Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Kansas City, MO

288 
WGUS73 KEAX 020641
FFSEAX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
141 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

MOC013-037-083-101-020800-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260402T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bates MO-Cass MO-Henry MO-Johnson MO-
141 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING FOR BATES, SOUTHEASTERN CASS, WESTERN HENRY AND SOUTHWESTERN 
JOHNSON COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

At 141 AM CDT, local law enforcement reported flash flooding across 
the warned area. Numerous roads are closed in Bates and Henry 
counties, with additional flooding reported in southeast Cass and 
southwest Johnson counties. Between 3 and 7 inches of rain have 
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in 
the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. Travel is not 
recommended in the warning area overnight.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding from thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Butler, Adrian, Garden City, Rich Hill, Urich, Montrose, 
  Creighton, Chilhowee, Rockville, Foster, Blairstown, Passaic, 
  Ballard, Hartwell, Quick City, La Due, La Tour and Post Oak.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3866 9369 3821 9392 3821 9405 3803 9406
      3805 9410 3804 9411 3806 9413 3804 9420
      3805 9420 3803 9423 3803 9424 3805 9423
      3806 9453 3838 9446 3864 9409

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

CMS

825 
WGUS73 KEAX 020757
FFSEAX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
257 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

MOC013-037-083-101-020807-
/O.EXP.KEAX.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260402T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bates MO-Cass MO-Henry MO-Johnson MO-
257 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING 
FOR BATES, SOUTHEASTERN CASS, WESTERN HENRY AND SOUTHWESTERN JOHNSON 
COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

Flash Flooding has ended. However, continued rainfall will continue 
to keep areas that have already flooded under water. Please see 
recent Flood Warning for details.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CDT Thursday for 
portions of Kansas and Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3866 9369 3821 9392 3821 9405 3803 9406
      3805 9410 3804 9411 3806 9413 3804 9420
      3805 9420 3803 9423 3803 9424 3805 9423
      3806 9453 3838 9446 3864 9409

$$

Krull

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
626 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Conditional risk for strong to severe storms this afternoon
  for areas generally southwest of Kansas City to Sedalia line.
  This will depend on how far north a warm front lifts
  northward.

- Widespread showers and storms expected tonight, mainly south
  of a Kirksville to Kansas City line. Widespread rainfall
  amounts of 1.5- 3" are likely, with localized areas exceeding
  3". A flood watch has been issued for this area from 00Z
  tonight through 18Z Thursday.

- There is some potential for severe weather Thursday afternoon,
  mainly east of a Unionville to Boonville line.

- Severe weather continues to look likely Friday afternoon and
  evening across the entire area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 155 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

As of 18Z, observations and satellite imagery show the warm front
just south of the forecast area, in the vicinity of Chanute to Fort
Scott to south of Lebanon, MO. This front should slowly lift
northward into Linn Co KS to Clinton, MO by late this afternoon.
This should result in about 1500 to 2000 J/kg of CAPE building into
our extreme southern zones. As a result, the best potential for any
afternoon/ early evening severe weather will be in our far south.
The further north one is from the warm front, the lower the chances
for severe weather this afternoon. Given the CAPE/shear combination,
large hail is the main hazard. But can't rule out some strong winds
and a tornado, especially if a storm can anchor to the warm front as
storm motions should be nearly parallel to the boundary.

For this evening and overnight, confidence is fairly high that
widespread showers and storms will develop as strong ascent develops
over much of the forecast area. Increasingly diffluent flow aloft
with strong low/mid-level moisture transport into and over the warm
front will lead to an increase in coverage of precipitation after
00Z tonight. This looks somewhat similar to the previous night where
convection really increased in coverage from about 02Z-04Z and
persisted through the overnight. Ensemble guidance from the HREF
shows PMM QPF with widespread 1.5-3" amounts south of a Kirksville
to Kansas City line. Within this area there are pockets of 3"+ rain
amounts. NAEFS shows precipitable water values are at or near the
max values in that system's climatology for this time of year over
much of the forecast area. With increased confidence in heavy
rainfall tonight, with some of the area already seeing heavy
rainfall from the previous night, a flood watch has been issued from
00Z Thu / 7 PM tonight through 18Z Thu / 1 PM tomorrow. As
mentioned, this includes areas south of a Kirksville to Kansas City
line.

For Thursday, the new Day 2 convective outlook from SPC brings a
slight risk into our eastern zones. This will be ahead of a cold
front that will be quickly tracking east through the forecast area.
Ahead of the cold front, modest instability will develop, with
SBCAPE values ranging from roughly 1000-1500 J/kg. Favorable deep-
layer shear nearly perpendicular to the front will favor some
discrete cells. Timing for our eastern zones for this round of
potentially severe storms looks like the afternoon hours, ending by
00Z as the front moves east of the area.

For Friday, a very unstable air mass will develop with afternoon
SBCAPE values approaching 3000 J/kg. This will occur in a strongly
sheared environment with shear vectors nearly perpendicular to the
front. This will favor, at least initially, discrete storm
development, with all hazard types possible. However, steep mid-
level lapse rates may support very large hail. Storms should then
quickly congeal into a more linear mode and with 0-3km shear of 30-
40 kts, there may be some embedded mesovortices as the line tracks
east that could lead to enhanced wind gusts/damage and/or
tornadoes.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 621 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

Storms are developing rapidly to the south and west of the KC
terminals early this evening. They should continue to move
northeast into the metro area by 03z, with persistent
showers/storms through the overnight hours. MVFR/IFR
restrictions are likely through much of the night, with east
winds around 10 kt veering to the south and increasing to 15 to
25 kt with higher gusts by 12z. Lingering showers should quickly
exit to the east after 12z, with rapid improvement of
ceilings/visibility to VFR by midday. Winds will continue to
veer to westerly by afternoon, with a slow decrease in
speeds/gusts during the afternoon.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for MOZ017-021>025-
     028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054.
KS...Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for KSZ057-060-103>105.

&&

DISCUSSION...CDB
AVIATION...CMS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0508 AM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-021008-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0508 AM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered to widespread showers and storms are likely (50 to
  80%) through early Wednesday morning.

- Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected (90 to 100%)
  Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. Locally heavy
  rainfall will be possible. Strong to severe storms are
  possible Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.

- Another round of showers and storms are likely (60 to 90%)
  Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. Strong to severe
  storms will be possible once again.

- Total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are likely across the
  region by Saturday, with isolated higher amounts possible.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
949 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

MOZ045-020315-
Pettis MO-
949 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN PETTIS COUNTY
THROUGH 1015 PM CDT...

At 949 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Green Ridge, or near Windsor, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Windsor and Green Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for central and
west central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3851 9351 3862 9351 3872 9331 3853 9328
      3851 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 0249Z 225DEG 25KT 3857 9344

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Krull

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1102 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

MOZ044-045-054-020430-
Johnson MO-Pettis MO-Henry MO-
1102 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN HENRY...
SOUTHWESTERN PETTIS AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM
CDT...

At 1102 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Windsor, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Windsor, Green Ridge, and Calhoun.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for central and
west central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 9366 3869 9342 3853 9329 3851 9329
      3851 9351 3843 9351 3835 9352
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 237DEG 21KT 3847 9350

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Krull

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1112 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

MOZ045-020445-
Pettis MO-
1112 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PETTIS COUNTY THROUGH 1145 PM
CDT...

At 1112 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Green Ridge, or 9 miles southwest of Sedalia, moving northeast at 50
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Sedalia, Smithton, Green Ridge, Hughesville, and Sedalia Memorial
Arpt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for central
Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 9351 3871 9350 3893 9315 3893 9305
      3855 9307 3853 9312 3854 9328 3851 9330
      3851 9340
TIME...MOT...LOC 0412Z 233DEG 45KT 3862 9337

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Krull

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
1119 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     Flash Flood      3 NE Blairstown         38.59N 93.93W
04/01/2026                   Johnson            MO   911 Call Center

            O Highway and Route 2 in Johnson County is
            inundated with water.

&&

CMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
1123 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 PM     Flash Flood      Ballard                 38.36N 94.14W
04/01/2026                   Bates              MO   Public

            Public reports of flooding ongoing in the
            Ballard area.

&&

CMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
1129 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     Flash Flood      Adrian                  38.40N 94.35W
04/01/2026                   Bates              MO   Law Enforcement

            Flash flooding reported in low-lying areas
            in Adrian.

1045 PM     Flash Flood      2 S Adrian              38.37N 94.35W
04/01/2026                   Bates              MO   Law Enforcement

            Flash flooding reported along Old Highway 71
            near County Rd 31.

1045 PM     Flash Flood      5 E Passaic             38.32N 94.26W
04/01/2026                   Bates              MO   Law Enforcement

            Flash flooding reported at State Route D and
            County Rd 5003.

1045 PM     Flash Flood      3 ENE Amoret            38.27N 94.53W
04/01/2026                   Bates              MO   Law Enforcement

            Flash flooding reported along State Route J
            near Amoret.

1045 PM     Flash Flood      7 SSE Ballard           38.27N 94.11W
04/01/2026                   Bates              MO   Law Enforcement

            Flash flooding reported at State Route H and
            County Rd 13003.

1045 PM     Flash Flood      3 W Passaic             38.32N 94.40W
04/01/2026                   Bates              MO   Law Enforcement

            Flash flooding reported at State Route F and
            County Rd 3001.

&&