Severe Thunderstorm Warning 331, NWS Goodland, KS

854 
WWUS53 KGLD 200249
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
949 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

KSC203-200330-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0331.000000T0000Z-260920T0330Z/
Wichita KS-
949 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR WICHITA COUNTY...

At 948 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 7 miles west of Scott State Lake to 6 miles north of
Scott City to 5 miles southwest of Grigston, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Leoti, Lydia, Selkirk, and Marienthal.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10157 3870 10113 3826 10113 3826 10156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0248Z 252DEG 46KT 3868 10105 3858 10092 3843 10080 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rhoades/CA

067 
WWUS53 KGLD 200301
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1001 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

KSC203-200330-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0331.000000T0000Z-260920T0330Z/
Wichita KS-
1001 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN WICHITA COUNTY...

At 1001 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles northeast of Scott State Lake to 6 miles west
of Healy to near Amy, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Marienthal and Lydia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3862 10130 3870 10113 3826 10113 3826 10131
TIME...MOT...LOC 0301Z 252DEG 46KT 3873 10086 3863 10073 3848 10061 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rhoades/CA

351 
WWUS53 KGLD 200312
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1012 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

KSC203-200321-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0331.000000T0000Z-260920T0330Z/
Wichita KS-
1012 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN WICHITA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and have exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning has
been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
west central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3862 10130 3870 10113 3826 10113 3826 10131
TIME...MOT...LOC 0309Z 252DEG 46KT 3876 10072 3866 10059 3851 10047 

$$

Rhoades/CA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
539 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooling trend starts today!

- Scattered showers possible throughout the day before strong to
  severe storms this evening and overnight. All hazards are
  possible, so be prepared to act!

- Strong to severe storms may return Sunday afternoon and
  evening, with all hazards being possible again.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 100 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Upper low over Idaho this morning will move into Wyoming
tonight. Lead shortwave will eject from the base of the low and
across northern Colorado this afternoon and move through the
area tonight. Thunderstorms have already developed in the Front
Range southwest of Denver, and storms will continue to develop
across northeast Colorado this afternoon. The shortwave is
enhancing deep layer shear which is 30-40 kts. Instability is
fairly limited for the initial storms, but as they move
eastward it will increase to 1000-1500 j/kg through about 02z
before decreasing after sunset. Initial discrete cells in
Colorado will likely be supercells capable of large hail of
golf ball size or larger, damaging wind gust in excess of 60
mph, and brief tornadoes. CAMs show the storms quickly merging
into a line as they approach the Kansas border area, with a
bowing signature indicating damaging wind gusts will be possible
as it moves through the area this evening. Recent warm
temperatures and lack of widespread rainfall has primed the
soils for a risk of blowing dust and dust storms, as occurred
yesterday with an isolated storm. The blowing dust may be more
widespread as the line moves through tonight. The main line
looks to move through the area by 06z, but additional storms
will develop overnight, mainly south of Interstate 70. These
will be driven by a southerly low level jet and likely elevated,
posing a minimal threat for small hail as MUCAPE will be less
than 500 j/kg at that time. Low clouds and patchy fog will also
develop overnight.

The fog should burn off relatively early Sunday morning, but
models show the low clouds persisting well into the afternoon
due to light upslope surface winds. This will impact not only
temperatures, but instability and therefore convective chances
Sunday afternoon and evening. Best chances for some clearing
will be in eastern Colorado, particularly near the Palmer
Divide and possibly the Cheyenne Ridge, where CAMs show discrete
cells developing around 21z. Deep layer shear will be favorable
for supercells due to a 500 mb speed max moving through the
base of the upper low now in the Nebraska panhandle, resulting
in 0-6 km shear of 40-50 kts in eastern Colorado. East to
southeasterly storm motions would take them into far northeast
Colorado, with an accompanying risk for large hail, damaging
winds, blowing dust and dust storms, and tornadoes. It is less
certain how far east they will be maintained because of the
influence of the low clouds and decreasing instability, but
shear will be more than adequate through the early evening, and
there is some risk for a supercell in the Colorado and Kansas
border area through about 03z before dissipating. The low level
jet appears to be active once again late in the evening and
overnight, with scattered elevated convection generally south of
Interstate 70 and MUCAPE 500-1000 j/kg. Given the saturated air
mass and light winds, would expect the low clouds and patchy
fog to return Sunday night into Monday morning.

For Monday, a zonal flow will develop over the top of a ridge
centered over Texas. At the surface, upslope flow continues.
However, CAMs show only isolated convection developing, probably
due to lack of forcing. Also, instability is forecast to be
weak at less than 200 j/kg. As a result, precipitation chances
will be slim to none and severe weather is not anticipated.

On Tuesday, the upper ridge over Texas will amplify into the
Central Plains. The axis will be just east of the area,
resulting in southwest flow over the High Plains. This has been
a familiar pattern through much of September. Scattered storms
will develop in southeast Colorado and then move northeast into
the area Tuesday night, but weakening and dissipating as they
do so with loss of daytime heating. The probability of severe
weather will be low and limited to gusty winds.

Temperatures through the period will be below normal with highs
generally in the upper 60s to lower 70s and lows mainly in the
50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 226 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Beginning Wednesday, a weak ridge should begin to develop over the
central plains, slowly propagating to the east through Saturday.
Ensemble guidance is in general agreement on the ridge axis
positioning to the east of our county warning area (CWA) which
should give us upper level flow from the southwest as we head into
next weekend. Higher confidence exists at the moment of this ridge
weakening through Saturday, bringing zonal westerly flow aloft to
the region during the weekend. A weak upper-level jet streak should
be in place Wednesday, ushering in breezy conditions to the area.
Confidence is medium that this feature will move out of the area by
Thursday. At the surface, weak surface low pressure is forecasted to
influence the area through Friday. Simultaneously, a frontal
boundary moves through the area Wednesday which should give us
boosted chances for showers and thunderstorms. Chances for
precipitation the rest of the week will be dependent on shortwave
passages through the ridging system.

With respect to Probability of Precipitation (PoPs), forecast
guidance displays 25-40% Wednesday during frontal passage. Eastern
portions of the CWA may see up to 50% PoPs overnight into Thursday
morning as the front moves off to the east. Heading towards the
weekend, 15-30% PoPs for Thursday as well as 25-45% Friday are
highlighted by guidance. 15-30% is the current probability range
Saturday as the overall pattern becomes zonal. Instability and bulk
shear are forecasted to be low during this long-term period, making
any chance for precipitation limited to showers and thunderstorms.

High temperatures are expected to be near the seasonal average for
this time of the year for the Tri-State area heading into the
weekend. Highs in the upper 70/low 80s are anticipated for the
entire four-day forecast period. Surface winds should start off
breezy on Wednesday at around 15-25 mph in the eastern and central
parts of our CWA and 25-30 mph in eastern Colorado, gusting up to 40
mph. Winds should die down to a general 5-10 mph Thursday
accompanied by gusts up to 15 mph. Finally winds likely bounce back
a bit to 10-20 mph Friday and Saturday with gusting up to 25
mph.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 538 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

For KGLD, thunderstorms are expected to impact the terminal through
at least 04Z. After 04Z, confidence in thunderstorm coverage
decreased, but KGLD could still have scattered storms affect the
terminal through around 09Z. Gusty and erratic winds are possible
with any thunderstorms. After storms exit the area, fog is forecast
to move in from the west around 11Z and lift around 15Z. Low
ceilings and reduced visibilities are expected from storms and
fog. In absence of storms, winds will overall be light and
variable.

For KMCK, winds will primarily be out of the northwest and mostly
under 10 knots. Showers and thunderstorms moving in from the west
around 03Z. Storm activity may linger around KMCK through 08Z
causing reduced ceilings and visibilities. Low ceilings will remain
after storms have left the area, but will lift towards the end of
the TAF period.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...024/AMP
AVIATION...Rhoades

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
331 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-202145-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne CO-Cheyenne KS-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-
Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-
Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
331 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026 /431 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 10 PM MDT/11 PM CDT
for areas generally along and south of Interstate 70 and west of
Highway 25 in northwest Kansas and northeast Colorado.

Thunderstorms will develop in northeast Colorado after 4 PM MT this
afternoon, then move across the remainder of the Tri State area this
evening. Initial storms in Colorado will be capable of producing
hail of golf ball size or larger, damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or
greater and brief tornadoes. The storms will merge into a line as
they enter northwest Kansas and southwest Nebraska between 6 and
8 PM MT, which will move through the remainder of the area through
midnight MT. During this time, the primary hazards will be damaging
wind gusts of 60 mph or greater, reduced visibility in blowing dust
and localized dust storms. Travel may become hazardous due to blowing
dust.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

There is a 15% chance for severe storms Sunday afternoon and
evening. Main hazards include 70 MPH wind gusts, 1 inch hail, a
brief tornado, and flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
559 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0554 PM     Hail             7 SSW Bethune           39.21N 102.49W
09/19/2026  M2.00 Inch       Kit Carson         CO   Trained Spotter

            Spotter reports measured 2-2.25 inch hail
            near Bethune, CO.

&&

AMP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
650 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     Hail             7 SW Bethune            39.23N 102.51W
09/19/2026  M3.00 Inch       Kit Carson         CO   Trained Spotter

            Delayed report. Spotter reported 3 inch
            hail.

&&

AMP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
653 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     Hail             5 SW Arapahoe           38.80N 102.24W
09/19/2026  E0.75 Inch       Cheyenne           CO   Public

            Social media report of penny size hail near
            Arapahoe.

&&

AMP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
710 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NNE Goodland          39.37N 101.70W
09/19/2026  M58 MPH          Sherman            KS   ASOS

            ASOS station KGLD Goodland 50 kts gust.

&&

CA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
712 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     Hail             1 NNW Weskan            38.87N 101.96W
09/19/2026  E1.00 Inch       Wallace            KS   Trained Spotter

            Spotter report of 1 inch hail.

&&

AMP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Goodland KS
816 PM MDT Sat Sep 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     Hail             1 E Selkirk             38.47N 101.52W
09/19/2026  E1.75 Inch       Wichita            KS   Emergency Mngr

            EM relayed report of golf ball size hail
            near Selkirk.

&&

AMP