Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
231 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - An unsettled weather pattern will bring widespread chances for showers
    and thunderstorms throughout the week ahead.

  - A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of north and west
    Georgia through late Monday. High rainfall rates within the
    watch area may lead to increased instances of flash flooding.

  - A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible each
    afternoon, capable of producing localized damaging wind gusts.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

The Southeast remains in a regime characterized by abundant
moisture (PWATs north of 1.7" and dewpoints in the upper 60s or
higher), supported by deep southwesterly flow around vertically-
stacked ridging across the western Atlantic. Sunday has been off
to a gloomy and misty start, with yesterday's showers and
thunderstorms serving to reinforce and retain the CAD wedge
overspreading the eastern two-thirds of the forecast area.
Erosion will continue from south to north, but high temperatures
are likely to be several degrees cooler under more persistent
overcast skies (generally in the upper 60s to lower 70s for areas
north and east of the Metro). Elsewhere, expect highs in the mid-
to-upper 80s.

Convection will continue to be diurnally-enhanced and summerlike,
with highest coverage (and chances) in the afternoon, with a lull
(but chances still non-zero) overnight. Some quasi-organization of
showers and thunderstorms is expected this afternoon, bolstered by a
remnant Gulf MCV lifting to the north and east. ACARS, HiRes model
guidance, and this morning's observed 12Z sounding continue to show
nearly-saturated profiles with tall, skinny CAPE -- as such, any
storms that form will be efficient rainfall producers. A Slight
(level 2 out of 5) Risk for Excessive Rainfall has been analyzed
across portions of the forecast area both today and Monday, and
localized flash flooding concerns will continue. Training storms, or
storms that anchor to any lingering outflows/boundaries, could drop
a quick 2-3" of rainfall (and potentially more, depending on rain
rates). A Flood Watch has been issued for areas generally along and
north of I-85 to highlight increased chances for localized flash
flooding and flooding of creeks and streams through late Monday.

The strongest upward pulses will likely have precip-loaded
downdrafts capable of producing isolated damaging wind gusts, but
the summerlike environment with relatively unimpressive kinematics
should preclude severe concerns from becoming widespread or
numerous. Any clustering of storms will locally bolster chances for
damaging winds.

Tomorrow (Memorial Day) will be a near-carbon copy
of today, with additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms
expected into the afternoon and evening. Further organization (and
isolated severe potential) will be possible along any remnant
boundaries/MCVs from this afternoon's convection, but these features
will be difficult to pinpoint until today's activity has fizzled
out. Be extra cautious if outdoor festivities are planned through
tomorrow, and ensure proper precautions are being taken if warnings
are issued.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

Daily diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms will continue to
affect most of north and central Georgia through the long term as we
continue this wetter period. Current CPC outlooks continue to show
leaning above normal through the 8-14 day outlook. Looking at the
synoptic pattern the area will be in the middle of the blocking
pattern through the end of this week at least with troughing to our
west near the ArkLaTex and high pressure pushing in from the east in
the form of the Bermuda High sandwiching the area in between these
two upper level features. This will funnel moisture in from the S/SW
and keep PWs elevated. Current forecast PWs in the 1.5-2" which are
above average for this time of year. Ultimately these diurnally
driven showers and storms will have the main threats of gusty winds,
small hail, and frequent lightning in addition to being capable of
producing heavy rainfall that could lead to localized flooding in
low lying areas as well as poor drainage/ urban areas. Temperatures
will continue the trend of mid 80s during for highs and mid 60s for
lows which will be near normal to slightly above normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

Generally SCT-BKN MVFR to low-VFR conds expected thru the aftn.
Waves of pcpn will develop thru the evening, with the best window
for direct terminal impacts in TSRA from 20-01Z. 2-4SM vsbys psbl
in heavy pcpn. Passing -SHRA may linger thru 02-03Z. Deterioration
back to BKN/OVC IFR likely by 05-06Z, with TWRINC psbl from
10-15Z. Winds will generally remain out of the SE at 5-8kts, ocnl
nearly due S this aftn. Another round of TSRA exp tmrw aftn.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence all elements.

96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          64  79  64  82 /  90  80  90  90
Atlanta         66  78  66  81 /  80  90  70  90
Blairsville     61  75  61  77 /  90  90  80 100
Cartersville    65  79  65  81 /  80  90  70  90
Columbus        66  81  66  84 /  60  90  60  90
Gainesville     65  77  65  79 /  90  90  80  90
Macon           66  82  65  84 /  90  90  70  90
Rome            64  78  64  80 /  80  80  70  90
Peachtree City  65  79  65  81 /  80  90  70  90
Vidalia         68  85  68  87 /  90  70  70  80

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late Monday night for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>023-030>033-041>044-052-053.

&&

SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...96

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
232 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-251845-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
232 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected,
especially this afternoon and evening. A few storms could become
strong to severe. The primary risk will be strong to locally
damaging wind gusts and frequent lightning.

A Flood Watch has been issued for north Georgia as locally heavy
rainfall can also be expected, which will lead to increased
chances for flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

A Flood Watch has been issued through Monday evening for
increased flash flooding concerns. Scattered to numerous
thunderstorms are expected Monday through Saturday, especially
during the afternoon and evening hours, which will bring the risk
for locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. A few storms
could become severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
256 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

GAZ067>070-241930-
Lamar GA-Upson GA-Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
256 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Meriwether, southern Pike, northwestern Upson and southwestern Lamar
Counties through 330 PM EDT...

At 256 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Crest, or near
Thomaston, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Thomaston, Molena, Meansville, Sunset Village, Concord, Atwater,
Hilltop, Lifsey Springs, Sprewell Bluff State Park, Crest, Sunnyside,
Hannahs Mill, and Piedmont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3312 8446 3301 8423 3281 8440 3284 8442
      3284 8443 3283 8444 3286 8449 3287 8448
      3288 8448 3288 8450 3287 8451 3291 8457
TIME...MOT...LOC 1856Z 213DEG 16KT 3292 8444

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
259 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

GAZ019-030-241930-
Polk GA-Floyd GA-
259 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Floyd
and western Polk Counties through 330 PM EDT...

At 259 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Etna, or near Forney,
moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Cedartown, Cave Spring, Etna, Coosa, Esom Hill, and Lindale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3428 8536 3413 8509 3390 8534 3393 8539
      3415 8544
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 213DEG 16KT 3402 8539

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

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