Flash Flood Warning 99, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

097 
WGUS74 KMAF 132334
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
634 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

TXC243-140100-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0099.000000T0000Z-260614T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jeff Davis TX-
634 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFF DAVIS COUNTY...

At 634 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms produced heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have
fallen. Flash flooding may continue due to runoff.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mainly rural areas of Southeastern Jeff Davis County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3048 10370 3048 10375 3050 10378 3053 10380
      3058 10381 3060 10375 3053 10368

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Greening

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
239 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 149 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

- Isolated to scattered storm chances exist this afternoon, mainly
  across the Davis Mountains.

- Cold front approaches the region on Sunday bringing higher rain
  chances through Monday. Will be monitoring for heavy rainfall
  leading to flash flooding.

- The hottest temperatures of the season so far are possible by
  the middle of next week with many locations experiencing their
  first 100 degree day.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 149 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Current radar shows a few showers and thunderstorms developing in
the Davis Mountains this afternoon. CAMs have handled this well
and indicate that convection this afternoon will be less than that
seen yesterday. Rain out west diminishes after dark and we then
shift our focus to the north as a cold front slowly moves into
West Texas and eastern New Mexico. An upper disturbance will cause
storms to fire along the front to our north, and the rain will
stay closely associated with the front as they move south
together.

Sunday will be cooler regardless of whether the front arrives
before peak heating or not. Increasing clouds and showers, along
with more easterly flow advecting in cooler gulf air will shave
several degrees off today's highs, especially across the northern
Permian Basin. The QPF is not overly impressive with storm total
precipitation totals only showing 0.25-0.50" so do not anticipate
needing a Flood Watch at this time though it should be stressed
that it is certainly possible isolated areas of flooding will be
possible and everyone should remain alert for.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 149 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

The main area of showers and storms shifts south Sunday night and
into Monday along with the surface cold front. Abundant moisture
will continue rain chances in the Permian Basin but the heavier
rainfall will more likely be in the lower Trans Pecos and Big
Bend. High pressure building in behind the front on Monday gives
well below normal temperatures, mainly in the 80s with only a few
90s along the Rio Grande.

Rain moves south of the area on Tuesday as the cold front reaches
south central Texas and a return of southerly winds brings highs
back into the 90s, though still slightly below normal. Below
normal temps abruptly end Wednesday as high pressure along the
western U.S./Mexico border builds east. Models have been
consistently showing Wednesday and Thursday would be dry with many
locations seeing their first 100 degree day of the summer season.
This has been a cool start to our summer and it had to come to an
end some time, it appears Wednesday is that day. Given the cool
start to the summer, some may not be acclimated to the hotter
temperatures expected so despite temps not quite reaching Heat
Advisory criteria, everyone should be alert for the potential for
heat stress.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1159 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Ceilings have lifted above 3000ft which will continue through most
of the period. Breezy southeasterly to southerly winds (10-15 kts
sustained) are expected again this afternoon and early evening at
most terminals where occasional gusts up to 25-30 kts may occur,
especially at MAF and FST sites. Isolated TS is in store this
afternoon and early evening where highest confidence in occurrence
at CNM. Very low confidence remains at INK, PEQ, and FST. A cold
front is forecast to enter northern sites by tomorrow morning
(10-13Z timeframe). This will bring breezy northerly winds, along
with CIGs below 3000ft across most terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               73  88  65  81 /   0  30  50  60
Carlsbad                 71  89  64  84 /  10  60  80  40
Dryden                   73  96  72  87 /   0  10  60  80
Fort Stockton            71  94  67  84 /   0  30  60  80
Guadalupe Pass           70  83  64  78 /   0  50  80  30
Hobbs                    68  84  61  81 /  10  60  60  50
Marfa                    61  90  59  82 /   0  50  40  80
Midland Intl Airport     72  89  66  81 /   0  30  50  60
Odessa                   72  90  66  81 /   0  40  50  60
Wink                     72  92  66  84 /   0  40  60  60

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...11