Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Miami, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
353 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 349 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

 - Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into early
   evening. A few strong to severe storms are possible with gusty
   winds being the main threat.

 - Moderate to Major HeatRisk impacts are expected through the
   weekend for much of the area with the highest probability of
   Major HeatRisk along the Florida East Coast.

 - Drier air associated with the Saharan Air Layer will slowly
   move into the area later this week and into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 349 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

Storms will continue to develop along the sea breeze and colliding
outflow boundaries through the afternoon and will linger into the
early evening hours again today. While the strongest convection
resides along the East Coast sea breeze as of 18-19Z, the axis of
highest MLCAPE and DCAPE resides further inland, which is where the
outflow boundaries from the sea breeze storms are currently racing
towards. Expect an uptick in convection further inland later this
afternoon as all of the boundaries start to collide. Dry conditions
prevail tonight by 02-03z and will continue through the overnight.

Lingering smoke remains a concern again overnight near the ongoing
wildfires on the western fringe of the Miami metro area. The Air
Quality Alert for Miami-Dade County was extended until 3pm tomorrow
due to the lingering smoke concerns across the county.

There is a signal in some of the recent runs of the high-res
guidances that indicate an early start to convection on Thursday.
Showers and storms could begin to push inland from the Atlantic
waters and into the East Coast metro areas between 11-13Z. After an
early start, the bulk of the convection looks to hold off until the
afternoon hours as it develops along the sea breeze and boundary
collisions. DCAPE will be high enough tomorrow that gusty winds will
be a concern with any of the late afternoon storms. Localized
flooding in urban and poor drainage areas will be a concern as well
given the generally light flow tomorrow.

In addition to the storms, heat remains a concern tomorrow with high
temperatures topping out in the mid to low 90s with heat indices of
103-107 again. HeatRisk remains in the Moderate to Major category
for much of the area, especially closer to the coastlines. Highest
probability of Major HeatRisk (50-60% chance) remains along the East
Coast of Florida.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 349 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

No significant changes to the forecast as we roll toward the
weekend. Weak high pressure remains draped across the Gulf and
western Atlantic through the weekend and into early next week.
Isolated to scattered showers and storms expected each afternoon
with above-normal temperatures. Moderate to Major HeatRisk remains
the predominant threat through this timeframe with the East Coast of
Florida having the highest probability (60-70% chance) of reaching
the Major HeatRisk category. Showers and storms will generally be
diurnally driven by the sea breeze each day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

Storms continue to develop along the East Coast sea breeze this
afternoon and will push west of the terminals in the next 2
hours. Temporary reductions in visibility/ceilings are possible
near storms with VFR conditions prevailing otherwise. Expect
onshore winds around 10 knots with gustier conditions up to 25
knots possible near any collapsing storms on boundary collisions
this afternoon. Winds become light and variable overnight. An
early start to convection is possible on Thursday by 11-13Z for
the East Coast metro area.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 349 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

High pressure prevails over the local waters. Light south-southeast
winds persist across the Atlantic, while south-southwest winds
develop each afternoons across the Gulf waters with the development
of the sea breeze. Isolated to scattered showers and storms should
generally remain over the land, but a few storms may drift offshore
in the evening and could produce locally hazardous winds and seas.
Seas are generally expected to remain 1-2 feet or less outside of
any thunderstorm activity.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            79  92  80  92 /  10  20  10  20
West Kendall     76  93  78  93 /  10  30  10  30
Opa-Locka        78  93  80  94 /  10  20  10  20
Homestead        78  91  80  92 /  20  20  20  20
Fort Lauderdale  79  91  82  92 /  10  20  10  20
N Ft Lauderdale  79  91  81  91 /  10  30  10  20
Pembroke Pines   79  94  81  95 /  10  20  10  20
West Palm Beach  78  91  80  92 /  10  30  10  30
Boca Raton       79  91  81  91 /  10  30  10  30
Naples           78  92  77  93 /  30  40  40  50

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...MB
LONG TERM....MB
AVIATION...MB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
426 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0414 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     11 WNW Kendale Lakes    25.76N 80.59W
06/24/2026  M46 MPH          Miami-Dade         FL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station SSOPG Sfwmd 28.

&&

DLH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
427 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

FLZ071-073>075-242100-
Inland Broward County FL-Mainland Monroe FL-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
427 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Mainland
Monroe, northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward Counties through 500
PM EDT...

At 427 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm 9 miles west of Miccosukee Resort, or 17 miles
northwest of The Redland. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sweetwater, Shark Valley Obs Tower, Intersection Krome And Kendall
Drive, Miccosukee Resort, Fortymile Bend, Tamiami, University Park,
Kendale Lakes, Everglades National Park, Westchester, Olympia
Heights, Fountainbleau, The Hammocks, Kendall West, Tamiami
Fairgrounds, Fiu South Campus, and Westwood Lakes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2562 8106 2569 8089 2581 8087 2597 8057
      2574 8034 2547 8092
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 331DEG 3KT 2576 8064

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MFL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
505 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

FLZ073-242130-
Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
505 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Miami-Dade
County through 530 PM EDT...

At 505 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm 8 miles east of Shark Valley Obs Tower, or 10
miles northwest of The Redland, moving east at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Homestead General Airport, The Redland, Shark Valley Obs Tower, and
Everglades National Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2547 8087 2574 8087 2575 8053 2544 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 270DEG 5KT 2563 8064

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MFL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
516 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0251 PM     Hail             3 NW Florida Gardens    26.65N 80.21W
06/24/2026  E1.00 Inch       Palm Beach         FL   Public

            Pea to quarter size hail fell around the
            Mall at Wellington Green.

&&

JC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
535 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

FLZ073-075-174-242200-
Mainland Monroe FL-Far South Miami-Dade County FL-Inland Miami-
Dade County FL-
535 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Mainland
Monroe and central Miami-Dade Counties through 600 PM EDT...

At 534 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm over Everglades National Park, or 21 miles west
of Homestead General Airport. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Everglades National Park, Pa-Hay-Okee Overlook, and Mahogany Hammock.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2536 8106 2539 8101 2541 8101 2541 8097
      2542 8098 2542 8097 2543 8098 2542 8099
      2542 8102 2543 8103 2555 8098 2557 8079
      2532 8076
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 007DEG 3KT 2547 8090

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MFL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
541 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

FLZ063-242215-
Glades FL-
541 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Glades County
through 615 PM EDT...

At 540 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near Buckhead Ridge
to Brighton Seminole Reservation to near Ortona. Movement was south
at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lakeport, Palmdale, Buckhead Ridge, Brighton Seminole Reservation,
Ortona, and Indian Prairie Canal Mouth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2717 8088 2713 8088 2707 8096 2707 8093
      2704 8093 2704 8096 2706 8097 2697 8109
      2695 8109 2695 8107 2693 8108 2693 8112
      2687 8110 2677 8132 2703 8136 2703 8127
      2712 8127 2712 8117 2721 8116 2721 8094
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 350DEG 6KT 2719 8089 2708 8104 2685 8128

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MFL