Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
228 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Numerous to widespread thunderstorms will develop today and
  tomorrow, continuing late into the night. Some storms this
  afternoon may become strong to severe and capable of producing
  gusty to damaging wind gusts up to 50-60 mph, locally heavy
  rainfall, and frequent lightning.

- A Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of east central
  Georgia from noon to 8PM this afternoon, where heat index values
  up to 106 are possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

The synoptic pattern remains relatively unchanged with a stout near
600dam H500 ridge pivoting from the central Rockies into the
Northern Plains. Farther downstream, east of the Mississippi River,
a weak upper trough and associated upper low continues to slowly
drop from the Ohio Valley across the Southern Appalachians today
through tomorrow. At the same time, surface high pressure settling
over New England will drop a weak backdoor front south across the
Carolinas and towards Georgia, especially through the day on Monday.
These features interacting with an anomalously moist airmass (PWATs
in the 90th percentile for mid July) will foster the development of
numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms both this afternoon
and then again on Monday. Early afternoon visible satellite imagery
depicts a rather robust cumulus field just south of the Atlanta
metro with deeper updrafts supporting ice aloft and lightning
production as of this writing. This activity resides within a
moderately unstable airmass characteristic of 2500-4000 J/kg of
surface-based CAPE, steep low-level lapse rates and a pocket of 700-
1000 J/kg of DCAPE. ACARS soundings from ATL also depict inverted-v
profiles within the sub-clooud layer extending to at least 900mb
with potential deepening to as high as 850mb. As such, any more
robust cores will be capable of producing locally damaging
microbursts, especially with any convective clusters that can grow
upscale along composite cold pools. Farther north, more extensive
cloud cover has inhibited more robust instability with more shallow
cumulus noted west of just north of Atlanta. With additional time
and arriving forcing, convection should gradually expand in coverage
to the north as well.

The presence of synoptic forcing will allow convection to linger and
perhaps redevelop beyond the traditional summer pulse climo window.
The 12z suite of CAM guidance depicts lingering clusters of
convection overnight, especially across the north Georgia mountains
where at least some component of the flow will be aligned favorable
for orographic enhancement. The aforementioned PWATs will also
support healthy rainfall rates and any convective training or slow
moving cores will be capable of isolated flash flooding, especially
within urban settings or mountain locations with topographical
anchoring.

By Monday, the weak closed upper low settles more directly over the
area and will likely allow for another round of numerous to
widespread showers and thunderstorms. Copious amounts of cloud cover
will result in temperatures a good bit below climo with highs in the
low to mid 80s, which will have implications on available
instability. Despite sufficient coverage of storms, weaker CAPE with
poorer lapse rates and notably less DCAPE will generally limit
severe potential. Although with any summer storms, an isolated wet
microburst or two cannot be completely ruled out. Isolated flash
flooding will also have to be watched as slow moving storm clusters
and boundary interactions could yield pockets of locally higher
rainfall.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Tuesday picks up with more rain expected across the CWA. The cut off
low delivering our current rounds of precip will begin to slowly
meander to the west underneath a breaking upper level ridge over the
northern portions of the CONUS. For Wednesday, this means PoPs will
return to a more of a typical summer pattern with late afternoon and
evening storms driven by daytime heating. Large upper level low is
progged to move over the NE going into Wednesday and Thursday. Our
pattern stalls a bit large ridge building over the central to
western portions of the CONUS, with troughing over the NE. By end of
week this may bring low pressure trough down the Appalachians that
could help to suppress some of the afternoon convection.

Temperatures are still forecast to slowly rise through the week.
With rain and cloud cover sticking around, temperatures will be 5-10
degrees below average Tuesday with highs in the 80s (and some areas
in the mountains only getting into the 70s!). Expect highs to rise
to the upper 80s to low 90s by Wednesday, becoming "seasonable" in
the low to mid 90s across the area through the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

TSRA has develop across the area this aftn with associated impacts
possible at any terminal in the form of reduced vsby, lower cigs and
gusty winds. A few showers may linger/redevelop overnight. Low
stratus will form during the early evening with IFR cigs common and
at least some degree of patchy fog with reduced vsby. Cigs will lift
to MVFR by late morning followed by another round of afternoon TSRA
on Monday. Winds will be light and generally out of the west or
southwest.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on the northern extent of TSRA towards the
airfield this aftn. High confidence for morning IFR stratus and
afternoon TSRA Monday.

Winesett

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  82  68  81 /  70  80  80  90
Atlanta         72  84  70  82 /  70  70  80  90
Blairsville     65  77  63  78 /  80  90  50  70
Cartersville    70  83  69  83 /  70  80  70  80
Columbus        73  86  71  86 /  60  70  50  90
Gainesville     70  80  68  79 /  90  80  80  80
Macon           72  86  69  85 /  60  80  60  90
Rome            70  83  68  82 /  70  90  70  80
Peachtree City  70  84  69  82 /  60  70  70  90
Vidalia         73  89  71  88 /  60  80  60  70

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ074-084>086-097-
098-111>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...Winesett
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...Winesett

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
352 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-132000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
352 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for portions of eastern
and central Georgia until 9 PM tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to
60 mph will be possible with any storms which do form.

Numerous to widespread thunderstorms are expected this afternoon
and evening. Some storms may become strong to severe and capable
of producing gusty to damaging winds, frequent lightning, large
hail, and localized flash flooding concerns.

A Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of east central Georgia
from noon to 8PM. Heat index values up to 108 are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Numerous to widespread thunderstorms are likely on Monday and
Tuesday. Some storms may become strong to severe and capable of
producing gusty to damaging winds, frequent lightning, and
locally heavy rainfall.

Scattered afternoon thunderstorms are likely each day through
Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
511 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

GAZ085-086-122200-
Emanuel GA-Johnson GA-
511 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Emanuel
and northeastern Johnson Counties through 600 PM EDT...

At 511 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Kite, or 8 miles east
of Wrightsville, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Swainsboro, Summertown, Kite, Dellwood, Modoc, Meeks, and Blundale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
east central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 8238 3264 8265 3276 8260 3278 8247
      3276 8243 3278 8240 3279 8241 3281 8229
      3264 8225
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 280DEG 11KT 3268 8258

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
547 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

GAZ093-095-096-105-107-122230-
Macon GA-Dooly GA-Houston GA-Bleckley GA-Pulaski GA-
547 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Macon,
Pulaski, northeastern Dooly, west central Bleckley and southern
Houston Counties through 630 PM EDT...

At 547 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Unadilla, or 12 miles
south of Perry, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Hawkinsville, Unadilla, Pinehurst, Dooling, Browndale, Hayneville,
Sand Bed, Grovania, Elko, Mock Springs, Grove Park, Wallace, Ocmulgee
Public Fishing Area, Hartford, Pulaski State Prison, Henderson,
Klondike, and Clinchfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3223 8393 3235 8394 3250 8352 3249 8349
      3248 8350 3246 8350 3246 8348 3224 8341
      3212 8352 3212 8354 3213 8355 3212 8355
      3212 8359
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 279DEG 12KT 3229 8372

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
605 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

GAZ086-122245-
Emanuel GA-
605 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Emanuel
County through 645 PM EDT...

At 605 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Garfield, or 13 miles
southwest of Millen, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Garfield, Canoochee, and Three Points.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
east central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3265 8224 3280 8226 3282 8223 3280 8221
      3281 8220 3281 8217 3282 8215 3280 8214
      3266 8208 3264 8206
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 279DEG 26KT 3269 8212

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
619 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

GAZ097-107-109-122300-
Laurens GA-Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-
619 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Laurens, central Dodge and southeastern Pulaski Counties through 700
PM EDT...

At 619 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Union, or near Eastman,
moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Eastman, Chester, Cadwell, Chauncey, Union, Jay Bird Springs,
Gresston, Plainfield, Godwinsville, and Ocmulgee Banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3209 8331 3209 8332 3210 8332 3210 8336
      3211 8335 3213 8336 3213 8338 3218 8342
      3241 8314 3231 8297 3212 8295 3211 8296
      3208 8330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 247DEG 10KT 3215 8326

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
651 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

GAZ042-052-053-066-067-122330-
Coweta GA-Carroll GA-Troup GA-Heard GA-Meriwether GA-
651 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern Meriwether,
south central Carroll, Heard, northeastern Troup and southwestern
Coweta Counties through 730 PM EDT...

At 650 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Napoleon to near Franklin to Harrisonville, and
moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
LaGrange, Franklin, Hogansville, Grantville, Luthersville, Ephesus,
Centralhatchee, Moreland, Roopville, Lone Oak, Corinth, Rocky Mount,
Saint Marks, Powers Crossroads, Roosterville, Handy, Alvaton,
Frolona, Texas, and Plant Wansley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3348 8517 3336 8484 3316 8456 3307 8501
      3323 8521 3325 8526 3341 8529
TIME...MOT...LOC 2250Z 246DEG 12KT 3332 8531 3326 8514 3315 8499

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
721 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

GAZ042>044-122345-
Douglas GA-Carroll GA-South Fulton GA-
721 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Carroll, southwestern Douglas and southwestern Fulton Counties
through 745 PM EDT...

At 721 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Byers Crossroads, or 12
miles east of Carrollton, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
City of South Fulton, Palmetto, Whitesburg, Chattahoochee Hill, Byers
Crossroads, Hannah, Seaton Lake, Fairplay, and Chapel Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8473 3352 8462 3351 8470 3351 8485
      3349 8486 3349 8488 3348 8488 3348 8492
      3357 8497
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 246DEG 10KT 3356 8488

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH