Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2026

River Flood Warning 29, NWS Mobile, AL

June 17, 2026Baldwin County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jun 17, 2026, 1:30 PM CDT for Baldwin County, Alabama. It took effect at Jun 19, 2026, 1:57 AM CDT. It was in force for 55 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2026, 1:30 PM CDT (18:30 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 19, 2026, 1:57 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 21, 2026, 8:34 AM CDT
In force
55 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Baldwin County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Styx River near Elsanor (STXA1).

Action stage
7 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02377570, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

733 
WGUS44 KMOB 171830
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
130 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-180630-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0029.260619T0831Z-260620T0300Z/
/STXA1.1.ER.260619T0831Z.260619T1200Z.260619T2037Z.NO/
130 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT TO FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...From late Thursday night to Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, residents downstream at Seminole Landing
  should be alert to possible flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 3.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 4.2 feet just after midnight
    tonight. It will then fall to 3.8 feet tomorrow morning. It will
    rise above flood stage early Friday morning to 13.1 feet Friday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$
14 follow-up statements
652 
WGUS84 KMOB 180100
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
800 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-181300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.260619T0940Z-260620T0042Z/
/STXA1.1.ER.260619T0940Z.260619T1200Z.260619T1842Z.NO/
800 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT TO FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...From late Thursday night to Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Residents downstream at Seminole Landing
  should be alert to possible flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 3.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.7 feet
    Friday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Friday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

10
587 
WGUS44 KMOB 181450
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
950 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Major severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-190300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.260619T0236Z-260621T1424Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.260619T0236Z.260620T0000Z.260621T0824Z.NO/
950 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...From this evening to Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Major Flood stage. Water is near and under
  low lying houses on Donovan Circle with the road flooded. Goat
  Cooper and Waterworld Roads impassable, with major flooding near
  the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 4.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
    this evening to a crest of 17.2 feet tomorrow evening. It will
    then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$
669 
WGUS84 KMOB 181939
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
239 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-190745-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0029.260619T0236Z-260621T1424Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.260619T0236Z.260620T0000Z.260621T0824Z.NO/
239 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...From this evening to Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Major Flood stage. Water is near and under
  low lying houses on Donovan Circle with the road flooded. Goat
  Cooper and Waterworld Roads impassable, with major flooding near
  the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 5.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
    this evening to a crest of 17.2 feet tomorrow evening. It will
    then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$
437 
WGUS84 KMOB 190145
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-191345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.260619T0657Z-260620T0952Z/
/STXA1.2.ER.260619T0657Z.260619T1800Z.260620T0352Z.NO/
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...From late tonight to late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. Water reaches top of
  bulkheads on Donovan Circle in the Seminole Landing community.
  Upstream, water begins to flood Waterworld and areas near Goat
  Cooper Roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just
    after midnight tonight to a crest of 14.2 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

10
732 
WGUS84 KMOB 190712
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
212 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-191915-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260620T0931Z/
/STXA1.2.ER.260619T0906Z.260619T1800Z.260620T0331Z.NO/
212 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. Water reaches top of
  bulkheads on Donovan Circle in the Seminole Landing community.
  Upstream, water begins to flood Waterworld and areas near Goat
  Cooper Roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 10.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early
    this morning to a crest of 14.0 feet this afternoon. It will then
    fall below flood stage late this evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

10
325 
WGUS84 KMOB 191343
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
843 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-200145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260620T1200Z/
/STXA1.2.ER.260619T0834Z.260619T1800Z.260620T0600Z.NO/
843 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. Water reaches top of
  bulkheads on Donovan Circle in the Seminole Landing community.
  Upstream, water begins to flood Waterworld and areas near Goat
  Cooper Roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 14.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.8 feet
    this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage just after
    midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

JGC
651 
WGUS84 KMOB 191510
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1010 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-200315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260620T1420Z/
/STXA1.2.ER.260619T0834Z.260619T1800Z.260620T0820Z.NO/
1010 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. Water reaches top of
  bulkheads on Donovan Circle in the Seminole Landing community.
  Upstream, water begins to flood Waterworld and areas near Goat
  Cooper Roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 14.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 9:00 AM CDT Friday was 14.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.9 feet
    this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late tonight.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

JGC
274 
WGUS84 KMOB 191616
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1116 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-200430-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260620T1951Z/
/STXA1.2.ER.260619T0834Z.260620T0000Z.260620T1351Z.NO/
1116 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, water begins to flood low lying areas on
  Donovan Circle in the Seminole Landing community. Water begins to
  overflow bulkheads on Juniper Road. Goat Cooper and Waterworld
  Roads are flooded with Riverside and the Retreat RV parks flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 14.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 16.0 feet this evening. It will
    then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning to 7.6 feet Sunday
    morning. It will rise to 7.8 feet early Sunday afternoon. It will
    then fall again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.1
    feet on 05/27/2022.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$
240 
WGUS84 KMOB 191858
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
158 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-200700-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260620T1842Z/
/STXA1.2.ER.260619T0834Z.260620T0000Z.260620T1242Z.NO/
158 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Major Flood stage. Water is near and under
  low lying houses on Donovan Circle with the road flooded. Goat
  Cooper and Waterworld Roads impassable, with major flooding near
  the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 15.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 1:00 PM CDT Friday was 15.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.8 feet
    this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

JGC
461 
WGUS44 KMOB 192245
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
545 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the
following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-201045-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260620T1842Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.260619T0834Z.260620T0000Z.260620T1242Z.NO/
545 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Major Flood stage. Water is near and under
  low lying houses on Donovan Circle with the road flooded. Goat
  Cooper and Waterworld Roads impassable, with major flooding near
  the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 16.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.0 feet
    this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

10
435 
WGUS84 KMOB 200202
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
902 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-201415-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260621T0100Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.260619T0834Z.260620T0100Z.260620T1900Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Major Flood stage. Water is near and under
  low lying houses on Donovan Circle with the road flooded. Goat
  Cooper and Waterworld Roads impassable, with major flooding near
  the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
    tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 5.0 feet Wednesday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

10
766 
WGUS84 KMOB 201304
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
804 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-210115-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260621T1312Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.260619T0834Z.260620T0600Z.260621T0712Z.NO/
804 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Major Flood stage. Water is near and under
  low lying houses on Donovan Circle with the road flooded. Goat
  Cooper and Waterworld Roads impassable, with major flooding near
  the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
    after midnight tonight and continue falling to 4.1 feet early
    Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$
046 
WGUS84 KMOB 201507 RRA
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1007 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Moderate flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-210315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260621T1545Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.260619T0834Z.260620T0600Z.260621T0945Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Major Flood stage. Water is near and under
  low lying houses on Donovan Circle with the road flooded. Goat
  Cooper and Waterworld Roads impassable, with major flooding near
  the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
    tonight and continue falling to 4.1 feet Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$
797 
WGUS84 KMOB 210301
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1001 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&

ALC003-211345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260621T1334Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.260619T0834Z.260620T0600Z.260621T0734Z.NO/
1001 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Styx River near Elsanor.

* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. Water reaches top of
  bulkheads on Donovan Circle in the Seminole Landing community.
  Upstream, wter begins to flood Waterworld and areas near Goat
  Cooper Roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 14.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
    after midnight tonight and continue falling to 3.7 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3067 8761 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3065 8764


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 17, 6:27 AM CDT, 7 hours 3 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
  • A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
  • An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
  • Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through Thursday night.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 6:27 AM CDT, 7 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
627 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

 - A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for
   Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

 - An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday
   as periods of showers and storms affect the area.

 - Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous
   conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through
   Thursday night.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Isolated light rain showers continue to stream east over the
forecast area. Also, more surface based convection streams north
over area waters. So far, nothing has gotten rowdy, but continue
to monitor. The current package is on track, with no updates
needed at this time.
/16

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

There is no shortage of impactful hazards to write about in this
atypical mid-June pattern! We remain focused on the increasing
flash flood threat through Friday afternoon as multiple rounds of
numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of high
rain rates douse the area, and increasing marine/surf/minor
coastal flooding hazards starting tonight to tack on to the
ongoing high risk of rip currents which has been extended through
Saturday afternoon. There is the potential of strong to marginal
severe storms on Thursday and possibly Friday in an environment
capable of producing damaging winds and a 'mini-spinny' (brief
tornado) or two. On top of that, apparent temperatures (heat
indices) could reach as high as 105 degrees in spots Friday
through the weekend, and likely higher through early next week.

Heavy Rainfall...

The Tuesday afternoon shift extended the Flash Flood Watch to now
include all of our warning area through Friday afternoon. There is
increasing confidence in periods of heavy rain as mid/upper level
impulses and shortwaves traverse the region in a very soupy
environment with PWATs fluctuating between 2.2 and 2.5 inches. The
entire area remains under a Slight Risk of rainfall exceeding
flash flood guidance today, with a Moderate Risk across nearly our
entire area on Thursday, followed by a Slight Risk returning on
Friday, and mere Marginal Risk on Saturday. For now we will keep
with the same messaging as the Tuesday shift with widespread
precipitation totals of 4-7 inches possible through Friday
afternoon, with higher precipitation totals up to 10+ inches where
banding and prolonged training of thunderstorms with high
precipitation rates occur (up to 3-4 inches/hour). Nearly all of
our zones should be impacted with a flooding threat, but the exact
locations hit the hardest is still hard to pinpoint at this time.
The scary part is that some of the latest high resolution models
are now showing the potential of up to 15 inches of rain somewhere
across the central portions of our warning area. We will monitor
the trends as the latest runs come in.

Severe Weather Potential...

We will need to monitor for the potential for strong to severe
storms on Thursday as upper-level diffluence spreads across the
Deep South in response to the upper trough to our west. A strong
series of shortwaves also move across the area with an 850 mb jet
resulting in increasing bulk shear values up to 40 knots. In
addition, MLCAPE values potentially reach as high as 2500J/kg, and
and we expect around 200 m2/s2 of sfc-1km SRH to be present. This
will set the stage for any storms within an eastward moving QLCS
or any discrete activity ahead of this line to pose the potential
for damaging wind gusts and a brief tornado or two. Currently the
anticipated timing would be from mid-morning Thursday through the
afternoon hours. High MLCAPE values will occur on Friday, so the
potential for strong to severe storms should remain on that day.

High Surf and Coastal Flooding...

The stronger onshore winds starting tonight will lead to dangerous
beach conditions. In addition to the High Risk of rip currents in
place, a High Surf Advisory is now in effect for large breaking
waves of 4 to 6 feet expected in the surf zone from midnight
tonight until 6pm Friday. As far as coastal flooding, most
guidance suggests our coastal sites should remain just below
coastal flood advisory criteria, however as the previous shift
mentioned, the timing of the tidal cycle combined with the
stronger winds and high surf may promote overwash into some of our
trouble spots such as Fort Pickens and Dauphin Island, possibly
resulting in some localized minor inundation. P-ETSS guidance
shows that water levels could approach 1.7 ft MHHW in parts of
Mobile Bay around noon Wednesday and 2 ft MHHW around noon
Thursday. We will hold off for now on a Coastal Flood Advisory
until our confidence increases. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

A mixed bag of conditions currently across the area will continue
through the forecast, with general MVFR/VFR outside of the heavier
rain or with no rain, low end MVFR/IFR in the heavier convection.
Impacts to operations are expected. General southerly winds 5 to
10 knots are expected, variable near the stronger storms.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Light to moderate southwesterly winds gradually trend to a moderate
to strong southerly flow by Wednesday night. The onshore flow
transitions to a light to moderate southwesterly flow on Friday. A
Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most of the marine area from
Wednesday evening through Thursday night. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      86  76  85  77 /  70  90 100  80
Pensacola   87  79  86  80 /  90  60  90  70
Destin      87  79  86  80 /  80  60  90  70
Evergreen   85  74  82  74 /  70  70 100  90
Waynesboro  85  73  83  74 /  70  80 100  80
Camden      84  73  80  72 /  70  60 100  90
Crestview   86  75  83  76 /  80  60  90  80

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for ALZ051>060-261>266.

     High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CDT Friday for
     ALZ265-266.

FL...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for FLZ201>206.

     High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CDT Friday for
     FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM CDT Friday
     for GMZ630>632-634-650-655-670-675.

&&

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 17, 1:13 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
113 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

ALZ055-171915-
Monroe AL-
113 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT MONROE COUNTY THROUGH 215 PM
CDT...

At 113 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Frisco City, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Monroeville, Frisco City, Peterman, Excel, and Beatrice.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3182 8718 3174 8704 3165 8709 3164 8714
      3161 8714 3156 8716 3152 8717 3147 8720
      3140 8730 3134 8735 3147 8755 3170 8755
      3170 8752 3174 8752 3182 8744
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 210DEG 16KT 3148 8740

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 7:44 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMOB76 min
Jun 17, 1:15 AM CDTHigh Surf AdvisoryMOBBaldwin, Mobile65 hr
Jun 17, 8:41 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBWashington64 min
Jun 17, 8:44 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBCovington, Escambia2 hr
Jun 17, 1:07 PM CDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryMOBBaldwin, Mobile30 hr
Jun 17, 1:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMOBMonroe62 min
Jun 17, 1:23 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBEscambia11 days
Jun 17, 1:26 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBCovington, Escambia6 days
Jun 17, 1:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBBaldwin5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2026Every river flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.