Flash Flood Warning 48, NWS Quad Cities, IA

781 
WGUS73 KDVN 200740
FFSDVN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
240 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

IAC045-139-163-ILC011-073-131-161-195-201230-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-260920T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clinton IA-Muscatine IA-Scott IA-Bureau IL-Henry IL-Mercer IL-
Rock Island IL-Whiteside IL-
240 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CDT THIS
MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CLINTON, EASTERN MUSCATINE, SCOTT,
NORTHWESTERN BUREAU, HENRY IL, MERCER, ROCK ISLAND AND SOUTHERN
WHITESIDE COUNTIES...

At 240 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain moving back across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of
rain has already fallen from earlier activity. Additional rainfall
amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area over the
next few hours. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Davenport, Moline, Rock Island, Bettendorf, Muscatine, East Moline,
  Kewanee, Aledo, Cambridge, Silvis, Geneseo, Eldridge, Colona,
  Milan, Le Claire, Coal Valley and Galva.

This includes the following State Parks...
Big Bend Fish and Wildlife Area, Johnson-Sauk Trail State Recreation
Area and Prophetstown State Park.

This includes the following highways...
Interstate 74 in Iowa between mile markers 1 and 5. Interstate 280
between mile markers 1 and 18. Interstate 80 in Iowa between mile
markers 279 and 306. Interstate 80 in Illinois between mile markers 1
and 43. Interstate 74 in Illinois between mile markers 1 and 33.
Interstate 88 between mile markers 1 and 32...and between mile
markers 36 and 43.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 9108 4142 9105 4160 9090 4179 9090
      4176 8964 4152 8965 4123 8980 4123 8987
      4115 8987 4115 9044 4106 9044 4107 9095
      4110 9095 4116 9099 4124 9111 4131 9107

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

McClure

453 
WGUS73 KDVN 201000
FFSDVN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
500 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

IAC045-139-163-ILC011-073-131-161-195-201230-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-260920T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clinton IA-Muscatine IA-Scott IA-Bureau IL-Henry IL-Mercer IL-
Rock Island IL-Whiteside IL-
500 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CDT THIS
MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CLINTON, EASTERN MUSCATINE, SCOTT,
NORTHWESTERN BUREAU, HENRY IL, MERCER, ROCK ISLAND AND SOUTHERN
WHITESIDE COUNTIES...

At 500 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a large area of light to
moderate rain was occurring across the warned area. Heavy rain
producing storms earlier brought rainfall of 1 to 3.5 inches across
the warned area. Flash flooding is either ongoing or expected to
begin shortly due to runoff from the earlier heavy rain combined with
the steady rain falling.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Davenport, Moline, Rock Island, Bettendorf, Muscatine, East Moline,
  Kewanee, Aledo, Cambridge, Silvis, Geneseo, Eldridge, Colona,
  Milan, Le Claire, Coal Valley and Galva.

This includes the following State Parks...
Big Bend Fish and Wildlife Area, Johnson-Sauk Trail State Recreation
Area and Prophetstown State Park.

This includes the following highways...
Interstate 74 in Iowa between mile markers 1 and 5. Interstate 280
between mile markers 1 and 18. Interstate 80 in Iowa between mile
markers 279 and 306. Interstate 80 in Illinois between mile markers 1
and 43. Interstate 74 in Illinois between mile markers 1 and 33.
Interstate 88 between mile markers 1 and 32...and between mile
markers 36 and 43.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 9108 4142 9105 4160 9090 4179 9090
      4176 8964 4152 8965 4123 8980 4123 8987
      4115 8987 4115 9044 4106 9044 4107 9095
      4110 9095 4116 9099 4124 9111 4131 9107

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

McClure

764 
WGUS73 KDVN 201227
FFSDVN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
727 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

IAC045-139-163-ILC011-073-131-161-195-201237-
/O.EXP.KDVN.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-260920T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clinton IA-Muscatine IA-Scott IA-Bureau IL-Henry IL-Mercer IL-
Rock Island IL-Whiteside IL-
727 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 730 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN CLINTON, EASTERN MUSCATINE, SCOTT, NORTHWESTERN BUREAU,
HENRY IL, MERCER, ROCK ISLAND AND SOUTHERN WHITESIDE COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CDT for portions of
Illinois and Iowa.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 9108 4142 9105 4160 9090 4179 9090
      4176 8964 4152 8965 4123 8980 4123 8987
      4115 8987 4115 9044 4106 9044 4107 9095
      4110 9095 4116 9099 4124 9111 4131 9107

$$

McClure

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
1253 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...06z Aviation Update...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- An increasingly synoptic supported heavy rain set up continues
  to evolve today, just hours following this dissipation of
  last night's heavy rain MCS.

- Heavy rains will again break out tonight, especially along and north
  of I-80 and near and south of Highway 20. This area is
  already saturated, and is broadly included in a Flood Watch
  until 7 AM Sunday.

- The Marginal risk for isolated severe storms was added back to
  the area by SPC, but this risk remains conditional and low in
  our area.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 805 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

The flood watch has been expanded to include the following
counties: In Iowa...Keokuk; In Illinois...Henry, Bureau and
Putnam.

The overall large scale synoptic picture is very favorable for
heavy rain tonight. The LLJ should begin strengthening in the
next few hours which will result in rapid development of
convection across eastern Iowa between 10 PM and 1 AM.

Recent runs from the CAMs generally point to a widespread 1-2
inches occurring across much of the area with numerous narrow
bands of 3-5+ inches of rain. Additionally there are suggestions
from the CAMs that locally heavy rain may encroach into the
northern parts of Keokuk, Henry and Bureau counties.

Recent radar trends are showing a developing band of convection
along and just south of I-80 in Illinois with a slow westward
expansion into eastern Iowa. The CAMs have been suggesting the
area between I-80 and Highway 20 as the primary focus for the
bands of heavy rain tonight. HOWEVER, IF the radar trends are
are correct then the heaviest rain may be just south of I-80 to
just north of Highway 30. Thus the necessity of expanding the
areal coverage of the watch.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 105 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

The overnight MCS impacted nearly all locations along and north
of I- 80 early today, resulting in widespread 1 to 4 inch
rains, that were highest in our Highway 20 corridor. Since 10
AM, the intensity has decreased, along with coverage of heavy
rains. In the mean time, clouds and scattered showers continue
to move east over the area, as warm advection continues to force
showers in a high PWAT atmosphere. Our freezing level on our
18Z sounding (just launched) is 13,900 ft! For September, that
is remarkably high, and shows how anomalous this atmosphere is.
SPC mesoscale analysis continues to show moisture transport
aimed into Iowa and Illinois, with strong heating ongoing to our
southwest in Missouri and Kansas. Thus, there will be ample
MUCAPE and moisture to support another round of storms over our
area.

Models are in good agreement showing a short wave over Kansas (seen
on WV this morning), moving up over our region tonight. This will
trigger storms to form, especially where the warm front to our west
meet the outflow boundary. That point at 1230 PM this afternoon is
located just southwest of Des Moines. Unfortunately, the trajectory
of storms that form near that point will spread over the CWA, and
much like last night, training storms are expected.  Our ongoing
forecast already had a good handle on that, though with WPC
expanding the Moderate (Level 3 out of 4) westward along I-80 to our
western counties I have expanded the Flood Watch into that area.

Tonight's storms could be capable of a brief window of strong to
severe wind gusts, if the atmosphere over eastern Iowa can see some
PM heating. That remains questionable with clouds and rain showers
continuing to move over the area.   In any case, by the time a
multicell line is formed, an west to east band of thunderstorms with
torrential rainfall of 1-2 per hour expected. Thus, much like last
night, a broad axis of 1-3 inches is expected, with a maximum of 3-
5" possible within it.  There is some threat that this could overlay
last night's heavy axis in the north, and if so, higher level
impacts would be expected.  This morning, creeks along Highway 20
were reported to be high to just out of their banks, per EMA
reports. Dubuque county did see some creek flooding along Catfish
Creek and the Little Maquoketa River.  Tonight, we may see some
Flash flood warning containing "Considerable" wording, vs baseline
warnings, as this situation is just hours removed from the rain this
morning. Urban areas, including Cedar Rapids, Iowa City, Muscatine,
and Quad Cities are included for metro areas for urban flooding
potential.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 105 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Sunday...A cooler cloudy and post-frontal day with ongoing lift up
and over the LLVL baroclinicity which should be settling off to the
south of the DVN CWA. Increasing north to northeasterly boundary
layer(BL) winds with some spotty rain will make for not a very nice
day with a lot of the area held down in the 60s to low 70s. With the
upper wave still moving acrs the area, suppose some isolated
thunderstorms possible as well as nuisance funnels.

Monday through Friday...Quick look at the longer range suggests that
the large upper low/wave currently centered over southern ID will
roll eastward acrs the northern plains and toward the upper MS RVR
Valley through Tuesday. This may keep cloudy, cooler weather going
acrs the area as well as sctrd showers for the early next week
period. As this upper wave fills and pulls off to the east, there
may be a mid week precip lull until medium range ensemble indicated
next passing trof brings the next precip chances by Thu night or
next Friday. Cooler temp regime still looks to last much of the
week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

MCS producing widespread showers and thunderstorms with
associated low MVFR to IFR conditions will hamper aviation
greatly into Sunday morning except for maybe the DBQ site which
most of the activity will look to pass south of. Passing sfc low
and trof will make for variable and rather light sfc wind regime
overnight into early Sunday morning, before the sfc wave passes
and allows for the winds to go northeasterly and increase to
10-15 KTS with gusts as the day progresses. IFR to low MVFR
cloud decks will persist much of Sunday morning, before
trending up to higher criteria MVFR Sunday afternoon into
evening. Some chance for VFR CIGs north of I-80 Sunday evening.
After the more widespread precip moves out Sunday morning, there
will be a chance for sctrd to isolated lighter showers
developing in a hit and miss fashion through Sunday evening.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1040 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

This mornings MCS brought widespread moderate to heavy rain to
portions of the area mainly along and north of the Interstate 80
corridor counties. Rainfall amounts in this area were 2 to 4
inches with the heaviest rains falling along and east of of a
Manchester to Maquoketa line. This has caused many area creeks
to rise this morning and additional rainfall today and tonight
increases the threat for flash flooding to occur especially in
areas that saw the heaviest rainfall the last 3 days. A Flood
Watch for flash flooding potential remains in effect for
portions of eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois until 7 AM
Sunday.

Widespread heavy rains are leading to rises on area rivers. The
heaviest rains the last 3 days have fallen in the Maquoketa,
Wapsipinicon, Rock, Pecatonica, English and Cedar River basins.
This is leading to forecast rises above flood stage at many
locations over the next several days. River flood watches have
been issued at many locations on these rivers. Certainty will
increase on potential flooding by tomorrow morning after the
next round of storms moves across the area tonight into Sunday
morning.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for IAZ040>042-051>054-
     063>068-076>078.
IL...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for ILZ001-002-007-009-
     015>018-024.
MO...None.

&&

UPDATE...08
SHORT TERM...Ervin
LONG TERM...12
AVIATION...12
HYDROLOGY...Cousins

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
230 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-201930-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
230 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected through
tonight. The showers and storms are expected to have the highest
coverage along and north of the Interstate 80 corridor, but
isolated storms may occur well to the south as well. The primary
threat will be heavy rainfall and flooding. An isolated
thunderstorm producing a damaging wind gust is also possible.

A Flood Watch continues for much of east central Iowa and
northwestern Illinois through Sunday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Additional rounds of rain with embedded thunderstorms are
expected through Sunday. The primary risks will be lightning and
additional localized heavy rainfall. The rainfall on Sunday may
aggravate any ongoing flooding or create new flooding situations.

All these rounds of heavy rainfall will produce rises on several
area tributary rivers, with some of them seeing flooding in the
week ahead.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

There is a low chance that spotter activation will be needed
today and tonight. Reports of any flooding would be appreciated.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
1156 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

IAZ067-068-078-ILZ009-015-016-024-200600-
Mercer IL-Whiteside IL-Rock Island IL-Henry IL-Scott IA-Muscatine IA-
Louisa IA-
1156 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Mercer, southwestern
Whiteside, Rock Island, Henry, Scott, eastern Muscatine and central
Louisa Counties through 100 AM CDT...

At 1155 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Donahue to near Columbus City. Movement was
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could cause minor tree limb damage and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Davenport, Moline, Rock Island, Bettendorf, Muscatine, East Moline,
Kewanee, Aledo, Cambridge, Wapello, Silvis, Geneseo, Eldridge, Milan,
Colona, Le Claire, Coal Valley, Galva, Prophetstown, and Hampton.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 74 in Iowa between mile markers 1 and 5.
 Interstate 80 in Iowa between mile markers 282 and 306.
 Interstate 80 in Illinois between mile markers 1 and 35.
 Interstate 74 in Illinois between mile markers 1 and 33.
 Interstate 88 between mile markers 1 and 22.
 Interstate 280 between mile markers 1 and 18.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4170 8987 4116 8987 4115 9042 4118 9145
      4174 9068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0455Z 274DEG 33KT 4169 9065 4123 9128

MAX HAIL SIZE...<0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

08

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
103 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

IAZ063-064-076>078-087-088-098-200645-
Henry IA-Keokuk IA-Iowa IA-Washington IA-Van Buren IA-Louisa IA-
Jefferson IA-Johnson IA-
103 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern Henry,
Keokuk, southeastern Iowa, Washington, northwestern Van Buren, west
central Louisa, Jefferson and southwestern Johnson Counties through
145 AM CDT...

At 102 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Delta to near Richland to near Stockport.
Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and minor flooding.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Strong winds could break tree limbs, knock down weak trees
         and blow around unsecured objects. Slowing or redirecting
         of traffic due to ponding or flowing water. Closure of
         waterfront access due to flooding.

Locations impacted include...
Fairfield, Washington, Sigourney, Kalona, Wellman, Winfield, North
English, Riverside, Wayland, Hedrick, Brighton, Richland, Ainsworth,
Batavia, Birmingham, Delta, Libertyville, Lockridge, Crawfordsville,
and Maharishi Vedic City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4132 9241 4167 9185 4155 9160 4111 9140
      4070 9218 4116 9218 4116 9241
TIME...MOT...LOC 0602Z 227DEG 39KT 4132 9229 4120 9204 4085 9190

MAX HAIL SIZE...<0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

McClure