Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Birmingham, AL

782 
WGUS74 KBMX 070015
FFSBMX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
715 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

ALC001-051-085-087-101-070215-
/O.CON.KBMX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260507T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Autauga AL-Elmore AL-Lowndes AL-Macon AL-Montgomery AL-
715 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR SOUTHERN AUTAUGA, SOUTHWESTERN ELMORE, NORTHERN LOWNDES, 
NORTHERN MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHWESTERN MACON COUNTIES...

At 715 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have 
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in 
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Montgomery, Prattville, Millbrook, Milstead, Pike Road, Coosada, 
  Autaugaville, White Hall, Shorter, Lowndesboro, Benton, Hunter, 
  Maxwell Air Force Base, Woodcrest, Dannelly Field, Montgomery 
  Riverwalk Stadium, Alabama State Capitol, Alabama State 
  University, Hope Hull and Hyundai Motors Of Alabama.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3229 8685 3230 8683 3231 8685 3233 8685
      3234 8681 3235 8681 3240 8684 3242 8684
      3243 8683 3244 8686 3253 8687 3256 8677
      3243 8580 3227 8593 3227 8599 3225 8599
      3225 8600 3220 8600 3225 8684

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

12/Robinson

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
104 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 102 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2026

- An enhanced risk (levels 3 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms is
  in effect for Wednesday into early Thursday. Threats include
  isolated, brief tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and large hail.

- There is a Moderate Risk (level 3 of 4) of flash flooding with
  the thunderstorm activity Wednesday evening through Thursday
  morning, especially in urban or poor drainage areas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 102 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2026

A cold front will continue to move into the area through the rest
of the night into Thursday morning. Timing is generally around
1 pm in the far northwest, with a slow progression of the line of
storms towards the south and southeast. CAMs have been coming
into better agreement with timing, and show isolated storms
moving ahead of the main line. Instability is between 1500-
2500 J/kg with these initial storms, and 0-1 km shear is mild,
though 0-6 km shear is enough to support strong storms.  These
isolated storms could easily rotate and produce damaging winds
and a tornado, though the threat may be slightly lower than the
storms through the late afternoon and early evening.

With strong southerly flow, PW values will be around 2 inches or
higher today through the morning. This is much greater than max
for this time of year climatologically, and with the steering
flow parallel to the boundary, storms are likely to train over
the same areas, producing high rain rates and high rainfall
accumulations. The highest totals look to be in the southeast
where the greatest concentration of training storms is expected.
Values of 4-5 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts in
any stronger storms. Any storm will likely produce rain rates
enough to reduce visibilities so driving could become hazardous.
Flooding is a concern through the night, especially in those
training storms.

As the line moves south and east, individual storms are expected
to move along that line. Low LCLs, enough instability, and an
increase in 0-1 km shear to 40-50 kts will support an increased tornado
threat. Mid level winds increase from a strong mid level jet,
which causes that increase in low level shear, and will also
support stronger updraft and longer lived storms. CAMs have that
line moving into the I85 area after midnight, with a concentration
of weather in the southeast through the early morning.
Instability is slightly weaker in the southeast, values topping
around 1000-1500 j/kg, but shear will remain strong, with
damaging winds and an isolated tornado threat continuing.

Thursday morning, the front will continue to the south and east,
and should push all activity south of the area by sunrise.
Northerly flow will settle over the area, bringing drier and
slightly cooler air, as high pressure continues to build over the
southeast. By Friday evening, a shortwave approaches from the
south and west, bringing the next chance for rain through the
night Friday into Saturday. A low pressure system will move
across the Ohio Valley through the latter half of the weekend,
with a frontal boundary bringing widespread activity through
Sunday. Instability will be higher on Sunday, and shear will be
moderate, allowing for strong atoms to develop, though potential
for any severe storms remains low at this time.

The front will push south and east through night, with rain
decreasing through Monday morning, and northwest flow bringing
drier air to the state through the beginning of the work week.

24

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 102 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2026

Isolated thunderstorms will move into areas north of I85 through
the afternoon and early evening, ahead of a main line of storms.
Any storm moving over a TAF site will produce high rain rates to
drop visibilities to IFR or LIFR, and enough low level moisture
will be available for IFR ceilings overnight. Thunderstorms
should move south with rain lingering over each TAF site through
the early morning, before northerly flow brings dry air and a
decrease in rain through mid morning Thursday.

AMD NOT SKED will continue for TCL due to intermittent
observations.

24

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms will bring
plenty of rain through the state tonight and Thursday morning. In
total, some locations are likely to see 2-4 inches of rain during
this timeframe, with 4-5 inches possible in the southeast.  After
a brief break in rain Thursday afternoon through Friday
afternoon, rain returns through the weekend. Given the higher
MinRH values and upcoming rain, fire weather concerns remain
little to none at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     56  72  45  73 / 100  20   0   0
Anniston    60  72  48  73 / 100  40   0   0
Birmingham  60  72  51  74 / 100  20   0   0
Tuscaloosa  60  75  51  75 / 100  10   0   0
Calera      61  75  51  75 / 100  30   0   0
Auburn      66  77  55  73 / 100  80   0  10
Montgomery  66  77  54  74 /  90  70   0  20
Troy        67  78  56  74 /  80  80  10  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Thursday morning for the following counties:
Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-
Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah-Greene-Hale-
Jefferson-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-
Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-
Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa.

&&

DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...24

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
536 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     Hail             Pike Road               32.28N 86.10W
05/06/2026  M1.00 Inch       Montgomery         AL   Public

            Location approximate.

&&

JH

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
543 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NW Old Spring Hill    32.46N 87.81W
05/06/2026                   Marengo            AL   Broadcast Media

            Trees down across highway 69 south of
            Gallion.

0238 PM     Hail             2 WNW Faunsdale         32.47N 87.63W
05/06/2026  E0.70 Inch       Marengo            AL   Public

            Report of dime size hail near mile marker 47
            on us highway 80.

0504 PM     Flash Flood      2 S Huntingdon College  32.32N 86.28W
05/06/2026                   Montgomery         AL   Public

            Street flooding reported by the public.
            Location approximate.

0507 PM     Hail             2 E Auburn Univ Montgom 32.37N 86.14W
05/06/2026  E0.50 Inch       Montgomery         AL   Public

            Report from mPING: Half-inch (0.50 in.).

0509 PM     Hail             1 E Mitylene            32.38N 86.16W
05/06/2026  E0.75 Inch       Montgomery         AL   Public

            Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

0516 PM     Hail             1 E Mount Meigs         32.36N 86.08W
05/06/2026  M0.75 Inch       Montgomery         AL   Public

            Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

0533 PM     Hail             Pike Road               32.28N 86.10W
05/06/2026  M1.00 Inch       Montgomery         AL   Public

            Location approximate.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
554 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 PM     Hail             1 WNW Waugh             32.37N 86.05W
05/06/2026  M2.75 Inch       Montgomery         AL   Trained Spotter

            Baseball sized hail reported along
            Interstate 85 at Exit 10 reported by trained
            spotter. Time approximate.

&&

JH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
557 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSW Gunter AFB        32.39N 86.26W
05/06/2026                   Montgomery         AL   Emergency Mngr

            Tree down along West Wareingwood Drive in
            Montgomery. Time approximate.

&&

JH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
559 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SW Maxwell AFB        32.37N 86.38W
05/06/2026                   Montgomery         AL   Public

            Tree reported down across 180 West Blvd west
            of Montgomery. Time approxmiate.

&&

JH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
602 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     Hail             1 N Fort Davis          32.26N 85.71W
05/06/2026  M1.00 Inch       Macon              AL   Broadcast Media

            Hail of at least quarter sized observed by
            broadcast meteorologist just north of CR 2
            in Macon County.

&&

JH