Flash Flood Warning 46, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
642 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 640 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

- A few severe storms will be possible across portions of
  southeast New Mexico and across the Lower Trans Pecos. Large
  hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two may be seen with the
  most organized storms.

- Drier and warmer conditions take shape by the middle to latter
  half of the work week before storm chances increase by the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 102 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

A line of storms stretching from the northern Permian Basin south
into Terrell County continues to slowly move to the east bringing 1-
2" of rain with locally higher amounts to many locations. As this
activity clears out, daytime heating over southeast New Mexico, the
Davis Mountains, and areas generally south of I-10 may see new
isolated storms develop. A few may become strong to severe with
large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two being the main
threats out of the most organized storms. Afternoon activity will
dissipate or move out of the area by after sunset this evening.
Temperatures settle below normal into the 50s and 60s tonight. With
the aforementioned upper level disturbance moving off to the
northeast, temperatures warm up into the 80s for most with 90s down
along the Rio Grande. Isolated storms once again develop over the
Davis Mountains and into southeast New Mexico. However, less upper
level support will limit just how intense and how long lasting most
of this activity will be. Bouts of heavy rain, lightning, small
hail, and gusty winds will accompany some of this convection.
Wednesday night temperatures fall just below normal in the 50s and
60s.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 102 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

Upper-level ridging continues to build into the region on Thursday,
yielding afternoon highs in the 80s for most (90s near/along the Rio
Grande). By Friday, shortwave impulses embedded in southwest flow
aloft coupled with increased moisture and dryline forcing brings low
to medium (generally 20-50%) chances of isolated to scattered
showers/storms across much of the area. Guidance shows a similar
pattern going into the weekend and early next week, keeping chances
(10-40%) of rain in the forecast. It is important to note that there
is uncertainty in timing, amounts, and severity of activity at the
moment. Naturally, we will continue to monitor trends over the next
several days and adjust the forecast accordingly. Otherwise,
afternoon highs in the 80s to low 90s can continue to be expected.

Greening

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 640 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

VFR is expected to remain prevalent through the period. Isolated
TSRA just south of KCNM at 2330Z should move out of the vicinity
shortly. A few SHRA/TSRA from Eddy County down to the Davis
Mountains may progress east for the next 2-3 hours before a
weakening trend is anticipated after sunset. Confidence was low
enough to keep mention out of KPEQ and KINK for now but will amend
if necessary.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               59  82  62  86 /  30  10   0  10
Carlsbad                 57  84  60  87 /  10   0   0   0
Dryden                   65  87  67  90 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            59  86  63  89 /   0  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           55  78  60  80 /   0  10   0  10
Hobbs                    54  82  57  85 /  20   0   0   0
Marfa                    50  84  52  88 /   0  20   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     59  82  62  85 /  10  10   0   0
Odessa                   59  82  62  86 /  10   0  10   0
Wink                     58  84  62  87 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...21

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
327 PM MDT Tue May 26 2026

NMZ027-028-262215-
Eddy County Plains NM-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County NM-
327 PM MDT Tue May 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY THROUGH
415 PM MDT...

At 327 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles north of Lincoln National Forest, or 22 miles south of Hope,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lincoln National Forest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 10485 3252 10484 3261 10484 3243 10443
      3218 10466 3235 10485
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 312DEG 17KT 3249 10482

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
511 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

TXZ272-273-278-262300-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor TX-Eastern Culberson County TX-
Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
511 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY
THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 511 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles north of Van Horn, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central
Culberson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3112 10487 3130 10489 3139 10446 3112 10442
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 262DEG 16KT 3122 10478

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
602 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

TXZ271>273-262345-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor TX-Eastern Culberson County TX-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains TX-
602 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CULBERSON COUNTY
THROUGH 645 PM CDT...

At 602 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 29 miles southeast of Pine Springs, moving east at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern
Culberson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3174 10438 3136 10426 3138 10491 3165 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 254DEG 10KT 3152 10456

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
647 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

NMZ028-TXZ059-273-274-270030-
Eddy County Plains NM-Loving TX-Eastern Culberson County TX-
Reeves County Plains TX-
647 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN EDDY...NORTHWESTERN
REEVES...NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON AND NORTHWESTERN LOVING COUNTIES
THROUGH 730 PM CDT/630 PM MDT/...

At 647 PM CDT/547 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 10 miles southwest of Malaga, or 22 miles south of
Carlsbad, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Red Bluff Reservoir and Red Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3197 10427 3216 10418 3215 10376 3187 10390
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 284DEG 23KT 3208 10415

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

13

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
654 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0629 PM     Hail             2 ENE Whites City       32.19N 104.34W
05/26/2026  M1.00 Inch       Eddy               NM   Trained Spotter

            Trained spotter found dime to quarter sized
            hail along U.S. Highway 62/180.

&&

21

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
711 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

TXZ273-274-278-270100-
Eastern Culberson County TX-Reeves County Plains TX-
Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
711 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN REEVES...NORTHERN
JEFF DAVIS AND SOUTHEASTERN CULBERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 711 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northeast of Kent, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Toyah.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 between mile markers 181 and 197.
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 0 and 27.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3134 10415 3138 10371 3102 10372 3103 10405
      3104 10405 3103 10406 3105 10408 3103 10410
      3103 10416
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 278DEG 18KT 3125 10408

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

13