Severe Thunderstorm Warning 88, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
656 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Severe thunderstorms remain possible across the area this
    afternoon into tonight.

  - Additional rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms will be
    possible into the middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 309 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

In addition to today's unfolding weather event, strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible at times through at least the middle
of this week as a springtime severe pattern remains active in the
Southern Plains.

An overnight MCS spilling out of the High Plains and Ozarks still
remains a focus for ongoing showers and storms in our region this
afternoon. It lost a little of its overnight momentum, but new
storms organizing along the outflow boundary have access to an
unstable air mass along the southern flank of the MCS. Latest RAP
Mesoanalysis showed 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE from southwest AR and
northern LA southeast through the Pine Belt in southeast MS. A north-
south axis of deeper moisture (PWATs of 1.5+ inches) intersects this
instability axis, sustaining current MCS with additional moisture.
Effective deep layer shear is about 30-40 kts in our area,
supporting organized convection and possible supercell development.
Expectation is for an additional southward push of storms with this
cluster through this afternoon and evening. Supercells are already
developing in the Red River Valley area of OK this afternoon, and
some high-res CAM guidance gives this second area of development the
chance to organize into a separate squall that could push
southeastward into our CWA later tonight. Confidence on timing of
peak severe chances in our area is not the greatest, but one or both
waves should be clearing to southern parts of our area in the
midnight to 7 AM time frame tomorrow morning.

Tomorrow into next week, the pattern looks to remain active, as
mentioned. Remnant outflow boundaries stretched out in the region
will remain the focus for renewed development of convection, but the
key will be triggering of new upstream convection in the Southern
Plains and possible MCS development spreading into our area as a
result. The next focus for watching will be a potential MCS later
tomorrow night, which currently warrants a Marginal Risk for severe
storms extending into northeast LA and southeast AR before sunrise
Sunday and expanding to the rest of the area into the day Sunday.
Thunderstorm chances remain in place through Friday across our
region, which as mentioned, has the potential to be strong to severe
if timed out favorably with heating and the passage of upper-level
disturbances over the region. Residents should remain alert to
changes in forecasted impacts over the next several days. /NF/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 653 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Busy weather this evening will lead to gusty winds, low
ceiling/visibility at most TAF sites, with the exception of the
southeast. Rain and storms are expected to persist into the
overnight hours, with lowering ceilings generally after midnight.
Low stratus and/or light rain will persist into Saturday morning
before improving to VFR across the area by Saturday afternoon.
/SAS/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       63  81  65  83 /  70  70  40  50
Meridian      62  81  62  83 /  80  80  30  40
Vicksburg     63  82  66  84 /  70  50  40  50
Hattiesburg   65  85  66  86 /  60  50  20  50
Natchez       65  86  67  87 /  50  40  30  50
Greenville    64  79  65  80 /  70  40  50  50
Greenwood     63  80  63  82 /  80  50  40  40

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

NF/NF/SAS20

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1210 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

MSZ034-035-040-041-250615-
Washington MS-Sharkey MS-Humphreys MS-Issaquena MS-
1210 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...NORTH
CENTRAL ISSAQUENA...SOUTHWESTERN HUMPHREYS AND NORTHERN SHARKEY
COUNTIES THROUGH 115 AM CDT...

At 1209 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Grace, or 9 miles northeast of Mayersville, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Anguilla, Panther Burn, and Nitta Yuma around 1215 AM CDT.
  Hollandale and Delta City around 1220 AM CDT.
  Murphy around 1235 AM CDT.
  Darlove around 1240 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 9076 3327 9076 3327 9070 3303 9056
      3290 9100 3307 9110 3330 9077
TIME...MOT...LOC 0509Z 242DEG 21KT 3303 9098

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1212 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1202 AM     Hail             3 SW Oak Grove          31.25N 89.45W
04/25/2026  E1.00 Inch       Lamar              MS   Broadcast Media

            Quarter size hail reported in the Oak Grove
            area.

&&

DL