Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

956 
WGUS74 KMAF 232231
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
531 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXC329-461-240045-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260524T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Midland TX-Upton TX-
531 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND AND NORTHERN UPTON COUNTIES...

At 531 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 2.5 and 3 inches of rain have
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Midkiff and Skywest Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3165 10220 3175 10214 3196 10202 3187 10178
      3178 10178 3158 10184 3134 10205 3147 10232
      3148 10232

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

95

340 
WGUS74 KMAF 232231 RRA
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
531 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXC329-461-240045-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260524T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Midland TX-Upton TX-
531 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND AND NORTHERN UPTON COUNTIES...

At 531 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 2.5 and 3 inches of rain have
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Midkiff and Skywest Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3165 10220 3175 10214 3196 10202 3187 10178
      3178 10178 3158 10184 3134 10205 3147 10232
      3148 10232

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

95

563 
WGUS74 KMAF 232334
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
634 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXC329-461-240045-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260524T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Midland TX-Upton TX-
634 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND AND NORTHERN UPTON COUNTIES...

At 634 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 4 inches of rain have
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Midkiff and Skywest Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3165 10220 3175 10214 3196 10202 3187 10178
      3178 10178 3158 10184 3134 10205 3147 10232
      3148 10232

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

95

750 
WGUS74 KMAF 232359
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
659 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXC329-461-240045-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260524T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Midland TX-Upton TX-
659 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND AND NORTHERN UPTON COUNTIES...

At 659 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 4 inches of rain have
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in
the warned area, specifically within northern Upton County. Flash
flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Midkiff and Skywest Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3165 10220 3175 10214 3196 10202 3187 10178
      3178 10178 3158 10184 3134 10205 3147 10232
      3148 10232

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

95

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
309 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 309 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms will develop this
  afternoon and evening. A few storms may become strong to severe,
  particularly over the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos.

- Storms become more isolated in nature on Sunday before
  increasing again during the early to middle part of next week
  ahead of the next approaching system. A few storms could become
  strong to severe with heavy rainfall and localized flash
  flooding.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 309 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Current mesoanalysis depicts an upper-level shortwave trough
approaching our area. Ahead of this trough, a few showers and
thunderstorms developed this morning over the higher terrain from
the Davis Mountains into the Big Bend. Currently, additional showers
and thunderstorm are developing and will soon expand into the Lower
Trans-Pecos and the central/eastern Permian Basin, continuing
through the rest of the afternoon into this evening. While there is
still ample instability across these areas (MUCAPE values between
1000-2000 J/kg), deep-layer shear looks a bit less impressive than
in previous days (0-6 km shear mainly between 15-25 kts). Downdraft
CAPE also tends to be between 1000-1500 J/kg this afternoon. All
that being said, a few storms may become strong to severe, posing a
large hail and damaging wind threat. Localized flash flooding will
be an additional concern, especially considering the somewhat slow
storm motion observed so far today. Highs top out in the upper 80s
and low 90s for much of the area, with overnight lows dropping down
into the 50s and low 60s. On Sunday, weak ridging sets up over west
Texas and southeast New Mexico. This results in lower shower and
thunderstorm chances overall tomorrow. However, upsloping
easterly/southeasterly winds will allow for isolated showers and
thunderstorms to develop in/near the higher terrain in our western
zones, particularly around the Davis Mountains Sunday afternoon. A
storm or two may become strong, but the severe threat looks lower
overall. Highs and lows end up similar to today's.

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 309 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Weak upper-level ridging will build across much of west Texas
on Monday before shifting to our east by Monday evening as the
next upper-level trough begins to deepen over the western CONUS.
A shortwave trough embedded within the southwesterly flow aloft
ahead of this system will translate across far west Texas into
southern New Mexico MOnday afternoon and evening and then across
much of the rest of our forecast area by late Monday night.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms (20-40% chance)
are forecast to develop ahead of this feature over areas west of
the Pecos River Monday afternoon, with scattered to numerous
(mainly 30-70% chances) spreading into much of the forecast area
Monday evening through late Monday night. A few storms could be
strong with locally heavy rainfall again Monday evening/night.
Southwesterly flow aloft will persist into Tuesday, with
additional embedded shortwave impulses providing ascent in the
moist/unstable airmass to aid in the continued development of
scattered to numerous (generally 30-70%) thunderstorms over most
areas along and east of the mountains during the day Tuesday.
Moderate instability and a slight increase in deep-layer shear may
favor organized convection on Tuesday afternoon and evening, and
we will have to monitor for the potential for another round of
strong to severe storms, along with locally heavy rainfall over
the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos where precipitable water
values may range between 1" and 1.25". Temperatures on Monday will
average near normal with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s for
most. Slightly cooler temperatures return for Tuesday with the
increased moisture and rain chances.

Upper-level ridging will amplify over west Texas and southeast
New Mexico during the middle to latter half of the week. Isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible on
Wednesday afternoon, mainly over the eastern Permian Basin. Storm
coverage should become more isolated in nature Thursday into
Friday with the building ridge aloft. Temperatures warm back up to
slightly above normal readings in the lower to mid 90s over the
bulk of our CWA late this week, with a few readings along the Rio
Grande topping out in the upper 90s to around 105 degrees along
the Rio Grande.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

VFR conditions and generally light southerly to southeasterly winds
prevail through the period. Thunderstorms are beginning to develop
across eastern and southern portions of the area. PROB30s for TS
have been maintained at MAF and FST, and have been introduced at HOB
as well for this afternoon. Guidance continues to indicate gusty
winds will briefly develop at all terminals this evening before
becoming light again overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               61  87  63  88 /  40   0  10   0
Carlsbad                 60  94  62  93 /   0  20   0  10
Dryden                   65  90  65  90 /  10   0  10   0
Fort Stockton            61  91  63  91 /   0  10   0  10
Guadalupe Pass           60  85  61  84 /   0  20   0  40
Hobbs                    57  90  59  90 /   0  10  10  10
Marfa                    51  87  51  87 /   0  20   0  10
Midland Intl Airport     62  88  63  88 /  20   0   0   0
Odessa                   62  88  64  89 /  10  10   0   0
Wink                     62  92  63  92 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1245 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ276-281-231830-
Presidio Valley TX-Marfa Plateau TX-
1245 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL PRESIDIO COUNTY
THROUGH 130 PM CDT...

At 1245 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 22
miles northeast of Big Bend Ranch State Park, moving northeast at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Casa Piedra.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2970 10397 2974 10410 3002 10405 2994 10380
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 203DEG 9KT 2983 10399

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

21

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
132 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ277-278-231915-
Davis Mountains Foothills TX-Davis Mountains TX-
132 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER AND
NORTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM CDT...

At 131 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Alpine, moving northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Alpine and Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3054 10353 3039 10331 3029 10342 3028 10346
      3027 10347 3026 10346 3014 10360 3016 10361
      3016 10363 3026 10382
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 233DEG 5KT 3033 10359

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
258 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ277-278-232045-
Davis Mountains Foothills TX-Davis Mountains TX-
258 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER...
SOUTHEASTERN JEFF DAVIS AND EASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM
CDT...

At 258 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Camp Mitre Peak, or 11 miles west of Alpine, moving northeast at 5
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport and Camp Mitre Peak.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3029 10377 3037 10398 3060 10383 3046 10359
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 209DEG 5KT 3041 10385

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
355 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ068>070-075-232145-
Pecos TX-Reagan TX-Crane TX-Upton TX-
355 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL PECOS...WEST
CENTRAL REAGAN...SOUTHEASTERN CRANE AND UPTON COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM
CDT...

At 355 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles west of McCamey, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Crane County Airport, Upton County Airport,
King Mountain, and Girvin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 10183 3108 10229 3109 10237 3107 10235
      3105 10243 3125 10253 3165 10211 3165 10208
      3153 10172
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 236DEG 12KT 3119 10240

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

95

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
428 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ062-063-232215-
Midland TX-Glasscock TX-
428 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK...EASTERN
MIDLAND...SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD AND NORTHEASTERN UPTON COUNTIES THROUGH
515 PM CDT...

At 426 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles southeast of Midland, moving northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Greenwood and Spraberry.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3165 10188 3165 10194 3178 10212 3204 10192
      3209 10160 3186 10157
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 217DEG 6KT 3180 10198

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

95

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
428 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ062-063-232215-
Midland TX-Glasscock TX-
428 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK...EASTERN
MIDLAND AND SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM CDT...

At 428 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles southeast of Midland, moving northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Greenwood and Spraberry.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3172 10180 3165 10194 3178 10212 3204 10192
      3209 10160 3186 10157
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 217DEG 6KT 3180 10198

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

95