Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

260 
WGUS74 KMAF 011403
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
903 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

TXC109-301-389-011530-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260501T1530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Culberson TX-Loving TX-Reeves TX-
903 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026 /803 AM MDT Fri May 1 2026/

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CDT /930 AM 
MDT/ THIS MORNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON, NORTHWESTERN REEVES 
AND LOVING COUNTIES...

At 903 AM CDT /803 AM MDT/, gauge reports indicated that heavy rain 
was falling across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of 
rain have fallen. Flooding impacts will continue, but little 
additional rainfall is expected. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

SOURCE...Gauges reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mentone, Orla, Red Bluff Reservoir, Red Bluff and Slash Ranch.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3199 10422 3199 10398 3199 10346 3168 10342
      3166 10362 3161 10406 3159 10424

FLASH FLOOD...GAUGE INDICATED

$$

Sprang

218 
WGUS74 KMAF 011521
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1021 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

TXC109-301-389-011531-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260501T1530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Culberson TX-Loving TX-Reeves TX-
1021 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026 /921 AM MDT Fri May 1 2026/

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1030 AM CDT /930 AM MDT/ THIS 
MORNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON, NORTHWESTERN REEVES AND LOVING 
COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 400 PM CDT/300 PM MDT for 
portions of southeast New Mexico and Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3199 10422 3199 10398 3199 10346 3168 10342
      3166 10362 3161 10406 3159 10424

$$

Sprang

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
656 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 651 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

- Numerous to widespread showers with a few embedded thunderstorms
  will spread over much of the area through this afternoon before
  tapering off this evening. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash
  flooding over portions of the Guadalupe/Davis Mountains,
  southeast New Mexico Plains, Trans Pecos, and the Permian Basin.

- Below normal temperatures are forecast through the weekend
  before highs rebound closer to normal by next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 242 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

Early morning water vapor imagery shows an upper level shortwave
trough moving over the vicinity of northern Mexico and the
southern Arizona/New Mexico border early this morning. Deep layer
moisture continues to spread over southeast New Mexico and much
of west Texas within the southwesterly flow aloft in advance of
this system with precipitable water values between 0.9 and 1.2
inches over our CWA per SPC mesoscale analysis. A surface cold
front will remain oriented along the far western fringes of the
forecast area through the day. Short range model solutions and
high resolution CAMs remain consistent with bringing numerous to
widespread coverage of rain showers with embedded thunderstorms
across much of our forecast area through the morning hours as the
shortwave trough approaches from the west. The abundant atmospheric
moisture will be prime for heavy rain, with increasing probabilities
for rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches generally along and east of
the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains today. A Flood Watch remains in
effect for most areas along and east of the mountains today,
including the Guadalupe/Davis/Delaware Mountains, the southeast
New Mexico Plains, the Trans Pecos region, and much of the Permian
Basin. We did opt to add Central Brewster County into the watch
given potential for rounds of heavy rainfall/convection over
portions of that zone today. Flooding of urban, poor drainage, low
water crossings, creeks/streams, and other low lying areas may
occur if heavy rains fall within a short period of time. The
potential for heavy rainfall should shift east of our region by
late this afternoon with the passing shortwave trough, but a few
showers and thunderstorms could linger into this evening before
rain chances continue to diminish tonight. Temperatures will be
well below normal behind the cold front today and along with the
high rain chances. Readings are forecast to range in the 50s and
60s over much of the region, except 70s to low 80s along the
Presidio Valley and portions of the Big Bend. Lows tonight are
forecast to fall into the 40s over much of the region, except
upper 30s in the higher terrain areas and lower to mid 50s along
the Rio Grande.

Drier conditions are anticipated on Saturday underneath a west-
northwest flow pattern aloft. Surface high pressure will gradually
shift to our east, but temperatures remain below normal with highs
mostly in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 242 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

No significant changes were made to the extended forecast. Weak
ridging embedded within quasi-zonal flow aloft will prevail Sunday
into Monday, allowing for a warming trend both days. Highs in the
70s on Sunday should trend upward into the 80s over much of our
region by Monday (a few locations may reach into the low to mid
90s along the Rio Grande Monday afternoon). The next upper level
trough/low is forecast to deepen over California and the Desert
Southwest Monday night into Tuesday with the trough/low
potentially pinching over the Desert Southwest and Baja region
during the middle to latter part of the week. Shortwave impulses
within southwesterly flow aloft ahead of this feature along with a
potential front may support at least a low chance of showers and
thunderstorms returning back into the forecast by Thursday.
Temperatures otherwise remain near to slightly below normal
through the middle to latter part of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 651 AM CDT Fri May 1 2026

IFR to MVFR ceilings will be prevalent over area terminals through
early-mid afternoon. Numerous to widespread rain showers and
scattered thunderstorms will continue to move east over the region
this morning, some with heavy rainfall and reduced visibility to
IFR or lower thresholds. Ceilings should gradually scatter after
00Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               57  44  70  48 /  90  10   0   0
Carlsbad                 59  46  65  46 /  90  30  10   0
Dryden                   70  50  67  51 /  90  20   0   0
Fort Stockton            64  45  67  48 / 100  20  10   0
Guadalupe Pass           54  41  57  47 /  80  30  10   0
Hobbs                    56  40  66  44 /  90  20   0   0
Marfa                    65  39  64  41 /  80  20   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     57  44  67  49 / 100  10   0   0
Odessa                   57  44  67  50 / 100  10   0   0
Wink                     60  44  66  48 /  90  20   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch until 4 PM CDT /3 PM MDT/ this afternoon for Andrews-
     Central Brewster-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains
     Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains-Loving-Martin-Midland-Pecos-Reagan-Reeves County
     Plains-Terrell-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Flood Watch until 3 PM MDT this afternoon for Central Lea-Eddy
     County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern
     Lea-Southern Lea.

&&

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...21