Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Miami, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
353 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 349 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

 - Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into early
   evening. A few strong to severe storms are possible with gusty
   winds being the main threat.

 - Moderate to Major HeatRisk impacts are expected through the
   weekend for much of the area with the highest probability of
   Major HeatRisk along the Florida East Coast.

 - Drier air associated with the Saharan Air Layer will slowly
   move into the area later this week and into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 349 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

Storms will continue to develop along the sea breeze and colliding
outflow boundaries through the afternoon and will linger into the
early evening hours again today. While the strongest convection
resides along the East Coast sea breeze as of 18-19Z, the axis of
highest MLCAPE and DCAPE resides further inland, which is where the
outflow boundaries from the sea breeze storms are currently racing
towards. Expect an uptick in convection further inland later this
afternoon as all of the boundaries start to collide. Dry conditions
prevail tonight by 02-03z and will continue through the overnight.

Lingering smoke remains a concern again overnight near the ongoing
wildfires on the western fringe of the Miami metro area. The Air
Quality Alert for Miami-Dade County was extended until 3pm tomorrow
due to the lingering smoke concerns across the county.

There is a signal in some of the recent runs of the high-res
guidances that indicate an early start to convection on Thursday.
Showers and storms could begin to push inland from the Atlantic
waters and into the East Coast metro areas between 11-13Z. After an
early start, the bulk of the convection looks to hold off until the
afternoon hours as it develops along the sea breeze and boundary
collisions. DCAPE will be high enough tomorrow that gusty winds will
be a concern with any of the late afternoon storms. Localized
flooding in urban and poor drainage areas will be a concern as well
given the generally light flow tomorrow.

In addition to the storms, heat remains a concern tomorrow with high
temperatures topping out in the mid to low 90s with heat indices of
103-107 again. HeatRisk remains in the Moderate to Major category
for much of the area, especially closer to the coastlines. Highest
probability of Major HeatRisk (50-60% chance) remains along the East
Coast of Florida.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 349 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

No significant changes to the forecast as we roll toward the
weekend. Weak high pressure remains draped across the Gulf and
western Atlantic through the weekend and into early next week.
Isolated to scattered showers and storms expected each afternoon
with above-normal temperatures. Moderate to Major HeatRisk remains
the predominant threat through this timeframe with the East Coast of
Florida having the highest probability (60-70% chance) of reaching
the Major HeatRisk category. Showers and storms will generally be
diurnally driven by the sea breeze each day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

Storms continue to develop along the East Coast sea breeze this
afternoon and will push west of the terminals in the next 2
hours. Temporary reductions in visibility/ceilings are possible
near storms with VFR conditions prevailing otherwise. Expect
onshore winds around 10 knots with gustier conditions up to 25
knots possible near any collapsing storms on boundary collisions
this afternoon. Winds become light and variable overnight. An
early start to convection is possible on Thursday by 11-13Z for
the East Coast metro area.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 349 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

High pressure prevails over the local waters. Light south-southeast
winds persist across the Atlantic, while south-southwest winds
develop each afternoons across the Gulf waters with the development
of the sea breeze. Isolated to scattered showers and storms should
generally remain over the land, but a few storms may drift offshore
in the evening and could produce locally hazardous winds and seas.
Seas are generally expected to remain 1-2 feet or less outside of
any thunderstorm activity.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            79  92  80  92 /  10  20  10  20
West Kendall     76  93  78  93 /  10  30  10  30
Opa-Locka        78  93  80  94 /  10  20  10  20
Homestead        78  91  80  92 /  20  20  20  20
Fort Lauderdale  79  91  82  92 /  10  20  10  20
N Ft Lauderdale  79  91  81  91 /  10  30  10  20
Pembroke Pines   79  94  81  95 /  10  20  10  20
West Palm Beach  78  91  80  92 /  10  30  10  30
Boca Raton       79  91  81  91 /  10  30  10  30
Naples           78  92  77  93 /  30  40  40  50

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...MB
LONG TERM....MB
AVIATION...MB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
248 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

FLZ071-072-241915-
Inland Broward County FL-Metro Broward County FL-
248 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Broward
County through 315 PM EDT...

At 247 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm over Mile Marker 30 On Alligator Alley, or 15
miles west of Sunrise. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Weston, Mile Marker 30 On Alligator Alley, East Toll Gate On
Alligator Alley, Intersection I-75 And U.S. 27, and Intersection
Alligator Alley And Miami Canal.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2607 8038 2608 8069 2625 8071 2625 8039
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 187DEG 4KT 2616 8055

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MFL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
320 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW Royal Palm Beach   26.73N 80.25W
06/24/2026                   Palm Beach         FL   Law Enforcement

            A tree was blown down and blocked the
            intersection at the 100 block of Saratoga
            Blvd E in Royal Palm Beach.

&&

JC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
324 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0301 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 E Wellington          26.68N 80.21W
06/24/2026                   Palm Beach         FL   Law Enforcement

            Tree was blown down near intersection of
            Erica Blvd just South of Southern Blvd and
            441 area.

&&

JC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
344 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

FLZ070-071-073-075-242015-
Inland Broward County FL-Inland Collier County FL-Mainland Monroe FL-
Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
344 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Collier, northern Mainland Monroe, northern Miami-Dade and southern
Broward Counties through 415 PM EDT...

At 343 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm 9 miles northeast of Fortymile Bend, or 22
miles northwest of The Redland. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fortymile Bend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2583 8051 2566 8072 2581 8091 2599 8070
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 124DEG 1KT 2582 8070

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MFL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

FLZ073-074-242030-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Miami-Dade County through 430 PM EDT...

At 400 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm over Miccosukee Resort, or 11 miles northwest
of Kendall, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Kendale Lakes, West Kendall, Intersection Krome And Kendall Drive,
Miccosukee Resort, The Crossings, Tamiami, The Hammocks, and Kendall
West.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2584 8043 2568 8040 2569 8063 2583 8062
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 083DEG 7KT 2576 8052

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MFL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
403 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

FLZ066-070-071-242030-
Inland Broward County FL-Hendry FL-Inland Collier County FL-
403 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Collier, southeastern Hendry and central Broward Counties through 430
PM EDT...

At 402 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm 7 miles west of Miccosukee Indian Reservation,
or 28 miles east of Ave Maria, moving north at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Miccosukee Indian Reservation, Big Cypress Seminole Reservation,
Miccosukee Service Plaza, and Big Cypress National Preserve.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 2602 8081 2601 8119 2628 8127 2631 8083
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 171DEG 10KT 2618 8100

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MFL