Flash Flood Warning 62, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

471 
WGUS74 KMAF 030635
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
135 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

TXC115-165-030845-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0062.000000T0000Z-260603T0845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Dawson TX-Gaines TX-
135 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT EARLY THIS
MORNING FOR DAWSON AND NORTHEASTERN GAINES COUNTIES...

At 135 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 3 inches of rain have
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Lamesa, Lamesa Municipal Airport, Welch, Los Ybanez, Punkin Center,
  Arvana, Patricia, Tenmile and Klondike.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 10190 3279 10186 3267 10186 3262 10188
      3262 10189 3255 10194 3255 10197 3254 10198
      3254 10214 3255 10214 3255 10218 3257 10219
      3258 10221 3264 10223 3268 10223 3268 10224
      3278 10226 3279 10227 3283 10227 3296 10230

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

29

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1232 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1223 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

- Shower and thunderstorm chances increase across much of west
  Texas and southeast New Mexico starting tonight through at
  least Friday. We will be keeping a close eye on the flash flood
  potential during this time.

- Cloud cover and rain chances keep temperatures below normal
  Wednesday through Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

An active weather pattern once again develops for west Texas and
southeast New Mexico starting this afternoon. Upper-level troughing
is evident this afternoon near southern California. This trough will
gradually make its way towards our area through the rest of the
week. In the meantime, once again this afternoon scattered showers
and thunderstorms will develop across the higher terrain west of the
Pecos River. Similar to yesterday, storms that develop this
afternoon could become strong to marginally severe, posing a large
hail and damaging wind threat. For tonight, the latest runs of
convective-allowing models have come into better agreement depicting
a cluster of storms developing in southeast New Mexico and moving
across the Permian Basin. By this time, precipitable water will have
increased to 1.0-1.5 inches across the area, which is well over the
90th percentile (approaching daily record territory). As a result,
flash flooding will be our main concern as this cluster moves across
these areas.

The cluster of storms clears the area by Wednesday morning. After
that occurs, forecast confidence becomes lower overall. Guidance
indicates there may be a general break in activity late Wednesday
morning into the afternoon for portions of the area (mainly much of
the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico). However, medium (40-
60%) PoPs are maintained in the higher terrain west of the Pecos
thanks to continued upslope flow. Additional showers and
thunderstorms may once again move across portions of southeast New
Mexico and the Permian Basin Wednesday night/early Thursday morning,
but convective-allowing models have been notably slower to catch
onto this solution than coarser resolution models. In any case, rain
chances will continue from early Thursday morning through portions
of the Long Term Period as the trough continues its slow approach
towards our area. While issuing a Flood Watch was heavily considered
on this shift, low confidence in shower/storm coverage after tonight
and the potential for long breaks in activity dissuaded us from
doing so yet. That being said, should model agreement increase and
converge towards a wetter solution Wednesday onward, a watch may be
deemed necessary later on (especially given our anomalously high
PWATs and antecedent wet soils). Otherwise, highs today top out in
the upper 80s and low 90s, but fall into the 80s for most tomorrow
thanks to dense cloud cover.

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

The unsettled weather pattern will continue across west Texas and
southeast New Mexico through the latter part of the week. A slow
moving upper-level trough will remain oriented over eastern New
Mexico and west Texas Thursday into Thursday night. An upper-level
low will gradually become cut off over the vicinity of Sonora/
Chihuahua MX on Friday. Abundant deep-layer moisture will remain
oriented over our forecast area ahead of this system through late
this week with precipitable water values remaining very high
between 1.0-1.4 inches. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop across the region Thursday into Friday,
with the best chances (50-70 percent) focused from the Permian
Basin to the Lower Trans Pecos/Davis Mountains/Marfa Plateau/
Big Bend region. We will need to continue to monitor the potential
for locally heavy rainfall and an associated flooding threat with
storms that develop in the moist airmass across our region late
this week. A few strong to marginally severe storms will be
possible during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will
remain below normal through the end of the week with highs mostly
in the 80s and lows generally in the 60s.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to
develop across the region on Saturday as the upper-level trough
axis remains over the region. This feature finally shifts to the
east of our region on Sunday with upper-level ridging building in
through Monday. Convection will become much less in coverage and
mainly relegated to the eastern Permian Basin/Lower Trans Pecos
both days. Temperatures heat back up into the 90s Sunday and
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A cluster of storms has developed into a messy line that
currently spans from the north-central Permian Basin, southwest
toward Van Horn. Scattered storms continue to develop along this
line, with northwesterly outflow gusting between 30-40kts,
occasionally higher. This system looks to continue through much
of the overnight hours, bringing gusty winds and scattered storms
to most terminals. Expect amendments as necessary and occasional
moments of MVFR conditions. Storm activity looks to largely
diminish around sunrise, before redeveloping Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               85  65  84  65 /  50  50  60  60
Carlsbad                 84  63  85  64 /  30  50  30  30
Dryden                   90  69  87  68 /  40  30  30  70
Fort Stockton            87  65  87  65 /  60  30  50  50
Guadalupe Pass           77  61  79  63 /  40  50  40  40
Hobbs                    80  60  82  60 /  60  50  60  40
Marfa                    83  55  82  54 /  60  30  80  70
Midland Intl Airport     83  65  83  65 /  70  50  50  50
Odessa                   82  65  83  65 /  70  50  50  50
Wink                     84  64  85  64 /  60  50  40  40

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch until 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ this morning for Andrews-
     Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis
     Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern
     Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Lower Brewster
     County-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Pecos-Presidio Valley-
     Reeves County Plains-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
     Ward-Winkler.

NM...Flood Watch until 9 AM MDT Wednesday for Central Lea-Eddy County
     Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea-
     Southern Lea.

&&

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...95

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1029 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0741 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     6 W Whites City         32.17N 104.48W
06/02/2026  M73 MPH          Eddy               NM   Mesonet

            Mesonet at Carlsbad Caverns NP recorded a
            thunderstorm wind gust of 73 mph.

&&

JL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1048 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045-050-059>061-030430-
Southern Lea County NM-Northern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-
Loving TX-Andrews TX-Ector TX-Gaines TX-Winkler TX-
1048 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LEA...NORTHWESTERN
ECTOR...WESTERN ANDREWS...WESTERN GAINES...NORTHERN WINKLER AND
NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM CDT/1030 PM MDT/...

At 1047 PM CDT/947 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 9 miles southwest of Bronco
to 11 miles east of Nadine to 8 miles northwest of Kermit. Movement
was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hobbs, Lovington, Seminole, Kermit, Eunice, Jal, Monument, Humble
City, Eunice Airport, Jal Airport, Nadine, Gaines County Airport,
Florey, Knowles, Notrees, Bennett, Frankel City, Lea County Regional
Airport, Industrial Airpark, and Oil Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3302 10306 3296 10306 3296 10264 3252 10252
      3179 10277 3192 10366 3269 10342 3305 10354
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 280DEG 24KT 3314 10314 3257 10294 3197 10315

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1058 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ047-048-053-030445-
Mitchell TX-Scurry TX-Borden TX-
1058 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SCURRY...NORTH CENTRAL MITCHELL
AND CENTRAL BORDEN COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 PM CDT...

At 1058 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 8 miles west of Snyder, moving west at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Snyder, Gail, Fluvanna, J B Thomas Reservoir, Dunn, Randalls Corner,
Winston Field, Ira, and Knapp.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3246 10086 3274 10163 3296 10152 3296 10117
      3297 10106 3276 10077
TIME...MOT...LOC 0358Z 106DEG 26KT 3272 10106

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1128 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045-046-050-051-060>062-030515-
Southern Lea County NM-Northern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-
Midland TX-Martin TX-Dawson TX-Andrews TX-Ector TX-Gaines TX-
Winkler TX-
1128 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LEA...ECTOR...
ANDREWS...WESTERN MIDLAND...GAINES...WINKLER...WESTERN MARTIN AND
WESTERN DAWSON COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 AM CDT/1115 PM MDT/...

At 1128 PM CDT/1028 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Seagraves to Andrews
to near Goldsmith to 9 miles southeast of Kermit. Movement was east
at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Midland, Odessa, Andrews, Seminole, Kermit, Seagraves, Jal, Wink,
Goldsmith, Seagraves Airport, Jal Airport, Midland International Air
and Space Port, Gaines County Airport, Welch, West Odessa, Cotton
Flat, Patricia, McKenzie Lake, Midland Airpark, and Bennett.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 93 and 143.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 10306 3296 10203 3223 10198 3192 10199
      3167 10215 3167 10329 3200 10329 3227 10310
      3307 10311 3307 10306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0428Z 273DEG 32KT 3295 10263 3233 10256 3201 10270
3178 10295

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1214 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

TXZ045-046-050-051-060>063-067>069-030600-
Midland TX-Martin TX-Dawson TX-Andrews TX-Crane TX-Ector TX-
Glasscock TX-Upton TX-Ward TX-Gaines TX-Winkler TX-
1214 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK...ECTOR...
EASTERN ANDREWS...NORTHEASTERN WARD...MIDLAND...EASTERN GAINES...
SOUTHEASTERN WINKLER...MARTIN...NORTHERN CRANE...DAWSON AND
NORTHWESTERN UPTON COUNTIES THROUGH 100 AM CDT...

At 1214 AM CDT, observations showed strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from Welch to near Midland International Air and
Space Port to 7 miles east of Monahans.
Movement was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Weather observations.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Midland, Odessa, Andrews, Lamesa, Monahans, Seminole, Kermit,
Seagraves, Wink, Greenwood, Stanton, Goldsmith, Seagraves Airport,
Lenorah, Midland International Air and Space Port, Welch, West
Odessa, Lamesa Municipal Airport, Gaines County Airport, and Los
Ybanez.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 82 and 162.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 10165 3138 10226 3173 10331 3216 10266
      3296 10264 3296 10184
TIME...MOT...LOC 0514Z 290DEG 28KT 3293 10216 3197 10217 3159 10276

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1238 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 NNE Seminole          32.74N 102.64W
06/02/2026  M61 MPH          Gaines             TX   Mesonet

            Mesonet at Seminole recorded a thunderstorm
            wind gust of 61 mph associated with outflow.

&&

JL