Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2026
River Flood Warning 27, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jun 17, 2026, 1:26 PM CDT for Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; Covington County, Escambia County, Alabama. It took effect at Jun 19, 2026, 2:40 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 17, 2026, 1:26 PM CDT (18:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 19, 2026, 2:40 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jun 23, 2026, 8:25 PM CDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Covington County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL
The radar
The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Blackwater River (AL) near Baker (BAKF1). The gauge peaked at 16.28 ft at Jun 20, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 11 ft
- Moderate stage
- 16 ft
- Major stage
- 24 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02370000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
468
WGUS44 KMOB 171826
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
126 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Florida...Alabama...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Okaloosa, Covington, Escambia
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-180630-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0027.260619T2235Z-260621T1600Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.260619T2235Z.260620T1200Z.260621T0936Z.UU/
126 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...From Friday afternoon to Sunday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 14.5 feet, flooding of Cotton Ridge Park in Baker
begins.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 2.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday
afternoon to a crest of 12.8 feet Saturday morning. It will then
fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$16 follow-up statements
748
WGUS84 KMOB 180049
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
749 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Okaloosa, Santa Rosa,
Covington and Escambia Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-181300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.260619T1007Z-260621T1300Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.260619T1007Z.260620T0600Z.260621T0700Z.UU/
749 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY
MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...From late Thursday night to Sunday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 14.5 feet, Flooding of Cotton Ridge Park in Baker
begins.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 4.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Friday morning to a crest of 13.9 feet early Saturday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$
10183
WGUS84 KMOB 181437
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
937 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...Alabama...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Okaloosa, Covington, Escambia
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-190245-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.260619T1017Z-260622T0400Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.260619T1017Z.260620T1200Z.260621T2200Z.UU/
937 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...From late tonight to Sunday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream
from the Highway 4 bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 5.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
tonight to a crest of 15.7 feet Saturday morning. It will then
fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$275
WGUS84 KMOB 181928
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
228 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Alabama...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Okaloosa, Covington, Escambia
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-190730-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0027.260619T1017Z-260622T0400Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.260619T1017Z.260620T1200Z.260621T2200Z.UU/
228 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...From late tonight to Sunday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream
from the Highway 4 bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 4.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
tonight to a crest of 15.7 feet Saturday morning. It will then
fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$189
WGUS84 KMOB 190119
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
819 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Santa Rosa, Covington,
Escambia and Okaloosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-191330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.260620T0120Z-260621T1600Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.260620T0120Z.260620T1200Z.260621T1000Z.UU/
819 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO SUNDAY
MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...From Friday evening to Sunday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Minor flooding of secondary roads and
lowlands from the Highway 4 Bridge downstream.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 5.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow evening to a crest of 12.2 feet Saturday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$
10661
WGUS84 KMOB 190705
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
205 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Santa Rosa, Covington,
Escambia and Okaloosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-191915-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.260619T2304Z-260621T1525Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.260619T2304Z.260620T1200Z.260621T0925Z.UU/
205 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...From this evening to Sunday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Minor flooding of secondary roads and
lowlands from the Highway 4 Bridge downstream.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 6.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
evening to a crest of 12.7 feet tomorrow morning. It will then
fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$
10638
WGUS84 KMOB 191459
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
959 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Santa Rosa,
Okaloosa and Escambia Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-200300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.260619T1940Z-260622T0208Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.260619T1940Z.260620T1800Z.260621T2008Z.UU/
959 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...From this afternoon to Sunday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 14.5 feet, flooding of Cotton Ridge Park in Baker
begins.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 9.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
afternoon to a crest of 14.1 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It
will then fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$
JGC462
WGUS44 KMOB 200151
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
851 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Okaloosa, Covington, Escambia
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-201400-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260623T0748Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0600Z.260623T0148Z.UU/
851 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until late Monday night.
* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream
from the Highway 4 bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 10.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
evening to a crest of 16.7 feet early Sunday morning. It will
then fall below flood stage Monday evening.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$
10937
WGUS84 KMOB 201301
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
801 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Okaloosa, Escambia, Santa
Rosa and Covington Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-210115-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260623T0215Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0600Z.260622T2015Z.UU/
801 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until Monday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream
from the Highway 4 bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.8 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
Monday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$671
WGUS84 KMOB 201500
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...Alabama...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Escambia, Okaloosa, Covington
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-210300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260623T0352Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0600Z.260622T2152Z.UU/
1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until Monday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream
from the Highway 4 bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 15.1 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:00 AM CDT Saturday was 15.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.3 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
Monday afternoon.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$341
WGUS84 KMOB 210259
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
959 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...Alabama...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Escambia, Covington, Okaloosa
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-211500-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260623T0730Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T1200Z.260623T0130Z.UU/
959 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until late Monday night.
* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream
from the Highway 4 bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 16.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.0 feet
Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage Monday
evening.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$178
WGUS84 KMOB 211507
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1007 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa
Rosa and Covington Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-220315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260623T0300Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0115Z.260622T2100Z.UU/
1007 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until Monday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream
from the Highway 4 bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 15.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 4.4 feet Friday
morning.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$368
WGUS84 KMOB 220255
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
955 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Escambia
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-221500-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260622T2324Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0115Z.260622T1724Z.UU/
955 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until Monday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 14.5 feet, flooding of Cotton Ridge Park in Baker
begins.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 4.3 feet Friday
evening.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$
JGC123
WGUS84 KMOB 221433
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
933 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Alabama...Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Escambia, Okaloosa, Covington
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-230245-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260624T0200Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0115Z.260623T2000Z.UU/
933 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until Tuesday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding of secondary roads and
lowlands from the Highway 4 Bridge downstream. At 14.5 feet,
flooding of Cotton Ridge Park in Baker begins.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 13.5 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:00 AM CDT Monday was 15.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 4.6 feet Saturday
morning.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$546
WGUS84 KMOB 230158
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
858 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...Alabama...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Santa Rosa, Covington,
Escambia and Okaloosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-231400-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260624T0738Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0115Z.260624T0138Z.UU/
858 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until late Tuesday night.
* IMPACTS...At 14.5 feet, Flooding of Cotton Ridge Park in Baker
begins.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 14.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.1 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
Tuesday evening.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$
SS543
WGUS84 KMOB 231355
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
855 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Alabama...Florida...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Escambia, Okaloosa, Covington
and Santa Rosa Counties.
For the Blackwater River...including Upper Blackwater River, Baker...
Minor flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.
The next statement will be issued when updates occur.
&&
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-240200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260624T1320Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0115Z.260624T0720Z.UU/
855 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.
* WHEN...Until Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 14.5 feet, flooding of Cotton Ridge Park in Baker
begins.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 14.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
after midnight tonight and continue falling to 4.2 feet Sunday
morning.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$230
WGUS84 KMOB 240125 RRA
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
825 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Florida...Alabama...
Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Santa Rosa,
Okaloosa and Escambia Counties.
ALC039-053-FLC091-113-240230-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260624T0125Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.260620T0143Z.260621T0115Z.260623T2345Z.UU/
825 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 4.2 feet Sunday
evening.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
3070 8690 3082 8675
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 17, 6:27 AM CDT, 6 hours 59 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
- A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
- Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through Thursday night.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 6:27 AM CDT, 6 hours 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
627 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
- A HIGH RISK of rip currents is expected through Saturday for
Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.
- An increasing risk of flash flooding is expected through Friday
as periods of showers and storms affect the area.
- Moderate to strong winds will likely create hazardous
conditions for small craft from Wednesday night through
Thursday night.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
Isolated light rain showers continue to stream east over the
forecast area. Also, more surface based convection streams north
over area waters. So far, nothing has gotten rowdy, but continue
to monitor. The current package is on track, with no updates
needed at this time.
/16
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
There is no shortage of impactful hazards to write about in this
atypical mid-June pattern! We remain focused on the increasing
flash flood threat through Friday afternoon as multiple rounds of
numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of high
rain rates douse the area, and increasing marine/surf/minor
coastal flooding hazards starting tonight to tack on to the
ongoing high risk of rip currents which has been extended through
Saturday afternoon. There is the potential of strong to marginal
severe storms on Thursday and possibly Friday in an environment
capable of producing damaging winds and a 'mini-spinny' (brief
tornado) or two. On top of that, apparent temperatures (heat
indices) could reach as high as 105 degrees in spots Friday
through the weekend, and likely higher through early next week.
Heavy Rainfall...
The Tuesday afternoon shift extended the Flash Flood Watch to now
include all of our warning area through Friday afternoon. There is
increasing confidence in periods of heavy rain as mid/upper level
impulses and shortwaves traverse the region in a very soupy
environment with PWATs fluctuating between 2.2 and 2.5 inches. The
entire area remains under a Slight Risk of rainfall exceeding
flash flood guidance today, with a Moderate Risk across nearly our
entire area on Thursday, followed by a Slight Risk returning on
Friday, and mere Marginal Risk on Saturday. For now we will keep
with the same messaging as the Tuesday shift with widespread
precipitation totals of 4-7 inches possible through Friday
afternoon, with higher precipitation totals up to 10+ inches where
banding and prolonged training of thunderstorms with high
precipitation rates occur (up to 3-4 inches/hour). Nearly all of
our zones should be impacted with a flooding threat, but the exact
locations hit the hardest is still hard to pinpoint at this time.
The scary part is that some of the latest high resolution models
are now showing the potential of up to 15 inches of rain somewhere
across the central portions of our warning area. We will monitor
the trends as the latest runs come in.
Severe Weather Potential...
We will need to monitor for the potential for strong to severe
storms on Thursday as upper-level diffluence spreads across the
Deep South in response to the upper trough to our west. A strong
series of shortwaves also move across the area with an 850 mb jet
resulting in increasing bulk shear values up to 40 knots. In
addition, MLCAPE values potentially reach as high as 2500J/kg, and
and we expect around 200 m2/s2 of sfc-1km SRH to be present. This
will set the stage for any storms within an eastward moving QLCS
or any discrete activity ahead of this line to pose the potential
for damaging wind gusts and a brief tornado or two. Currently the
anticipated timing would be from mid-morning Thursday through the
afternoon hours. High MLCAPE values will occur on Friday, so the
potential for strong to severe storms should remain on that day.
High Surf and Coastal Flooding...
The stronger onshore winds starting tonight will lead to dangerous
beach conditions. In addition to the High Risk of rip currents in
place, a High Surf Advisory is now in effect for large breaking
waves of 4 to 6 feet expected in the surf zone from midnight
tonight until 6pm Friday. As far as coastal flooding, most
guidance suggests our coastal sites should remain just below
coastal flood advisory criteria, however as the previous shift
mentioned, the timing of the tidal cycle combined with the
stronger winds and high surf may promote overwash into some of our
trouble spots such as Fort Pickens and Dauphin Island, possibly
resulting in some localized minor inundation. P-ETSS guidance
shows that water levels could approach 1.7 ft MHHW in parts of
Mobile Bay around noon Wednesday and 2 ft MHHW around noon
Thursday. We will hold off for now on a Coastal Flood Advisory
until our confidence increases. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
A mixed bag of conditions currently across the area will continue
through the forecast, with general MVFR/VFR outside of the heavier
rain or with no rain, low end MVFR/IFR in the heavier convection.
Impacts to operations are expected. General southerly winds 5 to
10 knots are expected, variable near the stronger storms.
/16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
Light to moderate southwesterly winds gradually trend to a moderate
to strong southerly flow by Wednesday night. The onshore flow
transitions to a light to moderate southwesterly flow on Friday. A
Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most of the marine area from
Wednesday evening through Thursday night. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 86 76 85 77 / 70 90 100 80
Pensacola 87 79 86 80 / 90 60 90 70
Destin 87 79 86 80 / 80 60 90 70
Evergreen 85 74 82 74 / 70 70 100 90
Waynesboro 85 73 83 74 / 70 80 100 80
Camden 84 73 80 72 / 70 60 100 90
Crestview 86 75 83 76 / 80 60 90 80
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for ALZ051>060-261>266.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CDT Friday for
ALZ265-266.
FL...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for FLZ201>206.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
206.
High Surf Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CDT Friday for
FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM CDT Friday
for GMZ630>632-634-650-655-670-675.
&&In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 17, 1:13 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
113 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
ALZ055-171915-
Monroe AL-
113 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT MONROE COUNTY THROUGH 215 PM
CDT...
At 113 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Frisco City, moving northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Monroeville, Frisco City, Peterman, Excel, and Beatrice.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3182 8718 3174 8704 3165 8709 3164 8714
3161 8714 3156 8716 3152 8717 3147 8720
3140 8730 3134 8735 3147 8755 3170 8755
3170 8752 3174 8752 3182 8744
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 210DEG 16KT 3148 8740
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 1:15 AM CDT | High Surf Advisory | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 65 hr |
| Jun 17, 8:44 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Okaloosa | 2 hr |
| Jun 17, 1:23 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Santa Rosa | 11 days |
| Jun 17, 1:25 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 37 hr |
| Jun 17, 1:27 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 5 days |
| Jun 16, 7:44 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 76 min | |
| Jun 17, 8:41 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Washington | 64 min |
| Jun 17, 1:07 PM CDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 30 hr |
| Jun 17, 1:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Monroe | 62 min |
| Jun 17, 1:30 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 4 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2026River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2026Every river flood warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.