Extreme Cold Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

063 
WWUS71 KBUF 222350
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
650 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

NYZ007-008-231515-
/O.CON.KBUF.EC.W.0001.260124T0000Z-260124T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
650 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM 
EST SATURDAY NORTH COUNTRY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 to 40 below zero 
  expected North Country, especially across the higher terrain of 
  the Tug Hill region.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 to 40 below 
  zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 
  minutes. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin 
  is exposed to these temperatures. An extended period of freezing 
  temperatures could cause ruptured water pipes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Coldest wind chills as low as 40 below zero 
  are expected to be near the Tug Hill Plateau, with values of 25 
  below zero or colder elsewhere.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below 
zero or colder.

Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must 
go outside.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-231515-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.260123T1800Z-260124T1500Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville,
Orchard Park, and Springville
650 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM 
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Southern Erie and Wyoming counties and the western 
  Southern Tier.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

NYZ001>006-010-011-013-014-231515-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.260124T0000Z-260124T1500Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Livingston-Ontario-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Oswego, Buffalo, Batavia, Geneseo, and Canandaigua
650 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM 
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, 
  Northern Erie, Genesee, Livingston, and Ontario Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

EAJ

020 
WWUS71 KBUF 230551
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1251 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

NYZ007-008-231900-
/O.CON.KBUF.EC.W.0001.260124T0000Z-260124T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1251 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 
1 PM EST SATURDAY NORTH COUNTRY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero 
  expected North Country.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero 
  will cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 15 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below 
zero or colder.

Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must 
go outside.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-231900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.260123T1500Z-260124T1500Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, and
Batavia
1251 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 
AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 to 20 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-231900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.260123T1500Z-260124T1500Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville,
Orchard Park, and Springville
1251 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 
AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 to 25 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Erie and Wyoming counties and the western 
  Southern Tier.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

NYZ003>006-013-014-231900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.260123T1800Z-260124T1500Z/
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Livingston-Ontario-
Including the cities of Rochester, Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego,
Geneseo, and Canandaigua
1251 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 
10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 to 20 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Livingston, and 
  Ontario Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

673 
WWUS71 KBUF 231808
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
108 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

NYZ007-008-240900-
/O.CON.KBUF.EC.W.0001.260124T0000Z-260124T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
108 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 
1 PM EST SATURDAY NORTH COUNTRY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero 
  expected North Country.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero 
  will cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 15 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below 
zero or colder.

Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must 
go outside.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-240900-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-260124T1500Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, and
Batavia
108 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 to 20 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

NYZ003>006-013-014-240900-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-260124T1500Z/
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Livingston-Ontario-
Including the cities of Rochester, Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego,
Geneseo, and Canandaigua
108 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 to 20 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Livingston, and 
  Ontario Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-240900-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-260124T1500Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville,
Orchard Park, and Springville
108 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 to 25 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Erie and Wyoming counties and the western 
  Southern Tier.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

HSK

530 
WWUS71 KBUF 240604
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

NYZ007-008-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.EC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260124T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
104 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS 
AFTERNOON NORTH COUNTRY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 to 35 below zero 
  expected North Country, especially across the higher terrain of 
  the Tug Hill region.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 to 40 below 
  zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 
  minutes. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin 
  is exposed to these temperatures. An extended period of freezing 
  temperatures could cause ruptured water pipes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below 
zero or colder.

Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must 
go outside.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-260124T1500Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, and
Batavia
104 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 to 20 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

&&

$$

NYZ003>006-013-014-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-260124T1500Z/
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Livingston-Ontario-
Including the cities of Rochester, Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego,
Geneseo, and Canandaigua
104 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 15 to 20 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Livingston, and 
  Ontario Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-260124T1500Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville,
Orchard Park, and Springville
104 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 20 to 25 below zero 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Erie and Wyoming counties and the western 
  Southern Tier.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero will 
  cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially hazardous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 30 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 15 below 
zero or colder.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

JM

724 
WWUS71 KBUF 241449
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
949 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-241600-
/O.EXP.KBUF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-260124T1500Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Oswego, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo,
Canandaigua, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and
Springville
949 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

Widespread wind chill values have climbed to levels where bitterly 
cold wind chills are no longer expected, however a few pockets of 
wind chills as low as 15 below zero are possible through the rest of 
the  morning. The Cold Weather Advisory will be allowed to expire.

$$

NYZ007-008-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.EC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260124T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
949 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS 
AFTERNOON NORTH COUNTRY...

* WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero 
  expected North Country, especially across the higher terrain of 
  the Tug Hill region.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero 
  will cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a potentially dangerous situation to be outdoors. If you 
must be outside, be sure to cover all exposed skin. Frostbite can 
occur in 15 minutes or less with apparent temperatures of 25 below 
zero or colder.

Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must 
go outside.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure 
portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills 
inside.

&&

$$

HSK

252 
WWUS71 KBUF 241740
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1240 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

NYZ007-008-241845-
/O.EXP.KBUF.EC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260124T1800Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1240 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...EXTREME COLD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

Wind chill values have climbed to levels where dangerously cold wind 
chills are no longer expected, however a few pockets of 10 to 20 
below zero are possible this afternoon. The Extreme Cold Warning 
will be allowed to expire.

$$

HSK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
511 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Winter Weather Advisory upgraded to a Lake Effect Snow Warning for
southern Erie and Wyoming counties through 1PM Friday.

Winter Storm Watch issued for the entire area Sunday through Monday
for the potential of widespread, heavy synoptic snow.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Localized heavy lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario and Lake
Erie today through Friday, along with gusty winds and significant
blowing and drifting snow.

2) Dangerously cold airmass will arrive Friday and last into
Sunday morning.

3) Widespread potentially heavy snow becoming more likely Sunday
through Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Localized heavy lake effect snow east of Lake
Ontario and Lake Erie today through Friday, along with gusty winds
and significant blowing and drifting snow.

The second cold front in a series of boundaries will enter Western
NY early this morning and become lake enhanced as temperatures aloft
begin to cool. This will produce another 2-4 hour period of moderate
to briefly heavy lake enhanced snow across much of Western NY,
including the Buffalo Metro area with a few more inches of
accumulation during the morning commute. The same will happen east
of Lake Ontario later this morning through early afternoon with a
lake enhanced cold frontal passage.

This afternoon through Friday, a more pure lake response will
develop with less in the way of synoptic scale forcing and snowfall.
Lake induced equilibrium levels will rise to near 10K feet over both
lakes tonight through Friday as cold air deepens.

Off Lake Erie...

The wildcard is the rapid advance of ice cover on Lake Erie over the
past few days. While there has been a rapid advance, new ice is thin
and/or slushy, especially over the deep water that lies offshore of
Western NY. There is likely still enough open or partially open
water to support a respectable lake response.

Expect a break in the snow following the cold frontal passage this
morning. A band of lake effect snow will then develop this afternoon
on WSW flow, reaching peak intensity late this afternoon through
tonight before weakening Friday morning. Boundary layer flow will
generally be WSW, with subtle variations over time forcing several
north/south oscillations. Expect the band to have the greatest
residence time across southern Erie and Wyoming counties, including
some of the Buffalo Southtowns.

Working under the assumption that there is still enough open water
to produce locally heavy snowfall, accumulations may reach or exceed
1 foot in the most persistent bands across Southern Erie and Wyoming
counties, with lesser accumulations across far northern/western
Chautauqua County and the northwest corner of Cattaraugus County.
Accumulating snow may also brush the southern portion of the
northern Erie County zone (including the more densely populated
southern and eastern suburbs of Buffalo) and southern Genesee
County.

Off Lake Ontario...

Some shear near the time of the second cold frontal passage may
hinder band organization initially today, with a more cellular look
or multiple bands possible. This will change by early evening with a
more dominant band developing east of the lake. The band will be
heavy much of the time from this evening through Friday with 3-4"
per hour snowfall rates likely. Subtle variations in wind direction
will force the band to oscillate north/south multiple times, with
the northernmost extent reaching near Watertown and the southern end
of the oscillations extending into far northern Oswego County.

Late Friday afternoon an arctic front will move south across the
lake and likely shove an east-west oriented band onshore along much
of the south shore of the lake with a burst of heavy snow.

Expect a local maximum of 2-3 feet across the central and northern
Tug Hill Plateau, with a somewhat larger footprint of 8-16"
surrounding that.

Wind gusts will reach 40+ mph at times today through Friday, with
the strongest winds this afternoon and again during the day Friday.
This will produce significant blowing and drifting snow in lake
effect areas.

Key Message 2...Dangerously cold airmass will arrive Friday and last
into Sunday morning.

Anomalously strong area of Arctic high pressure will ride southeast
along the eastern periphery of the Canadian Rockies Thursday with
850mb temps just east of the high center forecast to be as low as
-40C. Thankfully, this airmass will modify somewhat before plunging
across our area Friday into the first half of the weekend, however
it will still remain a dangerously cold airmass. An arctic cold
front will plow southward across our region very late Thursday night
into Friday morning. Expect highs to occur during the morning hours
Friday, with temps falling through the teens into the single digits
during the second half of the day. Expect the heart of the coldest
air (850 mb temps in the negative mid 20s C) to occur from late
Friday through late Saturday. Much of the area will plunge below
zero Friday night, with portions of the North Country possibly
dipping down to -20F. Winds will also remain quite gusty through
Friday night. The combination of the very cold airmass and brisk
winds will lead to dangerously cold wind chill values. Expect wind
chill values down to -15F to -20F across much of the area, with sub
-30F wind chills possible across portions of the North Country. An
Extreme Cold Watch remains in effect for the North Country, with
Cold Weather Advisories likely being needed for much, if not all of
the rest of the area at some point. See the Climate section below
for some interesting facts about just how extreme this cold shot is
expected to be.

Very cold airmass remains in place Saturday. This will only allow
temperatures to recover into the single digits, with the North
Country possibly not reaching zero. Winds will continue to come down
Saturday as the center of the Arctic high moves near or right over
the region. This will help at least bring some relief to the wind
chills by Saturday afternoon with apparent temps nearing zero across
much of the region, with -10F to -15F wind chills confined to the
Tug Hill and western Dacks.

Key Message 3...Widespread potentially heavy snow becoming more
likely late Saturday night through Monday.

Confidence continues to grow concerning the potential for a major
winter storm that may possibly bring significant widespread snowfall
to our area for the second half of the weekend into the start of the
new work week. There will be some modification of our airmass on
Sunday ahead of the approaching system, with another reinforcing
shot of very cold air by later Monday/Monday night on the back side
of the low as it tracks east of the area, however temps will still
remain well below average during the event. Models have become very
well aligned with the 22/00Z run showing a consensus of a more
northerly track of the system, placing our area at risk for the
possibility of significant snowfall. Thus, even though the event
start time is still a ways out, confidence has grown enough that a
Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the entire area from later
Saturday night through early Monday evening. Areas downwind of the
lakes will likely see even higher snow amounts owed to lake
enhancement. It's too difficult to pin down exact amounts at this
time.

A very cold airmass will remain in place in the wake of the system.
A westerly low level flow will bring additional lake snows to areas
east of the lakes through at least mid week. That said, Lake Erie is
currently well over 50% frozen, and with the upcoming dangerous cold
Friday/Saturday along with lowering winds, it is expected that Lake
Erie will likely become completely frozen over by sometime late this
week into this weekend, which will significantly limit lake effect
potential.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A secondary cold front will enter Western NY early this morning and
become lake enhanced, with a few hours of moderate to locally heavy
snow east and northeast of Lake Erie, including KBUF. A similar
period of lake enhancement will develop east of Lake Ontario later
this morning through early afternoon with local moderate to heavy
snow, including KART.

Snow will taper off from west to east behind the secondary cold
front. A more pure lake response will develop east of the lakes this
afternoon through tonight. Off Lake Erie, a band of locally heavy
lake effect snow will bring local LIFR, with the band likely staying
just south of KBUF and mainly north of KJHW most of the time. Off
Lake Ontario, a band of heavy snow will meander from near KART to
the Tug Hill Plateau this evening through the overnight, with local
VLIFR in very heavy snow.

It will be very windy today through tonight, with gusts in the 25 to
35 knot range, strongest today northeast of Lake Erie. This will
result in blowing and drifting snow on airfields where fresh snow is
on the ground.

Outlook...

Friday...Heavy lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario with local
VLIFR, especially south of KART. Lake effect snow with local LIFR
east of Lake Erie (south of KBUF) weakens. Gusty winds with blowing
snow.

Friday night...Local lake effect snow and IFR southeast of Lake
Ontario, including KROC.

Saturday...Local IFR in lake effect snow showers southeast of the
lakes in the morning, mainly VFR in the afternoon.

Sunday through Monday...Widespread LIFR with moderate to heavy snow.

&&

.MARINE...
WSW gales will continue on Lake Ontario today through Friday, with
sustained winds of 30 knots on Lake Erie. Winds will become
northwest Friday night following an arctic cold front, then rapidly
diminish late Friday night through Saturday as high pressure builds
into the lower Great Lakes.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Buffalo
                      Record low minimum temperature          Record low high temperature

January 23                         -11 (1976)                         5(1976)
January 24                         -11 (1976)                         1(1963)
January 25                         -14 (1884)                         5(1884)

Rochester
                      Record low minimum temperature          Record low high temperature

January 23                         -14 (1976)                         5(1976)
January 24                         -10 (1963)                         2(1963)
January 25                         -6  (1945)                         7(1884)

Watertown
                      Record low minimum temperature          Record low high temperature

January 23                         -31 (1976)                        -1(1976)
January 24                         -30 (2014)                         0(2004)
January 25                         -18 (2007)                         3(1992)

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
     NYZ001-002-021.
     Winter Storm Watch from late Saturday night through Monday
     evening for NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085.
     Winter Storm Warning until 7 PM EST Friday for NYZ006>008.
     Extreme Cold Watch from Friday evening through Saturday
     afternoon for NYZ007-008.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for NYZ010-011-
     019-020.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 1 PM EST Friday for NYZ012-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Friday for LEZ020.
         Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for LEZ040-
         041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Friday for LOZ030.
         Gale Warning until 7 PM EST Friday for LOZ042>045-062>065.

&&

DISCUSSION...Hitchcock/JM
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Hitchcock
CLIMATE...HSK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

NYZ001-002-021-230715-
Niagara-Orleans-Allegany-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

Very cold temperatures will drop wind chills to well below zero
Friday night through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003>005-013-014-230715-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

Very cold temperatures will drop wind chills to well below zero
Friday night through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-230715-
Oswego-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Winter Storm Watch.

Very cold temperatures will drop wind chills to well below zero
Friday night through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011-019-020-230715-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Winter Storm Watch.

Very cold temperatures will drop wind chills to well below zero
Friday night through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-085-230715-
Wyoming-Southern Erie-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.
   Winter Storm Watch.

Very cold temperatures will drop wind chills to well below zero
Friday night through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-008-230715-
Jefferson-Lewis-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...
...EXTREME COLD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON NORTH COUNTRY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Extreme Cold Watch.
   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-230715-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-230715-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-230715-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-230715-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
201 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
925 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     Snow             5 NNW Eden              42.72N 78.93W
01/22/2026  M3.0 Inch        Erie               NY   Trained Spotter

            Corrects previous snow report from 5 NNW
            Eden. Overnight snowfall total.

&&

PP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
944 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     Snow             2 NW Gates-North Gates  43.18N 77.73W
01/22/2026  M2.4 Inch        Monroe             NY   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station NY-MR-89 Rochester 5.7 W.

0900 AM     Snow             3 E East Concord        42.55N 78.58W
01/22/2026  M5.2 Inch        Erie               NY   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station SGVN6 Springville
            5NE.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
951 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Snow             Buffalo Airport         42.94N 78.72W
01/22/2026  M4.1 Inch        Erie               NY   Official NWS Obs

            24 hour snowfall.

0700 AM     Snow             Rochester Airport       43.12N 77.66W
01/22/2026  M2.0 Inch        Monroe             NY   Official NWS Obs

            24 hour snowfall.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1005 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1058 PM     Snow Squall      3 SSE Gates-North Gates 43.12N 77.67W
01/21/2026                   Monroe             NY   ASOS

            Rapid drop to quarter mile visibility in
            snow squall.

1020 PM     Snow Squall      2 NNE Batavia           43.03N 78.17W
01/21/2026                   Genesee            NY   AWOS

            Rapid drop to quarter mile visibility in
            snow squall.

0930 PM     Snow Squall      2 SSE Williamsville     42.94N 78.73W
01/21/2026                   Erie               NY   ASOS

            Rapid drop to eighth mile visibility and
            gusts 30-35 mph.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1035 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 AM     Snow Squall      1 NW Dansville          42.57N 77.71W
01/22/2026                   Livingston         NY   ASOS

            Rapid drop to quarter mile visibility with
            gusts up to 30 mph.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1122 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     Snow             2 NW West Falls         42.72N 78.72W
01/22/2026  M5.5 Inch        Erie               NY   Trained Spotter

            24-hour total.

&&