Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026
Flash Flood Warning 202, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this flash flood warning at Sep 24, 2026, 5:22 AM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 3 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 24, 2026, 5:22 AM MDT (11:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 24, 2026, 8:15 AM MDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Eddy County, NM
The radar
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 189 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 5:55 AM MDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Nne Carlsbad, NM | Law enforcement reports flash flooding on Lea Street and West Bypass in Carlsbad. |
| Sep 24, 5:55 AM MDT | FLASH FLOOD | 5 Nw Avalon, NM | Law enforcement reports water covering portions of High Noon Rd. |
| Sep 24, 7:25 AM MDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 N Carlsbad, NM | Trained spotter relayed a report of cars stalled on Mermod and Guadalupe Streets in Carlsbad due to flash flooding. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 33 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 592 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1730 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 59 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 58 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted.
194
WGUS54 KMAF 241122
FFWMAF
NMC015-241415-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0202.260924T1122Z-260924T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
522 AM MDT Thu Sep 24 2026
The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Eddy County in southeastern New Mexico...
* Until 815 AM MDT.
* At 522 AM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Mesonet stations indicate that
between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen over the warned area.
Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Carlsbad, Loving, Carlsbad North, Avalon, Brantley Lake State Park,
Malaga, Seven Rivers Airport, Lake Avalon, Living Desert State
Park, Otis, Cavern City Air Terminal, Lakewood, Dayton, Lea County
Zip Franklin Memorial Airport, Loco Hills and Atoka.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 3201 10431 3226 10436 3237 10460 3256 10463
3296 10426 3297 10403 3297 10383 3201 10381
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
$$
212 follow-up statements
122
WGUS74 KMAF 241301
FFSMAF
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
701 AM MDT Thu Sep 24 2026
NMC015-241415-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0202.000000T0000Z-260924T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Eddy NM-
701 AM MDT Thu Sep 24 2026
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 AM MDT THIS
MORNING FOR CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY...
At 701 AM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have
fallen. Flash flooding due to runoff may continue.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Carlsbad, Loving, Carlsbad North, Avalon, Brantley Lake State Park,
Malaga, Seven Rivers Airport, Lake Avalon, Living Desert State
Park, Otis, Cavern City Air Terminal, Lakewood, Dayton, Lea County
Zip Franklin Memorial Airport, Loco Hills and Atoka.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or
creeks.
&&
LAT...LON 3201 10431 3226 10436 3237 10460 3256 10463
3296 10426 3297 10403 3297 10383 3201 10381
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
$$
KLG385
WGUS74 KMAF 241340
FFSMAF
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
740 AM MDT Thu Sep 24 2026
NMC015-241415-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0202.000000T0000Z-260924T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Eddy NM-
740 AM MDT Thu Sep 24 2026
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 AM MDT THIS
MORNING FOR CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY...
At 740 AM MDT, trained weather spotters reported thunderstorms
producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches
of rain have fallen. Flash flooding due to runoff is ongoing in
Carlsbad.
HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
flash flooding.
SOURCE...Trained spotter reported several vehicles flooded out and
stalled on Mermod and Guadalupe Streets in Carlsbad.
IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Carlsbad, Loving, Carlsbad North, Avalon, Brantley Lake State Park,
Malaga, Seven Rivers Airport, Lake Avalon, Living Desert State
Park, Otis, Cavern City Air Terminal, Lakewood, Dayton, Lea County
Zip Franklin Memorial Airport, Loco Hills and Atoka.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or
creeks.
&&
LAT...LON 3201 10431 3226 10436 3237 10460 3256 10463
3296 10426 3297 10403 3297 10383 3201 10381
FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
$$
KLGWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 24, 2:10 AM MDT, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 310 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
- Additional rounds of showers/thunderstorms bring heavy rainfall and an increased risk of flash flooding over the southwest mountains, the Van Horn Corridor, Guadalupe Mountains, and much of the southeast New Mexico Plains through early Friday morning.
- Temperatures will be closer to seasonable levels through the remainder of the week, gradually warming again this weekend.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 24, 2:10 AM MDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
310 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 310 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
- Additional rounds of showers/thunderstorms bring heavy rainfall
and an increased risk of flash flooding over the southwest
mountains, the Van Horn Corridor, Guadalupe Mountains, and much
of the southeast New Mexico Plains through early Friday morning.
- Temperatures will be closer to seasonable levels through the
remainder of the week, gradually warming again this weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday afternoon)
Issued at 310 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
Keeping this morning's discussion more brief due to active weather
over western portions of our forecast area. A series of shortwave
impulses lifting across far west Texas into southern/southeast
New Mexico has aided in the development of bands of showers and
thunderstorms from near Van Horn to the Guadalupe Mountains and
into much of the southeast New Mexico Plains early this morning. A
deeply moist airmass is in place over western portions of our CWA
with PWAT values estimated between 1.4-1.5 inches. Mesonet
observations confirm that some of these showers and storms have
been efficient rainfall producers, with rainfall rates up to
around 1"/hr. We will be watching for increased flash flood
potential along a zone from west of Valentine to Van Horn to the
Guadalupe Mountains and southeast New Mexico plains over the next
few hours where convection may continue to train with embedded
heavy rainfall rates. The moist southwesterly flow aloft will
continue through Friday morning, allowing for the development of
scattered to numerous showers and storms today into tonight,
especially across western portions of the CWA. The Flood Watch
will remain in effect for our western and northwestern zones
through early Friday morning. High temperatures will remain near
normal values with readings in the mostly in the 80s, except for
mid to upper 70s in the higher elevation areas and locations with
high rain chances. Highs may reach into the lower 90s along far
eastern and southern portions of the area today and Friday. Lows
tonight will mostly be in the 60s, except for low 70s in the
eastern Basin/Lower Trans Pecos/ along the Rio Grande with upper
50s in the higher terrain areas.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 310 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
No significant change to the extended forecast. See previous
discussion below.
Shower/storm activity tapers down overnight Friday as a shortwave
within the trough passes over the Rockies into the central
Plains. The shortwave dampens the ridge and flow aloft becomes
zonal by Saturday evening. Low to medium (10-50%) rain chances
shift south of the Pecos River Saturday afternoon, with the best
chances remaining in the vicinity of the Davis Mountains. Along
with decreasing rain chances, temperatures gradually increase over
the weekend. Highs Friday are forecast to reach the 80s at most
locations, then cool to the 60s and 70s overnight. Saturday's
highs top out in the 80s within the western portions of our
region, with 90s in our eastern portions.
Upper ridging builds back over our region Sunday into Monday, ahead
of another trough progged to approach the region Monday evening.
Rain chances decrease further over the higher terrain Sunday
afternoon and highs generally reach the 90s (80s in/near the higher
terrain). With the approach of our next storm system, rain chances
increase again Monday evening into Tuesday, again raising
concerns for heavy rainfall and flash flooding. Of course, details
shall be ironed out over the coming days, so stay tuned!
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
Band of SHRA/TSRA will reduce ceilings and visibility at times
near KCNM overnight. Additional SHRA/TSRA will develop near KCNM
and KHOB Thursday afternoon and evening, with localized MVFR or
lower conditions near storms that develop. PROB30 for TSRA was
included at KPEQ and KINK Thursday afternoon/evening. VFR
otherwise continues.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 91 70 89 68 / 10 20 20 50
Carlsbad 79 62 82 62 / 50 60 50 40
Dryden 90 71 90 72 / 0 10 10 20
Fort Stockton 87 68 87 68 / 20 10 30 40
Guadalupe Pass 73 59 75 61 / 60 60 40 40
Hobbs 80 64 81 63 / 40 50 70 50
Marfa 79 57 80 58 / 40 30 30 60
Midland Intl Airport 88 69 86 69 / 10 20 20 50
Odessa 87 70 85 70 / 20 20 20 40
Wink 85 69 86 68 / 20 30 30 50
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch through Friday morning for Chinati Mountains-Davis
Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Presidio Valley-Van Horn and
Highway 54 Corridor.
NM...Flood Watch through late tonight for Central Lea-Eddy County
Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea.
&&
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...21The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 1:08 AM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Eddy | 5 hr |
| Sep 24, 9:52 AM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Eddy | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.