Tornado Warning 17, NWS Jackson, KY

129 
WWUS53 KJKL 281150
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
750 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

KYC159-195-281215-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-260728T1215Z/
Martin KY-Pike KY-
750 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 AM EDT FOR CENTRAL
MARTIN AND NORTH CENTRAL PIKE COUNTIES...

At 750 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Hode, or near Inez, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
  Warfield, Whitepost, Turkey Creek and Forest Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 8256 3793 8249 3790 8247 3791 8247
      3788 8242 3781 8240 3782 8239 3776 8233
      3776 8231 3774 8233 3770 8230 3767 8230
      3764 8222 3756 8232
TIME...MOT...LOC 1150Z 319DEG 24KT 3788 8244 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

VORST

955 
WWUS53 KJKL 281200
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

KYC159-195-281210-
/O.CAN.KJKL.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-260728T1215Z/
Martin KY-Pike KY-
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL MARTIN AND NORTH CENTRAL PIKE
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 8256 3793 8249 3790 8247 3791 8247
      3788 8242 3781 8240 3782 8239 3776 8233
      3776 8231 3774 8233 3770 8230 3767 8230
      3764 8222 3756 8232
TIME...MOT...LOC 1158Z 319DEG 25KT 3783 8238 

$$

VORST

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
415 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Thunderstorms are possible again early this morning some of
  which could be severe (damaging wind is the main threat, though
  heavy rain is also a concern).

- Thunderstorms are also possible later today, especially in
  southeast Kentucky.

- Drier weather with modestly lower humidity behind a cold front
  will last from Wednesday through Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 400 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2026

07Z sfc analysis shows a fairly strong area of low pressure
moving through the northern Ohio Valley. This is pulling a well
defined warm front through eastern Kentucky as the low cuts
southeast through the region. This boundary, ample moisture and
instability in the air mass, and some mid level support brought
strong to severe thunderstorms through eastern Kentucky earlier in
the night. The last of these has faded out as it exited south out
of the state, but additional storms are now developing to the
north and could threaten at least northeast parts of the area by
dawn. Otherwise, skies are gradually clearing allowing for the
development of patchy fog from time to time. It has been another
mild and muggy night with most locations reporting temperatures
(and dewpoints) in the upper 60s to lower 70s, amid light and
variable winds - away from the earlier storms.

The models, and their individual ensemble suites, maintain their
good agreement aloft through the short term portion of the
forecast. They all depict eastern Kentucky stuck between two
distinct and anomalously strong 5h features - a large, persistent,
heat dome ridge over the west and broad troughing over the
Northeast that gets reinforced tonight by a fairly strong
shortwave digging into Pennsylvania and closing off by Wednesday
morning. Through the next 48 hours, eastern Kentucky will be in
the heart of fast northwest mid-level flow that brings several
impulses through the eastern Ohio Valley but never seem to take a
direct shot at the JKL CWA. Each of these perturbations has the
potential to create a cluster of storms that could then propagate
into our area - though the main zone of activity shifts just to
the east of the state by early evening. Until then, though, just
as the convection cluster of this past night was one of these
such events, another is anticipated, but further northeast, early
this morning and perhaps a third by afternoon across southeast
parts of the JKL CWA. Given the small spread among the models
aloft through mid-week, the NBM was used as the starting point
for the forecast grids with only minor adjustments needed. These
include PoPs tweaked by incorporating the consensus guidance for
convective timing and coverage from the latest CAM runs for early
this morning through the start of the evening. With drier air
inbound tonight, did see some limited opportunity to improve
nocturnal temperatures from the NBM by adding terrain details.

Sensible weather features a warm and humid day, though one that
may start out wet and cloudy on account of a low confident
forecast for a cluster of storms - potentially organized and
strong - to start the day and spread over much of the area during
the morning hours. The northeast looks to be most prone to seeing
such convection and as such will likely end up as the cool spot
of the state. The approach of a cold front later in the day, and
the tighter pressure gradient from the parent low slicing toward
the Mid Atlantic States, will make for rather breezy conditions
for mid summer - provided by abnormal synoptics during the time of
year when we are more likely to be in the summer doldrums.
Anyways, this system brings a nice change in the air mass so that
once the storms depart to the south, with the exiting front,
slightly cooler and drier conditions follow making for pleasant
conditions on Wednesday - once the nocturnal valley fog
dissipates.

The main adjustments to the NBM starting point were to push the
near term PoP grids toward the more high resolution CAMs
solutions but with lower than normal confidence. Did see some
limited potential to improve overnight temperatures and Wednesday
afternoon dewpoints on account of the changing air mass becoming
somewhat drier after sunset this evening.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 415 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2026

The main change to the grids for the first part of the extended
forecast this morning was primarily to include more in the way of
terrain distinctions into temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday
nights along with drier afternoon dewpoints through the rest of
the week. Strong 5h ridging to the west still looks to support a
path for mid-level shortwaves to dive into eastern Kentucky
before one of these may try to cut off to our west during the
weekend. Thankfully, sfc high pressure in place from for the
latter part of the work week look to keep the weather quiet, dry,
and rather pleasant. Return flow moisture and the upper level
dynamics seem destined to return storm chances to the forecast
starting Saturday.

The previous long term discussion follows:

The models remain in good agreement through Friday. An anomalously
strong upper level high will meander west over the Four Corners
region, with ridging dominating across the Rockies and High Plains.
Meanwhile, troughing will remain in place across the eastern third
of the CONUS. By this weekend, deeper eastern Pacific energy moves
onshore over the Pacific Northwest, pivoting a ridge axis towards
the central Plains and Upper Midwest/Great Lakes region. Further
east, a short wave trough will move southeast from the Midwest
into the Ohio Valley, reinforcing troughing across the East.
There continues to be high confidence regarding the drier and
cooler weather expected across eastern Kentucky from Wednesday
through Friday. As we come more under the influence of the trough
this weekend and into early next week, a return of more diurnally-
driven convection is anticipated, although details remain lower
confidence at this point.

Drier air will be advecting in on low level north to northwest
flow across eastern Kentucky on Wednesday, with highs retreating
to the lower 80s and dew points dropping into the lower 60s.
Surface high pressure will continue to build in for Wednesday
night, with patchy valley fog and temperatures cooling off to the
mid to upper 50s in sheltered valley locations, while broader
valleys and ridges stay closer to the 60 degree mark. Modest 500
mb height rises and short wave ridging will maintain mostly clear
skies and dry weather across our area through Friday. Temperatures
will remain closer to normal for late July, with highs averaging
in the low to mid 80s and lows in the low to mid 60s.

This weekend and into early next week, rain chances will creep
back into our area, as low level moisture increases and
troughing returns across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys aloft.
Again, PoPs will tend to peak in the afternoon hours, but
fortunately, LREF mean PWATs are only peaking in the 50th-75th
percentile versus climatology during this time frame, keeping any
hydro threats more suppressed. Temperatures will remain
seasonable, with highs in the mid 80s each day and overnight lows
in the mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2026

After an active evening, VFR conditions have returned to most of
the TAF sites for the start of the 06Z period. Showers and
thunderstorms will likely redevelop north of the area and
propagate SSE into eastern Kentucky later this morning - pre dawn.
Have covered favored times with prob30 groups. IFR or worse
conditions can be expected with any of the heavier thunderstorms.
There is good potential for strong winds with the more intense
storms, but forecast confidence in timing and placement remains
rather low. A cold front will be moving through later today, but
destabilization ahead of it during peak heating may give an
uptick in thunderstorm activity and strength for a time,
especially in southeast parts of the aviation forecast area. Even
this renewed convection should wane and largely be gone from
southeast Kentucky by evening. Away from any storms, winds will
be light and variable through early afternoon before favoring the
northwest direction at up to 10 kts. Some LLWS cannot be ruled out
through dawn, but it should be fleeting if it sets up.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...GREIF
LONG TERM...JKL/GREIF
AVIATION...HAL/GREIF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
325 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-290730-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
325 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a good chance of thunderstorms early this morning with an
additional threat through the early evening hours. One or two of
these storms could be severe, with damaging winds being the main
concern, though locally heavy rainfall is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are also possible at times from Saturday through
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report any occurrences of damaging winds
or flooding through the day.

GREIF

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
144 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1134 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Pigeonroost         37.09N 83.81W
07/27/2026                   Clay               KY   911 Call Center

            Clay County dispatch reports downed trees
            along Sizemore Park Road south of the
            intersection with Curry Branch Road. Time
            estimated via radar.

&&

JMM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
147 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1138 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Hima                    37.12N 83.78W
07/27/2026                   Clay               KY   911 Call Center

            Clay County dispatch reports many trees down
            along Crawfish Road, especially on the end
            of the road closer to KY-80. Time estimated
            via radar.

&&

JMM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
148 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 WNW Brock             37.11N 84.02W
07/27/2026                   Laurel             KY   911 Call Center

            Tree down near Bush Elementary School. Time
            estimated by radar.

&&

DJ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
154 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1147 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Brightshade             37.02N 83.66W
07/27/2026                   Clay               KY   911 Call Center

            Clay County Dispatch reports downed trees
            along Mill Creek Road headed south from
            KY-1524. Low-level divergence signature
            noted on radar at this location at the time
            of the report.

&&

JMM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
202 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1111 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Oakley             37.22N 84.08W
07/27/2026                   Laurel             KY   911 Call Center

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            SE Oakley for wrong time. Tree down near the
            1000 block of KY Highway 1394. Time
            estimated by radar.

&&

DJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
718 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

KYZ106-108-109-111>114-281200-
Lee KY-Breathitt KY-Knott KY-Owsley KY-Magoffin KY-Morgan KY-
Wolfe KY-
718 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN...
NORTHEASTERN OWSLEY...NORTHWESTERN KNOTT...BREATHITT...CENTRAL
MAGOFFIN...SOUTHEASTERN LEE AND EASTERN WOLFE COUNTIES THROUGH 800 AM
EDT...

At 717 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Hollonville, or 7 miles southeast of Campton,
moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Simpson, Buck, Burkhart, Lexie, Vail, Fillmore, Noctor, West
Royalton Station, Lerose, War Creek, Elkatawa, Gapville, Evanston,
Lane, Sewell, Haddix, Malaga, Guage, and Turkey.

THIS INCLUDES Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 50
and 67.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3763 8291 3738 8305 3739 8312 3741 8313
      3740 8314 3741 8320 3744 8321 3742 8325
      3748 8363 3785 8340
TIME...MOT...LOC 1117Z 293DEG 37KT 3767 8344

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GREIF