Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
215 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered to numerous afternoon showers and thunderstorms
  through tonight, becoming widespread on Sunday.

- A few storms through this weekend may become strong to severe
  and capable of producing gusty to damaging wind gusts up to
  50-60 mph, locally heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning.

- Heat index values peak between 95-108 today. A Heat Advisory is
  in effect for portions of east central Georgia from 12 PM to 8
  PM today.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Heat continues to be the primary concern with another heat advisory
in effect for this afternoon. Apparent temps between 100-105 are
expected in the southeast corner of our CWA and given the pattern in
place, it will likely be needed again tomorrow. The rest of the CWA
falls just short of Heat Advisory criteria, though triple digit heat
index values are still likely.

Across the northern part of the state, temperatures will be less
extreme but that comes with a severe weather risk. Ongoing
thunderstorms across the NE part of the CWA this morning will likely
continue this afternoon and become more widespread along and north
of I-20. The SPC has us in a slight risk and while sheer values
remain on the low side, the proximity to a slow moving front just to
our north combined with afternoon CAPE values coming up on 3k J/kg
are enough to give us the confidence to say that any storm that
forms will have the environment it needs to over achieve. The main
threat will be damaging winds, but small hail will also be possible.

Thunderstorm threat will continue tomorrow afternoon, with the main
focus again across north and eastern Georgia. Like today, storm
motion appears to be quasi-linear with a loose line of storms
expected again tomorrow afternoon that has the potential to bring
with it some wind damage. Given multiple days of possible severe
weather, localized flash flooding is also expected to become more of
a concern over the next 36 hours, especially in low lying areas and
the metro.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Definitely looks to be a wet front end of the long term forecast
period before settling back into a more typical summertime pattern
across the CWA. Looking aloft, upper level low that is progged to
cut off from the upper level flow slowly progresses into the area on
Monday. Pretty high confidence in the progression of this system
across the ensembles given the cut off shows up in the ensemble
mean, which is good to see provided things aren't underdispersed.
NAM even has a low level reflection of the low clearly stationed
over north Georgia on Monday. This upper level low will provide both
forcing and upper level cooling that will allow for widespread
showers and thunderstorms across the area on Monday. The good news
is that widespread rain and cloud cover will at least provide some
temporary relief to the heat, with highs in the 80s for all but east
central Georgia which will keep heat index values in the 90s. Much
better than our repeated days of 100s.

Tuesday looks to be wet as well as the system appears to pivot over
the area. Ensembles show strong anticyclonic wave break over the
northern portions of the CONUS which reflects on 500 mb pattern as
strong ridge centered over the north. Our little cutoff will likely
be filling in and looks like it should get shunted to the west by
Wednesday into Thursday, which would bring our precipitation chances
back into normal diurnal ranges. Temperatures also slowly rebound
through the week, returning to the 90s and heat indices in the 100s
by the end of week. You know you weren't going to get an extended
break from the heat in July in Georgia.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 115 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Agitated cu field producing occasional heavy rainfall has
populated all around metro TAF sites as of TAF issuance. Expect
TSRA chances to remain through at least 02Z, though if stronger
push of storms happens, this could bring threat to an earlier end.
Cu field is around 030-040 for the base and may rise slowly
through afternoon before dissipating tonight. A small chance of
some storms overnight, though probability is too low to include in
TAF issuance for all but RYY. Winds will be W side at 5-10 kts,
some gusts up to 20 kts (especially at KATL).

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High today, medium TSRA threat overnight.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          73  92  70  84 /  20  70  80  90
Atlanta         75  90  72  84 /  30  80  70  90
Blairsville     66  82  64  78 /  40  80  80  90
Cartersville    72  88  70  84 /  50  80  70  90
Columbus        76  93  73  88 /  10  60  70  90
Gainesville     73  89  70  82 /  30  70  70  90
Macon           75  93  72  88 /  10  60  70  80
Rome            72  87  70  84 /  70  80  70  90
Peachtree City  73  90  70  85 /  20  80  70  90
Vidalia         77  98  73  92 /  10  40  70  80

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ085-086-097-098-
111>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...Lusk

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
240 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-120645-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
240 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

A few thunderstorms will remain possible overnight, capable of
producing lightning and brief heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

A Heat Advisory is in effect from noon to 8 PM Saturday for
portions of east central Georgia where heat index values up to
106 are expected.

Numerous to widespread thunderstorms are likely this weekend. Some
storms may become strong to severe and capable of producing gusty
to damaging winds, frequent lightning, large hail, and localized
flash flooding concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
343 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

GAZ033-043>045-055-112015-
North Fulton GA-Douglas GA-Clayton GA-DeKalb GA-South Fulton GA-
343 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern DeKalb,
northeastern Douglas, northwestern Clayton and south central Fulton
Counties through 415 PM EDT...

At 343 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Six Flags Over Georgia,
or near City of South Fulton, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Atlanta, Douglasville, Decatur, City of South Fulton, East Point,
Forest Park, College Park, Clarkston, Morrow, Hapeville, Avondale
Estates, Lake City, Belvedere Park, North Decatur, Hartsfield-Jackson
Airport, North Druid Hills, Midtown, Grant Park-Zoo Atlanta,
Candler-Mcafee, and Druid Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3380 8463 3380 8462 3374 8458 3383 8447
      3382 8424 3357 8431 3365 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 275DEG 24KT 3374 8457

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
357 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

GAZ013-019>021-112030-
Cherokee GA-Bartow GA-Pickens GA-Floyd GA-
357 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Cherokee,
southeastern Floyd, southwestern Pickens and Bartow Counties through
430 PM EDT...

At 357 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Rome, moving east at 35
mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Rome, Canton, Cartersville, Woodstock, Holly Springs, Adairsville,
Euharlee, Emerson, White, Waleska, Kingston, Shannon, Cassville,
Kellogg Creek, Red Top Mountain State Park, Folsom, Talmadge, Hobgood
Park, Funkhouser, and Lake Arrowhead.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3433 8516 3440 8475 3440 8473 3441 8465
      3442 8465 3444 8450 3407 8448 3408 8461
      3408 8467 3415 8518
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 273DEG 31KT 3424 8510

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
358 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

GAZ047>049-112030-
Morgan GA-Walton GA-Newton GA-
358 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Morgan,
southern Walton and northeastern Newton Counties through 430 PM
EDT...

At 358 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Covington, moving east
at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Covington, Social Circle, Oxford, Porterdale, Rutledge, Newborn,
Mansfield, Jersey, Ebenezer, Starrsville, Hard Labor Creek State
Park, Brick Store, and Herndonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8355 3348 8355 3350 8364 3353 8368
      3350 8369 3354 8389 3372 8389
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 270DEG 12KT 3364 8381

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
416 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

GAZ038-050-051-112045-
Taliaferro GA-Oglethorpe GA-Greene GA-
416 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Greene,
northwestern Taliaferro and southwestern Oglethorpe Counties through
445 PM EDT...

At 416 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Penfield, or near
Greensboro, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, Crawfordville, Union Point, Woodville, Maxeys, Robinson,
Penfield, Lyneville, Philomath, Alexander Stephens Park, Carters
Grove, and Daniel Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3356 8288 3358 8325 3376 8326 3382 8296
      3381 8296 3380 8298 3378 8298 3375 8296
      3363 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 266DEG 23KT 3368 8317

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH