Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Cleveland, OH

221 
WGUS71 KCLE 060552
FFSCLE

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
152 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

OHC043-061000-
/O.CON.KCLE.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-260706T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Erie OH-
152 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING FOR KELLEYS ISLAND IN ERIE COUNTY...

At 152 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across Kelleys Island. Between 5 and 10 inches of rain have 
fallen since late Sunday evening. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 
to 5 inches are possible in the warned area early this morning. 
Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small streams, urban areas, basements,
         streets and other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Kelleys Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4158 8269 4160 8275 4163 8272 4163 8267
      4160 8266

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Sullivan

235 
WGUS51 KCLE 060618
FFWCLE
OHC043-061200-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-260706T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
218 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Kelleys Island in Erie County in north central Ohio...

* Until 800 AM EDT.

* At 218 AM EDT, the public reported flash flooding in Kelleys 
  Island. Between 7 and 12 inches of rain have fallen since late 
  Sunday evening. Additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Public reported. The public has reported flooded roads
           and businesses on Kelleys Island.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flooding of homes, businesses, small
           streams, urban areas, streets and other poor drainage
           and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Kelleys Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4158 8269 4160 8275 4163 8272 4163 8267
      4160 8266

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Sullivan

010 
WGUS71 KCLE 060724
FFSCLE

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
324 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

OHC043-061200-
/O.CON.KCLE.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-260706T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Erie OH-
324 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING 
FOR KELLEYS ISLAND IN ERIE COUNTY...

At 324 AM EDT, the public flash flooding across Kelleys Island. 
Between 7 and 13 inches of rain have fallen since late Sunday 
evening. Rainfall rates have decreased, with additional rainfall 
amounts up to 1 inch possible early this morning. Flash flooding is 
already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Public reported. The public has reported flooded roads
         and businesses on Kelleys Island.

IMPACT...Flooding of homes, businesses, small streams, urban
         areas, streets and other poor drainage and low-lying
         areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Kelleys Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4158 8269 4160 8275 4163 8272 4163 8267
      4160 8266

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

Sullivan

418 
WGUS71 KCLE 060952
FFSCLE

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
552 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

OHC043-061002-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-260706T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Erie OH-
552 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ERIE COUNTY HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A 
FLOOD ADVISORY...

&&

LAT...LON 4158 8269 4160 8275 4163 8272 4163 8267
      4160 8266

$$

Sullivan

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
809 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The Flood Watch was canceled for Lake, Geauga, and Trumbull
Counties but expanded towards other areas of northwest and
central Ohio.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Periodic showers and thunderstorms will continue through Monday
night, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. Heavy rain and
isolated flash flooding is possible.

2) The next chance for showers and thunderstorms will be towards the
end of the week as a cold front enters the region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Periodic showers and thunderstorms will continue across the
region through Monday night, particularly in the afternoon and
evening, as weak low pressure slowly drifts east across the Ohio
Valley.

For the rest of today, the storm complex that impacted much of
Northeast Ohio earlier today has exited southeast of the area. In
terms of the Flood Watch, not expecting much additional rainfall
into this evening, though will keep it in effect for now given
continued impacts, particularly in the Trumbull/Mahoning areas.
Anticipate we will be able to cancel the Flood Watch a little
earlier than the current 10 PM expiration time. Otherwise, will need
to monitor potential development of isolated to scattered showers
and storms along a weak boundary, roughly draped NW to SE from
Toledo to Canton. Not anticipating showers and storms to be as
organized as the cluster that impacted Northeast Ohio earlier today,
but heavy rain is possible regardless.

Attention then turns towards Monday as another round of showers and
storms are expected to develop in the afternoon and evening hours,
potentially impacting a similar area as today. Once again, heavy
rain will be the main threat with these showers and storms given
anomalously-high PWATs, weak flow, and skinny CAPE profiles.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
After brief high pressure builds across the region on
Wednesday, attention then turns towards the next low pressure
system and cold front Thursday into Friday. Confidence continues
to increase for scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop
Thursday afternoon into Friday. Can't rule out some stronger
storms, supported by modest westerly flow aloft of around 25
knots and will continue to monitor the threat. Depending on the
southern progression of the cold front, could see additional
showers and thunderstorms develop Friday afternoon and evening
across the southern portion of our area.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
Scattered showers and storms continue across the middle portion
of our forecast area. Should see this continue through about 02Z
before dwindling thereafter. A band of showers should then
develop late tonight across Lake Erie, streaming into parts of
Northwest Ohio, and maybe close to Lake Erie in Northeast Ohio
and Northwest Pennsylvania. Ceilings and visibilities will be
variable between VFR, MVFR, and IFR, with an area of IFR mostly
likely in central Ohio late tonight into early Monday morning.

Ceilings should gradually improve to mostly VFR by early Monday
afternoon. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected
Monday afternoon/evening, which should be most likely towards
the southern and southeastern part of our forecast area.

Outlook...Non-VFR with occasional showers and thunderstorms
possible through Tuesday afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms are
also possible Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Northeast flow will persist on the lake tonight into Monday with
a low pressure system moving south of the lake. Northeast flow
will increase to around 15-20 kts on Monday afternoon and may
allow for some brief 4 ft waves for the central basin, which
would prompt a Small Craft Advisory. A residual trough will
remain over the Ohio Valley on Tuesday into Wednesday and allow
for lighter northeast flow on the lake. Weak high pressure will
build into the area for Thursday and flip flow to the southwest.
A cold front will move through the region on Friday and shift
winds back to the northwest for Friday. Outside of Monday
afternoon and evening, marine headlines are not expected.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flood Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening for OHZ010-011-
     018>022-027>033-036>038-047.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Kahn
AVIATION...Saunders
MARINE...Sefcovic

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1032 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006-008-011>014-017>023-027>033-
036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-070245-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Sandusky-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
1032 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ007-009-010-070245-
Ottawa-Erie-Lorain-
1032 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a moderate risk for rip currents along Lake Erie beaches
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a moderate risk for rip currents along Lake Erie beaches
on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
743 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     Flash Flood      3 SE Austintown         41.07N 80.70W
07/05/2026                   Mahoning           OH   Trained Spotter

            Kirk Run Creek overflowed its banks and
            flooded the parking lot and gymnasium of
            Saint Christine Parish. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

Garuckas

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
750 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WNW Boardman          41.05N 80.71W
07/05/2026                   Mahoning           OH   Trained Spotter

            Extensive tree and power line damage at
            Hopkins Rd and Shields Rd.

&&

Garuckas

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1014 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 PM     Flash Flood      3 NNW Milan             41.33N 82.63W
07/05/2026                   Erie               OH   Emergency Mngr

            Active water rescue; water up to the door of
            car.

&&

AK