Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

631 
WWUS54 KEWX 150020
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
720 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

TXC137-271-465-150045-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-260415T0045Z/
Kinney TX-Edwards TX-Val Verde TX-
720 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN KINNEY...SOUTHWESTERN EDWARDS AND SOUTHEASTERN VAL
VERDE COUNTIES...

At 719 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Long Point, or
14 miles north of Del Rio, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Del Rio, Lake View, Amistad Village, Black Brush Point, Diablo East,
Governors Landing, Long Point, Devils Shores, 277 South Boat Ramp,
277 North Campground, San Pedro Canyon, Rough Canyon Recreation Area,
Spur 406 Campground, Rock Quarry Campground, Lake Ridge Ranch, Salem
Point, and Devils River State Nat Area Big Satan.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

If on or near Lake Amistad, get away from the water and move indoors 
or inside a vehicle. remember, lightning can strike out to 15 miles 
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close 
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now!  Do not 
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2937 10101 2944 10106 2946 10106 2946 10107
      2958 10115 2979 10069 2954 10058
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 251DEG 31KT 2958 10092 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CJM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
643 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated strong to severe storms with heavy rainfall possible
  across the southern Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande late this
  afternoon/evening.

- Another chance for isolated severe storms tomorrow

- Warm and humid conditions to continue throughout the week as our
  active weather pattern continues.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Current visible satellite imagery shows quite an extensive cloud
deck over the area that's just now finally starting to erode from
south to north. We even had some areas of drizzle form which isnt
surprising as the atmosphere remains extremely moist across the
area. Most should remain dry through late this afternoon as we
continue to mix up the atmosphere remaining capped. Our attention
then turns to the west where an approaching dryline and attendant
mid-level shortwave approach the area helping to ignite convection
along and ahead of this boundary. Most Hi-Res model guidance is
in fairly good agreement that initiation of convection should
commence over northern Mexico and push across the border into Val
Verde county by later this afternoon.

SPC currently has a level 2 of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms
across Val Verde, Kinney, parts of Maverick and most of Edwards
counties. The main risk being for large to very large (potentially
3+ inches) hail and sporadic damaging gusts. Additionally, an
isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. A level 1 of 5 risk is
places along and west of the I-35 Corridor. Agree with this as
the most recent sounding at DRT shows the presence of steep mid-
level lapse rates atop very moist low- level moisture just along
and east of the dryline. Likewise models continue to hint at
MUCAPE values of 1500 to 2500 J/kg along with 50-65kt of effective
bulk wind shear and steep mid level lapse rates of 7-7.5 C/km
building by this afternoon. All these factors continue to support
and increase ones confidence that should convection form along
this boundary we could see some very large hail late this
afternoon and into this evening.

Convection should then begin to spread east northeastward into
parts of the Southern Edwards Plateau before weakening and perhaps
reaching the western Hill Country by late this evening. Most
activity is expected to wane significantly after midnight as we
lose mixing potential and storms begin to encounter more stable
air to the east. Additionally, any convection that forms will have
rich moisture to work with and will be capable of producing
torrential rainfall with a quick 1-3 inches an hour not out of
the question. As a result, WPC has an area along and west of a
Llano to Kerrville to Carrizo Springs in a level 1 of 4 risk for
excessive rainfall.

Depending on tonights convective evolution and how far east these
storms make it will greatly impact our next shot for active
weather tomorrow. Less storms tonight generally means more active
weather for tomorrow with the opposite being true if we end up
seeing storms progress further east as the atmosphere will need
time to recover and reload. As such, SPC continues to keep us in
a level 1 of 5 risk for the same areas as today with main risks
being damaging wind gusts and large hail. Most Hi-Res models
continue to struggle on the exact placement convection will occur
and this is likely due to the uncertainty surrounding the
evolution of the convection tonight. Regardless, with the upper
level trough nearing our area Wednesday the more likely scenario
would be convection forming over the Edwards Plateau and Hill
Country and pushing off to the northeast.

Most activity should be well off to the north and east by
overnight Wednesday as upper-level ridging starts to build in
allowing many to finally dry out and warm up. Regarding high
temperatures Wednesday, most should expect to find themselves in
the mid 80s with areas that see more sun possibly nearing 90
degrees. Lows tonight and tomorrow night will remain abnormally
warm with many not dropping below 70 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

As alluded to briefly in the short term, upper-level ridging
builds across the area by early Thursday and continues into Friday
before a deep trough is forecast to bring an attendant cold front
through most of North Central and South Central TX. As this
happens expect convection to blossom out and ahead of this front
as southerly low-level flow along with southwesterly flow aloft
should help funnel in rich moisture from the Gulf. Expect
convection to take advantage of this setup with WPC once again
highlighting a level 1 of 4 risk in an area along and north of a
Fredericksburg to Buda to La Grange line.

Once this front passes we should see much colder air spill in
behind it with highs Thursday and Friday near 90 dropping into the
70s by Sunday. Additionally, expect some off and on showers
Sunday into Monday as mid-level southwesterly flow remains. By
Monday we should see the peak of this CAA with areas perhaps not
making it out of the 60s especially across the Hill Country with a
gradual warmup expected as southerly low-level flow finally
returns by Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

A possibly severe thunderstorm is approaching DRT from the west.
This storm may move across the airfield within the next hour
bringing strong, gusty winds and possibly large hail. We are not
confident enough to include hail in the TAF, but there is a
chance. The Austin and San Antonio airports are VFR and will be
through the evening. MVFR ceilings will develop around midnight
and last overnight. Ceiling will lower at DRT after midnight and
drop to IFR Wednesday morning. All terminals will rebound to VFR
by early afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              69  85  69  89 /  10  30  20   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  68  85  68  89 /   0  20  20   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     68  85  67  89 /   0  20  10   0
Burnet Muni Airport            67  81  66  85 /  20  50  30   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           69  86  69  89 /  60  20  10   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        68  82  67  88 /  10  30  30   0
Hondo Muni Airport             67  84  65  88 /  20  30  10   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        68  85  68  89 /   0  20  20   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   69  86  70  89 /   0  10  10   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       70  85  68  89 /  10  20  10   0
Stinson Muni Airport           70  86  70  90 /   0  20  10   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...CJM
LONG TERM....CJM
AVIATION...05

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
512 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0431 PM     Hail             Comstock                29.68N 101.17W
04/14/2026  M1.50 Inch       Val Verde          TX   Trained Spotter

&&

BF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
627 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

TXZ183-150015-
Val Verde TX-
627 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Val
Verde County through 715 PM CDT...

At 626 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles southwest of Amistad Acres, or 21 miles southwest of Comstock,
moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Del Rio, Lake View, Amistad Village, Black Brush Point, Amistad
Acres, Box Canyon, Val Verde Park, Diablo East, Cienegas Terrace,
Governors Landing, Long Point, Laughlin AFB, Devils Shores, 277 South
Boat Ramp, 277 North Campground, San Pedro Canyon, Rough Canyon
Recreation Area, Spur 406 Campground, Rock Quarry Campground, and
Salem Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 2956 10125 2969 10088 2937 10074 2935 10097
      2937 10101 2944 10106 2946 10106 2947 10109
      2947 10111 2948 10113 2947 10115 2952 10117
      2952 10125 2954 10126
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 260DEG 33KT 2942 10135

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CJM