Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

003 
WGUS74 KMAF 030455
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1155 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXC033-415-030730-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-260603T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Borden TX-Scurry TX-
1155 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT WEDNESDAY
FOR NORTHEASTERN BORDEN AND WESTERN SCURRY COUNTIES...

At 1155 PM CDT, gauge reports indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 3 inches of rain have
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible in the
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Gauges reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Snyder, Fluvanna, Randalls Corner, Knapp, Winston Field and Ira.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3261 10118 3268 10123 3269 10125 3275 10127
      3275 10128 3290 10133 3296 10133 3297 10112
      3289 10106 3289 10105 3276 10097 3275 10095
      3273 10095 3272 10093 3266 10090 3258 10090
      3254 10095 3254 10104 3256 10110 3257 10110

FLASH FLOOD...GAUGE INDICATED

$$

29

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
601 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 556 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

- Shower and thunderstorm chances increase across much of west
  Texas and southeast New Mexico starting tonight through at
  least Friday. We will be keeping a close eye on the flash flood
  potential during this time.

- Cloud cover and rain chances keep temperatures below normal
  Wednesday through Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

An active weather pattern once again develops for west Texas and
southeast New Mexico starting this afternoon. Upper-level troughing
is evident this afternoon near southern California. This trough will
gradually make its way towards our area through the rest of the
week. In the meantime, once again this afternoon scattered showers
and thunderstorms will develop across the higher terrain west of the
Pecos River. Similar to yesterday, storms that develop this
afternoon could become strong to marginally severe, posing a large
hail and damaging wind threat. For tonight, the latest runs of
convective-allowing models have come into better agreement depicting
a cluster of storms developing in southeast New Mexico and moving
across the Permian Basin. By this time, precipitable water will have
increased to 1.0-1.5 inches across the area, which is well over the
90th percentile (approaching daily record territory). As a result,
flash flooding will be our main concern as this cluster moves across
these areas.

The cluster of storms clears the area by Wednesday morning. After
that occurs, forecast confidence becomes lower overall. Guidance
indicates there may be a general break in activity late Wednesday
morning into the afternoon for portions of the area (mainly much of
the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico). However, medium (40-
60%) PoPs are maintained in the higher terrain west of the Pecos
thanks to continued upslope flow. Additional showers and
thunderstorms may once again move across portions of southeast New
Mexico and the Permian Basin Wednesday night/early Thursday morning,
but convective-allowing models have been notably slower to catch
onto this solution than coarser resolution models. In any case, rain
chances will continue from early Thursday morning through portions
of the Long Term Period as the trough continues its slow approach
towards our area. While issuing a Flood Watch was heavily considered
on this shift, low confidence in shower/storm coverage after tonight
and the potential for long breaks in activity dissuaded us from
doing so yet. That being said, should model agreement increase and
converge towards a wetter solution Wednesday onward, a watch may be
deemed necessary later on (especially given our anomalously high
PWATs and antecedent wet soils). Otherwise, highs today top out in
the upper 80s and low 90s, but fall into the 80s for most tomorrow
thanks to dense cloud cover.

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

The unsettled weather pattern will continue across west Texas and
southeast New Mexico through the latter part of the week. A slow
moving upper-level trough will remain oriented over eastern New
Mexico and west Texas Thursday into Thursday night. An upper-level
low will gradually become cut off over the vicinity of Sonora/
Chihuahua MX on Friday. Abundant deep-layer moisture will remain
oriented over our forecast area ahead of this system through late
this week with precipitable water values remaining very high
between 1.0-1.4 inches. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop across the region Thursday into Friday,
with the best chances (50-70 percent) focused from the Permian
Basin to the Lower Trans Pecos/Davis Mountains/Marfa Plateau/
Big Bend region. We will need to continue to monitor the potential
for locally heavy rainfall and an associated flooding threat with
storms that develop in the moist airmass across our region late
this week. A few strong to marginally severe storms will be
possible during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will
remain below normal through the end of the week with highs mostly
in the 80s and lows generally in the 60s.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to
develop across the region on Saturday as the upper-level trough
axis remains over the region. This feature finally shifts to the
east of our region on Sunday with upper-level ridging building in
through Monday. Convection will become much less in coverage and
mainly relegated to the eastern Permian Basin/Lower Trans Pecos
both days. Temperatures heat back up into the 90s Sunday and
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 556 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

Quite the messy setup over the next few hours as TS become more
widespread west of the terminals and spread east. We expect a
complex of storms with gusty outflow winds affecting all terminals
through the evening and overnight. Amendments are likely as the
complex evolves and shifts east. A lull in storms is possible
after sunrise with skies clearing from west to east.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               68  85  65  84 /  40  50  50  60
Carlsbad                 64  84  63  85 /  80  30  50  30
Dryden                   72  90  69  87 /  20  40  30  30
Fort Stockton            67  87  65  87 /  40  60  30  50
Guadalupe Pass           62  77  61  79 /  50  40  50  40
Hobbs                    61  80  60  82 /  70  60  50  60
Marfa                    56  83  55  82 /  30  60  30  80
Midland Intl Airport     67  83  65  83 /  60  70  50  50
Odessa                   66  82  65  83 /  60  70  50  50
Wink                     66  84  64  85 /  60  60  50  40

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for Andrews-Central
     Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis
     Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern
     Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Lower Brewster
     County-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Pecos-Presidio Valley-
     Reeves County Plains-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
     Ward-Winkler.

NM...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for Central Lea-Eddy
     County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern
     Lea-Southern Lea.

&&

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
901 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

NMZ028-029-033-034-TXZ059-273-274-030245-
Southern Lea County NM-Eddy County Plains NM-Northern Lea County NM-
Central Lea County NM-Loving TX-Eastern Culberson County TX-
Reeves County Plains TX-
901 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN EDDY...WESTERN LEA...
NORTHWESTERN REEVES...NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON AND NORTHWESTERN LOVING
COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM CDT/845 PM MDT/...

At 901 PM CDT/801 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 11 miles northwest of
Maljamar to 21 miles northeast of Loving to 16 miles west of Orla.
Movement was east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Carlsbad, Loving, Avalon, Maljamar, Malaga, Caprock, Carlsbad North,
Red Bluff Reservoir, Orla, Whites City, Carlsbad Caverns National
Park, Lea County Zip Franklin Memorial Airport, Loco Hills, Otis,
Cavern City Air Terminal, Living Desert State Park, Halfway, Lake
Avalon, and Red Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3258 10339 3168 10376 3167 10450 3296 10428
      3297 10377 3340 10377 3340 10372 3357 10372
      3357 10340
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 251DEG 24KT 3301 10384 3248 10380 3179 10418

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
934 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0734 PM     Flash Flood      2 WSW Study Butte       29.33N 103.55W
06/02/2026                   Brewster           TX   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Video from Terlingua Fire Department shows
            water overflowing the banks of one of the
            creeks near Terlingua.

&&

JL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
954 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

NMZ028-029-033-034-TXZ059-030345-
Southern Lea County NM-Eddy County Plains NM-Northern Lea County NM-
Central Lea County NM-Loving TX-
954 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN EDDY...LEA...NORTHWESTERN
REEVES...NORTHWESTERN GAINES...NORTHWESTERN WINKLER AND NORTHERN
LOVING COUNTIES THROUGH 1045 PM CDT/945 PM MDT/...

At 954 PM CDT/854 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 15 miles south of Caprock
to 9 miles west of Monument to 17 miles east of Red Bluff Reservoir.
Movement was northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, Tatum, Monument, Humble City,
Maljamar, Crossroads, Eunice Airport, Caprock, McDonald, Jal Airport,
Nadine, Gladiola, Tatum Airport, Knowles, Halfway, Bennett, and Lea
County Regional Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3200 10307 3199 10398 3200 10401 3266 10379
      3297 10385 3297 10376 3340 10377 3340 10372
      3357 10372 3357 10306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0254Z 244DEG 18KT 3318 10364 3260 10343 3200 10364

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1029 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0741 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     6 W Whites City         32.17N 104.48W
06/02/2026  M73 MPH          Eddy               NM   Mesonet

            Mesonet at Carlsbad Caverns NP recorded a
            thunderstorm wind gust of 73 mph.

&&

JL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1048 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045-050-059>061-030430-
Southern Lea County NM-Northern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-
Loving TX-Andrews TX-Ector TX-Gaines TX-Winkler TX-
1048 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LEA...NORTHWESTERN
ECTOR...WESTERN ANDREWS...WESTERN GAINES...NORTHERN WINKLER AND
NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM CDT/1030 PM MDT/...

At 1047 PM CDT/947 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 9 miles southwest of Bronco
to 11 miles east of Nadine to 8 miles northwest of Kermit. Movement
was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hobbs, Lovington, Seminole, Kermit, Eunice, Jal, Monument, Humble
City, Eunice Airport, Jal Airport, Nadine, Gaines County Airport,
Florey, Knowles, Notrees, Bennett, Frankel City, Lea County Regional
Airport, Industrial Airpark, and Oil Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3302 10306 3296 10306 3296 10264 3252 10252
      3179 10277 3192 10366 3269 10342 3305 10354
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 280DEG 24KT 3314 10314 3257 10294 3197 10315

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1058 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ047-048-053-030445-
Mitchell TX-Scurry TX-Borden TX-
1058 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SCURRY...NORTH CENTRAL MITCHELL
AND CENTRAL BORDEN COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 PM CDT...

At 1058 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 8 miles west of Snyder, moving west at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Snyder, Gail, Fluvanna, J B Thomas Reservoir, Dunn, Randalls Corner,
Winston Field, Ira, and Knapp.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3246 10086 3274 10163 3296 10152 3296 10117
      3297 10106 3276 10077
TIME...MOT...LOC 0358Z 106DEG 26KT 3272 10106

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

29