Tornado Warning 19, NWS Goodland, KS

567 
WWUS53 KGLD 212219
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
519 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

KSC153-181-212229-
/O.CAN.KGLD.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260621T2300Z/
Rawlins KS-Sherman KS-
519 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS AND NORTHEASTERN
SHERMAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has  moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
northwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3952 10093 3928 10128 3942 10139 3954 10139
      3957 10132 3957 10117
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 305DEG 35KT 3952 10128 

$$

KSC193-212300-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260621T2300Z/
Thomas KS-
519 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN THOMAS COUNTY...

At 519 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 10 miles northwest of Levant, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Levant.

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 39 and 48.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3952 10093 3928 10128 3942 10139 3954 10139
      3957 10132 3957 10117
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 305DEG 35KT 3952 10128 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Alexander

069 
WWUS53 KGLD 212231
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
531 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

KSC193-212241-
/O.CAN.KGLD.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260621T2300Z/
Thomas KS-
531 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN THOMAS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, small hail,
gusty winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
northwestern Kansas.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Goodland.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
Thomas county

&&

LAT...LON 3952 10093 3928 10128 3942 10139 3954 10139
      3957 10132 3957 10117
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 300DEG 28KT 3947 10117 

$$

Alexander

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
133 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe storms capable of producing 2 inch diameter hail, 75
  mph wind gusts, and a brief tornado are possible this
  afternoon and evening, mainly between 2 PM and 9 PM MDT.

- Locations that received heavy rain during the past 24-hr are
  more prone to experience flash flooding, should additional
  heavy rain occur this afternoon.

- Severe storms capable of producing 2 inch diameter hail and 70
  mph wind gusts are possible during the afternoon and evening
  hours Monday through Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 1208 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

Today, a 500 mb low will create an 850 mb and surface low that will
sweep across the southern portions of the Northern Plains. This will
extend a cold front through the CWA, sparking off more storms in the
afternoon hours. Highs are expected to be near 80 in the
northeastern CWA, but near 90 in the southwestern CWA.

Convection looks to just north of Yuma and Dundy counties, and move
southeast. Additional convection will fire in off as a broken line
to the southwest. As of 18Z, there is a Cu field forming in this
area, which will become storms over the next couple of hours. Hail
up around in the 1-2 inch range will be the main threat early on,
but if a storm can really tap into the shear and CAPE, 3 inch hail
will be possible. The tornadic threat is fairly similar, a bigger
hazard early on. This does not look to be a great tornadic
environment as hodographs are a little too straight. Winds are a
threat through the whole event, but more so as the broken line grows
together. Most likely winds will be in the 60-70 MPH range, but
winds up to 80-85 MPH are possible. Convection looks to weaken
around 3Z, with lingering showers potentially lasting until after
6Z.

Lows tonight do look to be a bit cooler Sunday night behind the cold
front, likely dropping into the 50s. Fog and stratus are likely
again overnight.

Monday, the northwesterly flow aloft persists and sends another
shortwave across the Rockies and into the High Plains. Highs look to
warm into the mid 70s in the northeastern CWA and mid 80s in the
southwestern CWA. Convection looks to fire off the front range and
Palmer Divide around 21-23Z and move east into the area. These CAMs
are showing these storms decaying before they exit Colorado, but
looking at CAPE and shear, they may continue into Nebraska and
Kansas. Hail is the primary threat with these storms, up to 2
inches, and winds up to 60-70 MPH are possible. There is a low
tornado risk, too. Additional sub-severe convection may trail these
storms and linger into the overnight hours. The severe threat looks
to end around 3-5Z.

Lows tomorrow night look to cool into the 50s, maybe low 60s. Fog
and stratus may return again.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 128 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

***Tuesday-Wednesday***

A 500-mb trough looks to be moving across the Northern United States
Tuesday, with a modest 40-55 kt jet streak at its base. The trough
axis looks to be moving through the area throughout the day. At the
same time, GEFS 850-mb height mean-spread guidance suggests the
presence of a low in Colorado. Southerly flow from the low in
Colorado would meet northerly flow underneath the trough axis,
creating a convergence zone across the forecast region.
Thunderstorms may be possible with this setup. LREF guidance
suggests that up to 3000 J/kg of surface-based CAPE (a measure of
atmospheric instability) may be in place. In addition, GFS and EC
model soundings suggest that 0-6 km vertical shear around 40-50 kts
is reasonably possible due to the 500-mb jet streak. This may allow
thunderstorms to become severe, with primary hazards including high
wind and large hail. This pattern may linger into Wednesday, which
may continue to promote severe thunderstorms with similar
hazards. Confidence in severe weather occurring is highest on
Tuesday around 15-20%.

***Thursday-Sunday***

Ridging looks to begin moving in overhead sometime Thursday.
Shortwave troughs embedded in the ridge may allow thunderstorms to
stick around on Thursday and possibly Friday, though chances begin
to decrease dramatically after Thursday. The entire County Warning
Area (CWA) has a 50-70% chance of seeing greater than 0.1 inches of
precipitation from Thursday's activity based on NBM 24-hr
precipitation guidance. Whether or not these storms are allowed to
become severe depends on the positioning and strength of the 500-mb
jet. LREF 90th percentile guidance suggests that winds at 500-mb
could still reach 30-40 kts, though it appears likely that the jet
will be weaker on Thursday than that of Tuesday and Wednesday. If
this is the case, the severe potential could be a bit lower
Thursday. Confidence in severe weather occurring Thursday is down to
about 5-10%.

By Friday, all areas across the forecast region have a 1 in 3 chance
or less to experience greater than 0.1 inches of precipitation
according to NBM 24-hr precipitation guidance. This decreases to
less than 10% Saturday and Sunday. In addition, as troughing sets up
across the West Coast during the weekend, temperatures look to begin
warming again. Highs are forecast in the mid 80s to lower 90s on
Friday, and low to upper 90s on Saturday and Sunday. As this heating
occurs and moisture moves off to the east, dry conditions look to
set in. Forecast guidance suggests that portions of East-Central
Colorado may see relative humidities (RH) drop into the low to mid
teens Saturday and Sunday. Wind gusts may be allowed to reach the 25
to 30 mph range across this zone, which could implicate critical
fire weather as a concern. However, confidence in a Red Flag Warning
being needed either day is around 5% or less, as both RH values and
wind gusts are just meeting criteria for the hazard. Additionally,
precipitation over the next several days may help counter the
incoming dry conditions. Even so, this development will be something
to keep an eye on as we approach the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1117 AM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

The ceilings are slowing lifting and breaking across the region.
KMCK and KGLD are expected to return to VFR conditions by 20Z.
Winds look to be chaotic this afternoon, shifting from
southwesterly to easterly before more storms move in during the
afternoon hours. Once the convection clears, around 3Z, MVFR to
IFR ceilings return around 9Z and will persist until after
sunrise.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1117 AM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

Over the next week, we are looking at near daily chances of
convection as PWATs range around 0.9-1.75 inch. We are also
expecting 0C level to be around 15,000 feet AGL, leading to deep
melting layers, promoting efficient rainfall producing storms.

Recent precipitation totals (preliminary) along a line from
Trenton, NE to Grinnell, KS range from 3-6 inches. Additionally,
areas in southern Rawlins and northern Thomas county range
around 2.5-5 inches. These locations will be at the highest risk
for additional flooding and flash flooding to occur this
afternoon and evening.

A Flood Watch has not been issued due to a lack of confidence
that tonight's storms will produce more than 1-1.5 inches of
rain. Guidance is also highlighting areas to the east of the
saturated locations, reducing the potential for compounding
flood risks. Current confidence in additional flash flooding
occurring this afternoon and evening is around 30-40%.

Through Friday, there are returning chances of precipitation
across the CWA. If storms keep passing over the same, saturated
areas, flooding becomes a reoccurring risk.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...CA
LONG TERM...Davis
AVIATION...CA
HYDROLOGY...CA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1254 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-221900-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne CO-Cheyenne KS-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-
Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-
Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1254 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026 /154 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued until 8 PM MT for the
entire Tri-State area. Storms capable of producing 2 inch diameter
hail, 75 mph wind gusts, and a brief tornado are possible this
afternoon and evening, mainly between 2 PM and 9 PM MDT.

Heavy rainfall is possible with the storms this afternoon and
evening. Locations that received heavy rainfall during the past 24
hours are more prone to experience flash flooding. Driving through
flooding roadways is dangerous.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Severe storms capable of producing 2 inch diameter hail and 70 mph
wind gusts are possible during the afternoon and evening hours
Monday through Wednesday.

There is an ongoing flash flooding threat through the week as
additional rounds of efficient rain producing storms move through
the
area.Driving through flooding roadways is dangerous.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
323 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     Hail             12 N Max                40.28N 101.40W
06/21/2026  M3.20 Inch       Dundy              NE   Trained Spotter

            Social Media report of pictured 3.2 inch
            hail measured with Calipers.

&&

DH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
331 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     Hail             3 W Stratton            40.13N 101.27W
06/21/2026  E1.50 Inch       Hitchcock          NE   Public

            Report from mPING: Ping Pong Ball (1.50
            in.).

&&

DH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
334 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     Hail             Stratton                40.15N 101.23W
06/21/2026  M1.00 Inch       Hitchcock          NE   Storm Chaser

            Spotter Network: report of 1.00 inch hail.

&&

DH

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Corrected
National Weather Service Goodland KS
336 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     Hail             12 NNW Max              40.28N 101.46W
06/21/2026  M3.00 Inch       Dundy              NE   Trained Spotter

            Corrects previous hail report from 12 NNW
            Max. Spotter Network report: Measured with
            Calipers 3 inch hail.

&&

DH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
344 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0339 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 ENE Saint Francis     39.78N 101.78W
06/21/2026  M57 MPH          Cheyenne           KS   Mesonet

            AWN station measured 57 mph gust.

&&

KAK

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
359 PM MDT Sun Jun 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0356 PM     Hail             4 W Bird City           39.76N 101.60W
06/21/2026  M0.50 Inch       Cheyenne           KS   Public

            Text message report of half inch hail.

&&

KAK