Flash Flood Warning 85, NWS Louisville, KY

532 
WGUS73 KLMK 062355
FFSLMK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
755 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

KYC093-070005-
/O.EXP.KLMK.FF.W.0085.000000T0000Z-260707T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hardin KY-
755 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR 
CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3777 8584 3771 8578 3770 8583 3767 8598
      3772 8602 3774 8598 3776 8591

$$

CJP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
309 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue bringing
  threats of isolated flash flooding, lightning and gusty winds.

* Fog may form by morning (20-40% chance) in areas that receive rain
  today.

* Storms return tomorrow afternoon, with better coverage over
  central KY continuing the same threats from todays storms. Highs
  remain in the mid 80s.

* Seasonable temperatures (mid-upper 80s) and daily chances (20-40%)
  for afternoon-evening thunderstorms are forecast throughout the
  upcoming work week. The risk for severe weather appears low.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 308 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

For the rest of this afternoon and evening, an axis of thunderstorms
that formed from areas of clear skies this morning will continue
drifting slowly towards the southeast. These storms will dissipate
with nocturnal cooling later tonight. Ahead of this axis of storms,
more scattered convection may fire off though not everyone will see
rain today. With weak upper level support, these storms pose more of
an isolated flash flooding risk along with general frequent
lightning and gusty winds. Repeated rounds of storms has already
produced 1+" totals within an hour or so, meaning the isolated flash
flood risk will continue through the evening. PWATs remain high near
1.9" and with weak flow aloft, these storms will be slow movers.
Isolated spots could see 2-4" or more, though this depends on if
storms can keep training over the same areas. Generally these storms
consume the instability around them and cause future storms to track
over different areas, or weaken. Most places should see under an
inch with storms by this evening. Eventually, storms will end and
light to calm winds will prevail overnight. Cloud cover will limit
how fast we can cool but patchy fog is possible (20-40%), especially
within our river valleys and general low lying areas by early
morning.

By morning, temperatures will range in the upper 60s and low 70s.
Any morning fog will mix away slowly as the sun tries to heat the
area through mixed cloud cover. Temperatures still rebound into the
mid 80s just in time for additional storms to refire in the
afternoon. A weak frontal boundary will linger over northern KY,
bringing another focused axis of storms that will slowly move
southeast once again. Scattered storms will linger with high
humidity although behind the weak frontal boundary over southern
Indiana, storms will be more sparse in coverage. With continued weak
flow and modest CAPE, the main threat for tomorrow's storms are
flash flooding, followed by lightning and gusty winds. Storms once
again wane with nocturnal cooling with winds becoming calm
overnight. Patchy fog will again be possible in areas that will
receive rain and in the low river valleys overnight Tuesday.

By Wednesday morning, the low at mid levels keeping our weather so
unsettled will be cut off from the overall flow, slowly moving off
to the east overtime. Weak southwesterly flow at lower levels will
reinforce humid conditions and afternoon storms return. Only
difference is there isn't much lift to initiate storms besides
afternoon heating or preexisting storms outside the CWA, so storm
coverage should be much less Wednesday afternoon. Highs will be in
the mid 80s once again and cooling off into the upper 60s and low
70s as well.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 308 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

By Thursday morning the OH Valley will remain on the northern
periphery of the subtropical high centered over FL, with continued
moist air being advected into the region from the SW. Summer heat
will remain with highs expected in the upper 80s to right around 90
for some urban locations, with dew points uncomfortably in the mid
70s. Model soundings show abundant instability but little shear, so
expect diurnally driven pulse storms to generate in the afternoon
into evening hours.

A cold front will begin dropping south from the Great Lakes on
Friday, bringing increased rain and storm chances to the OH Valley
region through the weekend. With warm air in place, there will be no
shortage of instability with CAPE values 2500 - 3000 J/kg. Shear
continues to be lacking overall, though GFS does show pockets of
40kt bulk shear values propagating through the zonal pattern, mostly
associated with a LLJ forming Friday night, as the cold front drops
southward toward the OH River. With abundant moisture in place,
evident by PWATs ranging from 1.8 to 2.1 inches with higher amounts
pooling just ahead of the frontal boundary, expect to see heavy rain
at times. By Sunday, the weak surface low will begin to move off to
our east but still expect scattered rain and storms chances.
Unfortunately, a well modified airmass behind the front will do
little to abate the summer warmth. Highs Friday through Monday will
continue to top out in the upper 80s with dew points in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 147 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

VFR conditions will continue this afternoon between scattered
storms. MVFR ceilings and visibilities will be present within these
storms at times, bringing lightning and heavy downpours. Winds
outside of storms will remain light and generally from the WNW
becoming very light to calm overnight. Patchy fog could develop in
the morning as well, reducing visibilities to MVFR/IFR conditions,
more so in areas that receive rain today. Otherwise, ceilings slowly
raise late tomorrow morning at VFR conditions again with scattered
storms returning.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...BKF
LONG TERM...CG
AVIATION...BKF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
210 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

KYZ037-042-043-061845-
Bourbon KY-Nicholas KY-Harrison KY-
210 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL BOURBON...SOUTHWESTERN
NICHOLAS AND SOUTHEASTERN HARRISON COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM EDT...

At 210 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Paris, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Paris, Millersburg, Shawhan, Jackstown, Blacks Crossroads, Ruddels
Mills, Headquarters, Colville, Broadwell, and Currentsville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 8434 3834 8439 3840 8409 3819 8404
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 256DEG 14KT 3827 8427

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CAL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
317 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     Flash Flood      Jeffersontown           38.21N 85.58W
07/06/2026                   Jefferson          KY   Broadcast Media

            Broadcast media relayed a video of flooded
            roads at the intersection of Patti Lane and
            Taylorsville Road.

&&

BJS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
322 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     Flash Flood      2 W Jeffersontown       38.20N 85.60W
07/06/2026                   Jefferson          KY   Broadcast Media

            Cars stuck in the water on N. Hurstborne
            just north of Six Mile Lane. Jefferstown
            Fire responding to water rescues at this
            location.

&&

BJS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
417 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0331 PM     Flash Flood      1 WSW Louisville Int'l  38.16N 85.76W
07/06/2026                   Jefferson          KY   911 Call Center

            Report of a water rescue for a vehicle stuck
            in the water. Seneca Trail and Southside
            Drive.

&&

BJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
455 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

KYZ028-045-053-062130-
Nelson KY-Larue KY-Hardin KY-
455 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL NELSON...NORTH
CENTRAL LARUE AND EAST CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

At 455 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Elizabethtown, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Elizabethtown, Radcliff, Lyons, Nelsonville, Crest, Gaithers, Tunnel
Hills, Roanoke, Addington Field Airport, and Younger Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3768 8597 3779 8589 3774 8556 3757 8568
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 288DEG 9KT 3770 8578

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CAL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
532 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

KYZ028-062200-
Hardin KY-
532 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTY THROUGH
600 PM EDT...

At 532 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Elizabethtown. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Elizabethtown, Radcliff, Cecilia, Howe Valley, Hansbrough, Addington
Field Airport, Gaithers, Saint John, Franklin Cross Roads, and Star
Mills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3779 8591 3774 8584 3755 8596 3769 8613
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 072DEG 4KT 3771 8596

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Padgett