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$533
WGUS84 KMOB 181454
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
954 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, George and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-190300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260620T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Residences in West McClain begin to flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.5 feet
tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$371
WGUS84 KMOB 181917
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
217 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, George and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-190730-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260620T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
217 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Residences in West McClain begin to flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.8 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 1:15 PM CDT Thursday was 20.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.5 feet
tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$557
WGUS84 KMOB 190152
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
852 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Greene and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-191400-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260620T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 21.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$
10800
WGUS84 KMOB 191536
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1036 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, Greene and George Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-200345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 10:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 22.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 24.5 feet early
Tuesday afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$565
WGUS84 KMOB 200142
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
842 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, Greene and George Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-201345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
842 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 22.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
early Tuesday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$
10752
WGUS84 KMOB 201256
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
756 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Greene and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-210100-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 22.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
early Tuesday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$389
WGUS84 KMOB 201525
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1025 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Greene, Perry and George Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-210330-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1025 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 22.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
early Tuesday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$199
WGUS84 KMOB 210251
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
951 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, George and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-211500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 22.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
early Tuesday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$241
WGUS84 KMOB 211505
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1005 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Greene, Perry and George Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-220315-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 23.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
Tuesday morning.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$992
WGUS84 KMOB 220233
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
933 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, George and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-221445-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 24.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
Tuesday morning.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$770
WGUS84 KMOB 220428
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1128 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, George and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-221630-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1128 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, residences in West McClain begin to flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 11:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 24.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.0 feet
Tuesday morning.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$
JGC786
WGUS84 KMOB 221437
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
937 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Greene and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-230245-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260627T1000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0000Z.260627T0400Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until late Friday night.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 24.3 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Monday was 24.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.5 feet
this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late Friday
evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$185
WGUS84 KMOB 230155
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
855 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, George and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-231400-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260627T1000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260622T2230Z.260627T0400Z.NO/
855 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until late Friday night.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 24.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
Friday evening and continue falling to 16.2 feet Saturday
evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$
SS731
WGUS84 KMOB 231354
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
854 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Greene and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-240200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260627T1800Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260627T1200Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.4 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 24.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Saturday morning and continue falling to 14.9 feet Sunday
morning.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$284
WGUS84 KMOB 240122
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
822 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Greene, George and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-241330-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260627T1800Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260627T1200Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Saturday morning and continue falling to 13.4 feet Sunday
evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$436
WGUS84 KMOB 241507
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1007 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Greene and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-250315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260627T2300Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260627T1700Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until Saturday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 23.7 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday was 24.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Saturday afternoon and continue falling to 13.9 feet Monday
morning.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$471
WGUS84 KMOB 250047
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
747 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Greene, George and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-251300-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260627T2300Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260627T1700Z.NO/
747 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until Saturday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 23.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Saturday afternoon and continue falling to 12.6 feet Monday
evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$684
WGUS84 KMOB 251509
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1009 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Greene, George and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-260315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260628T0936Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260628T0336Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until late Saturday night.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.9 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Thursday was 23.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
Saturday evening and continue falling to 12.9 feet Tuesday
morning.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$594
WGUS84 KMOB 260031
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
731 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Greene, George and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-261245-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260628T0936Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260628T0336Z.NO/
731 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until late Saturday night.
* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, some county roads in the area will become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
Saturday evening and continue falling to 12.2 feet Tuesday
evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$661
WGUS84 KMOB 261423
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
923 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Greene, George and Perry Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-270230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260628T1251Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260628T0651Z.NO/
923 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, considerable flooding of agricultural and
lowlands near the river.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 21.8 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 AM CDT Friday was 22.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Sunday morning and continue falling to 9.5 feet Wednesday
morning.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$755
WGUS84 KMOB 270042
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
742 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, George and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-271245-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260628T1251Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260628T0651Z.NO/
742 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, considerable flooding of agricultural and
lowlands near the river.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 20.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Sunday morning and continue falling to 8.7 feet Wednesday
evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$738
WGUS84 KMOB 271621 RRA
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1121 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting George, Perry and Greene Counties.
For the Leaf River...including McLain, New Augusta...Minor flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
MSC039-041-111-280430-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260628T0742Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260628T0142Z.NO/
1121 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Leaf near McLain.
* WHEN...Until late tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Considerable flooding of agricultural and
lowlands near the river.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 10:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 19.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:15 AM CDT Saturday was 21.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this
evening and continue falling to 8.0 feet Thursday morning.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$
MM954
WGUS84 KMOB 280115
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
815 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Leaf Near McLain affecting Perry, Greene and George Counties.
MSC039-041-111-280215-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260628T0115Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.260617T1128Z.260623T0545Z.260627T2137Z.NO/
815 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Leaf Near McLain.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 7.5 feet Thursday
evening.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3116 8892 3123 8892 3116 8877 3100 8871
3098 8879 3109 8884
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 17, 1:15 AM CDT, 9 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 115 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
- A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
- Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through Thursday night.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 1:15 AM CDT, 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
115 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 115 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
- A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for
Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday
as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
- Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous
conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through
Thursday night.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
There is no shortage of impactful hazards to write about in this
atypical mid-June pattern! We remain focused on the increasing
flash flood threat through Friday afternoon as multiple rounds of
numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of high
rain rates douse the area, and increasing marine/surf/minor
coastal flooding hazards starting tonight to tack on to the
ongoing high risk of rip currents which has been extended through
Saturday afternoon. There is the potential of strong to marginal
severe storms on Thursday and possibly Friday in an environment
capable of producing damaging winds and a 'mini-spinny' (brief
tornado) or two. On top of that, apparent temperatures (heat
indices) could reach as high as 105 degrees in spots Friday
through the weekend, and likely higher through early next week.
Heavy Rainfall...
The Tuesday afternoon shift extended the Flash Flood Watch to now
include all of our warning area through Friday afternoon. There is
increasing confidence in periods of heavy rain as mid/upper level
impulses and shortwaves traverse the region in a very soupy
environment with PWATs fluctuating between 2.2 and 2.5 inches. The
entire area remains under a Slight Risk of rainfall exceeding
flash flood guidance today, with a Moderate Risk across nearly our
entire area on Thursday, followed by a Slight Risk returning on
Friday, and mere Marginal Risk on Saturday. For now we will keep
with the same messaging as the Tuesday shift with widespread
precipitation totals of 4-7 inches possible through Friday
afternoon, with higher precipitation totals up to 10+ inches where
banding and prolonged training of thunderstorms with high
precipitation rates occur (up to 3-4 inches/hour). Nearly all of
our zones should be impacted with a flooding threat, but the exact
locations hit the hardest is still hard to pinpoint at this time.
The scary part is that some of the latest high resolution models
are now showing the potential of up to 15 inches of rain somewhere
across the central portions of our warning area. We will monitor
the trends as the latest runs come in.
Severe Weather Potential...
We will need to monitor for the potential for strong to severe
storms on Thursday as upper-level diffluence spreads across the
Deep South in response to the upper trough to our west. A strong
series of shortwaves also move across the area with an 850 mb jet
resulting in increasing bulk shear values up to 40 knots. In
addition, MLCAPE values potentially reach as high as 2500J/kg, and
and we expect around 200 m2/s2 of sfc-1km SRH to be present. This
will set the stage for any storms within an eastward moving QLCS
or any discrete activity ahead of this line to pose the potential
for damaging wind gusts and a brief tornado or two. Currently the
anticipated timing would be from mid-morning Thursday through the
afternoon hours. High MLCAPE values will occur on Friday, so the
potential for strong to severe storms should remain on that day.
High Surf and Coastal Flooding...
The stronger onshore winds starting tonight will lead to dangerous
beach conditions. In addition to the High Risk of rip currents in
place, a High Surf Advisory is now in effect for large breaking
waves of 4 to 6 feet expected in the surf zone from midnight
tonight until 6pm Friday. As far as coastal flooding, most
guidance suggests our coastal sites should remain just below
coastal flood advisory criteria, however as the previous shift
mentioned, the timing of the tidal cycle combined with the
stronger winds and high surf may promote overwash into some of our
trouble spots such as Fort Pickens and Dauphin Island, possibly
resulting in some localized minor inundation. P-ETSS guidance
shows that water levels could approach 1.7 ft MHHW in parts of
Mobile Bay around noon Wednesday and 2 ft MHHW around noon
Thursday. We will hold off for now on a Coastal Flood Advisory
until our confidence increases. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 115 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
A mixed bag of conditions across the forecast area will continue
across the area as an approaching upper level shortwave trough
brings isentropic upglide flow over a stalled surface front over
the area. Lower conditions are expected more often over the
northern half of the forecast area. Add in periods of showers and
thunderstorms, impacts to operations are to be expected. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 knots are expected south of the boundary, northwest
to north north of the boundary. /16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Light to moderate southwesterly winds gradually trend to a moderate
to strong southerly flow by Wednesday night. The onshore flow
transitions to a light to moderate southwesterly flow on Friday. A
Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most of the marine area from
Wednesday evening through Thursday night. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 86 76 85 77 / 70 90 100 80
Pensacola 87 79 86 80 / 90 60 90 70
Destin 87 79 86 80 / 80 60 90 70
Evergreen 85 74 82 74 / 70 70 100 90
Waynesboro 85 73 83 74 / 70 80 100 80
Camden 84 73 80 72 / 70 60 100 90
Crestview 86 75 83 76 / 80 60 90 80
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for ALZ051>060-261>266.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CDT Friday for
ALZ265-266.
FL...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for FLZ201>206.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
206.
High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CDT Friday for
FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM CDT Friday
for GMZ630>632-634-650-655-670-675.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 1:34 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Jackson | 21 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2026Every river flood warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.