Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026

Flash Flood Warning 64, NWS Jackson, KY

August 16, 2026Breathitt County, Knott County, Perry County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this flash flood warning at Aug 16, 2026, 10:26 PM EDT for Breathitt County, Knott County, Perry County, Kentucky. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2026, 10:26 PM EDT (02:26 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2026, 1:30 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Breathitt County, KY, Knott County, KY, Perry County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 46 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2026-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1630 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2026-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1630 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
943 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

839 
WGUS53 KJKL 170226
FFWJKL
KYC025-119-193-170530-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FF.W.0064.260817T0226Z-260817T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1026 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Breathitt County in southeastern Kentucky...
  Northwestern Knott County in southeastern Kentucky...
  Northeastern Perry County in southeastern Kentucky...

* Until 130 AM EDT.

* At 1026 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Up to 1.75 inches of rain have 
  fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible in 
  the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Buck, Ary, Noble, Rowdy, Talcum, Decoy, Bearville, Fisty, Dice, 
  Hardshell, Elmrock, Ned, Tina, Vest, Clayhole, Watts, Flintville, 
  Yellow Mountain, Lost Creek and Soft Shell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 8341 3748 8340 3749 8340 3748 8318
      3753 8312 3748 8292 3740 8292 3736 8295
      3734 8306 3732 8322 3738 8330 3741 8340

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

MARCUS
3 follow-up statements
858 
WGUS73 KJKL 170422
FFSJKL

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1222 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

KYC025-119-193-170530-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.W.0064.000000T0000Z-260817T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Breathitt KY-Knott KY-Perry KY-
1222 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM EDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BREATHITT, NORTHWESTERN KNOTT AND 
NORTHEASTERN PERRY COUNTIES...

At 1222 AM EDT, the public reported flash flooding in Soft Shell. 
Between 1 and 2.25 inches of rain have fallen. Flooding impacts will 
continue, but no additional rainfall is expected. Flash flooding is 
already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

SOURCE...Public reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Buck, Ary, Noble, Rowdy, Talcum, Decoy, Bearville, Fisty, Dice, 
  Hardshell, Elmrock, Ned, Tina, Vest, Clayhole, Watts, Flintville, 
  Yellow Mountain, Lost Creek and Soft Shell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 8318 3753 8312 3748 8293 3748 8292
      3740 8292 3736 8295 3734 8306 3732 8322
      3738 8330 3741 8340 3746 8341 3748 8340
      3749 8340

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

MARCUS
773 
WGUS73 KJKL 170455
FFSJKL

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1255 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

KYC193-170505-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FF.W.0064.000000T0000Z-260817T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Perry KY-
1255 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN PERRY COUNTY...

Flash Flooding is no longer expected to pose an imminent threat. 
Please continue to heed any lingering road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for portions of 
east central, northeast, south central, and southeast Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3753 8312 3748 8293 3748 8292 3740 8292
      3736 8295 3734 8311 3744 8313 3748 8318

$$

KYC025-119-170530-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.W.0064.000000T0000Z-260817T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Breathitt KY-Knott KY-
1255 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM EDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING FOR EAST CENTRAL BREATHITT AND NORTHWESTERN KNOTT COUNTIES...

At 1255 AM EDT, the public reported flash flooding along Wiley Fork 
Road. Between 1 and 2.25 inches of rain have fallen. Flooding 
impacts will continue, but no additional rainfall is expected. Flash 
flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

SOURCE...Public reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Elmrock, Vest, Bearville, Buck, Tina, Yellow Mountain, Decoy, 
  Talcum and Soft Shell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3753 8312 3748 8293 3748 8292 3740 8292
      3736 8295 3734 8311 3744 8313 3748 8318

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

MARCUS
603 
WGUS73 KJKL 170524
FFSJKL

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
124 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

KYC025-119-170534-
/O.EXP.KJKL.FF.W.0064.000000T0000Z-260817T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Breathitt KY-Knott KY-
124 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 130 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING 
FOR EAST CENTRAL BREATHITT AND NORTHWESTERN KNOTT COUNTIES...

Flood waters are likely receding. Flooding is no longer expected to 
pose an imminent threat. Please continue to heed any lingering road 
closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for portions of 
east central, northeast, south central, and southeast Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3753 8312 3748 8293 3748 8292 3740 8292
      3736 8295 3734 8311 3744 8313 3748 8318

$$

MARCUS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 16, 8:21 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • The potential for showers and thunderstorms will persist through Monday.
  • Some of the storms could arrive as organized clusters with a possibility for strong to damaging wind gusts.
  • Excessive rainfall may occur where storms are most persistent, or train, leading to flash flooding.
  • Heat indices will flirt with Heat Advisory levels (~105F) through early this evening.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 16, 8:21 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
821 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The potential for showers and thunderstorms will persist through
  Monday.

- Some of the storms could arrive as organized clusters with a
  possibility for strong to damaging wind gusts.

- Excessive rainfall may occur where storms are most persistent,
  or train, leading to flash flooding.

- Heat indices will flirt with Heat Advisory levels (~105F)
  through early this evening.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 821 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026

Convection, some of it severe has blown up over the northern part
of the area this evening, and the POP has been raised to
accommodate it. Persistent or training cells have largely been
outside our area so far, but problems could arise shortly and it
will be monitored.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 425 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026

Late this afternoon, an upper level ridge was centered in
northeastern portions of TX and extending into parts of the
Southeast and TN Valley. A shortwave trough is passing through the
eastern Great Lakes to the Lower to Middle OH Valley while another
shortwave trough/MCV is upstream over the IA to MO vicinity. At
500 mb, a trough extended from Hudson Bay to Ontario to northern
Great Lakes and was approaching the Ontario and Quebec area. At
the surface, an area of low pressure was moving through James Bay
to Ontario and Quebec border region with a warm front lifting
through NC and parts of the mid Atlantic while a cold front trails
into the mid MS Valley to KS and OK border region. For the most
part, cumulus thus far has struggled to persist and develop
vertically. An outflow boundary/wind shift, has moves into areas
near the I-64 corridor and is nearly stationary. A thunderstorm
did develop in its vicinity in Rowan County and moved across
Elliott County and then into Lawrence County. Recent
mesoanalysis has MLCAPE on the order of 2000 J/kg near the WV and
KY border and 2000 to 2500 J/kg near Lake Cumberland with 1500 to
2000 J/kg over the remainder of the area or central part of the
CWA. Mid level lapse rates are generally 5.5C to around 6C while
low level lapse rates are more substantial between 7 and 8C/km.
Effective shear is 20 to 25KT in the norht and east, with lesser
values further south.

Over the next few hours, MLCAPE per SPC Mesoanalysis RAP based
forecasts peak in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg through around sunset with
mid level lapse rates remaining around 6C/km with low level lapse
rates steep for a couple more hours before diminishing to under
7C/km toward sunset. Effective shear may increase a bit as the
shortwave passes through parts of the OH Valley to the Central
Appalachians into the 25 to 30KT range. This may support some
additional isolated to scattered convection through portions of
the evening and some stray convection has developed in parts of
central KY. Convection in IL and nearing IN weakens in some of the
CAMS and what is left of that may pass north of eastern KY later
this evening though confidence in the evolution of that. Then
after midnight, the upstream shortwave/MCV should approach
eastern KY from the west in the form of a potential MCS. PW though
at a bit of a min at present, especially south where values are
in the 1.6 to 1.7 inch range. These values should trend up during
the evening and into the overnight per the 12Z HREF into the 1.8
south to 2.0 to 2.1 inch vicinity in the north of near 90th
percentile south and 93 to 97th percentile in the north. Any more
organized convection could produce strong wind gusts and any
training could result in instances of flash flooding. SWODY1 and
Day 1 EROs are in alignment with this reasoning.

On Monday, the overnight shortwave/MCV and potential MCS should
pass east of eastern KY early on Monday as the cold front reaches
the Commonwealth. At least moderate instability with MLCAPE in
the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range may develop ahead of the front on
Monday with effective shear on the order of 25 to 30KT. This may
support some organized convection with the south possibly more
favored with expected higher instability. A Marginal to Slight
Risk SWODY2 has been issued for tomorrow for those concerns with
wind the primary hazard along with torrential downpours as 1.8 to
2.1 inch PW should be prevalent. Any training again would pose a
risk for high water or flash flooding.

The 500 mb trough axis moves further east by Monday evening and
this should eventually push the cold front to the south and
southeast of the JKL CWA by around midnight on Monday night
leading to an eventual diminishment of convection.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 353 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026

At the onset of the long term period, a strong closed upper level
low will sit over Manitoba, with general troughing over the
northern CONUS, especially in the vicinity of the Great Lakes.
Meanwhile, a relatively flattened ridge will linger over the
southern US, with eastern Kentucky finding itself in a region of
zonal to slightly northwesterly flow aloft, depending on the
orientation of ridging. At the surface, the previous frontal
system will be south of the forecast area, having fully moved
through, and surface high pressure will be building near the
Middle Mississippi Valley. Behind the surface high, a secondary
cold front associated with the relatively vertically stacked
Canadian low will extend southward into the Upper Midwest. As
these features travel eastward, building high pressure over the
forecast area will keep eastern Kentucky largely dry on Tuesday.
Temperatures will be fairly seasonable as well, with highs ranging
from the mid to upper 80s across the forecast area. Clear skies
overnight may allow a very modest ridge/valley temperature split
to develop, with the limiting factor being lingering moisture. MOS
guidance is rather aggressive with these splits, but given
expected moisture, valley minTs have been nudged down only
modestly into the low 60s for now. Of note, fog formation on
Wednesday morning appears likely for much of the forecast area,
particularly in typical mainstem river valleys.

Dry weather will persist through much of Wednesday as surface
high pressure continues to translate through the area. Meanwhile,
the upper level trough will continue to dig towards the
Commonwealth, with the aforementioned cold front pushing
southeast. By Wednesday evening, the front will approach eastern
Kentucky and rain chances will return to the area. Of note, some
models depict an additional shortwave traversing the base of the
trough (roughly centered over the Ohio Valley) around the time
frontally forced convection approaches, or perhaps slightly
before. This enhanced mid level flow may elevate shear somewhat,
and depending on frontal timing, instability may also be adequate
for stronger storms, although model spread remains quite high at
this time. Any risk for severe weather (or lack thereof) remains
dependent on how these ingredients line up, with overall risk
looking quite low at this time. Meanwhile, a moist air mass will
be in place ahead of the front, with LREF mean PW values generally
in the range of 1.6-1.7 in (roughly 80th percentile or higher
compared to climatology). This, in addition to potentially
enhanced convective coverage if shortwave energy interacts with
the front, could allow for at least isolated instances of flash
flooding. Again, model variability remains very high at this
stage, but WPC has already outlined the forecast area in a Day 4
Marginal (Level 1/4) Risk for Excessive Rainfall on Wednesday, and
an additional Day 5 Marginal Risk on Thursday as the system
sags south. Guidance does suggest the front will slow as it
passes through the southern portion of our area and into
Tennessee. Exactly how quickly this boundary progresses is still a
source of uncertainty, but rain chances have been maintained
through Thursday to account for this slowing motion. Any
hydrological concerns will also be dependent on the speed of this
frontal passage in addition to the extent of convective coverage.

Following the frontal passage, troughing will continue to
amplify, eventually digging all the way into the Southeast as
ridging retreats towards the Four Corners region. This will usher
in cooler weather, with high temperatures as low as the upper 70s
for some locations on Friday (and perhaps lower if convection can
take hold). Additional impulses will keep at least scattered
showers and storms in the forecast each day, with rain chances
generally peaking in the afternoon/evening.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
ISSUED AT 821 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026

Thunderstorms are ongoing over the northern portion of the
forecast area, and sinking south. They will probably affect
all but the southern TAF sites with IFR or worse conditions at
times this evening. After this evening's storms, it leaves
considerable uncertainty as to how things play out overnight into
Monday morning. Earlier, it appeared that the greater threat of
storms would be later in the night or Monday morning, but it is
unclear how current activity will impact that potential. Have used
generalized PROB30 groups in TAFs over an extended period. Fog
hasn't been hit very hard in the forecast, but it may need to be
reconsidered in the wake of current precip.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

UPDATE...HAL
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...FAGAN
AVIATION...HAL
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 16, 3:58 PM EDT, 6 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
358 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-172000-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
358 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This evening and tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible at times, particularly tonight. Locations
where thunderstorms are most persistent could experience isolated
flash flooding. Additionally, the most intense storms could produce
damaging winds.

In addition to the threat for thunderstorms, hot temperatures and
high humidity levels will yield heat indices of 95 to 105 degrees
through early this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are possible Monday and Monday night, and at times from
Wednesday night through Saturday. Locations where thunderstorms are
the most frequent or persistent could experience isolated flash
flooding. Additionally, the most intense storms on Monday could
produce damaging winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

JP

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 16, 7:27 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
727 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

KYZ059-060-106-108-109-170000-
Menifee KY-Magoffin KY-Morgan KY-Powell KY-Wolfe KY-
727 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL POWELL...
SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN...SOUTHERN MENIFEE...NORTHWESTERN MAGOFFIN AND
WOLFE COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM EDT...

At 726 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Valeria, or 7 miles north of Campton, moving southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Campton, Campsites in the Indian Creek area of the Daniel Boone
National Forrest, Lexie, Rexville, Pine Ridge, Sellars, Mariba,
Pomeroyton, Haystack, Gosneyville, High Falls, Lane, Malaga, Nada,
Jenson, Netty, Adele, Bethany, Hager, and Lower Gilmore.

THIS INCLUDES Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 30
and 67.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 8318 3768 8336 3770 8339 3768 8343
      3766 8344 3764 8349 3764 8353 3786 8377
      3793 8357
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 301DEG 28KT 3785 8355

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MARCUS
Special weather statement, Aug 16, 8:44 PM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
844 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

KYZ058-059-108-111-112-114-170115-
Lee KY-Breathitt KY-Estill KY-Owsley KY-Powell KY-Wolfe KY-
844 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN POWELL...
NORTHEASTERN OWSLEY...EAST CENTRAL ESTILL...WEST CENTRAL BREATHITT...
LEE AND SOUTHWESTERN WOLFE COUNTIES THROUGH 915 PM EDT...

At 844 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fixer, or 7 miles north of Beattyville, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Beattyville, Booneville, Fincastle, Turin, Pilot, Torrent, White Ash,
Leeco, Pinnacle, Fillmore, Grass, Chestnut Gap, Copebranch, Patsey,
Scoville, Ida May, Lerose, War Creek, Vada, and Pitts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3772 8390 3778 8370 3755 8343 3741 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 321DEG 17KT 3769 8373

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GEERTSON
Special weather statement, Aug 16, 8:57 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
857 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

KYZ108>110-112-113-115-118-120-170130-
Breathitt KY-Perry KY-Floyd KY-Knott KY-Pike KY-Magoffin KY-
Letcher KY-Wolfe KY-
857 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN LETCHER...
NORTHEASTERN PERRY...KNOTT...FLOYD...CENTRAL BREATHITT...PIKE...
SOUTHERN MAGOFFIN AND EAST CENTRAL WOLFE COUNTIES THROUGH 930 PM
EDT...

At 857 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Board Tree to Buckhorn Hollow to Hardshell.
Movement was southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Pikeville, Hazard, Prestonsburg, Jackson, Hindman, Simpson, Estill,
Bath, Coal Run Village, Elkhorn City, Wheelwright, Martin, Pippa
Passes, Forest Hills, Wayland, Allen, Elic, Meta, Buck, and Handshoe.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 53 and 56.
 Hal Rogers Parkway between mile markers 57 and 59.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Floyd County between mile markers 1 and 14.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Knott County between mile markers 1 and 20.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Perry County between mile markers 9 and 15.
 U.S. Highway 119 in Pike County between mile markers 1 and 24.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Floyd County between mile markers 1 and 16.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Lethcher County between mile markers 6 and 7.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Pike County between mile markers 0 and 32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3727 8235 3721 8253 3727 8331 3777 8342
      3775 8331 3771 8327 3774 8324 3767 8281
      3769 8249 3767 8245 3769 8230 3767 8229
      3763 8219 3765 8218 3764 8218 3755 8213
      3756 8208 3753 8205 3755 8204 3754 8197
TIME...MOT...LOC 0057Z 321DEG 25KT 3754 8215 3739 8266 3747 8327

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GEERTSON
Special weather statement, Aug 16, 9:16 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
916 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

KYZ068-069-079-080-116-170200-
Jackson KY-Clay KY-Rockcastle KY-Laurel KY-Pulaski KY-
916 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN LAUREL...NORTHEASTERN
PULASKI...SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON...ROCKCASTLE AND WESTERN CLAY COUNTIES
THROUGH 1000 PM EDT...

At 916 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Loam to 6 miles west of Bandy. Movement was
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Somerset, London, Mount Vernon, Science Hill, Carico, Sand Springs,
Donaro, Bummer, Robinet, Pittsburg, Bandy, Woodstock, Horse Lick,
Roundstone, Spiro, Wabp, Climax, Hansford, Dabney, and Renfro Valley.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Interstate 75 in east central Kentucky between mile markers 41 and
67.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Laurel County between mile markers 1 and 11.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Pulaski County between mile markers 19 and
40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3736 8456 3733 8451 3741 8448 3748 8422
      3719 8387 3704 8463 3728 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 330DEG 18KT 3743 8413 3731 8461

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GEERTSON
Special weather statement, Aug 16, 9:31 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
931 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

KYZ059-108-111-170145-
Lee KY-Powell KY-Wolfe KY-
931 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN POWELL...
NORTHEASTERN LEE AND SOUTHWESTERN WOLFE COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM
EDT...

At 930 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fincastle, or near Beattyville, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Campton, Fincastle, Canyon Falls, Booth, Torrent, Rogers, Leeco,
Fillmore, Airedale, Primrose, Standing Rock, Vortex, Mary, St.
Helens, Vada, Tallega, High Falls, Fixer, Whisman, and Monica.

THIS INCLUDES Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 40
and 44.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3772 8344 3764 8351 3764 8352 3762 8353
      3755 8359 3765 8379 3772 8374 3772 8372
      3773 8373 3778 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0130Z 295DEG 40KT 3767 8365

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GEERTSON
Special weather statement, Aug 16, 10:26 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
1026 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

KYZ080-085>088-116-117-170315-
Whitley KY-Clay KY-Knox KY-Bell KY-Harlan KY-Laurel KY-Leslie KY-
1026 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN HARLAN...SOUTHERN
LAUREL...NORTHEASTERN BELL...KNOX...SOUTHERN LESLIE...NORTHEASTERN
WHITLEY AND SOUTHERN CLAY COUNTIES THROUGH 1115 PM EDT...

At 1026 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Hightop to Wendover. Movement was
southeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
London, Barbourville, Harlan, Pineville, Manchester, Loyall, Evarts,
Wallins Creek, Fariston, Brightshade, Varilla, Swan Lake, Coldiron,
Goose Rock, Black Snake, Bush, Cranes Nest, Blanche, Napier, and
Herron.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Hal Rogers Parkway between mile markers 4 and 29, and between mile
markers 34 and 44.
 Interstate 75 in east central Kentucky between mile markers 25 and
38.
 U.S. Highway 25 East in Bell County between mile markers 12 and 18.
 U.S. Highway 25 East in Knox County between mile markers 1 and 26.
 U.S. Highway 25 East in Laurel County between mile markers 0 and 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3710 8429 3719 8341 3683 8310 3681 8310
      3678 8313 3676 8313 3672 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 0226Z 312DEG 39KT 3705 8422 3712 8337

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GEERTSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 8:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Martin, Pike49 min
Aug 16, 8:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe29 min
Aug 16, 8:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Martin, Pike36 min
Aug 16, 8:34 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLMenifee, Morgan, Wolfe29 min
Aug 16, 8:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJKLBreathitt, Lee, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe24 min
Aug 16, 8:41 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLJohnson, Martin3 hr
Aug 16, 8:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLee31 min
Aug 16, 8:50 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLMagoffin, Morgan, Wolfe13 min
Aug 16, 8:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Estill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley, Powell and 1 more40 min
Aug 16, 8:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott, Magoffin, Pike33 min
Aug 16, 9:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley, Rockcastle30 min
Aug 16, 9:02 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLMagoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Powell, Wolfe3 hr
Aug 16, 9:06 PM EDTFlood WatchJKLBath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 23 more26 hr
Aug 16, 9:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee, Wolfe34 min
Aug 16, 9:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPulaski, Rockcastle44 min
Aug 16, 9:18 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLPowell, Wolfe10 min
Aug 16, 9:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee and 2 more40 min
Aug 16, 9:26 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Johnson, Knott, Magoffin, Morgan and 1 more18 min
Aug 16, 9:28 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLPowell, Wolfe3 hr
Aug 16, 9:31 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLPowell2 hr
Aug 16, 9:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLee14 min
Aug 16, 9:35 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLElliott, Magoffin, Morgan, Rowan3 hr
Aug 16, 9:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee, Magoffin, Perry, Wolfe25 min
Aug 16, 9:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Jackson, Knox, Laurel, Lee and 4 more47 min
Aug 16, 9:44 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Johnson, Knott, Magoffin, Morgan and 1 more3 hr
Aug 16, 9:50 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatJKLBreathitt, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe115 min
Aug 16, 9:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Knott, Leslie, Perry35 min
Aug 16, 9:56 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee3 hr
Aug 16, 10:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Harlan, Knott, Leslie, Letcher and 2 more43 min
Aug 16, 10:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott3 hr
Aug 16, 10:14 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Clay, Estill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley and 1 more3 hr
Aug 16, 10:20 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Leslie, Perry3 hr
Aug 16, 10:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Harlan, Knott, Leslie, Letcher, Perry and 1 more51 min
Aug 16, 10:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLHarlan, Knox, Laurel, Leslie49 min
Aug 16, 10:39 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLFloyd, Knott, Perry2 hr
Aug 16, 10:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLFloyd, Knott3 hr
Aug 16, 11:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBell, Knox31 min
Aug 16, 11:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBell20 min
Aug 16, 11:43 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJKLWolfe3 hr
Aug 16, 11:57 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLMagoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Powell, Wolfe63 min
Aug 17, 12:09 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLPowell2 hr
Aug 17, 12:36 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson24 min
Aug 17, 12:39 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Knott, Magoffin66 min
Aug 17, 12:48 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Lee27 min
Aug 17, 12:58 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson, Owsley32 min
Aug 17, 1:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPike36 min
Aug 17, 3:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLClay, Leslie38 min
Aug 17, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Leslie, Letcher34 min
Aug 17, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Letcher23 min
Aug 17, 7:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLetcher33 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.