Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026

Flash Flood Warning 196, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

September 19, 2026Gaines County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this flash flood warning at Sep 19, 2026, 8:03 PM CDT for Gaines County, Texas. It was in force for 117 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 19, 2026, 8:03 PM CDT (01:03 UTC)
Expired
Sep 19, 2026, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
117 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Gaines County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2026-09-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2508 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2026-09-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 42 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2508 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2169 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

343 
WGUS54 KMAF 200103
FFWMAF
TXC165-200300-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0196.260920T0103Z-260920T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
803 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Gaines County in western Texas...

* Until 1000 PM CDT.

* At 803 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1.5 and 2.5 inches of
  rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 2 to 3 inches in 1
  hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
           flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Seminole, Seagraves, Gaines County Airport, Gaines County Park,
  Paynes Corner and Loop.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Seminole Draw, Wardswell Draw and McKenzie Draw.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3258 10272 3271 10286 3286 10277 3295 10256
      3291 10238 3260 10252

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...2-3 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

44
1 follow-up statement
075 
WGUS74 KMAF 200129
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
829 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

TXC165-200300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0196.000000T0000Z-260920T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Gaines TX-
829 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR CENTRAL GAINES COUNTY...

At 829 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1.5 to 2.5 inches in 1 hour.
Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban
         areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Seminole, Seagraves, Gaines County Airport, Gaines County Park,
  Paynes Corner and Loop.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Seminole Draw, Wardswell Draw and McKenzie Draw.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3258 10272 3271 10286 3286 10277 3295 10256
      3291 10238 3260 10252

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1.5-2.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

44

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 19, 6:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Updated at 601 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
  • Highs remain above normal through Monday, but trend cooler beginning Tuesday.
  • Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across the region through the weekend. A few storms will be capable of producing localized strong downburst winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall that may lead to localized flash flooding.
  • Storm chances continue into the early to middle part of next week. Flash flooding will continue to be a hazard.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 6:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
605 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 601 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

- Highs remain above normal through Monday, but trend cooler
  beginning Tuesday.

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across the
  region through the weekend. A few storms will be capable of
  producing localized strong downburst winds, frequent lightning,
  and heavy rainfall that may lead to localized flash flooding.

- Storm chances continue into the early to middle part of next
  week. Flash flooding will continue to be a hazard.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Little change to the forecast for today and into tonight from the
previous package. Satellite imagery and mesoanalysis continue to
indicate southwesterly flow over the western half of the region with
a ridge parked over the Arklatex. Surface dew points remain 60-65+
across the CWA and increasing moisture aloft along with a shortwave
moving in from the west will aid in developing scattered showers and
storms across the higher terrain and Big Bend with coverage
expanding later this afternoon and evening into the Permian Basin.
Convection decays and move out of the region late tonight, but with
the bulk of the moisture remaining in the area, rain chances
continue on Sunday with a focus across the eastern third of the
area. A few storms today will be strong to severe with damaging
winds and heavy rainfall as the main threats. Highs tomorrow will be
about the same as today with most locations reaching into the 90s.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Heading into Sunday evening, showers and storms from earlier in the
day begin to decay and move to the east. During the day on Monday, a
cold front approaches from the north, but with the onset of daytime
heating, it will slow and stall between Midland and Lubbock. Rain
chances increase along and behind the front Monday evening. The
front pushes south into the region on Tuesday and rain chances
spread nearly areawide with the highest chances (50-70%) across
southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin. Lower chances (20-40%)
continue south of the I-10 corridor.

Each day from Tuesday through Thursday will be similar with rounds
of rain developing each of those afternoons mainly across the
northern half of the CWA. Low confidence on how much will fall over
the course of the week and will depend on where the most favorable
environment will be each day. Medium range continues to put the
focus over southeast New Mexico and into central New Mexico. Highs
during this time drop into the 80s to low 90s for most, which is an
improvement from the late season heat, but will still be above
normal for the end of September. Overnight lows settle into the 60s
partly because of a cooler airmass and northeasterly flow at the
surface as well as increased cloud cover and rain chances.

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 601 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Aside from areas of direct convection, VFR conditions will
prevail next 24 hours in light and variable flow. Convection is
possible most terminals over the next 6-8 hours. Forecast
soundings develop a widespread cu field late morning/early
afternoon Sunday, w/bases ~ 6-9 kft AGL. Convection is possible
Sunday afternoon West Texas terminals, but chances are too low for
a mention attm except for KFST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               75  98  70  95 /  30  40  10  20
Carlsbad                 68  96  68  94 /  20   0   0   0
Dryden                   76  97  73  97 /  20  30  30   0
Fort Stockton            72  96  70  95 /  20  30  20  10
Guadalupe Pass           66  87  66  86 /  20  10  10   0
Hobbs                    68  94  66  91 /  40  10  10  40
Marfa                    62  88  61  88 /  60  50   0  10
Midland Intl Airport     74  97  71  94 /  30  40  10  20
Odessa                   75  96  72  94 /  30  30  10  20
Wink                     73  98  71  97 /  30  10   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...99

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 19, 7:08 PM CDT, 55 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
708 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

NMZ033-034-TXZ050-200045-
Southern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-Andrews TX-
708 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LEA...WEST CENTRAL
ANDREWS AND SOUTHWESTERN GAINES COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CDT/645 PM
MDT/...

At 708 PM CDT/608 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm over Eunice, moving northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Eunice, Eunice Airport, and Oil Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3225 10324 3239 10338 3262 10317 3240 10293
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 227DEG 6KT 3242 10320

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

94
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 7:14 PM CDT, 49 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
714 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

TXZ045-046-200100-
Dawson TX-Gaines TX-
714 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN GAINES AND
NORTHWESTERN DAWSON COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 713 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles west of Welch to near Seagraves. These
storms were nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Seagraves, Welch, Seagraves Airport, and Loop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Midland.

&&

LAT...LON 3279 10258 3287 10266 3296 10255 3296 10200
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 061DEG 4KT 3291 10230 3287 10259

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

44
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 7:18 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
718 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

TXZ050-051-200100-
Martin TX-Andrews TX-
718 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ANDREWS AND WEST
CENTRAL MARTIN COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 718 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles northwest of Midland International Air and Space Port, or 16
miles southeast of Andrews. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern
Andrews and west central Martin Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Midland.

&&

LAT...LON 3223 10242 3229 10220 3215 10216 3209 10239
      3214 10249
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 182DEG 1KT 3213 10236

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

44
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 7:31 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
731 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

TXZ045-200100-
Gaines TX-
731 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL GAINES COUNTY THROUGH
800 PM CDT...

At 731 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Gaines County Airport, or over Seminole, moving northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Seminole, Gaines County Airport, Paynes Corner, and Gaines County
Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3255 10263 3273 10284 3290 10269 3266 10238
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 226DEG 6KT 3270 10264

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

94
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 7:35 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
735 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

TXZ082-200115-
Terrell TX-
735 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN TERRELL COUNTY
THROUGH 815 PM CDT...

At 735 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sanderson. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sanderson and Terrell County Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Midland.

&&

LAT...LON 2998 10218 3005 10252 3027 10247 3023 10211
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 246DEG 3KT 3011 10235

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

44
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 7:45 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
745 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

NMZ033-034-TXZ045-050-200115-
Southern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-Andrews TX-Gaines TX-
745 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LEA...NORTHWESTERN
ANDREWS AND SOUTHWESTERN GAINES COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM CDT/715 PM
MDT/...

At 745 PM CDT/645 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm over Eunice, moving northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hobbs, Eunice, Nadine, Eunice Airport, and Oil Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3271 10318 3242 10286 3227 10320 3244 10337
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 226DEG 6KT 3245 10319

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

94

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 19, 7:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFGaines24 min
Sep 19, 7:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFGaines46 min
Sep 19, 7:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews42 min
Sep 19, 7:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFGaines29 min
Sep 19, 7:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFTerrell40 min
Sep 19, 7:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFAndrews2 hr
Sep 20, 12:16 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFScurry44 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.