Flash Flood Warning 124, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

415 
WGUS74 KMAF 131859
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
159 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

TXC443-132130-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0124.000000T0000Z-260713T2130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Terrell TX-
159 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY...

At 159 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 4.5 and 5.5 inches of rain have
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 2.5 to 3.5 inches in 1 hour.
Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban
         areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Terrell County Gas Plant.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Dry Creek, Independence Creek, Sheffield Draw and Pecos River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3064 10195 3064 10167 3062 10165 3059 10166
      3055 10165 3052 10168 3047 10169 3046 10170
      3047 10173 3044 10172 3042 10174 3040 10170
      3038 10170 3036 10166 3034 10166 3035 10170
      3033 10174 3028 10176 3028 10184 3048 10195

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...2.5-3.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

44

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1217 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1210 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

- Daily scattered showers and storms are expected through the week.

- The potential for multiple rounds of rain will increase the risk
  of flooding, especially south of the I-20 Corridor.

- Below normal temperatures are expected through the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 144 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

The moisture finally arrived yesterday as we saw scattered showers
and storms develop. Activity increases today and tomorrow as a
weak disturbance moves into West Texas. The disturbance will be
slow to move out due to weak steering flow. Any storms that
develop will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and
flash flooding. Currently, the threat does not appear widespread
enough to issue a flood watch but we will continue to monitor for
the need. Increased clouds and rainfall keep highs in the 80s
today and Tuesday, unseasonably cool for mid July.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 144 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

The end of the week is a continuation of the short term. Large
high pressure remains well north of the CWA providing little
subsidence to cap convection. A deep southeasterly flow from the
gulf continues advecting moisture into West Texas and eastern New
Mexico and daytime heating destabilizes the atmosphere enough to
provide good rainfall chances. Models are showing convection over
Central Texas creates and MCV that slowly moves west late in the
week. This creates additional instability and rain chances become
high (>60%) in the Big Bend and lower Trans Pecos. Flash flooding
will continue to be a concern, especially in the Davis Mountains
and along the Rio Grande where many summer vacationers will be
camping near flood prone areas. Clouds and rain continue below
normal temperatures as highs remain in the 80s through the end of
the week. A drier and warmer trend begins early next week bringing
conditions more climatologically normal.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

Intermittent showers with isolated storms will continue through
the day before a decrease in coverage tonight. Easterly to
southeasterly winds can be expected outside of any convection.
Amendments will be necessary throughout the TAF period based on
radar trends. CIGs will be near low VFR to MVFR for much of the
period with poorer VIS and CIGs with storms moving over any
terminals, but improving after storms pass.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               69  85  67  84 /  20  70  30  40
Carlsbad                 67  87  67  86 /  20  60  20  30
Dryden                   70  87  67  84 /  50  80  60  90
Fort Stockton            67  83  65  81 /  50  90  30  70
Guadalupe Pass           64  79  63  78 /  20  60  10  30
Hobbs                    65  85  64  84 /  20  60  10  30
Marfa                    59  78  56  77 /  40  90  30  80
Midland Intl Airport     68  84  66  82 /  20  70  20  50
Odessa                   68  84  66  82 /  20  70  20  50
Wink                     68  86  66  84 /  20  70  20  40

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch from 10 PM CDT this evening through Thursday evening
     for Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-
     Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Lower Brewster
     County-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves
     County Plains-Terrell-Upton-Ward.

NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...93

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1241 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     Flash Flood      1 SSE Warfield          31.91N 102.22W
07/13/2026                   Midland            TX   Trained Spotter

            Report of water over the road at the
            intersection of Hwy 349 and I-20.

&&

KML

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1248 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1241 PM     Flash Flood      4 WNW Midland           32.01N 102.15W
07/13/2026                   Midland            TX   Storm Chaser

            Report of most intersections and residential
            street flooding on West Wadley Ave near Loop
            250.

&&

KML