Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Indianapolis, IN

130 
WWUS53 KIND 192148
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
448 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

INC153-192158-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T2230Z/
Sullivan IN-
448 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SULLIVAN COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EST for southwestern
and west central Indiana.

LAT...LON 3904 8724 3913 8724 3933 8706 3917 8686
      3904 8708
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 232DEG 32KT 3905 8711 

$$

INC021-055-119-192230-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T2230Z/
Clay IN-Owen IN-Greene IN-
448 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EST
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CLAY...SOUTHWESTERN OWEN AND NORTHWESTERN GREENE
COUNTIES...

At 448 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Linton, or 32
miles west of Bloomington, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
Linton, Jasonville, Worthington, Clay City, Coal City, and Vicksburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EST for southwestern
and west central Indiana.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3904 8724 3913 8724 3933 8706 3917 8686
      3904 8708
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 232DEG 32KT 3905 8711 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

Updike

908 
WWUS53 KIND 192201
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
501 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

INC021-055-119-192211-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T2230Z/
Clay IN-Owen IN-Greene IN-
501 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CLAY...
SOUTHWESTERN OWEN AND NORTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, small hail is
still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EST for southwestern
and west central Indiana.

LAT...LON 3904 8724 3913 8724 3933 8706 3917 8686
      3904 8708
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 232DEG 32KT 3912 8699 

$$

Updike

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
310 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered strong to severe storms this afternoon into the evening

- All severe hazards are possible, with the greatest tornado
  potential south of I-70.

- Strong wind gusts up to 45 mph late tonight through early
  afternoon Friday.

- Colder for the weekend, with scattered light snow possible Sunday

&&

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 236 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

Tornado watch 10 continues for southern portions of central
Indiana. Surface analysis shows a warm front across far southern
Indiana extending westward to near the STL metro area. Earlier
thunderstorms that developed over SE IL were slightly elevated, as
temperatures were only in the mid 60s and weakened as they moved
further north into the more stable air.

12Z ILX sounding shows convective temperatures around 70F with 19Z
temperatures into the upper 60s along and south of the warm front
over far southern Indiana. Recent convective development to the west
of Louisville has shown signs of moving to the right of the mean
flow and nearly surface based. Maximized 3mb/2hr pressure falls is
noted to the south of STL is indicative of increasing low level WAA.
Convection within several weak clusters over southern IL driven by a
subtle shortwave trough at 500 mb are beginning to intensify in a
region of increasing deep moisture convergence supported by the
increasing low level flow impinging along the warm front.

Despite the presence of steep mid 2-5 km lapse rates (7-7.5C/km),
skinny CAPE profiles are noted due to an inversion centered between
5-6 km (per STL ACARS soundings). This will continue to limit
overall instability and a rapid increase in convective development.
Stronger low level SR inflow in the 21-23Z time period should
support an increasing TS coverage and severe thunderstorm threat.
The presence of strong effective deep layer shear (50-60 kts) will
enhance updraft rotation and threat for large hail and damaging
winds with pseudo/supercellular structures. Low level shear/SRH will
remain maximized along the warm frontal boundary as it lifts slowly
north into southern portions of central Indiana over the next few
hours. As the 1-2km wind fields accelerate in the 21-23Z period, 0-
1km SRH will increase to between 200-300 m2/s2 leading to a greater
potential for tornadoes after 21Z.

&&

.SHORT TERM (This evening through Friday)...
Issued at 309 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

Rest of today/through midnight...

For details on the evolving severe threat across central Indiana,
please see mesoscale updates.

Overnight...

Prefrontal trough/dryline is expected to push rapidly across central
Indiana between 02Z and 05Z, ending convective precip and
thunderstorm chances. As the surface low continues to intensity over
the Mid MS valley (988 mb around near Chicago by 08Z), an associated
cold front will accelerate across central Indiana between 08-12Z.
Strong low level flow (40-45 kts as low as 2000 ft AGL) will couple
with strong cold advection and modestly steep lapse rates below 850
mb to support wind gusts around 40 kts across NW portions of central
Indiana and as high as 35 kts across area along I-70. A wind
advisory was contemplated for far NW portions of central Indiana,
but confidence on meeting over 45 mph gusts for any length of time
is not sufficiently high at the moment. However, an SPS will be
issued for these sub-advisory criteria winds.

Friday...

Winds will continue to be the main forecast concern during the day
along with much colder temperatures. Have undercut NBM guidance by a
few degrees on temps considering overcast skies and continued strong
cold advection in the morning. Wind gusts will remain around 40 kts
across northern portions of the forecast area through the morning,
before a decrease in gusts during the afternoon owing to relaxing of
the surface pressure gradient as the low pressure moves into
northern lower MI as well as gradual decrease in the boundary layer
wind fields.

&&

.LONG TERM (Friday night through Thursday)...
Issued at 309 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

Friday night and Saturday...

High pressure will nudge into the area and keep conditions dry and
seasonable. Some guidance has rain just south of the area along an
old front, but given the surface high and dry air locally, feel that
odds of rain are too low to mention.

Sunday and Monday...

An upper level low will move southeast through the area on Sunday.
This won't have a lot of moisture to work with, but it will still be
enough for some scattered light snow showers, mainly northeast.

Colder air moving in with the low will generate some lake enhanced
snow showers Sunday night and Monday. The bulk of these should
remain north of central Indiana, but a few could sneak into the
north and northeast.

Temperatures will be below normal with highs in the 30s and lows
mainly in the 20s. Some area could see upper teens Monday night.

Tuesday and beyond...

Upper flow will become closer to zonal as the upper low exits the
area. This will allow seasonable to even above normal temperatures
to return. Highs could be around 50 by Wednesday and Thursday.

A cold front will bring chances of rain around Wednesday and
Thursday, with some uncertainty on the timing of highest PoPs.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 1249 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

Impacts:

- IFR conditions ending by 1900Z with MVFR ceilings redeveloping
  overnight.

- Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon into mid evening with IFR
  visibilities and MVFR ceilings.

- Gusty WSW winds up to 35 kts late tonight through the day Friday
  with

Discussion:

IFR conditions have rapidly improved the last 1-2 hours with daytime
heating. MVFR ceilings will be prevalent for another 1-2 hrs prior
to convective arrival. Thunderstorm activity has increased recently
along a warm front extending just north of the Ohio River.
Thunderstorms will impact KHUF and KBMG earliest, before affecting
KIND and KLAF later this afternoon. IFR visibilities are expected
with the TS. The potential exist for GR or +TSRA especially for KHUF
and KBMG, but have opted to leave out this for now, since limited
duration and uncertainties on timing and threat are still fairly
high.

Convection will end from west to east between 03 and 06Z with the
passage of a fast moving surface wind shift. Wind gusts will pick up
with the passage of this wind shift initially from 20-25 kts. A cold
front will move across the TAF sites later tonight (08-10Z) with
MVFR ceilings and winds becoming WSW with gusts from 30-35 kts.
These conditions will continue through the day on Friday.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

MESOSCALE...Crosbie
SHORT TERM...Crosbie
LONG TERM...50
AVIATION...Crosbie

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
350 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-202100-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
350 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected into the late
evening. Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes are all
possible. The threat exists for a strong tornado south of I-70 until
late evening.

Strong westerly wind gusts from 35-45 mph will develop across areas
north of I-70 late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Strong westerly wind gusts from 35-45 mph will continue through
early Friday afternoon across areas north of I-70.

Light snow is possible Saturday night into Sunday with little to no
accumulation expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is expected for this afternoon and evening.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Crosbie

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
356 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

INZ021-028>031-035>042-192300-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport,
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo,
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon,
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson,
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, and Parker City
356 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM 35 TO 45 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A strong cold front will move through central Indiana after
midnight bringing with it west-southwest wind gusts from 35-45
mph. These strong winds will last through Friday morning before
diminishing early Friday afternoon.

Crosbie

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
407 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

INZ021-028>031-035>042-200900-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport,
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo,
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon,
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson,
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, and Parker City
407 PM EST Thu Feb 19 2026

...STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM 35 TO 45 MPH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A strong cold front will move through central Indiana after
midnight bringing with it west-southwest wind gusts from 35-45
mph. These strong winds will last through Friday morning before
diminishing early Friday afternoon.

Crosbie