Flash Flood Warning 73, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

997 
WGUS74 KMAF 051015
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
515 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXC371-051215-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0073.000000T0000Z-260605T1215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pecos TX-
515 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 AM CDT THIS
MORNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY...

At 515 AM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1
and 2 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5
to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing
or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Fort Stockton, Fort Stockton-Pecos County Airport, Firestone Test
  Track, Girvin and Bakersfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3109 10239 3087 10226 3080 10313 3102 10314
      3116 10309 3119 10245 3115 10242 3112 10243
      3109 10241

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

$$

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261 
WGUS74 KMAF 051209
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
709 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXC371-051219-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FF.W.0073.000000T0000Z-260605T1215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pecos TX-
709 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 715 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR
NORTH CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Please continue to heed remaining road
closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3109 10239 3087 10226 3080 10313 3102 10314
      3116 10309 3119 10245 3115 10242 3112 10243
      3109 10241

$$

93

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
331 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 324 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

- Heavy rainfall in showers/storms across the area today and
  Saturday will likely result in localized flash flooding across
  urban and low-lying areas.

- A warmer and drier weather pattern settles over the region on
  Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 324 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

A few showers/storms are ongoing over the Permian Basin and Trans
Pecos as an upper level low makes its approach from the southwest
out of Mexico. Most of this activity looks to largely diminish by
sunrise. Lift from a series of shortwave impulses, followed by the
main upper-low system, will combine with daytime heating to trigger
isolated to scattered showers/storms later this afternoon. Rain
chances during the afternoon range from 20-50% across our region,
with the best (40-50%) odds overlaying areas west of the Pecos River
and the higher terrain in west Texas. Given plentiful moisture
streaming in aloft, surface dewpoints in upper 50s to 60s, and the
fact that many parts of our region have already seen bouts of
heavy rainfall, localized flash flooding remains a primary concern
Friday afternoon. Aside from occasionally heavy rainfall, a
couple of storms may still produce gusty winds and small hail.
Friday evening and into the overnight hours, rain chances
gradually taper down west to east, as the upper level low
progresses northeast over west Texas.

By Saturday afternoon, the upper low is progged to be situated near
the Texas Panhandle, while a surface trough extends north-south over
the Great Plains. The trough will serve as a focal point for more
shower/storm development Saturday afternoon, as 20-50% rain chances
spread over the Permian Basin and the Lower Trans Pecos. Again,
flash flooding due to locally heavy rainfall will be our primary
concern with storms Saturday afternoon and evening; however, a few
storms may also pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts
over the eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. Aside from
rainfall, lower heights and cloud coverage shall moderate
temperatures during the Short Term period. Highs Friday are expected
to top out in the upper 70s within the higher terrain, with 80s for
almost everyone else. Temperatures Friday night generally cool into
the 60s, then warm into the 80s for most again Saturday. Our warmest
spots will be near and along the river valleys, with highs reaching
the 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 324 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Much warmer and drier conditions take shape beginning on Sunday
lasting through the middle of next week. The upper-level low
bringing rain/storms through Saturday will lift northeast by Sunday
morning. As a result, upper-level ridging builds over west Texas and
southeast New Mexico bringing downslope winds. High temperatures
shoot back into in the mid 90s to lower 100s for most locations from
Sunday through at least the middle of next week. These temperatures
are typical for early June. Lows each night remain similar ranging
from the 60s to lower 70s regionwide. The next notable rain/storm
chances (10-20%) return on Wednesday across the Davis Mountains.
This is thanks to an upper-level storm system developing across the
western CONUS. Cluster analysis is in agreement with this upper-level
system approaching from the west by Wednesday through Friday
timeframe which may bring further rain/storm chances to some parts
of the region. Various solutions amongst model guidance becomes
prevalent late next week on the positioning, strength, and track
of the system. Therefore, the extent of these chances remain
unclear at this time.

Lamberson

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

VFR conditions prevail at most sites through the overnight hours.
A few isolated showers/storms are ongoing south of the Pecos
River, potentially causing brief periods of localized reduced
visibility and ceilings. Most of this activity should dissipate
by sunrise. An upper level low approaches our area Friday
afternoon, allowing for scattered showers/storms to develop
areawide. Thus, PROB30s have been included at most sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               86  65  85  67 /  30  50  50  20
Carlsbad                 88  64  90  65 /  20  30  10   0
Dryden                   86  67  90  69 /  30  40  10   0
Fort Stockton            86  63  89  67 /  50  40  10   0
Guadalupe Pass           78  61  81  64 /  50  30  10   0
Hobbs                    85  61  85  62 /  20  30  10  10
Marfa                    79  53  84  55 /  50  20  10   0
Midland Intl Airport     84  64  85  67 /  30  50  20  10
Odessa                   84  64  85  67 /  30  50  10  10
Wink                     87  64  88  67 /  40  30   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...95
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...95

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
204 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXZ045-050745-
Gaines TX-
204 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL GAINES COUNTY THROUGH
245 AM CDT...

At 204 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles west of Gaines County Airport, or 8 miles southwest of
Seminole, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Seminole, Gaines County Airport, Paynes Corner, and Gaines County
Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3285 10249 3264 10250 3252 10284 3265 10296
      3289 10282
TIME...MOT...LOC 0704Z 235DEG 23KT 3267 10279

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

95