Flash Flood Warning 47, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

676 
WGUS74 KMAF 300237
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
937 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

TXC371-300415-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0047.000000T0000Z-260530T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pecos TX-
937 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY...

At 937 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 4 inches of rain have
fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Bakersfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 10198 3091 10197 3070 10252 3095 10262
      3105 10230 3103 10228 3104 10225 3103 10221
      3100 10219 3102 10218 3100 10214 3100 10213
      3099 10211 3100 10210 3099 10208 3100 10205
      3100 10203 3098 10201 3099 10199

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Greening

325 
WGUS74 KMAF 300351
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1051 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

TXC371-300401-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FF.W.0047.000000T0000Z-260530T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pecos TX-
1051 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR EAST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 10252 3095 10262 3105 10230 3103 10228
      3104 10225 3103 10221 3100 10219 3102 10218
      3101 10217 3101 10216 3100 10214 3099 10211
      3100 10210 3099 10208 3100 10204 3100 10203
      3098 10201 3099 10199 3098 10198 3091 10197

$$

55

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
618 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 614 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

- Any isolated storms that develop later this afternoon and
  evening will carry a risk of damaging winds, large hail, and
  brief heavy rainfall.

- Warmer conditions with isolated to scattered showers/storms
  expected through early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday night)
Issued at 106 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

WV imagery this afternoon shows the upper trough centered over
southern Nevada, putting West Texas and Southeast New Mexico under
southwest flow aloft.  A mid-lvl speed max rounding the base of the
trough will bring 40-50 kts of deep layer shear into the area this
afternoon, suggesting severe convection will be possible.  However,
this remains inconclusive due to cloud cover, associated CIN, and
rather tepid mid-lvl lapse rates.

Tonight, a 40 kt LLJ is forecast to develop, keeping the boundary
layer mixed.  Combined w/plenty of cloud cover, overnight lows
should come in ~ 6-8 F above climatology.

Saturday, surface winds are forecast to veer to SW, adding a
downslope warming component to assist increasing thicknesses and
adding a couple of degrees to today's highs, bringing them to 7-9 F
above normal.  These winds will also mix the dryline east, confining
convective chances mainly to the lower Trans Pecos.

Saturday night, the LLJ isn't forecast to be quite as strong as
tonight.  This, along w/less cloud cover, should shave 3-4 F off of
overnight lows.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 106 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Sunday, a weak upper ridge looks to be centered just off to our
east, with an upper trough overlaying the western US. This leaves
our region under southwesterly flow aloft, wherein which several
disturbances are expected to pass overhead Sunday and Monday.
Meanwhile, surface low pressure over the Central Plains draws
moist and breezy, south/southeasterly winds over the eastern
portions of our area both afternoons. By Sunday afternoon, a
dryline is progged to extend NE-SW across the Permian Basin, then
south into the Big Bend. Sufficient lift ahead of the dryline and
associated with a passing upper disturbance brings low to medium
(10-60%) rain chances to the Permian Basin, the Upper and Lower
Tans Pecos, and the higher terrain in west Texas. Best odds
(40-60%) will be in/near the Davis Mountains. Rain chances taper
down Sunday evening, then increase to 10-30% nearly areawide
Monday afternoon, as the dryline waffles back west and another
disturbance progresses overhead. Rain chances persist Tuesday
onward due to a continued flow of disturbances aloft and surface
moisture out of the southeast. Our best shot at rainfall across
the area will be during the latter half of the week, as an upper
low approaches.

Despite rain chances, temperatures Sunday and Monday are forecast
to top out above normal. Sunday will be the hottest of the two
days, as afternoon highs reach the upper 90s and triple digits
(mainly near and along the river valleys). Monday's highs shall
warm to just a few degrees shy of Sunday's. Temperatures trend
cooler Tuesday through the end of the week given increased cloud
coverage and rain chances. By midweek, many locations currently
look to see highs in the 80s. Overnight lows are generally
expected to cool into the 60s each night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

VFR prevails at all terminals through tonight. IsoT remains
possible mainly for MAF/FST, but confidence remains low of impact
from any convection at this time. Winds settle around or below
10kts overnight with directions mainly out of the south to
southwest.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               71  96  69  99 /  10   0   0  10
Carlsbad                 68  96  61 101 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   73  97  71  98 /  10  20   0  10
Fort Stockton            70  97  67  99 /  10  10   0  40
Guadalupe Pass           66  85  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    65  95  61  98 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                    59  91  56  93 /   0   0   0  50
Midland Intl Airport     70  95  68  97 /   0   0   0  10
Odessa                   70  95  68  97 /   0   0   0  20
Wink                     69  97  66 100 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...93

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
727 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     Hail             Gail                    32.77N 101.44W
05/23/2026  M1.50 Inch       Borden             TX   Public

            Delayed public report.

&&

cas

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
808 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0804 PM     Flash Flood      4 E Bakersfield         30.89N 102.23W
05/29/2026                   Pecos              TX   NWS Employee

            Off duty NWS employee reports frontage road
            at I-10 and RM 2886 covered in water and not
            passable.

&&

cas