Severe Thunderstorm Warning 191, NWS Dodge City, KS

399 
WWUS53 KDDC 010056
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
756 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

KSC069-010106-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0191.000000T0000Z-260701T0115Z/
Gray KS-
756 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN GRAY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern and west central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10025 3825 10025 3807 10047 3804 10086
      3814 10081 3826 10079 3870 10069
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 255DEG 22KT 3869 10056 3846 10043 3829 10044
3804 10061

$$

KSC055-101-171-010115-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0191.000000T0000Z-260701T0115Z/
Finney KS-Scott KS-Lane KS-
756 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN FINNEY...SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT AND LANE COUNTIES...

At 756 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 7 miles northeast of Healy to near Dighton to 12 miles
southwest of Alamota to 11 miles north of Pierceville, moving east at
25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Shields, Alamota and Pendennis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10025 3825 10025 3807 10047 3804 10086
      3814 10081 3826 10079 3870 10069
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 255DEG 22KT 3869 10056 3846 10043 3829 10044
3804 10061

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TATRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
718 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Thunderstorm chances (50-70%) pick up across portions of
  southwest Kansas this evening.

- Seasonable temperatures likely through the end of the week.

&&

.Update...
Issued at 711 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

**MESOSCALE DISCUSSION**

The bottom line: the severe threat continues for the next few hours.

We have received a few wind reports around 60 mph thunderstorm wind
gusts so far. The line of storms has thickened and intensified recently
as the storms interact with dewpoints around 70F and significant
CAPE. Our 00Z RAOB measured CAPE as high as 4800 J/kg in association
with significant boundary layer moisture. There is still a drier
layer between 850 hPa and 500 hPa, which indicates a thermo profile
that is conducive for microbursts. In fact, DCAPE has increased to
1074 J/kg downstream of the storms in between the 18Z and 00Z RAOBs.
Mesoscale models like the HRRR and WoFS indicate these storms will
continue to move E to NE and the threat of severe storms will continue
for the next few hours.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1204 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

WV imagery indicates a southwest flow aloft prevailing across the
Western High Plains downstream of a deepening upper level trough
shifting slowly east into the Four Corners Region. Near the surface,
a stalled frontal boundary extends from extreme southwest Kansas
northeastward into north central Kansas.

Thunderstorm chances (50-70%) pick up this evening with the SREF
indicating an embedded upper level shortwave lifting northeast
through the Four Corners Region into the northern Colorado Rockies
late this afternoon. In response, developing low pressure in vicinity
of extreme southeast Colorado is projected to strengthen as it begins
to lift slowly north, dislodging the aforementioned boundary in
southwest Kansas northward. Meanwhile, prevailing southerlies ahead
of a retreating dryline will help enhance moisture advection into
central and much of southwest Kansas with surface dewpoints pushing
well up into the 60s(F) to near 70F, providing ample instability
with MUCAPE values upward of 2500 to 3000 J/kg. In conjunction with
steepening mid-level lapse rates late this afternoon, H5 vort maxima
ejecting northeast out of the Desert Southwest into the high plains
of eastern Colorado will interact with the dryline, triggering
thunderstorm development. Storms are then expected to spread northeast
through extreme southwest Kansas this evening. This is supported
by CAMs and the latest HREF showing a 50-70% probability of 6-hr
QPF exceeding 0.25 of an inch in a southwest-northeast axis across
extreme southwest Kansas with lesser amounts to the east into central
Kansas by late evening. Similar conditions are forecast Wednesday
with little change to the overall pattern expected.

Above normal temperatures are forecast for tonight once again as
prevailing southerlies continue to reinforce a warmer air mass
across the area, not to mention surface dewpoints holding in the
60s(F) to near 70F. Expect lows generally down into the 70s(F).
Look for afternoon highs back up into the 90s(F) Wednesday with the
HREF painting a widespread 80-90% probability of temperatures topping
90F. Similar temperatures are likely Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 500 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Thunderstorms developing in southeast Colorado and the western
Oklahoma Panhandle will move northeast through southwest Kansas
this evening, potentially affecting the vicinity of all TAF sites
generally after 01-03Z. Otherwise, expected mainly VFR conditions
through early Wednesday afternoon. Southerly winds 10 to 20kt with
gusts up to around 30kt are forecast to persist through much of the
period as a lee side trough of low pressure remains anchored in
eastern Colorado.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

UPDATE...Sugden
DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
412 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2026

KSZ061-302245-
Hamilton KS-
412 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY THROUGH
445 PM MDT...

At 411 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Coolidge, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Syracuse around 430 PM MDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3807 10204 3817 10178 3795 10162 3784 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 238DEG 27KT 3791 10200

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
559 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

KSZ074-084-302345-
Stanton KS-Morton KS-
559 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MORTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN STANTON COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM CDT...

At 559 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles east of Stonington, or 12 miles south of The Saunders Elevator,
moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Manter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3747 10204 3760 10197 3746 10168 3708 10201
      3713 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 210DEG 22KT 3729 10201

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
623 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 N Syracuse            38.00N 101.75W
06/30/2026  M62 MPH          Hamilton           KS   AWOS

            AWOS station K3K3 Syracuse.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
657 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     22 NNW Lakin            38.25N 101.38W
06/30/2026  M59 MPH          Kearny             KS   Mesonet

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
659 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0659 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Lakin                   37.94N 101.26W
06/30/2026  E65 MPH          Kearny             KS   Public

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
700 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0658 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     10 S Kendall            37.79N 101.53W
06/30/2026  E59 MPH          Hamilton           KS   Mesonet

&&