Flash Flood Warning 92, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

378 
WGUS74 KMAF 112339
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
639 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

TXC389-475-120200-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0092.000000T0000Z-260612T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Reeves TX-Ward TX-
639 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR CENTRAL REEVES AND WEST CENTRAL WARD COUNTIES...

At 639 PM CDT, emergency management reported flash flooding and cars
stranded in Pecos. Between 1 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen.
Flooding impacts will continue, but no additional rainfall is
expected. Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Pecos, Barstow and Pecos Municipal Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3140 10334 3138 10336 3138 10338 3137 10338
      3137 10340 3135 10341 3135 10344 3134 10345
      3135 10352 3136 10352 3138 10355 3140 10356
      3143 10356 3145 10355 3145 10354 3150 10350
      3150 10339 3147 10334 3145 10334 3145 10333

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
312 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 242 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

- Hot temperatures persist across the area today. The hottest
  temperatures (highs between 104-108, locally nearing 110) will
  be along the Rio Grande and in the Pecos River Valley.

- Temperatures cool down a touch this weekend before a cold front
  brings even cooler conditions early next week.

- Much hotter conditions are possible at the end of next week
  that could cause heat stress.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday night)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Water vapor imagery depicts a broad upper-level trough moving
over the Northern Great Plains, with ridging out ahead of it
across the northeastern CONUS. Meanwhile, upper-level high
pressure to our south brings quasi-zonal flow aloft. This yields
afternoon highs in the upper 90s to above 100 degrees across west
Texas and southeast New Mexico. Similar to yesterday, many spots
along the Pecos River Valley and the Rio Grande can expect to see
highs top out between 104 and 108 degrees, with some spots along
the border (including the Big Bend) seeing temperatures approach
110 degrees. Though temperatures may be limited to high-level
cloud cover over the Pecos River Valley. In addition to the heat,
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon and evening (mainly in and around the Davis Mountains
and the Big Bend, with 10-30% PoPs). Also similar to yesterday, a
few thunderstorms may become strong to marginally severe. The
strongest storms will be capable of producing gusty winds, hail
(up to quarters), and localized areas of flash flooding where
heaviest rainfall occurs.

An approaching cold front reaches our region this evening,
becoming diffuse near our forecast area. This brings low (~10%)
chances of additional shower and thunderstorm development, mainly
across our northernmost counties. By Friday, southeasterly winds
increase and transport more moisture in this upslope flow regime.
This yields higher PoPs (20-50%) across the higher terrain. The
increased moisture and resulting cloud cover brings temperatures
closer to climatology, with afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s
for most.

Greening

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Weak mid level westerly flow keeps temperatures climatologically
hot on Saturday. Models show a cold front reaching the Permian
Basin on Sunday, and combined with increasing clouds and rain will
bring temps down several degrees. Models have become faster in
bringing the front into the CWA and the temperature forecast has
decreased accordingly. The best rain chances in the Permian Basin are
expected along and just behind the front where deep layer
moisture and lift will be greatest late Sunday and into early
Monday. Rain chances continue as the front sags south but will
taper off into Tuesday as the focus of rainfall shifts into the
Big Bend and lower Trans Pecos. Isolated heavy rain and flash
flooding is possible but is not expected to be wide spread enough
to warrant a Flood Watch.

High pressure behind the front builds south with Monday being the
coolest day with highs in the 80s. The high slides east on Tuesday
and returning southerly winds advect in slightly warmer
temperatures though still below what is normal for this time of
year. These cool temperatures should be enjoyed because it will
likely come to an abrupt late in the week as an upper level high
builds into New Mexico and Texas. 593dam 500mb heights and high
pressure centered over West Texas indicates we could be in store
for the hottest temperatures so far this season. This is still
seven days out so much could change but be prepared for very hot
and dry conditions soon.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

VFR conditions prevail at all terminals the next 24 hours. Southerly
to southeasterly breezy winds are expected to persist this TAF
period. A couple of showers and thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon and evening across the Trans Pecos and Stockton Plateau.
However, there is a bit of uncertainty in coverage and timing. As
such, have opted to include PROB30s for TS at FST and PEQ from 19Z-
00Z to account for this.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               74  95  74  98 /  10  10   0   0
Carlsbad                 73  97  70 100 /   0  20  30  20
Dryden                   75  96  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            72  95  71  99 /  20   0  10   0
Guadalupe Pass           71  88  67  90 /   0  30  20  20
Hobbs                    69  93  68  97 /   0  10   0   0
Marfa                    63  91  60  90 /  20  40  50  10
Midland Intl Airport     73  94  72  97 /  10  10   0   0
Odessa                   73  94  72  97 /  10   0   0   0
Wink                     73  96  72 100 /  20   0  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...55

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
253 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

TXZ277>279-112030-
Central Brewster County TX-Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
Davis Mountains TX-
253 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER AND
NORTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM CDT...

At 253 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Alpine. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern
Brewster and northeastern Presidio Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3033 10337 3015 10353 3023 10385 3034 10370
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 122DEG 3KT 3027 10361

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

KLG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
435 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

TXZ274-278-112215-
Reeves County Plains TX-Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
435 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN REEVES AND
NORTHEASTERN JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM CDT...

At 435 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Balmorhea, or 18 miles south of Toyah, moving northwest at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Balmorhea, Balmorhea Lake, Saragosa, Balmorhea State Park, Verhalen,
and Toyahvale.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 between mile markers 196 and 221.
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 7 and 11.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 10341 3090 10386 3118 10399 3133 10363
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 156DEG 6KT 3104 10379

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
517 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

TXZ274-112300-
Reeves County Plains TX-
517 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PECOS AND
SOUTHEASTERN REEVES COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 516 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles northeast of Saragosa, or 18 miles south of Pecos. This
thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Saragosa, Verhalen, Toyah Lake, and B F Goodrich Testing Track.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 near mile marker 210.
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 28 and 31.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3134 10320 3119 10319 3098 10338 3100 10370
      3138 10371
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 093DEG 4KT 3114 10349

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29