Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
430 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

...Updated Aviation/Key Messages...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heat wave continues through early next week, with afternoon
  temperatures well over 100 degrees. This will be a dry heat
  with strong south winds, increasing the risk of dehydration
  each afternoon. Drink plenty of water, and ensure pets and
  livestock have a sufficient water supply.

- A pattern change is expected late next week, with much cooler
  temperatures and improved rainfall opportunities.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

WV imagery indicates a northwest flow aloft prevailing across
the Western High Plains downstream of a ridge centered across
the Desert Southwest. Near the surface, a lee side trough of low
pressure is slowly strengthening across eastern Colorado.

Minimal thunderstorm chances (20%) exist across west central/central
Kansas this evening as the SREF indicates a weak upper level
shortwave and associated H5 vort maxima cycling southeast off
the ridge axis in the Northern Rockies into the high plains of
western Nebraska and northeast Colorado. Near the surface,
prevailing southerlies will support pooling moisture ahead of an
advancing dryline, providing modest instability with MUCAPE
values upward of 1000 J/kg or so. Despite weaker dynamic support
aloft, steeping mid- level lapse rates in vicinity of an axis
of increased low level convergence associated with the dryline
will set the stage for potential isolated thunderstorm
development this evening as H5 vort maxima transition through.
This is suggested by a few CAMs and the HREF pointing to only a
10 to 20% probability of 6-hr QPF exceeding a mere 0.1 of an
inch in vicinity of the I-70 corridor by late evening.
Hotter/drier conditions are likely the next couple of days as
southwesterly downsloping enhances a drier air mass across the
Western High Plains.

Very warm temperatures are forecast tonight as southwesterly
downsloping reinforces a warmer air mass across southwest/central
Kansas. With the HREF painting a 70-90% probability of temperatures
dropping below 75F in west central and extreme southwest Kansas to
to only a 10-20% probability of slipping below 75F in south central
Kansas, look for lows generally down into 70s(F). Southwesterly
downsloping will further enhance drier air into southwest Kansas
Sunday, nudging H85 temperatures up from Saturday with a little
above 30C in central Kansas to near 35C near the Colorado line.
Expect widespread afternoon highs topping 100F with the HREF showing
a widespread 80-90% probability of temperatures exceeding the
century mark. Similar conditions are likely Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 430 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

VFR/SKC will continue through this TAF period, with scattered
cirrus. Radar at 2130z showed high based convection well NW of
GCK, moving southeast. This activity is expected to weaken and
not reach the GCK terminal, but will be monitored. Other
thunderstorms east of HYS are expected to remain east of that
airport. Elevated southwest winds currently will trend south
and remain elevated through tonight, with a strong low level jet
keeping the boundary layer mixed. Included low level wind shear
in TAFs as appropriate. After 15z Sun, southwest winds will
increase again at all airports, gusting 25-30 kts.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...Turner
KEY MESSAGES...Turner

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
736 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

KSZ074-084-090100-
Stanton KS-Morton KS-
736 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MORTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN STANTON COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 736 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 7 miles northwest of Manter
to 13 miles east of Campo. Movement was southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph. Blowing dust leading to
         localized reduced visibilities and lightning induced fires.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  The Saunders Elevator around 740 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3759 10204 3740 10166 3714 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 328DEG 13KT 3759 10199 3708 10234

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

BENNETT

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
737 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 NNW Amy               38.51N 100.61W
08/08/2026  M48 MPH          Lane               KS   Public

            Report was from a personal weather station.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
739 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

KSZ062-063-090130-
Finney KS-Kearny KS-
739 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL KEARNY AND NORTHWESTERN
FINNEY COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CDT...

At 738 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southeast of Friend to 6 miles
southeast of Lakin. Movement was east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph. Blowing dust leading to
         localized reduced visibilities and lightning induced
         grassland fires.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Holcomb around 745 PM CDT.
  Garden City around 750 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 10040 3786 10100 3793 10147 3806 10138
      3812 10104 3826 10094
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 280DEG 12KT 3821 10081 3788 10118

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

BENNETT

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